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SanBio Co Ltd (JP:4592)
:4592

SanBio Co (4592) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4592

SanBio Co

(4592)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,792.00
▼(-19.64% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance (no meaningful revenue, large ongoing losses, and persistent cash burn), alongside a bearish technical setup (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is also constrained by negative earnings and no dividend yield support.
Positive Factors
Proprietary technology platform
Owning a proprietary cell-therapy platform is a durable strategic asset: it creates technical barriers to entry, enables a pipeline across multiple CNS indications, and supports long-term licensing or partnership opportunities that can sustain value even before broad commercialization.
Focused on CNS & stroke indications
Concentration on CNS disorders and stroke targets large, unmet medical needs with high clinical and commercial value. This structural market positioning increases the potential payoff of successful trials and aligns the company with durable demand and specialized payer/regulatory pathways.
Reduced debt / moderate leverage
Lower absolute debt and moderate leverage materially reduce near-term refinancing pressure and interest burden. That structural improvement gives management more runway and strategic flexibility to prioritize R&D or partner deals without immediate debt-service constraints.
Negative Factors
No meaningful revenue
Zero reported revenue across multiple years means the business lacks commercial traction and remains fully pre-revenue. Structurally this forces continued dependence on external capital, raises go-to-market uncertainty, and makes sustainable operations contingent on successful clinical/partnering outcomes.
Persistent cash burn
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow reflects an ongoing financing need; persistent burn increases refinancing and dilution risk. Even with some improvement, structural cash consumption ties corporate viability to capital markets or partner funding over the medium term.
Equity erosion and deep losses
Declining equity and sustained large net losses erode the balance-sheet buffer that absorbs trial setbacks or delays. Structurally this reduces financial resilience, can deter potential partners, and increases the probability of dilutive financing if clinical milestones are missed.

SanBio Co (4592) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SanBio Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSanBio Company Limited develops, produces, and sells regenerative cell medicines for the central nervous system. The company develops SB623 that has completed a phase 2 clinical trial to treat traumatic brain injury in the United States and Japan. Its research pipeline products also comprise SB623 for ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes, age-related macular degeneration, retinitis pigments, spinal cord injury, Parkinson's disease, Alzheimer's disease, and others; SB618 for peripheral nerve damage; SB308 for muscular dystrophy disease; MSC1 for cancer; and MSC2 for inflammatory disease and optic neuritis. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySanBio Co. generates revenue through the development and commercialization of its cell therapy products, primarily targeting neurological conditions. The company's revenue model includes product sales, licensing agreements, and strategic partnerships with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. Key revenue streams are anticipated from successful clinical trials leading to market approval and subsequent commercialization of their proprietary therapies. SanBio also collaborates with research institutions and industry partners to enhance its research and development capabilities, which can lead to milestone payments and royalties once products reach the market.

SanBio Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Very weak fundamentals: revenue is essentially absent (0 reported in recent years) while losses and cash burn remain large and persistent. Balance-sheet leverage is moderate and debt has fallen, but equity has eroded and profitability is far from break-even, leaving continued dependence on external funding.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Revenue is essentially absent in the most recent years (annual reports show total revenue at 0 from 2021–2025), while losses remain very large. Profitability is deeply negative with EBIT and net income consistently in the billions of yen in the red, although the net loss narrowed in 2024–2025 versus 2023. Overall, the income profile reflects a company still in heavy investment mode with limited commercial traction and weak earnings visibility.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Leverage looks moderate in recent years (debt-to-equity around ~0.23 in 2023–2025) and total debt has come down materially from earlier periods, which is a positive. However, equity has also declined sharply over time, and returns to shareholders are strongly negative (return on equity is deeply below zero), consistent with ongoing losses and balance-sheet erosion risk if losses persist.
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
Cash burn is substantial and persistent: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative every year shown, with only partial improvement in 2024–2025 versus 2023. Free cash flow broadly tracks net losses (free cash flow to net income near ~1), indicating limited non-cash addbacks and a business that is consuming cash roughly in line with accounting losses. This raises funding dependence and refinancing/issuance risk unless the burn rate continues to improve.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-8.26M-9.37M-14.50M-24.61M-132.47M-74.45M
EBITDA-4.40B-3.51B-4.53B-4.62B-4.37B-5.73B
Net Income-3.57B-2.88B-2.64B-5.56B-4.68B-3.39B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.22B3.45B5.05B7.05B5.51B13.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.74B2.92B4.45B6.73B4.56B12.48B
Total Debt1.36B397.00M665.00M933.00M2.52B4.00B
Total Liabilities1.93B1.68B2.25B2.62B3.48B4.99B
Stockholders Equity1.29B1.76B2.79B4.43B2.04B8.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-3.61B-4.82B-7.44B-6.60B-5.35B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-3.62B-4.78B-7.43B-6.55B-5.22B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-4.27M-19.03M-10.10M-66.26M4.18B
Financing Cash Flow0.002.09B2.38B9.45B-1.50B-56.57M

SanBio Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2230.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1783.84
Positive
100DMA
2271.71
Negative
200DMA
2433.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
18.57
Negative
RSI
54.46
Neutral
STOCH
40.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4592, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2230 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1856.75, above the 50-day MA of 1783.84, and below the 200-day MA of 2433.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 18.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4592.

