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Chugai Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (JP:4519)
:4519

Chugai Pharmaceutical Co (4519) AI Stock Analysis

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Chugai Pharmaceutical Co

(OTC:4519)

79Outperform
Chugai Pharmaceutical's overall score reflects its robust financial performance, characterized by high profitability and strong financial stability. While technical indicators show positive momentum, valuation concerns limit immediate upside potential. The recent earnings call underscores record-breaking results and promising future guidance, though risks such as domestic sales decline and biosimilar competition remain.

Chugai Pharmaceutical Co (4519) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Chugai Pharmaceutical Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacturing, sale, importation, and exportation of pharmaceuticals in Japan and internationally. The company's products for oncology primarily include Avastin, Tecentriq, Perjeta, Alecensa, Herceptin, Kadcyla, Rituxan, Gazyva, and Xeloda; osteoporosis, including Actemra, Edirol, and Bonviva; renal diseases consist of Mircera and Oxarol; and neurology/other diseases comprise Hemlibra, CellCept, and Enspryng. It has various development product candidates in the areas of oncology, bone and joint diseases, autoimmune diseases, renal diseases, neurology, and other diseases. Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. has strategic alliances with Roche Group; and collaboration and joint research with academia. The company was founded in 1925 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Roche Holding Ltd.
How the Company Makes MoneyChugai Pharmaceutical Co. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, which include both in-house developed drugs and those co-developed with its parent company, Roche. Its key revenue streams are derived from prescription drug sales, royalties, and licensing fees. The company's strategic focus on biologics, particularly in oncology and immunology, contributes significantly to its earnings. Additionally, Chugai benefits from its collaboration with Roche, which provides access to global markets and shared research initiatives, thereby enhancing its product pipeline and market penetration.

Chugai Pharmaceutical Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chugai Pharmaceutical exhibits strong financial health, characterized by consistent revenue growth, high profitability margins, and stable cash flow. The company's low leverage and impressive return on equity enhance its financial resilience. Despite a slight decrease in free cash flow, the overall financial position remains robust.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Chugai Pharmaceutical shows robust financial performance with a strong revenue growth trend over the years. The TTM figures reflect a gross profit margin of 71% and a net profit margin of 33.6%, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. The company achieved a 9.9% revenue growth rate compared to the previous period, demonstrating solid business expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 47.7% and 49.4%, respectively, highlight strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
81
Very Positive
The balance sheet reveals strong financial stability with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.007, showcasing minimal leverage risk. The return on equity is impressive at 21.5%, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 89.1%, indicating a solid capital structure primarily financed through equity, reducing financial risk.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Chugai Pharmaceutical's cash flow statement reflects a positive cash flow trajectory, with a free cash flow growth rate of -10.9%, indicating slight decreases in free cash flows over the recent periods. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 1.01, demonstrating sufficient cash generation relative to profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.86 supports the company's ability to fund operations and investments without reliance on external financing.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.17T1.11T1.26T999.76B786.95B
Gross Profit
831.20B698.06B783.70B661.61B513.48B
EBIT
542.00B439.17B533.31B421.90B301.23B
EBITDA
568.39B475.64B562.66B450.30B328.72B
Net Income Common Stockholders
387.32B325.47B374.43B303.00B214.73B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
996.35B738.98B503.11B471.97B378.62B
Total Assets
2.21T1.93T1.87T1.54T1.24T
Total Debt
0.0013.46B14.11B16.04B11.28B
Net Debt
-540.20B-458.67B-208.06B-251.71B-201.05B
Total Liabilities
306.87B306.97B445.37B350.68B255.50B
Stockholders Equity
1.90T1.63T1.42T1.19T980.00B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
396.68B335.67B172.87B206.76B143.62B
Operating Cash Flow
447.60B409.93B244.11B279.63B205.03B
Investing Cash Flow
-227.37B-37.29B-145.99B-118.93B-98.31B
Financing Cash Flow
-141.01B-139.33B-145.64B-107.41B-99.50B

Chugai Pharmaceutical Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8219.00
Price Trends
50DMA
7306.76
Positive
100DMA
7069.70
Positive
200DMA
6919.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
389.45
Negative
RSI
60.13
Neutral
STOCH
52.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4519, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8219 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7725.90, above the 50-day MA of 7306.76, and above the 200-day MA of 6919.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 389.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4519.

