Toagosei Co (4045) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥180.51B
• Dividend Yield: 3.8%
• Average Volume (3M): 251.23K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 19.8
• Beta (1Y): 0.56
• Revenue Growth: -1.50%
• EPS Growth: -32.46%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 2,609
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Chemicals
• EPS (TTM): 21.23
• Shares Outstanding: 108,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 169,920
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 251,233
• PEG Ratio: 8.37
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.81
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.03
• P/FCF Ratio: -92.58
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 74 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥1,687.00 ▼(-0.50% Downside)

Toagosei Co's overall stock score is driven primarily by its solid financial performance and reasonable valuation. The company's strong revenue growth and operational efficiency are offset by challenges in managing free cash flow. The stock's technical indicators suggest a lack of strong momentum, but its valuation and dividend yield provide a compelling case for investors seeking stable returns.

Toagosei Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Toagosei Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells chemical products in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Commodity Chemicals, Polymer & Oligomer, Adhesive Material, Performance Chemicals, and Plastics segment. It offers inorganic products, including liquid caustic soda, liquid chlorine, synthetic hydrochloric acid, sodium hypochlorite, caustic and super potash, sulfuric acid, sodium sulfite, potassium pyrophosphate, and copper oxide, as well as iron (III) chloride, copper pyrophosphate, and copper potassium pyrophosphate solutions; organic products, such as trichlorethylene and tetrachlorethylene; and ammonium sulfate and potassium bicarbonate fertilizers. The company also provides acrylic monomers, such as dispersants, thickeners, scale inhibitors, pressure sensitive adhesives, binders, paint vehicles, and gelling agents; special polymers; solvent-free acrylic polymers; special acrylic monomers; polymer flocculants; and UV-curable resins. Further, the company provides instant glues and functional adhesives; inorganic chemicals, such as liquid hydrogen chloride, EL sulfuric acid, and hexachlorodisilane, as well as potassium hydroxide and carbonate aqueous solutions; and inorganic functional materials, including electronic materials and amenity care materials. Additionally, it offers piping equipment and nursing care products, elastomer compounds, environmental related products, etc.; and products for the construction and civil engineering. The company was founded in 1933 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Toagosei generates revenue primarily through the sale of industrial gases and chemical materials. Its revenue model is based on direct sales to manufacturing companies, research institutions, and various industrial sectors. Key revenue streams include the provision of specialty gases for semiconductor manufacturing, which is a growing market due to the increasing demand for electronics. Additionally, Toagosei has established significant partnerships with major players in the automotive and electronics industries, enhancing its market presence and driving sales. The company's focus on innovation and the development of new chemical products also contributes to its earnings, as it allows Toagosei to meet the evolving needs of its customers.

Toagosei Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Toagosei Co demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, supported by a stable balance sheet with low leverage. Despite robust operating cash flow, the negative free cash flow in 2024 suggests potential challenges in capital expenditure management. Overall, the company is in a solid financial position but should focus on improving net margins and managing free cash flow effectively.

Income Statement

Toagosei Co exhibits consistent revenue growth, with a 5.15% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin for 2024 is 27.27%, indicating strong profitability. However, net profit margin slightly decreased to 7.08% in 2024 from 7.64% in 2023, reflecting some pressure on net income. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain solid at 8.49% and 15.24% respectively, showcasing efficient operations.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a robust balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06, highlighting financial stability. The equity ratio is high at 76.44%, indicating strong equity financing. Return on equity is modest at 5.58%, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns from shareholders' equity.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.70, indicating solid cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow has turned negative in 2024, showing a decline in cash available after capital expenditures. This could signal potential cash flow management issues that need addressing.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	166.37B	167.59B	159.37B	160.82B	156.31B	133.39B
Gross Profit	45.96B	45.71B	41.37B	42.93B	45.34B	38.06B
EBITDA	27.20B	25.54B	27.88B	27.87B	29.52B	22.18B
Net Income	10.55B	11.88B	12.18B	12.49B	13.77B	8.14B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	269.84B	278.02B	272.29B	265.13B	258.95B	241.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	31.62B	41.82B	56.11B	58.37B	75.46B	73.56B
Total Debt	11.01B	12.30B	12.35B	12.38B	11.49B	11.78B
Total Liabilities	59.19B	64.35B	59.77B	54.33B	52.34B	44.19B
Stockholders Equity	209.55B	212.59B	211.51B	205.97B	201.76B	192.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-1.86B	9.98B	-9.31B	9.70B	6.19B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	20.18B	21.64B	10.99B	21.22B	20.67B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-13.59B	-3.53B	-3.58B	-10.24B	-11.36B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-14.51B	-15.52B	-9.46B	-8.64B	-8.49B

Toagosei Co Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 1695.50
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4045, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1695.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1628.43, above the 50-day MA of 1574.91, and above the 200-day MA of 1446.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 32.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.33 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4045.

