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Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings (JP:4188)
:4188

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings (4188) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4188

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings

(4188)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
¥968.00
▲(1.53% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/10/26
The score reflects mixed financial performance—stable but pressured fundamentals with thin margins, meaningful (though improving) leverage, and decent but not exceptional cash-flow quality. Technicals weigh heavily on the outlook due to a clear bearish trend and negative momentum, despite oversold readings. Valuation is moderately supported by the ~3.37% dividend yield, but the negative P/E reduces confidence in earnings-based valuation.
Positive Factors
Diversified end markets and product mix
Mitsubishi Chemical's wide exposure across industrial manufacturing, electronics, mobility, healthcare and consumer end markets reduces reliance on any single cyclical sector. That structural diversification supports revenue stability across cycles, enables cross-selling of specialty materials, and preserves long-term demand optionality.
Negative Factors
Thin and compressed profitability
Net margin around 2.4% leaves a narrow buffer against raw material, energy or FX shocks and limits retained earnings for reinvestment. Historical margin compression indicates persistent pricing or mix pressure, which can constrain sustainable returns and hamper long-term margin recovery absent structural cost or product shifts.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified end markets and product mix
Mitsubishi Chemical's wide exposure across industrial manufacturing, electronics, mobility, healthcare and consumer end markets reduces reliance on any single cyclical sector. That structural diversification supports revenue stability across cycles, enables cross-selling of specialty materials, and preserves long-term demand optionality.
Read all positive factors

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings (4188) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation provides performance products, chemicals, industrial gases, health care products, and other products in Japan and internationally. The company's performance products include specialty chemicals, functional foo...
How the Company Makes Money
The company makes money primarily by selling products and services across its business segments. A major revenue stream comes from chemicals and materials businesses, where it earns sales from supplying industrial chemicals, polymers, and performa...

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: TTM revenue is down (-3.8%) and profitability is thin (net margin ~2.4%) with margin compression versus stronger years. Balance sheet leverage remains meaningful (debt-to-equity ~1.03) though improved from prior peaks. Cash flow is a relative strength with solid operating/FCF and positive FCF growth (~7.9%), but cash conversion is only moderate (FCF to net income ~0.39).
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.81T4.41T4.39T4.63T3.98T3.26T
Gross Profit1.11T1.28T1.15T1.24T1.11T926.25B
EBITDA396.81B481.62B561.06B468.97B564.03B299.56B
Net Income91.08B45.02B119.60B96.07B177.16B-7.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.82T5.89T6.10T5.77T5.57T5.29T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments366.46B326.14B294.92B297.22B245.79B349.58B
Total Debt1.90T2.18T2.34T2.38T2.29T2.48T
Total Liabilities3.34T3.61T3.83T3.79T3.73T3.72T
Stockholders Equity1.85T1.74T1.76T1.56T1.46T1.24T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow176.77B238.31B196.46B96.16B102.02B220.72B
Operating Cash Flow457.69B552.85B465.15B355.19B346.87B467.13B
Investing Cash Flow58.13B-275.43B-263.53B-250.52B-134.89B-311.38B
Financing Cash Flow-439.83B-246.65B-224.28B-57.90B-330.17B-48.40B

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price953.40
Price Trends
50DMA
1030.50
Negative
100DMA
962.07
Negative
200DMA
883.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-37.45
Negative
RSI
44.19
Neutral
STOCH
82.95
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4188, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 953.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 964.74, below the 50-day MA of 1030.50, and above the 200-day MA of 883.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -37.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4188.

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
¥12.12T18.0411.19%2.17%3.77%0.35%
68
Neutral
¥2.13T8.678.29%2.89%3.55%95.65%
66
Neutral
¥760.52B10.744.79%4.21%-1.21%-27.21%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
¥857.53B3.838.79%2.68%-1.64%
58
Neutral
¥1.95T40.664.42%1.00%-1.90%-71.97%
54
Neutral
¥1.25T-66.091.09%3.50%-11.50%25.86%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4188
Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings
942.20
218.58
30.21%
JP:3407
Asahi Kasei
1,569.50
539.78
52.42%
JP:4063
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co
6,140.00
1,950.75
46.57%
JP:4004
Resonac Holdings Corporation
10,755.00
7,818.14
266.21%
JP:4005
Sumitomo Chemical Co
523.70
166.94
46.79%
JP:4042
Tosoh
2,390.00
381.54
19.00%

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Corporate Events

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Confirms Q3 Figures After Audit as Profit Jumps on Portfolio Shift
Feb 12, 2026
Mitsubishi Chemical Group said an independent auditor has completed an interim review of the Japanese originals of its condensed consolidated financial statements for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, with no changes requ...
Mitsubishi Chemical Group Outlines Q3 FY2025 Operational Performance and Outlook
Feb 5, 2026
Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation has released an operational summary for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, outlining its consolidated financial performance, cash flows, and balance sheet position. The report details ...
Mitsubishi Chemical Slashes Profit Outlook on One-Off Restructuring Charges
Feb 5, 2026
Mitsubishi Chemical Group has sharply cut its profit outlook for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, while keeping sales and core operating income forecasts unchanged at ¥3.672 trillion and ¥250 billion, respectively. The company now ...
Mitsubishi Chemical Group Profits Rise Despite Lower Revenue After Portfolio Restructuring
Feb 5, 2026
For the nine months to 31 December 2025, Mitsubishi Chemical Group reported an 8.2% year-on-year decline in sales revenue to ¥2.74 trillion from continuing operations, while core operating income slipped 2.4% to ¥185.6 billion and operat...
Mitsubishi Chemical to Exit Coke and Carbon Materials Business, Booking ¥85 Billion Loss
Feb 2, 2026
Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation will withdraw from its coke and carbon materials (needle coke, pitch coke) business, a segment within the coal operations of subsidiary Mitsubishi Chemical Corporation, following a prolonged slump in the overs...
Mitsubishi Chemical Group to Consolidate CVC Operations Under Mitsubishi Chemical Corporation
Jan 29, 2026
Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation will transfer its corporate venture capital (CVC) business and related assets to its consolidated subsidiary Mitsubishi Chemical Corporation via a simplified absorption-type company split effective April 1, 20...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 10, 2026