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Toagosei Co
(4045)
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Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,071.00
▲(17.10% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is driven primarily by solid overall financial quality led by a strong, low-leverage balance sheet, offset by weak recent free cash flow conversion. Technicals add support with a clear uptrend and positive momentum. Valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and an attractive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
A very low debt-to-equity profile and steadily growing equity provide durable financial flexibility. This conservative capital structure reduces refinancing risk, supports investment or working-capital needs through cycles, and preserves strategic optionality for the next 2–6 months and beyond.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow conversion
Repeated negative free cash flow despite steady operating cash suggests elevated capex or working-capital absorption that weakens cash conversion. This limits internally funded growth or discretionary returns and increases reliance on the balance sheet for flexibility unless conversion improves.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
A very low debt-to-equity profile and steadily growing equity provide durable financial flexibility. This conservative capital structure reduces refinancing risk, supports investment or working-capital needs through cycles, and preserves strategic optionality for the next 2–6 months and beyond.
Read all positive factors
Toagosei Co (4045) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥191.21B
Dividend Yield3.81%
Average Volume (3M)251.23K
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.7
Beta (1Y)0.60
Revenue Growth-1.20%
EPS Growth28.94%
CountryJP
Employees2,680
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryChemicals - Specialty
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)122.04
Shares Outstanding108,000,000
10 Day Avg. Volume169,920
30 Day Avg. Volume251,233
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.18
Price to Book (P/B)0.83
Price to Sales (P/S)1.10
P/FCF Ratio-31.52
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)112.8
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥166.50B
Toagosei Co Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Toagosei Co., Ltd. Manufactures and sells chemical products. The company operates through Core Chemicals Business, Polymer/Oligomer Business, Adhesive Materials Business, High-performance Materials Business, Resin Processed Products Business, and ...
How the Company Makes Money
Toagosei makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling chemical products and materials to industrial customers. Revenue is generated from (1) sales of acrylic-related products (e.g., acrylic monomers and/or acrylic-based intermediates/materia...
Toagosei Co Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 164.37B | 162.31B | 167.59B | 159.37B | 160.82B | 156.31B |
| Gross Profit | 49.48B | 47.13B | 45.71B | 41.37B | 42.93B | 45.34B |
| EBITDA | 30.20B | 29.24B | 28.01B | 27.88B | 27.87B | 29.52B |
| Net Income | 13.07B | 12.77B | 11.88B | 12.18B | 12.49B | 13.77B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 296.71B | 289.11B | 278.02B | 272.29B | 265.13B | 258.95B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 22.02B | 31.52B | 41.82B | 56.11B | 58.37B | 75.46B |
| Total Debt | 20.57B | 21.81B | 12.30B | 12.35B | 12.38B | 11.49B |
| Total Liabilities | 75.71B | 73.16B | 64.35B | 59.76B | 54.33B | 52.34B |
| Stockholders Equity | 219.80B | 214.81B | 212.59B | 211.51B | 205.97B | 201.76B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | -5.68B | -1.86B | 9.98B | -9.31B | 9.70B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 22.29B | 20.18B | 21.64B | 10.99B | 21.22B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -29.64B | -13.59B | -3.53B | -3.58B | -10.24B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -4.50B | -14.51B | -15.52B | -9.46B | -8.64B |
Toagosei Co Technical Analysis
Positive
1768.50
Price Trends
1743.30
Positive
1725.34
Positive
1674.03
Positive
Market Momentum
26.99
Negative
69.42
Neutral
86.01
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4045, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1768.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1773.95, above the 50-day MA of 1743.30, and above the 200-day MA of 1674.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 26.99 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4045.
Toagosei Co Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | ¥191.21B | 14.72 | 6.41% | 3.82% | -1.20% | 28.94% | |
70 Outperform | ¥208.41B | 11.38 | ― | 4.09% | -2.00% | 23.67% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
61 Neutral | ¥321.70B | 19.18 | ― | 5.28% | -2.31% | -1.30% | |
60 Neutral | ¥554.09B | 152.07 | 0.44% | 2.91% | -1.80% | -85.21% | |
57 Neutral | ¥862.51B | 20.48 | 5.11% | 3.52% | -4.09% | -26.93% | |
56 Neutral | ¥295.58B | 18.84 | 5.26% | 3.71% | -4.00% | ― |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
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Toagosei Co Corporate Events
Toagosei Raises 2026 Earnings Outlook and Boosts Dividends on Strong Semiconductor Demand
Jul 31, 2026
Toagosei has raised its full-year consolidated earnings forecast for the year ending December 31, 2026, after stronger-than-expected first-half performance. The upgrade reflects robust sales of semiconductor-related products, higher volumes in its...
Toagosei Delivers Higher First-Half Profits and Lifts Dividend, Updates 2026 Guidance
Jul 31, 2026
Toagosei Co., Ltd. reported consolidated net sales of ¥82.4 billion for the six months ended June 30, 2026, a 2.6% year-on-year increase, with operating income up 12.7% and ordinary profit up 14.4%. Net income attributable to owners of the pa...
Toagosei Completes ¥3 Billion Share Buyback Program
Jul 10, 2026
Toagosei Co., Ltd. has completed a scheduled acquisition of its own common shares, buying 166,800 shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between July 1 and 9, 2026 for a total of ¥293,405,900. This latest purchase forms part of a broader buyback ...
Toagosei Nears Completion of ¥3 Billion Share Buyback Program
Jul 1, 2026
Toagosei Co., Ltd. has disclosed the progress of its share buyback program for June, reporting the acquisition of 249,000 common shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange at a total cost of about 429.9 million yen. The purchases form part of a previously...
Toagosei Advances Share Buyback Program With May Treasury Purchases
Jun 1, 2026
Toagosei Co., Ltd., a Japanese chemical maker listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, produces industrial chemicals and materials for a wide range of manufacturing clients, and actively manages its capital structure through share repurchases. The comp...
Toagosei Completes Treasury Share Disposal for Restricted Stock Compensation
May 20, 2026
Toagosei Co., Ltd. has completed the payment procedures for the disposal of 76,020 treasury shares as restricted stock compensation to its directors and other key personnel. This transaction, approved by the Board of Directors in April, was execut...
Toagosei Outlines First-Quarter FY2026 Financial Performance
May 13, 2026
Toagosei Co. released its financial results outline for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, covering an overview of performance, changes in operating income, and consolidated results by segment. The materials indicate that management is providing a ...
Toagosei posts solid Q1 profit jump, ups 2026 dividend outlook
May 13, 2026
Toagosei reported consolidated net sales of ¥38.6 billion for the three months ended March 31, 2026, down 3.0% year on year, with operating income slipping 4.7% to ¥3.2 billion, while ordinary profit was flat and net income attributable ...
Toagosei Pauses April Buybacks but Continues 2026 Share Repurchase Program
May 7, 2026
Toagosei Co., Ltd. reported that it did not acquire any of its own shares in April 2026, despite having board authorization to conduct a buyback program. The authorized program allows for the repurchase of up to 2 million shares, or 1.86% of outst...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.