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Astellas Pharma (JP:4503)
:4503
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Astellas Pharma (4503) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4503

Astellas Pharma

(OTC:4503)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,996.00
▲(1.60% Upside)
Astellas Pharma's strong financial performance is the most significant factor, demonstrating consistent revenue growth and robust cash flow. Technical analysis suggests caution due to overbought conditions, while the valuation indicates a potentially high price relative to earnings. The lack of earnings call and corporate events data means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its market reach and enhance product adoption, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in R&D and strategic initiatives, which is crucial for sustaining competitive advantage.
Profitability
Improved profitability reflects effective cost management and operational efficiency, which can lead to better shareholder returns and reinvestment capabilities.
Negative Factors
Debt Levels
While moderate, the existing leverage could limit financial flexibility if not managed carefully, potentially impacting future investment and growth opportunities.
Equity Utilization
Although improving, the return on equity is relatively low, suggesting that the company may not be fully optimizing its equity base for generating shareholder value.
Operational Efficiency
A low operating cash flow to net income ratio may indicate inefficiencies in converting earnings into cash, which could affect liquidity and operational agility.

Astellas Pharma (4503) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Astellas Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAstellas Pharma Inc. engages in the manufacture, marketing, import, and export of pharmaceuticals worldwide. It provides XTANDI, an androgen receptor signaling inhibitor for prostate cancer; XOSPATA, a FLT3 inhibitor for adult patients with relapsed or refractory acute myeloid leukemia with a FLT3 mutation-positive; PADCEV, a treatment solution for adult patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial cancer; Betanis/Myrbetriq/BETMIGA, a beta-3 adrenergic receptor agonist for the treatment of urgency, urinary frequency, and urge urinary incontinence; Evrenzo, an oral treatment for anemia associated with chronic kidney disease; and Prograf and Advagraf/Graceptor/ASTAGRAF, which are immunosuppressants used to suppress organ rejection following a transplant. The company also offers mirabegron for the treatment of neurogenic detrusor overactivity in pediatric patients; Vesicare for OAB treatment; Eligard to treat prostate cancer; Harnal/Omnic for benign prostatic hyperplasia treatment; and Funguard/MYCAMINE, an antifungal agent. The company has a clinical trial collaboration with Merck & Co., Inc.; CytomX Therapeutics, Inc.; and an agreement with BANDAI NAMCO Entertainment Inc. for the development of smartphone exercise support application. It also has strategic research alliance with Harvard University for the research and development of therapeutics and technologies of mutual interest; research collaboration with Actinium Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to develop targeted radiotherapies using its Antibody Warhead Enabling technology platform, as well as agreement with Zenith Epigenetics Ltd. to evaluate ZEN-3694; and collaboration agreement with Cytokinetics, Incorporated. The company has a strategic collaboration and license agreement with Minovia Therapeutics Ltd. for the research, development, and commercialization of cell therapy programs for diseases caused by mitochondrial dysfunction. Astellas Pharma Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyAstellas Pharma generates revenue primarily through the sale of prescription medications and biologics. The company has a diverse portfolio of products that contribute to its earnings, with key revenue streams coming from high-demand therapies in oncology and urology. Astellas also engages in research and development collaborations and licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical companies, which can provide additional income through upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales of partnered products. Moreover, the company invests in strategic partnerships to enhance its pipeline, further solidifying its revenue base. Astellas' commitment to innovation, driven by significant investments in R&D, allows it to capitalize on market opportunities and address unmet medical needs, thereby sustaining its profitability.

