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Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings (JP:4188)
:4188

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings (4188) AI Stock Analysis

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Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings

(OTC:4188)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥834.00
▲(11.95%Upside)
Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance through revenue growth and cash flow stability, despite some net income volatility and high leverage. Technical indicators suggest a stable market position with mild bullish momentum. Valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation but are offset by a solid dividend yield.

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings (4188) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation provides performance products, chemicals, industrial gases, health care products, and other products in Japan and internationally. The company's performance products include specialty chemicals, functional food materials, inorganic materials, electronic and electrical components and products, molding and processed products, film and sheet products, synthetic paper and fiber, carbon fiber, equipment, instruments and systems, materials and products for industrial use, construction materials, civil engineering materials, aqua-related materials and products, leisure, sports, and daily goods. Its health care products comprise pharmaceuticals, pharmaceutical formulation materials and related products, drug discovery solutions, diagnostic reagents and instruments, health apparatus and instruments for medical use, medical support, nursing care and health support, and clinical examination and service. The company also offers industrial materials, such as basic chemicals, carbon materials, synthetic resins, and industrial gases; and engineering, information systems, analysis and inspection, packaging and logistics, survey, consulting, and other services. In addition, it provides engineering, transportation, and warehousing services. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMitsubishi Chemical Holdings makes money through a diversified revenue model that includes the sale of chemicals, performance products, and industrial materials. The company's key revenue streams are derived from its broad portfolio of offerings, which cater to multiple industries such as automotive, electronics, and healthcare. Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings also generates income from its healthcare segment, which includes pharmaceuticals and medical devices. Additionally, strategic partnerships and collaborations with other companies and research institutions play a significant role in driving innovation and expanding market reach, further contributing to its earnings.

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 2.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed performance. Highlights included strong cost management and performance in industrial gases and healthcare. However, significant challenges were noted in specialty and basic materials, as well as ongoing struggles in the MMA and carbon businesses.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance Amid Industry Downturn
MCG delivered a better-than-forecast core operating income of JPY 183.9 billion, and a positive cash flow of JPY 165.7 million, despite the prolonged chemical industry downturn.
Cost Reductions Surpassed Annual Targets
Achieved JPY 82 billion in cost reductions, exceeding the full-year target of JPY 80 billion, contributing to securing profits.
Industrial Gases and Healthcare Performance
Industrial gases saw a sales increase of 6% and profits up by 45%. Healthcare sales rose 6% with a 177% profit increase due to RADICAVA sales in the U.S.
Negative Updates
Specialty Materials and Basic Materials Challenges
Sales in Specialty Materials decreased by 6%, with profits dropping by 69% year-on-year. Basic Materials recorded a loss of JPY 10.4 billion, with sales down 13%.
MMA and Carbon Business Struggles
MMA sales decreased by 12%, and the carbon business recorded a loss for the third consecutive quarter due to weak coke market conditions.
Continued Market Weakness in Key Segments
Weak demand in semiconductor, housing, and construction materials, with no significant recovery expected in Q4.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter earnings call for Mitsubishi Chemical Group, several financial metrics were highlighted by the executives. The company's core operating income for the year-to-date reached JPY 183.9 billion, surpassing forecasts despite the challenging economic conditions in the chemical industry. Strong positive cash flow was reported at JPY 165.7 million, with cost reductions amounting to JPY 82 billion, exceeding the annual target of JPY 80 billion. The balance sheet showed continued improvement with a net debt-to-equity ratio of 1.2. Revenue declined by 5% year-on-year to JPY 3,245.1 billion, while core operating income saw a 3% year-on-year increase. Specialty Materials experienced a significant 69% drop in profit, while Industrial Gases and the Healthcare sector reported profit increases of 45% and 177%, respectively. The average exchange rate was JPY 143.8 to the dollar, and naphtha prices fell 15% year-on-year to JPY 67,900. The company maintained its full-year earnings forecast, emphasizing ongoing cost management and restructuring efforts.

