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Denka Co Ltd (JP:4061)
:4061

Denka Co (4061) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4061

Denka Co

(4061)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,863.00
▲(40.60% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance—net losses and negative, deteriorating free cash flow—despite a reasonably stable balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with a strong uptrend and positive MACD, but overbought RSI/Stoch readings temper the outlook. Valuation is also limited by negative earnings, with only moderate support from the 2.72% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified end-market exposure
Denka's exposure across electronics, mobility, construction, packaging and healthcare creates durable demand diversification. Multiple end markets reduce single-sector cyclicality and support steady order flows for specialty materials, helping revenue resilience even if one market softens over a 2-6 month horizon.
Manageable balance sheet leverage
A moderate debt-to-equity (0.74) and equity ratio near 45% provide financial flexibility to fund working capital and targeted capex without extreme leverage risk. This structural stability supports investment and operational continuity through business cycles over the coming months.
Specialty product focus and B2B customer relationships
The company's emphasis on higher value-added specialty materials and B2B sales creates durable competitive advantages: product qualification barriers, technical switching costs, and closer customer ties. These factors sustain pricing power and recurring revenues across quarters.
Negative Factors
Deteriorating free cash flow
Worsening negative free cash flow undermines the firm's ability to self-fund capex, service debt, and sustain dividends. Over several months this reduces optionality for strategic investments or buffer for cyclical downturns, increasing reliance on external financing or cost cuts.
Negative net income and thin operating margins
A decline in revenue coupled with negative net income and a low EBIT margin signals weakened profitability. Persistent margin pressure limits reinvestment, reduces ability to absorb input-cost shocks, and harms long-run competitive positioning unless structural margin improvement occurs.
Severe EPS deterioration and negative returns
A sharp EPS decline and negative ROE reflect earnings stress and capital inefficiency. Over months this erodes stakeholder confidence, constrains management flexibility on strategic initiatives, and may force operational restructuring to restore returns to acceptable levels.

Denka Co (4061) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Denka Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDenka Company Limited manufactures and sells organic and inorganic materials to electronic materials and pharmaceuticals in Japan and internationally. The company's Electronics & Innovative Products division provides conductive agents for lithium for lithium-ion batteries, thermal materials and substrates, functional ceramics, films, and tapes. Its Life Innovation division supplies influenza vaccines; manufactures rapid diagnostic testing kits for detecting antigens of infectious diseases, such as the novel coronavirus; and delivers macromolecular sodium hyaluronate preparations. The company's Elastomers & Infrastructure Solutions division include functional elastomers, cement and special cement additives, fertilizers, agricultural corrugated pipes. Its Polymer Solutions division consist of styrene-based resins, food packaging sheets, and synthetic fiber for wigs and hairpieces, as well as poval and other chemical products. The company was formerly known as Denki Kagaku Kogyo Kabushiki Kaisha and changed its name to Denka Company Limited in October 2015. Denka Company Limited was incorporated in 1915 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyDenka generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by manufacturing and selling chemical products, including elastomers, resins, and specialty chemicals. The company serves various industries, which allows it to leverage diverse market demands. Denka also focuses on high-value-added products, such as those used in electronics and healthcare, which typically yield higher profit margins. Strategic partnerships with other companies in the chemical and technology sectors enhance its product offerings and market reach. Additionally, Denka's commitment to research and development helps it innovate and introduce new products that meet emerging market needs, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Denka Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: revenue declined (-1.8%) and profitability weakened with negative net income and a low EBIT margin (3.6%). Balance sheet leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity 0.74; equity ratio 45.2%), but negative ROE and deteriorating, negative free cash flow are key risks.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Denka Co's revenue showed a slight decline in the past year with a -1.8% growth rate. The gross profit margin for 2025 is 21.1%, indicating moderate profitability. However, a significant concern is the negative net income in 2025, resulting in a negative net profit margin. The EBIT margin is 3.6%, reflecting a decline in operational efficiency compared to previous years. Overall, the income statement reflects challenges in maintaining profitability amidst revenue fluctuations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reveals a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74, which is manageable but indicates a certain level of leverage. The return on equity has turned negative due to net losses, posing concerns about shareholder returns. The equity ratio is 45.2%, suggesting a stable capital structure with a fair balance of equity and liabilities. Despite some stability in the equity ratio, the recent financial performance has impacted overall equity returns.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Denka Co's cash flow statement shows negative free cash flow, which has deteriorated significantly from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to the net loss, indicating challenges in converting profits into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio further highlights cash flow issues. Overall, the cash flow statement raises concerns about liquidity and cash management.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue399.09B400.25B389.26B407.56B384.85B354.39B
Gross Profit82.56B84.59B82.50B102.34B107.17B100.19B
EBITDA45.68B12.87B43.09B42.79B59.44B52.78B
Net Income-9.55B-12.30B11.95B12.77B26.01B22.79B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets650.89B655.52B616.24B592.15B557.64B526.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.55B37.00B35.39B20.20B20.21B25.91B
Total Debt222.64B217.68B174.37B169.73B137.03B138.19B
Total Liabilities339.72B347.22B299.33B291.80B265.55B255.99B
Stockholders Equity293.44B296.18B307.54B296.48B288.47B267.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-41.21B-8.42B-30.89B4.68B3.12B
Operating Cash Flow0.0018.62B36.26B8.95B42.63B40.61B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-59.59B-22.57B-28.27B-36.84B-36.98B
Financing Cash Flow0.0040.12B712.00M18.36B-12.34B-6.71B