Chugai Pharmaceutical Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$14.17T34.5822.80%1.15%17.96%25.65%
52
Neutral
$5.17B3.59-42.19%2.82%15.05%-0.04%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4519
Chugai Pharmaceutical Co
8,219.00
3,288.03
66.68%
ALPMF
Astellas Pharma
9.62
0.38
4.11%
DNPUF
Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma Co
6.36
3.70
139.10%
ESALF
Eisai Co
28.54
-14.68
-33.97%
SGIOF
Shionogi & Co
15.20
-0.66
-4.16%
TKPHF
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co
29.07
4.26
17.17%

Chugai Pharmaceutical Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 0.31%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted record-breaking financial results and significant overseas sales growth, coupled with an increase in dividends, showcasing the company's strong performance. However, challenges such as the decline in domestic sales, project discontinuations, and potential biosimilar competition were noted.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
Full-year results for 2024 exceeded the revised forecast, with revenue surpassing JPY1 trillion for the third consecutive year and operating profit exceeding JPY500 billion for the first time. The operating margin reached a record high of 47.5%.
Strong Overseas Sales Growth
Overseas sales significantly increased by JPY120.3 billion (28.9%) due to strong export sales of Hemlibra and other products.
Dividend Increase
Reflecting strong performance, a year-end dividend of JPY57 per share was announced, with a total annual dividend of JPY98 per share for 2024, and a forecasted annual dividend of JPY250 per share for 2025.
Pipeline Achievements
Approvals and advancements in the pipeline were notable, including the approval of NEMLUVIO in the U.S. and Europe, and progress in mid-size molecule projects advancing to preclinical stages.
Negative Updates
Domestic Sales Decline
Domestic sales decreased by JPY96.9 billion (17.4%) due to the loss of Ronapreve sales and the impact of NHI drug price revisions.
Project Discontinuations
The development of ERY974 and SPYK04 was discontinued due to negative Go/No-Go decisions.
Actemra Biosimilar Challenges
Potential challenges anticipated from the entry of Actemra biosimilars in 2025.
Company Guidance
During the call, Chugai Pharmaceutical provided guidance on its financial performance for fiscal year 2024 and an outlook for 2025. The company reported that its 2024 results exceeded the revised forecasts, achieving record highs in revenue, operating profit, and net income. Revenue surpassed JPY1 trillion for the third consecutive year, with operating profit exceeding JPY500 billion for the first time and an operating margin of 47.5%. For 2025, Chugai expects to achieve record revenue and profit levels, projecting a revenue increase of 1.7% to JPY1.190 trillion and a core operating profit increase of 2.5% to JPY570 billion, while maintaining a high operating margin. Key growth drivers include strong overseas sales, particularly exports of Hemlibra, and increased revenue from new products and mainstay offerings. The company also highlighted plans to enhance its drug discovery and development processes, including strategic Go/No-Go decisions to optimize its project pipeline.

Chugai Pharmaceutical Co Corporate Events

Chugai Pharmaceutical Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results and Announces Special Dividend
Apr 24, 2025

Chugai Pharmaceutical Co. reported significant growth in its financial performance for the first quarter of 2025, with a 21.7% increase in revenue and a 36.8% rise in operating profit compared to the same period last year. The company also announced a special dividend in celebration of its 100th anniversary, indicating strong financial health and a commitment to rewarding its shareholders.

Chugai Pharmaceutical Adjusts Treasury Share Disposal Plan
Apr 22, 2025

Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. announced corrections to its previously released ‘Notice of Disposal of Treasury Shares as Restricted Stock Compensation Plan.’ The corrections involve an increase in the number of shares to be disposed from 79,800 to 82,000 and a corresponding rise in the total value from ¥565,861,800 to ¥581,462,000. This adjustment is part of the company’s strategy to enhance executive motivation and align compensation with industry standards, potentially impacting the company’s operational efficiency and stakeholder interests.

Chugai Highlights Eli Lilly’s Promising Phase 3 Results for Orforglipron
Apr 17, 2025

Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. announced that Eli Lilly’s oral GLP-1 drug, orforglipron, showed statistically significant efficacy and a safety profile consistent with injectable GLP-1 medicines in a Phase 3 trial for type 2 diabetes. The trial results, which will be presented at the ADA’s Scientific Sessions, indicate potential for orforglipron in diabetes management and weight control, with regulatory submissions expected soon. This announcement is not anticipated to affect Chugai’s financial results for the fiscal year ending December 2025.

Chugai Pharmaceutical Considers Investment Unit Reduction
Mar 27, 2025

Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. is considering reducing its investment unit to enhance market liquidity and attract a broader investor base. The company plans to evaluate market trends and its stock price to determine the appropriate timing and decision for this reduction, in compliance with Tokyo Stock Exchange regulations.

Chugai Pharmaceutical Announces Disposal of Treasury Shares for Compensation Plan
Mar 27, 2025

Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. has announced the disposal of 79,800 treasury shares as part of a restricted stock compensation plan, aimed at aligning the interests of its directors and employees with long-term business performance. This move is expected to enhance motivation and retain talent within the company, potentially strengthening its market position and operational effectiveness.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.