SanBio Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
¥199.61B-34.18-10.16%-62.47%-134.06%
47
Neutral
¥139.76B-170.07-1.81%13.78%-110.02%
47
Neutral
¥96.69B-15.152.18%-0.16%-802.20%
43
Neutral
¥17.61B-9.2111.34%
42
Neutral
¥148.49B-39.43-636.97%-12.69%
40
Neutral
¥76.92B-12.47-9.05%-1.96%-64.18%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4592
SanBio Co
1,903.00
1,136.00
148.11%
JP:2160
GNI Group
2,510.00
-765.00
-23.36%
JP:4587
Peptidream
1,537.50
-448.00
-22.56%
JP:4565
Sosei Group
850.00
-95.00
-10.05%
JP:4599
StemRIM Inc.
281.00
-32.00
-10.22%
JP:4974
Takara Bio Inc.
803.00
-180.33
-18.34%

SanBio Co Corporate Events

SanBio Finalizes Employee Stock Option Terms for 75,000 Shares
Jan 27, 2026

SanBio has finalized the terms for a new stock option program, approving the issuance of 75,000 share acquisition rights tied to an equal number of common shares at an exercise price of 1,898 yen per share. All of the options will be granted to three employees, underscoring the company’s use of equity-based compensation to align key staff with shareholder interests and support talent retention during its growth phase in the competitive biotech market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4592) stock is a Sell with a Yen1815.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SanBio Co stock, see the JP:4592 Stock Forecast page.

SanBio Issues New Employee Stock Options to Support Long-Term Growth
Jan 9, 2026

SanBio has approved the issuance of its 36th series of share acquisition rights as part of its stock option program, granting up to 75,000 stock options linked to an equal number of common shares to three employees. The program is designed to strengthen employee motivation, support the recruitment and retention of key talent, and align staff incentives with the company’s medium- to long-term performance, thereby reinforcing corporate value and shareholder interests through equity-based compensation.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4592) stock is a Hold with a Yen1651.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SanBio Co stock, see the JP:4592 Stock Forecast page.

SanBio Co. Records Significant Non-Operating Expenses and Deferred Income Taxes
Dec 15, 2025

SanBio Co., Ltd. announced the recording of significant non-operating expenses and deferred income taxes in the third quarter of the fiscal year ending January 31, 2026. The company reported a foreign exchange loss of 395 million yen and a foreign currency translation adjustment of 405 million yen due to exchange rate fluctuations, impacting its financial performance. Additionally, SanBio recognized deferred tax liabilities, leading to deferred income taxes of negative 446 million yen, affecting its earnings performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4592) stock is a Sell with a Yen1010.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SanBio Co stock, see the JP:4592 Stock Forecast page.

SanBio Reports Continued Financial Losses Amid Operational Challenges
Dec 15, 2025

SanBio Company Limited reported its consolidated financial results for the nine months ending October 31, 2025, showing a continued net loss with operating and ordinary income also in negative figures. The company’s financial position weakened compared to the previous period, with a significant decrease in total assets and net assets, reflecting ongoing challenges in its operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4592) stock is a Sell with a Yen1010.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SanBio Co stock, see the JP:4592 Stock Forecast page.

SanBio Gains Approval for AKUUGO Marketing Changes
Dec 9, 2025

SanBio Co., Ltd. announced that the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare in Japan has approved a partial change to the marketing authorization for AKUUGO, a regenerative therapy for brain injuries. This change lifts certain shipment restrictions, allowing the company to proceed with its plans to launch the product following its NHI price listing. The company aims to expand its operations in the U.S. market with a Phase 3 clinical trial for traumatic brain injury and plans to discuss clinical trials for a stroke program in Japan, positioning itself as a leader in regenerative medicine.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4592) stock is a Sell with a Yen1010.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SanBio Co stock, see the JP:4592 Stock Forecast page.

SanBio Co. Announces International Offering to Fund Key Clinical Trials
Nov 6, 2025

SanBio Co., Ltd. has announced the determination of issue price and other details for its new shares through an international offering, aiming to raise approximately 14,202 million yen. The funds will be used primarily for clinical trials and infrastructure development for its AKUUGO® and SB623 programs, enhancing its market position in Japan and the U.S.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4592) stock is a Sell with a Yen1010.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SanBio Co stock, see the JP:4592 Stock Forecast page.

SanBio Co. Announces International Share Offering to Fund Regenerative Medicine Expansion
Nov 6, 2025

SanBio Co., Ltd. announced the issuance of new shares through an international offering to fund the launch and marketing of its product AKUUGO® in Japan and to support clinical trials in the U.S. and Japan. This strategic move aims to enhance the company’s growth and corporate value by establishing necessary infrastructure and expanding its market presence in regenerative medicine.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4592) stock is a Sell with a Yen1010.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SanBio Co stock, see the JP:4592 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025