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Astellas Pharma (JP:4503)
:4503

Astellas Pharma (4503) AI Stock Analysis

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Astellas Pharma

(OTC:4503)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,570.00
▲(11.98%Upside)
Astellas Pharma's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, reflecting substantial revenue growth and strategic brand expansion. While the company's valuation appears high, the attractive dividend yield partially offsets this concern. Technical indicators show neutral trends, suggesting stable but cautious market sentiment.
Positive Factors
Earnings Projections
Future earnings will be the catalysts with projected EPS growth of 37% CAGR 2024-2027.
Growth Trajectory
Padcev's growth acceleration is redefining Astellas's growth trajectory.
Negative Factors
Loss of Exclusivity Impact
Astellas's bottomline should weather Xtandi LOE better than the topline.

Astellas Pharma (4503) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Astellas Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAstellas Pharma Inc. is a leading global pharmaceutical company headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, primarily engaged in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of innovative pharmaceutical products. The company focuses on therapeutic areas such as oncology, urology, immunology, neuroscience, and cardiovascular diseases, providing advanced healthcare solutions to improve the health and well-being of people worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyAstellas Pharma generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, which include both patented and generic drugs. The company's key revenue streams come from its core therapeutic areas, with oncology and urology products being significant contributors. Astellas invests heavily in research and development to innovate and expand its product pipeline, which helps maintain its competitive edge and market share. Additionally, strategic partnerships and licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical and biotech companies enhance its product offerings and market reach, further contributing to its earnings. The company's global presence, with a strong foothold in markets across Japan, the Americas, Europe, and Asia, also plays a crucial role in its revenue generation.

Astellas Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 25, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 3.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Astellas Pharma demonstrated strong financial performance with record-breaking revenue and significant growth in Strategic Brands. Successful cost optimization and a positive outlook for FY 2025, including increased dividends and progress in primary focus programs, highlight a positive trajectory. Despite challenges such as the impact of U.S. Medicare Part D redesign and temporary demand issues with IZERVAY, the overall sentiment remains optimistic.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
In FY 2024, Astellas Pharma reported record high revenue of ¥1.912 trillion, a 19.2% increase year-on-year, and core operating profit of ¥392.4 billion, up by 41.7% year-on-year.
Strategic Brands Driving Growth
Sales of Strategic Brands, including PADCEV, IZERVAY, VEOZAH, VYLOY, and XOSPATA, exceeded ¥340 billion, more than doubling with a growth of ¥180 billion or 110% year-on-year.
Cost Optimization Success
Astellas Pharma achieved its cost optimization target of ¥40 billion in FY 2024, improving the SG&A ratio by 3.1 percentage points year-on-year.
Strong Outlook for FY 2025
Astellas expects continued strong momentum in Strategic Brands with projected revenue of ¥1.930 trillion and underlying growth excluding Forex impact expected to be 7%.
Dividend Increase
Astellas increased its dividend per share to ¥78, an increase of ¥4, in anticipation of future profit growth.
Primary Focus Program Progress
ASB-3082 achieved proof of concept (PoC) in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, marking a significant milestone in targeted protein degradation.
Negative Updates
Impact of U.S. Medicare Part D Redesign
The redesign led to a gross-to-net impact on XTANDI sales in the U.S., although volume growth offset some of this impact.
IZERVAY Temporary Demand Slowdown
IZERVAY experienced a temporary demand slowdown due to a complete response letter (CRL) for label update submission, impacting growth.
Tariff and Forex Risks
The company acknowledged potential risks related to tariffs and Forex, although specific impacts were not disclosed.
Company Guidance
During the FY 2024 financial results announcement by Astellas Pharma Inc., several key financial metrics were highlighted, indicating a record year for the company. Revenue reached ¥1.912 trillion, marking a 19.2% increase year-on-year, while core operating profit rose by 41.7% to ¥392.4 billion. The company achieved significant growth in its Strategic Brands, with sales exceeding ¥340 billion, reflecting a growth of ¥180 billion or 110% year-on-year. The core operating profit margin improved by 3.3 percentage points to 20.5%. Astellas also reported substantial cost optimization, achieving a target of ¥40 billion, which improved the SG&A ratio by 3.1 percentage points. The Forex impact positively contributed ¥68.1 billion to revenue and ¥15.1 billion to core operating profit. Looking forward, Astellas forecasts further growth in FY 2025, with expected revenue of ¥1.930 trillion and a core operating profit increase to ¥410 billion, driven by continued expansion in Strategic Brands and ongoing cost optimization efforts.

