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Astellas Pharma Inc (JP:4503)
:4503
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Astellas Pharma (4503) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4503

Astellas Pharma

(4503)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,588.00
▲(1.35% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:04/28/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (rebound in profitability and cash flow with steady revenue growth), supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield). These positives are tempered by weak technical momentum (below key short-term moving averages with negative MACD and low RSI/Stoch) and lingering concerns around prior earnings/cash-flow volatility and higher leverage versus earlier periods.
Positive Factors
Stable, accelerating revenue growth
Consistent top-line expansion, with recent acceleration, indicates durable commercial momentum across markets and products. Sustained revenue growth supports R&D reinvestment and commercialization of new launches, reducing reliance on any single product and improving long-term earnings visibility.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage versus prior years
Higher debt levels reduce financial flexibility and raise interest-cost sensitivity if macro conditions change. Elevated leverage can constrain strategic options (M&A, buybacks) and makes the company more vulnerable to cyclical earnings swings, lengthening the path to a conservative balance-sheet posture.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Stable, accelerating revenue growth
Consistent top-line expansion, with recent acceleration, indicates durable commercial momentum across markets and products. Sustained revenue growth supports R&D reinvestment and commercialization of new launches, reducing reliance on any single product and improving long-term earnings visibility.
Read all positive factors

Astellas Pharma (4503) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Astellas Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Astellas Pharma Inc. engages in the manufacture, marketing, import, and export of pharmaceuticals worldwide. It provides XTANDI, an androgen receptor signaling inhibitor for prostate cancer; XOSPATA, a FLT3 inhibitor for adult patients with relaps...
How the Company Makes Money
Astellas makes money primarily by selling prescription pharmaceuticals. Its main revenue stream is net sales of branded drugs to wholesalers, hospitals, pharmacies, and other healthcare channels across major regions (e.g., Japan, the U.S., Europe,...

Astellas Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 25, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Astellas Pharma demonstrated strong financial performance with record-breaking revenue and significant growth in Strategic Brands. Successful cost optimization and a positive outlook for FY 2025, including increased dividends and progress in primary focus programs, highlight a positive trajectory. Despite challenges such as the impact of U.S. Medicare Part D redesign and temporary demand issues with IZERVAY, the overall sentiment remains optimistic.
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
In FY 2024, Astellas Pharma reported record high revenue of ¥1.912 trillion, a 19.2% increase year-on-year, and core operating profit of ¥392.4 billion, up by 41.7% year-on-year.
Negative Updates
Impact of U.S. Medicare Part D Redesign
The redesign led to a gross-to-net impact on XTANDI sales in the U.S., although volume growth offset some of this impact.
Read all updates
Q4-2024 Updates
Negative
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
In FY 2024, Astellas Pharma reported record high revenue of ¥1.912 trillion, a 19.2% increase year-on-year, and core operating profit of ¥392.4 billion, up by 41.7% year-on-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the FY 2024 financial results announcement by Astellas Pharma Inc., several key financial metrics were highlighted, indicating a record year for the company. Revenue reached ¥1.912 trillion, marking a 19.2% increase year-on-year, while core operating profit rose by 41.7% to ¥392.4 billion. The company achieved significant growth in its Strategic Brands, with sales exceeding ¥340 billion, reflecting a growth of ¥180 billion or 110% year-on-year. The core operating profit margin improved by 3.3 percentage points to 20.5%. Astellas also reported substantial cost optimization, achieving a target of ¥40 billion, which improved the SG&A ratio by 3.1 percentage points. The Forex impact positively contributed ¥68.1 billion to revenue and ¥15.1 billion to core operating profit. Looking forward, Astellas forecasts further growth in FY 2025, with expected revenue of ¥1.930 trillion and a core operating profit increase to ¥410 billion, driven by continued expansion in Strategic Brands and ongoing cost optimization efforts.