Denka Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2747.50
Price Trends
50DMA
3016.92
Positive
100DMA
2728.58
Positive
200DMA
2403.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
134.12
Negative
RSI
81.81
Negative
STOCH
92.08
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4061, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2747.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3184.17, below the 50-day MA of 3016.92, and above the 200-day MA of 2403.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 134.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.81 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.08 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4061.

Denka Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥12.17T24.1010.87%2.17%3.77%0.35%
69
Neutral
¥379.32B21.495.28%-0.47%25.41%
68
Neutral
¥868.55B25.354.79%4.21%-1.21%-27.21%
66
Neutral
¥1.54T17.551.09%3.50%-11.50%25.86%
65
Neutral
¥932.85B9.588.79%2.68%-1.64%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
¥317.04B-33.94-4.00%3.71%0.24%-234.36%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4061
Denka Co
3,679.00
1,695.49
85.48%
JP:4188
Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings
1,160.50
419.28
56.57%
JP:4063
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co
6,168.00
1,723.90
38.79%
JP:4005
Sumitomo Chemical Co
569.70
219.86
62.84%
JP:4042
Tosoh
2,729.50
740.78
37.25%
JP:4114
Nippon Shokubai Co., Ltd.
2,544.50
817.12
47.30%

Denka Co Corporate Events

Denka Weighs 2027 Spin-off of Styrene Business to Sharpen Portfolio
Feb 27, 2026

Denka has begun formally reviewing a potential spin-off of its styrene-related businesses within the Polymer Solutions Division, targeting completion around April 2027, as part of its Mission 2030 portfolio transformation. The move reflects mounting pressures from global overcapacity, weaker pricing power, rising carbon-cost burdens, and high fixed costs that have undermined profitability in this capital-intensive segment.

By separating the styrene operations, Denka aims to give the unit greater independence, improve agility in decision-making, strengthen its earnings structure, and open the door to strategic options such as industry collaboration and capital alliances. Management stresses the review is a proactive step to enhance business value rather than a mere downsizing, with the ultimate goal of securing sustainable competitiveness and enabling future growth investments in the spun-off entity.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4061) stock is a Hold with a Yen3565.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Denka Co stock, see the JP:4061 Stock Forecast page.

Denka Revamps Mission 2030 Plan to Rebuild Earnings and Enter New Growth Phase
Feb 27, 2026

Denka has updated its Mission 2030 management plan with a Phase 2 program covering fiscal years 2026 to 2028, following an expected recovery to ¥25 billion in operating income and at least 5% ROE in fiscal 2025. The revised plan targets rebuilding earning power, aiming for record operating income and an 8% ROE by strengthening ICT and energy and healthcare businesses, reshaping sustainable living into cash-generative operations, resolving the DPE issue while limiting financial damage, and tightly selecting investments to restore its balance sheet.

Management also plans to expand existing businesses through 2030 under a so-called Trickle Out Strategy while planting seeds for at least 10 new initiatives for the period beyond 2030. By pursuing a growth model that balances differently paced ICT, energy, and healthcare segments, Denka aims to secure sustainable, distinctive growth and reinforce its role in providing solutions to social issues, signaling to stakeholders a shift into a new growth stage under a stronger execution-focused regime.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4061) stock is a Hold with a Yen3565.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Denka Co stock, see the JP:4061 Stock Forecast page.

Denka pivots “Mission 2030” to earnings rebuild with Phase 2 plan
Feb 27, 2026

Denka has launched Phase 2 of its “Mission 2030” management plan for fiscal years 2026 to 2028, after Phase 1 was hit by slumping demand for electronic materials, weak U.S. chloroprene rubber performance and slower-than-expected payback on EV-related investments, which, alongside higher fixed costs, eroded profitability. The new phase is framed as a rebuilding period focused on restoring earnings power to achieve record operating income and an 8% ROE, while tightening financial discipline, recasting business units as growth drivers, stable earners or cash cows, and prioritizing strategic expansion, capital efficiency and returns on past investments to underpin a future portfolio centered on ICT & Energy and Healthcare, with Sustainable Living reshaped around “winning” cash-generative businesses.

