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Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. (JP:4041)
:4041
Japanese Market
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Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. (4041) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4041

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd.

(4041)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥4,026.00
▲(11.22% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven primarily by solid profitability and manageable leverage but tempered by uneven revenue and volatile cash generation. Valuation is a key positive (low P/E and strong dividend yield), while technical signals are broadly neutral and do not materially lift the score.
Positive Factors
Sustained margin profile
Consistently healthy gross and operating margins indicate durable product-level profitability and pricing power across cycles. Stable margins support reinvestment in R&D and capex, help sustain dividends and buffer profit volatility when revenue fluctuates, strengthening long-term operating resilience.
Negative Factors
Uneven revenue trajectory
Irregular top-line performance complicates capacity planning and erodes predictability of earnings growth. Persistent revenue swings can limit the payoff from fixed-cost leverage in manufacturing, strain customer scheduling and make long-term investment decisions and forecasting more difficult.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained margin profile
Consistently healthy gross and operating margins indicate durable product-level profitability and pricing power across cycles. Stable margins support reinvestment in R&D and capex, help sustain dividends and buffer profit volatility when revenue fluctuates, strengthening long-term operating resilience.
Read all positive factors

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. (4041) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. develops, produces, processes, imports, markets, sells, and exports chemicals, agrochemicals, and other products in Japan and internationally. The company offers agrochemicals, including fungicides, insecticides, acaricides, ...
How the Company Makes Money
Nippon Soda generates revenue primarily through the manufacture and sale of chemical products. Key revenue streams include: (1) Agrochemicals: sales of crop protection products (e.g., insecticides, fungicides, herbicides) and related formulations ...

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid profitability (gross margin high-20% range; operating margin low-to-mid teens; net margin ~8%–11% in 2022–2025) and a generally healthy balance sheet with manageable leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.19–0.27). The score is held back by uneven revenue trends (decline in 2024, slight rebound in 2025, slip in 2026 annual) and volatile cash flow, including a negative free-cash-flow year and only modest profit-to-FCF conversion even in positive years.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue155.64B152.09B155.20B154.43B172.81B152.54B
Gross Profit45.45B45.00B44.94B42.70B49.28B42.11B
EBITDA27.31B23.15B28.55B29.49B33.62B26.34B
Net Income13.89B18.27B15.01B16.61B16.69B12.68B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets289.67B307.31B288.10B290.49B251.35B245.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.51B24.63B22.24B22.21B18.51B17.95B
Total Debt58.26B52.27B50.30B48.99B32.38B39.91B
Total Liabilities101.52B101.21B99.99B101.02B80.39B87.28B
Stockholders Equity186.86B204.78B186.78B188.05B169.26B155.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.008.43B3.58B-5.20B3.21B2.91B
Operating Cash Flow0.0021.59B22.64B5.73B15.59B14.54B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-10.80B-17.56B-9.59B-4.86B-11.62B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-11.27B-5.39B6.69B-10.44B-4.80B

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3620.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3615.38
Positive
100DMA
3682.28
Negative
200DMA
3525.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-10.78
Negative
RSI
52.72
Neutral
STOCH
78.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4041, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3620 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3614.00, above the 50-day MA of 3615.38, and above the 200-day MA of 3525.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -10.78 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4041.

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥1.01T20.3919.69%3.15%11.23%17.64%
70
Outperform
¥198.09B10.744.09%-2.00%23.48%
70
Outperform
¥312.29B12.988.05%3.97%8.66%49.77%
64
Neutral
¥875.08B20.614.79%4.21%-4.09%-27.31%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
¥307.69B18.035.28%-2.31%-1.17%
56
Neutral
¥385.81B24.59-4.00%3.71%-4.00%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4041
Nippon Soda Co., Ltd.
3,645.00
764.88
26.56%
JP:4061
Denka Co
4,477.00
2,523.84
129.22%
JP:4021
Nissan Chemical
7,509.00
3,418.55
83.57%
JP:4272
Nippon Kayaku Co
2,132.50
874.21
69.48%
JP:4042
Tosoh
2,750.00
730.41
36.17%
JP:4114
Nippon Shokubai Co., Ltd.
2,064.00
491.21
31.23%

Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Nippon Soda Launches Next Phase of Medium-Term Plan “Brilliance through Chemistry Stage III”
May 14, 2026
Nippon Soda has outlined its new medium-term business plan, “Brilliance through Chemistry Stage III,” covering the period from the fiscal year ending March 2027 to the fiscal year ending March 2030. This plan follows the completion and...
Nippon Soda to Dispose of Treasury Shares for Expanded Employee Stock Plan
May 14, 2026
Nippon Soda has approved the disposal of 250,000 treasury shares, or about 0.45% of its outstanding stock, by selling them for ¥3,700 per share to a trust account managed by Custody Bank of Japan. The ¥925 million transaction supports an...
Nippon Soda Hikes Year-End Dividend on Record Profit, Lifts Annual Payout to ¥160
May 14, 2026
Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. has revised its dividend forecast for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, announcing a higher year-end dividend as business performance surpassed expectations and profit attributable to owners of parent reached a record hig...
Nippon Soda Outlines FY2026 Results and FY2027 Outlook Amid Geopolitical Risks
May 14, 2026
Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. released an outline of its financial results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, covering overall performance, segment results for chemical materials and agri business, and details on non-operating items, balance sheet,...
Nippon Soda Lifts Dividend as Profit Jumps but Guides for Weaker FY2027
May 14, 2026
Nippon Soda reported fiscal year 2026 consolidated net sales of ¥152.1 billion, down 2.0% year on year, while operating profit fell 6.8% to ¥15.0 billion, but ordinary profit rose 17.7% and profit attributable to owners of the parent cli...
Nippon Soda Cancels 2.63% of Shares to Tighten Capital Base
Apr 1, 2026
Nippon Soda has completed the cancellation of 1,493,200 common treasury shares, equivalent to 2.63% of its issued shares prior to the cancellation, following a board resolution adopted on March 6, 2026. Effective March 31, 2026, the move reduces t...
Nippon Soda Tightens Employee Stock Plan With Restricted Shares
Mar 6, 2026
Nippon Soda has approved a revision of its employee stock ownership scheme, converting its existing J-ESOP introduced in 2024 into a J-ESOP-RS plan that adds transfer restrictions to shares granted to employees. Under the new structure, shares and...
Nippon Soda to Cancel 2.63% of Shares in Capital Efficiency Move
Mar 6, 2026
Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. has resolved at a Board of Directors meeting to cancel 1,493,200 common treasury shares, representing 2.63% of its issued shares prior to the transaction. Following the cancellation, scheduled for March 31, 2026, the company ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026