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency with a robust cash flow. However, net income volatility and high leverage are concerning risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings has demonstrated a steady revenue growth trajectory over the past five years, with a noticeable increase in gross profit margin, reflecting operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin has seen fluctuations, indicating some instability in net income, particularly in the most recent year. The company's EBIT and EBITDA margins show positive trends, suggesting healthy operating performance despite some volatility in net income.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating leverage that could pose risks. However, the equity ratio indicates a stable position in terms of asset financing. The return on equity has been inconsistent, with recent declines highlighting potential profitability challenges. Overall, while the company maintains a solid asset base, the high leverage warrants caution.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings shows robust cash flow management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains strong, and there's a consistent free cash flow generation, indicating effective capital expenditure control. The free cash flow growth rate has been positive, supporting financial flexibility and potential for future investments or debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.81T4.41T4.39T4.63T3.98T3.26T
Gross Profit1.06T1.28T1.15T1.24T1.11T926.25B
EBITDA418.27B473.55B561.06B468.97B502.36B414.96B
Net Income130.63B45.02B119.60B96.46B177.16B-7.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.09T5.89T6.10T5.77T5.57T5.29T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments336.96B326.14B294.92B371.69B296.87B397.39B
Total Debt2.15T2.04T2.20T2.24T2.16T2.35T
Total Liabilities3.73T3.61T3.83T3.79T3.73T3.72T
Stockholders Equity1.81T1.74T1.76T1.56T1.46T1.24T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow245.53B238.31B190.67B74.19B89.21B210.12B
Operating Cash Flow476.58B552.85B465.15B355.19B346.87B467.13B
Investing Cash Flow-193.87B-275.43B-246.09B-247.63B-128.78B-217.01B
Financing Cash Flow-344.04B-246.65B-241.72B-60.78B-336.28B-142.77B

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price745.00
Price Trends
50DMA
730.53
Positive
100DMA
735.42
Positive
200DMA
775.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.00
Positive
RSI
49.26
Neutral
STOCH
22.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4188, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 745 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 752.11, above the 50-day MA of 730.53, and below the 200-day MA of 775.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4188.

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.06T23.552.49%4.29%0.46%-62.37%
58
Neutral
HK$16.65B4.30-6.43%5.42%-3.18%-62.89%
$9.60B11.017.25%3.77%
DENSC
€3.50B13.3818.55%4.78%
$4.18B17.196.01%1.78%
$3.91B17.783.96%0.02%
$4.63B12.147.04%0.03%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4188
Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings
745.00
-139.19
-15.74%
AHKSF
Asahi Kasei
7.07
0.92
14.96%
DE:NSC
Nissan Chemical
25.60
-1.78
-6.50%
SHWDF
Showa Denko KK
23.17
2.13
10.12%
SOMMF
Sumitomo Chemical Co
2.75
0.64
30.33%
TOSCF
Tosoh
14.50
2.12
17.12%

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Corporate Events

Mitsubishi Chemical Announces Treasury Share Acquisition
Jun 5, 2025

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation announced the acquisition of 16,337,000 treasury shares valued at JPY 12,301,110,370, as part of a broader plan to acquire up to 100,000,000 shares. This move, resolved by the Board of Directors, is aimed at optimizing capital structure and enhancing shareholder value, reflecting a strategic focus on financial management.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4188) stock is a Buy with a Yen1000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings stock, see the JP:4188 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Announces Dividend Distribution
May 20, 2025

Mitsubishi Chemical Group has announced a resolution by its Board of Directors to distribute dividends from surplus, with a dividend per share set at ¥16 for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2024. This decision aligns with the company’s policy to maintain a dividend payout ratio of 35% under its New Medium-Term Management Plan 2029, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns and future business growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4188) stock is a Buy with a Yen1000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings stock, see the JP:4188 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi Chemical Announces Treasury Share Acquisition and Cancellation
May 13, 2025

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation announced the acquisition and subsequent cancellation of treasury shares, utilizing funds from the transfer of its subsidiary, Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corporation, to Bain Capital. This strategic move aims to enhance shareholder returns and improve capital efficiency, reflecting the company’s commitment to increasing shareholder value over the medium to long term.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4188) stock is a Buy with a Yen1000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings stock, see the JP:4188 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi Chemical Reports Mixed Financial Results for FY2025
May 13, 2025

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation reported its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, showing a slight increase in sales revenue by 0.5% to ¥4,407,405 million. However, the company experienced a significant decline in net income attributable to owners of the parent by 62.4% compared to the previous year. Despite the challenges, the company maintained its dividend payout, reflecting its commitment to shareholders. The financial outlook for the following fiscal year indicates expected improvements in net income and earnings per share, suggesting potential recovery and growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4188) stock is a Buy with a Yen1000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings stock, see the JP:4188 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Announces Strategic Growth and Divestiture Plans
May 13, 2025

Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings has released its operational summary for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, highlighting significant growth investment plans in its chemicals business. The company is also focusing on divesting non-core businesses to streamline operations, which is expected to enhance its market positioning and profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4188) stock is a Buy with a Yen1000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings stock, see the JP:4188 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 21, 2025