Non-financial targets remain central to Mission 2030, with Denka working toward deep cuts in greenhouse gas emissions from its 2013 baseline, maintaining the build-out of renewable energy capacity and improving workplace safety metrics. The company is also targeting a sharp increase in the share of female managers by 2030, signalling that governance and human capital development are being tied directly to its efforts to reinforce competitiveness and secure sustainable, long-term growth across its chosen megatrend-linked markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4061) stock is a Hold with a Yen3565.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Denka Co stock, see the JP:4061 Stock Forecast page.

Denka Sets Up Flowers Subsidiary for Joint Tender Offer for KAINOS Laboratories
Feb 8, 2026

Denka has set up a wholly owned subsidiary, Flowers Co., Ltd., to launch a tender offer for all common shares of KAINOS Laboratories, Inc., which is listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Standard Market. The vehicle was established in January 2026 to own KAINOS shares and manage its operations, with Denka executive officer Taro Inada serving as representative director.

To finance the transaction, Denka plans to subscribe for common shares in Flowers while Development Bank of Japan will subscribe for non-voting class A shares carrying preferred dividends and a call option. Denka and DBJ intend to conclude an investment agreement and a shareholders’ pact governing the target’s operations and Flowers’ shareholding structure, underscoring a joint investment framework aimed at taking full control of KAINOS through the tender offer.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4061) stock is a Hold with a Yen3332.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Denka Co stock, see the JP:4061 Stock Forecast page.

Denka Books ¥14.2 Billion Extraordinary Loss on U.S. Elastomer Business Liquidation
Feb 6, 2026

Denka Company Limited will book an extraordinary loss of ¥14.2 billion for the first nine months of the fiscal year ending March 2026, stemming from the liquidation of business at its U.S. subsidiary Denka Performance Elastomer LLC, which has decided not to restart production at its chloroprene rubber facilities for an indefinite period. The loss, largely related to write-downs of raw materials, intermediate goods and associated labor and removal costs, is expected to be offset by extraordinary gains from asset sales and other factors, and is already incorporated into Denka’s full-year consolidated earnings forecast, limiting the immediate impact on its overall financial outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4061) stock is a Hold with a Yen3257.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Denka Co stock, see the JP:4061 Stock Forecast page.

Denka Reshapes Executive Lineup and Roles to Strengthen Operations and Innovation
Feb 6, 2026

Denka Company Limited has announced a reshuffle of its executive officer lineup effective April 1, 2026, following a resolution by its Board of Directors. While President and CEO Ikuo Ishida, CFO and CSCO Rimiru Hayashida, and several other senior executives retain their current roles, the company is adjusting responsibilities across key operational areas and promoting Omi Plant head Michio Kawamura to Managing Executive Officer, signaling a reinforcement of its manufacturing and safety leadership. Executive responsibilities are being realigned in technology, production engineering, sustainability promotion, digital strategy, plant management, and new business development, reflecting Denka’s focus on strengthening governance, operational efficiency, and innovation across its production sites and business divisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4061) stock is a Hold with a Yen3257.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Denka Co stock, see the JP:4061 Stock Forecast page.

Denka Advances Shutdown and Cost Controls at U.S. Chloroprene Rubber Unit
Feb 6, 2026

Denka reported on the ongoing suspension of production at Denka Performance Elastomer LLC, its U.S. chloroprene rubber manufacturing subsidiary, detailing the systematic shutdown of facilities and related cost-control measures. The company has completed removal of high-priority materials based on safety assessments, is steadily cleaning equipment and clearing remaining raw materials and intermediates, and is significantly reducing the subsidiary’s workforce from about 250 employees in March 2025 to an anticipated 100 by April 2026, while continuing discussions with relevant stakeholders to minimize future costs and manage the operational and financial impact of the shutdown.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4061) stock is a Hold with a Yen3257.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Denka Co stock, see the JP:4061 Stock Forecast page.

Denka Lifts Profit Outlook as Nine-Month Earnings Surge Despite Lower Sales
Feb 6, 2026

Denka reported consolidated net sales of ¥290.8 billion for the first nine months of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, a 3.6% year-on-year decline, but significantly improved profitability, with operating income up 54.0% to ¥18.2 billion and net income attributable to owners of the parent more than doubling to ¥5.5 billion. The company maintained a solid financial position with total assets of about ¥655.2 billion and an unchanged equity ratio of 45.2%, kept its interim dividend at ¥50 per share, and reaffirmed a full-year dividend forecast of ¥100 per share, while revising its earnings outlook upward to project sharply higher full-year operating and ordinary income despite slightly lower sales, signaling a stronger profit structure and improved earnings efficiency for shareholders and investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4061) stock is a Hold with a Yen3257.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Denka Co stock, see the JP:4061 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026