Astellas Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Astellas Pharma shows strong financial performance with notable revenue growth, a high gross profit margin, and improved net profit margin. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting liquidity and financial flexibility. However, operational efficiency could be enhanced, as indicated by a slight decrease in EBIT margin.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Astellas Pharma demonstrates strong revenue growth with a 19.22% increase from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin remains high at 74.57% for 2025, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin improved significantly from 1.06% in 2024 to 2.65% in 2025. However, the EBIT margin slightly decreased to 13.37% in 2025, suggesting potential challenges in operational efficiency. Overall, the company shows strong growth and profitability trends.
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Astellas Pharma maintains a solid equity base with an equity ratio of 45.32% in 2025. The debt-to-equity ratio improved to 0.55, reflecting a decrease in leverage and financial risk. Return on Equity (ROE) increased to 3.35% in 2025, indicating better utilization of shareholders' equity. Despite the improvements, the relatively low ROE suggests there is room for enhancing shareholder value.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
The company exhibits robust cash flow generation, with a free cash flow growth rate of 82.95% from 2024 to 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.97, reflecting strong cash flow relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 3.24, indicating effective conversion of profits into cash. These metrics highlight Astellas Pharma's strong liquidity and financial flexibility.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.91T1.60T1.52T1.30T1.25T
Gross Profit1.43T1.31T1.23T1.04T1.00T
EBITDA248.30B195.34B240.46B241.03B219.83B
Net Income50.75B17.05B98.71B124.09B120.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.34T3.57T2.46T2.33T2.27T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments188.37B335.69B396.62B337.28B331.69B
Total Debt831.43B1.01T200.01B212.74B278.26B
Total Liabilities1.83T1.97T948.56B872.09B887.51B
Stockholders Equity1.51T1.60T1.51T1.46T1.39T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow164.61B89.98B239.23B181.00B229.40B
Operating Cash Flow201.61B172.47B327.77B257.44B306.84B
Investing Cash Flow-96.52B-845.80B-84.50B-62.41B-81.89B
Financing Cash Flow-261.37B614.06B-195.62B-216.30B-229.48B

Astellas Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1402.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1387.82
Positive
100DMA
1402.17
Negative
200DMA
1500.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.24
Positive
RSI
54.22
Neutral
STOCH
75.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4503, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1402 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1393.90, above the 50-day MA of 1387.82, and below the 200-day MA of 1500.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4503.

Astellas Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$2.23T12.6512.99%2.29%0.73%7.75%
79
Outperform
$12.36T30.1522.80%3.33%17.96%25.65%
74
Outperform
¥2.52T49.463.22%5.28%19.25%294.48%
72
Outperform
¥725.61B14.506.25%5.18%-3.14%-59.94%
72
Outperform
$1.15T24.905.34%3.92%6.42%10.82%
67
Neutral
¥6.15T21.1417.60%1.82%17.77%49.34%
65
Neutral
¥345.58B10.59-2.88%2.67%11.80%-6.84%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4503
Astellas Pharma
1,402.00
-114.03
-7.52%
JP:4519
Chugai Pharmaceutical Co
7,515.00
2,005.69
36.41%
JP:4528
ONO Pharmaceutical Co
1,545.00
-579.92
-27.29%
JP:4507
Shionogi & Co
2,534.50
509.81
25.18%
JP:4523
Eisai Co
4,078.00
-2,385.29
-36.91%
JP:4568
Daiichi Sankyo Company
3,297.00
-2,053.42
-38.38%

Astellas Pharma Corporate Events

Astellas Pharma Continues Performance-linked Stock Schemes for Executives
May 15, 2025

Astellas Pharma Inc. announced the continuation of its Performance-linked Stock Compensation and Stock Delivery Schemes for its executives, aimed at aligning management incentives with the company’s long-term value growth. These schemes, which include the BIP Trust for corporate executives and the ESOP Trust for group executives, are designed to enhance transparency and focus on increasing enterprise and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4503) stock is a Hold with a Yen1750.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astellas Pharma stock, see the JP:4503 Stock Forecast page.

Astellas Pharma Continues Performance-linked Stock Compensation Scheme for 2025
May 15, 2025

Astellas Pharma has announced the continuation of its Performance-linked Stock Compensation Scheme for fiscal year 2025, aimed at incentivizing its directors. This scheme, which employs a Board Incentive Plan (BIP) Trust, aligns executive compensation with the company’s long-term growth and shareholder value, reflecting a strategic focus on enhancing enterprise value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4503) stock is a Hold with a Yen1750.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astellas Pharma stock, see the JP:4503 Stock Forecast page.

Astellas Pharma Announces Changes to Board of Directors
May 7, 2025

Astellas Pharma Inc. has announced a significant change in its Board of Directors, proposing the appointment of Andreas Busch and Mark Enyedy as new candidates at its upcoming Annual Shareholders Meeting. This move is intended to enhance the board’s diversity and effectiveness, reflecting stakeholder input and aiming to strengthen the company’s position in the global pharmaceutical industry.

Astellas Pharma Reports Higher Than Expected Financial Results
Apr 25, 2025

Astellas Pharma reported an increase in other income due to changes in the fair value of contingent consideration related to its clinical development plans and program discontinuations. The company’s actual financial results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, exceeded forecasts, with significant increases in operating profit and profit before tax, reflecting strong operational performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 28, 2025