Toagosei Co Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
4368	76 Outperform	¥226.62B	17.58	―	1.23%	8.80%	33.39%
4041	74 Outperform	¥204.93B	13.04	―	4.09%	1.69%	0.94%
4045	74 Outperform	¥180.51B	19.83	4.41%	3.80%	-1.50%	-32.46%
4272	73 Outperform	¥271.95B	11.77	8.79%	3.97%	6.60%	503.36%
4114	71 Outperform	¥313.65B	19.80	―	5.28%	-0.47%	25.41%
4061	64 Neutral	¥253.01B	-21.50	-4.00%	3.71%	0.24%	-234.36%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%

Toagosei Co Corporate Events

Toagosei Co., Ltd. Cancels Treasury Stock to Boost Efficiency

Toagosei Co., Ltd. has announced its decision to cancel a significant portion of its treasury stock, specifically 5,000,000 common shares, making up 4.42% of total shares before cancellation. This move, scheduled for December 25, 2025, highlights the company’s ongoing efforts to optimize its capital structure and could impact shareholder value positively, reflecting strategic adjustments to enhance financial operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4045) stock is a Buy with a Yen1687.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toagosei Co stock, see the JP:4045 Stock Forecast page.

Toagosei Co. Announces Strategic Organizational Changes for 2026

Toagosei Co., Ltd. announced significant organizational changes effective January 1, 2026, aimed at enhancing innovation and operational efficiency under its Medium-Term Management Plan. The company plans to strengthen its chemical substance management and develop innovative production processes to introduce new products swiftly and increase profits. These changes include the establishment of new sections for managing chemical substances and developing next-generation operation models, as well as changes in the company’s leadership to support these strategic goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4045) stock is a Buy with a Yen1687.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toagosei Co stock, see the JP:4045 Stock Forecast page.

Toagosei Co., Ltd. Reports Financial Decline but Expands Operations

Toagosei Co., Ltd. reported a decline in its financial performance for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, with net sales and profits decreasing compared to the previous year. Despite the downturn, the company maintained its dividend forecast and expanded its consolidation scope by including a new subsidiary in India, indicating a strategic move to enhance its market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4045) stock is a Buy with a Yen1687.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toagosei Co stock, see the JP:4045 Stock Forecast page.

Toagosei Revises Q3 2025 Financial Results

Toagosei Co., Ltd. has identified a misstatement in its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025 and has issued a partial revision. The operating income rate of change was corrected from a negative 4.3% to a positive 4.3%, which may impact stakeholders’ perception of the company’s financial health.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4045) stock is a Buy with a Yen1687.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toagosei Co stock, see the JP:4045 Stock Forecast page.

Toagosei Co., Ltd. Reports Decline in Financial Performance for Nine Months Ending September 2025

Toagosei Co., Ltd. reported a decline in its financial performance for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, with net sales, operating income, and net income attributable to owners of the parent all showing decreases compared to the previous year. Despite the challenging financial results, the company has maintained its dividend forecast and included a new subsidiary, Toagosei Chemical India Pvt. Ltd., in its consolidation scope, indicating a strategic focus on international expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4045) stock is a Buy with a Yen1687.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toagosei Co stock, see the JP:4045 Stock Forecast page.

Toagosei Co. Introduces Shareholder Benefit Program

Toagosei Co., Ltd. has announced the introduction of a shareholder benefit program aimed at rewarding long-term shareholders and encouraging sustained investment. Eligible shareholders will receive products such as Aron Alpha and gift catalogues or QUO cards, depending on the number of shares held and the duration of their investment. This initiative is designed to deepen shareholder engagement and promote community-based contributions.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4045) stock is a Buy with a Yen1687.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toagosei Co stock, see the JP:4045 Stock Forecast page.