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Asahi Kasei Corporation (JP:3407)
:3407

Asahi Kasei (3407) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3407

Asahi Kasei

(3407)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,642.00
▲(36.10% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/06/26
The score is driven mainly by improving financial performance (revenue and margin recovery with manageable leverage), supported by a strong technical uptrend. Valuation is reasonable, while overbought momentum signals and mixed cash-flow conversion keep the score from being higher.
Positive Factors
Diversified business mix
Asahi Kasei’s three-segment model (Materials, Homes, Health Care) provides durable revenue diversification across industrial cycles. Exposure to specialty materials, housing services, and healthcare devices supports recurring demand, reduces single-market dependence, and smooths cash flows over a multi-quarter horizon.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent cash conversion
Free cash flow converted only modestly from earnings and has been volatile historically, including periods of negative FCF. This weakens the predictability of internal funding for dividends, debt repayment and investments, constraining durable capital allocation planning over several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified business mix
Asahi Kasei’s three-segment model (Materials, Homes, Health Care) provides durable revenue diversification across industrial cycles. Exposure to specialty materials, housing services, and healthcare devices supports recurring demand, reduces single-market dependence, and smooths cash flows over a multi-quarter horizon.
Read all positive factors

Asahi Kasei (3407) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Asahi Kasei Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Asahi Kasei Corporation (3407) is a diversified Japanese company engaged in various sectors including chemicals, materials, and healthcare. Founded in 1922, the company operates through several business segments: Chemicals, Homes, and Health Care....
How the Company Makes Money
Asahi Kasei makes money primarily by selling products and services across its three operating segments. In the Material segment, revenue is generated from manufacturing and selling petrochemicals and derivatives, performance polymers and resins (i...

Asahi Kasei Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are improving in a recovery phase: TTM profitability is positive with faster revenue growth (19.7%) and higher net margin (~5.2%). Balance sheet leverage looks manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.59) with ROE recovering (~8.3%). Offsetting this, results and cash flows have been volatile across years and cash conversion is only moderate (FCF ~44% of net income; prior period FCF volatility).
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.04T3.04T2.78T2.73T2.46T2.11T
Gross Profit987.50B908.86B849.21B804.77B796.97B708.93B
EBITDA418.01B398.03B322.94B305.00B350.77B305.08B
Net Income157.13B135.00B43.81B-91.95B161.88B79.77B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.16T4.02T3.66T3.45T3.35T2.92T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments440.89B393.47B338.11B251.18B244.64B221.78B
Total Debt1.14T1.20T955.56B974.75B777.22B663.78B
Total Liabilities2.08T2.10T1.81T1.76T1.63T1.42T
Stockholders Equity2.00T1.86T1.81T1.66T1.69T1.47T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow133.90B99.81B147.59B-61.17B41.02B120.33B
Operating Cash Flow306.94B301.49B295.30B90.80B183.27B253.68B
Investing Cash Flow-53.70B-364.84B-142.60B-212.09B-221.02B-157.75B
Financing Cash Flow-183.47B128.25B-94.33B110.28B42.32B-95.87B

Asahi Kasei Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1206.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1629.67
Positive
100DMA
1497.15
Positive
200DMA
1301.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.67
Negative
RSI
54.81
Neutral
STOCH
88.18
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3407, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1206.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1560.30, below the 50-day MA of 1629.67, and below the 200-day MA of 1301.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -4.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.18 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3407.

Asahi Kasei Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
¥12.94T18.0411.19%2.17%3.77%0.35%
68
Neutral
¥2.22T8.678.29%2.89%3.55%95.65%
66
Neutral
¥753.84B10.744.79%4.21%-1.21%-27.21%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
¥868.83B3.838.79%2.68%-1.64%
58
Neutral
¥2.43T40.664.42%1.00%-1.90%-71.97%
55
Neutral
¥1.30T-66.091.09%3.50%-11.50%25.86%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3407
Asahi Kasei
1,611.00
681.79
73.37%
JP:4188
Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings
976.80
345.77
54.80%
JP:4063
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co
6,662.00
2,794.22
72.24%
JP:4004
Resonac Holdings Corporation
13,300.00
10,728.51
417.21%
JP:4005
Sumitomo Chemical Co
522.80
218.34
71.71%
JP:4042
Tosoh
2,378.00
506.84
27.09%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026