Astellas Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 25, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Astellas Pharma demonstrated strong financial performance with record-breaking revenue and significant growth in Strategic Brands. Successful cost optimization and a positive outlook for FY 2025, including increased dividends and progress in primary focus programs, highlight a positive trajectory. Despite challenges such as the impact of U.S. Medicare Part D redesign and temporary demand issues with IZERVAY, the overall sentiment remains optimistic.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
In FY 2024, Astellas Pharma reported record high revenue of ¥1.912 trillion, a 19.2% increase year-on-year, and core operating profit of ¥392.4 billion, up by 41.7% year-on-year.
Strategic Brands Driving Growth
Sales of Strategic Brands, including PADCEV, IZERVAY, VEOZAH, VYLOY, and XOSPATA, exceeded ¥340 billion, more than doubling with a growth of ¥180 billion or 110% year-on-year.
Cost Optimization Success
Astellas Pharma achieved its cost optimization target of ¥40 billion in FY 2024, improving the SG&A ratio by 3.1 percentage points year-on-year.
Strong Outlook for FY 2025
Astellas expects continued strong momentum in Strategic Brands with projected revenue of ¥1.930 trillion and underlying growth excluding Forex impact expected to be 7%.
Dividend Increase
Astellas increased its dividend per share to ¥78, an increase of ¥4, in anticipation of future profit growth.
Primary Focus Program Progress
ASB-3082 achieved proof of concept (PoC) in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, marking a significant milestone in targeted protein degradation.
Negative Updates
Impact of U.S. Medicare Part D Redesign
The redesign led to a gross-to-net impact on XTANDI sales in the U.S., although volume growth offset some of this impact.
IZERVAY Temporary Demand Slowdown
IZERVAY experienced a temporary demand slowdown due to a complete response letter (CRL) for label update submission, impacting growth.
Tariff and Forex Risks
The company acknowledged potential risks related to tariffs and Forex, although specific impacts were not disclosed.
Company Guidance
During the FY 2024 financial results announcement by Astellas Pharma Inc., several key financial metrics were highlighted, indicating a record year for the company. Revenue reached ¥1.912 trillion, marking a 19.2% increase year-on-year, while core operating profit rose by 41.7% to ¥392.4 billion. The company achieved significant growth in its Strategic Brands, with sales exceeding ¥340 billion, reflecting a growth of ¥180 billion or 110% year-on-year. The core operating profit margin improved by 3.3 percentage points to 20.5%. Astellas also reported substantial cost optimization, achieving a target of ¥40 billion, which improved the SG&A ratio by 3.1 percentage points. The Forex impact positively contributed ¥68.1 billion to revenue and ¥15.1 billion to core operating profit. Looking forward, Astellas forecasts further growth in FY 2025, with expected revenue of ¥1.930 trillion and a core operating profit increase to ¥410 billion, driven by continued expansion in Strategic Brands and ongoing cost optimization efforts.

Astellas Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Astellas Pharma exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, improving profitability, and robust cash flow generation. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage and strong equity, supporting long-term stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Astellas Pharma demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.71% and consistent gross profit margins above 74%. The net profit margin has improved to 4.19% in the TTM, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin shows a significant increase from previous periods, suggesting improved operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio remains stable at 0.60, reflecting moderate leverage. Return on equity has improved to 5.42% in the TTM, indicating better utilization of equity. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Astellas Pharma's free cash flow growth is robust at 26.85% in the TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.22, showing efficient conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.85, reflecting strong cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.94T1.91T1.60T1.52T1.30T1.25T
Gross Profit1.53T1.43T1.31T1.23T1.04T1.00T
EBITDA483.77B248.30B195.34B240.46B241.03B219.83B
Net Income81.57B50.75B17.05B98.71B124.09B120.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.34T3.34T3.57T2.46T2.33T2.27T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments215.40B188.37B335.69B376.84B315.99B326.13B
Total Debt889.49B831.43B1.01T200.01B212.74B278.26B
Total Liabilities1.85T1.83T1.97T948.56B872.09B887.51B
Stockholders Equity1.48T1.51T1.60T1.51T1.46T1.39T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow205.19B164.61B89.98B239.23B181.00B229.40B
Operating Cash Flow241.00B201.61B172.47B327.77B257.44B306.84B
Investing Cash Flow-73.29B-89.42B-845.80B-84.50B-62.41B-81.89B
Financing Cash Flow-260.49B-261.37B614.06B-195.62B-216.30B-229.48B

Astellas Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1964.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1703.22
Positive
100DMA
1614.67
Positive
200DMA
1491.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
88.02
Negative
RSI
77.74
Negative
STOCH
88.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4503, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1964.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1821.87, above the 50-day MA of 1703.22, and above the 200-day MA of 1491.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 88.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.74 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4503.