Astellas Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Improving fundamentals led by steady revenue growth and a sharp rebound in operating profit and cash generation in the latest year. Offsetting this, net income and cash flow showed notable volatility in 2024–2025, and leverage remains higher than the earlier low-debt profile.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.14T1.91T1.60T1.52T1.30T
Gross Profit1.59T1.56T1.31T1.23T1.04T
EBITDA614.29B462.67B282.45B337.39B297.83B
Net Income291.54B50.75B17.05B98.71B124.09B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.57T3.34T3.57T2.46T2.33T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments281.61B188.37B335.69B376.84B315.99B
Total Debt565.95B937.09B1.01T200.01B212.74B
Total Liabilities1.74T1.83T1.97T948.56B872.09B
Stockholders Equity1.83T1.51T1.60T1.51T1.46T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow508.53B164.61B143.27B295.88B227.42B
Operating Cash Flow566.25B201.61B181.32B332.32B258.16B
Investing Cash Flow-72.78B-96.52B-854.65B-89.06B-63.13B
Financing Cash Flow-404.78B-261.37B614.06B-195.62B-216.30B

Astellas Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2553.50
Price Trends
50DMA
2465.76
Positive
100DMA
2272.45
Positive
200DMA
1913.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
42.94
Positive
RSI
52.96
Neutral
STOCH
32.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4503, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2553.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2557.04, above the 50-day MA of 2465.76, and above the 200-day MA of 1913.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 42.94 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4503.

Astellas Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
¥2.79T8.0912.22%2.22%7.76%15.64%
77
Outperform
¥12.99T30.7022.23%1.17%5.65%10.24%
69
Neutral
¥1.22T28.044.27%2.33%3.20%43.05%
68
Neutral
¥1.32T19.135.75%3.51%2.09%-26.70%
67
Neutral
¥4.14T25.937.97%3.61%11.87%474.27%
66
Neutral
¥4.84T17.8818.56%2.07%14.26%27.11%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4503
Astellas Pharma
2,300.00
957.49
71.32%
JP:4519
Chugai Pharmaceutical Co
7,900.00
-42.22
-0.53%
JP:4568
Daiichi Sankyo Company
2,596.00
-863.01
-24.95%
JP:4523
Eisai Co
4,677.00
754.80
19.24%
JP:4151
Kyowa Kirin Co
2,326.00
175.83
8.18%
JP:4507
Shionogi & Co
3,177.00
823.88
35.01%

Astellas Pharma Corporate Events

Astellas Books Major Impairment and Extraordinary Losses in FY2025 Non-Consolidated Results
Apr 27, 2026
Astellas Pharma has recorded a ¥16.4 billion impairment loss on intangible assets after strategically halting development of AT132, a gene therapy candidate for X-linked myotubular myopathy, and redirecting resources to its next-generation in...
Astellas Pharma Announces New Board Slate and Governance Changes for 2026
Apr 27, 2026
Astellas Pharma has proposed a slate of director nominees, including the reappointment of Representative Directors Kenji Yasukawa as chairman, Naoki Okamura as president and CEO, and Katsuyoshi Sugita as executive vice president and chief people o...
Astellas Highlights R&D Strategy While Flagging Market and Development Risks
Mar 31, 2026
Astellas outlined its research and development strategy at its 2026 RD Day, emphasizing a pipeline built on pioneering science and investigational compounds aimed at addressing future medical needs. The company notes that its performance and abili...
Astellas and HOVON Phase 3 AML Trial for Xospata Misses Survival Goal
Mar 9, 2026
Astellas Pharma and the HOVON Foundation reported that their Phase 3 HOVON 156 / AMLSG 28-18 / PASHA trial comparing Xospata (gilteritinib) with a midostaurin-based regimen in newly diagnosed FLT3-mutated acute myeloid leukemia eligible for intens...
Astellas Flags Risks and Uncertainties Around Sustainability Plans and Pipeline
Feb 26, 2026
Astellas Pharma has released materials for its Sustainability Meeting 2025, positioning the event as a platform to outline its strategic direction and long-term initiatives for 2026 and beyond. The company emphasizes that the presentation includes...
Astellas Settles Myrbetriq Patent Disputes with Lupin and Zydus
Feb 12, 2026
Astellas Pharma has reached separate settlement agreements with Lupin and Zydus to resolve U.S. patent litigation related to its overactive bladder drug Myrbetriq (mirabegron). Under the deals, Astellas will receive a combined $60 million in litig...
Astellas Lifts FY2025 Outlook on Robust XTANDI and Mirabegron Demand
Feb 4, 2026
Astellas raised its FY2025 core and full-basis revenue and profit forecasts on the back of stronger-than-expected global demand for prostate cancer therapy XTANDI and overactive bladder franchise Mirabegron, amplified by favorable foreign exchange...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 28, 2026