Astellas Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$13.76T34.6720.99%1.14%6.25%2.62%
76
Outperform
¥2.43T13.7412.22%2.54%4.48%11.08%
74
Outperform
$1.28T25.445.75%3.53%6.79%22.14%
73
Outperform
¥3.57T28.447.97%4.61%13.24%127.88%
70
Outperform
$6.28T22.4616.66%1.64%12.56%14.58%
70
Outperform
$895.85B18.486.03%4.38%4.00%-48.73%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4503
Astellas Pharma
1,966.50
479.58
32.25%
JP:4519
Chugai Pharmaceutical Co
8,426.00
1,990.02
30.92%
JP:4568
Daiichi Sankyo Company
3,808.00
-847.98
-18.21%
JP:4523
Eisai Co
4,895.00
382.39
8.47%
JP:4528
ONO Pharmaceutical Co
2,226.00
574.06
34.75%
JP:4507
Shionogi & Co
2,690.50
627.46
30.41%

Astellas Pharma Corporate Events

Astellas Pharma Revises FY2025 Financial Forecasts Upward
Oct 30, 2025

Astellas Pharma has revised its financial forecasts for FY2025, projecting higher revenues and profits due to the strong performance of its strategic brands, including VYLOY™ for gastric cancer, PADCEV™ for urothelial cancer, and XTANDI™ for prostate cancer. The company’s cost management initiative, Sustainable Margin Transformation, is also expected to positively impact its financial performance, highlighting Astellas’ robust market positioning and strategic growth in the life sciences sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4503) stock is a Buy with a Yen1805.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astellas Pharma stock, see the JP:4503 Stock Forecast page.

Astellas Pharma’s GLEAM Trial Falls Short of Primary Endpoint in Pancreatic Cancer Study
Oct 13, 2025

Astellas Pharma announced that its Phase 2 GLEAM trial, which investigated the combination of zolbetuximab with gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer, did not meet its primary endpoint of overall survival. Despite this setback, Astellas remains committed to advancing its research in pancreatic cancer, recognizing the significant challenges associated with this aggressive disease. The company plans to further evaluate the trial data and continue its efforts to develop innovative treatments, with the financial impact of the trial’s outcome expected to be minor.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4503) stock is a Hold with a Yen1600.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astellas Pharma stock, see the JP:4503 Stock Forecast page.

Astellas Pharma’s IZERVAY Gains Conditional Approval in Japan for Geographic Atrophy
Sep 19, 2025

Astellas Pharma has received conditional approval from the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare for IZERVAY, making it the first approved treatment for suppressing geographic atrophy growth in age-related macular degeneration in Japan. This approval, achieved through an expedited pathway, is expected to significantly impact the treatment landscape for the estimated 100,000 people in Japan affected by this condition, potentially reducing the progression of visual impairment and enhancing patient access to innovative therapies.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4503) stock is a Hold with a Yen1900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astellas Pharma stock, see the JP:4503 Stock Forecast page.

Pfizer and Astellas Announce Breakthrough in Bladder Cancer Treatment
Aug 12, 2025

Pfizer and Astellas Pharma have announced positive results from their Phase 3 EV-303 clinical trial, which evaluated the combination of PADCEV and KEYTRUDA for patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer who are ineligible for cisplatin-based chemotherapy. The trial demonstrated significant improvements in survival rates, marking a potential new standard of care for this patient population and addressing a critical unmet need.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4503) stock is a Hold with a Yen1750.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astellas Pharma stock, see the JP:4503 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025