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Shionogi & Co Ltd (JP:4507)
:4507
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Shionogi & Co (4507) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4507

Shionogi & Co

(4507)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,821.00
▲(13.43% Upside)
Shionogi & Co's strong financial performance and optimistic earnings call outlook are the most significant factors driving the stock score. The company's robust profitability, efficient operations, and strategic growth initiatives in the HIV business and drug development contribute positively. However, mixed technical indicators and challenges in certain markets slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
HIV Business Growth
The growth in the HIV business, driven by ViiV's franchise, indicates a strong market position and potential for sustained revenue through royalties.
Advancements in Drug Development
Progress in drug development, such as Ensitrelvir filings, showcases Shionogi's commitment to innovation and long-term growth potential.
Strong Financial Health
High profitability and a stable balance sheet reflect strong financial health, supporting sustainable growth and operational resilience.
Negative Factors
Decline in Domestic and Overseas Business
Declining sales in domestic and overseas markets could impact revenue growth, highlighting challenges in maintaining market share.
Challenges in China
Decreased sales in China suggest difficulties in a key market, potentially affecting long-term international expansion strategies.
R&D Cost Management Concerns
Reduced R&D spending raises concerns about future innovation and growth, potentially impacting the development of new revenue streams.

Shionogi & Co (4507) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Shionogi & Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionShionogi & Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and distribution of pharmaceuticals, diagnostic reagents, and medical devices in Japan. It offers Fetroja, a multidrug-resistant for gram-negative bacterial infection treatment; Xofluza, an influenza virus drug; and Tivicay for HIV treatment. It also develops Symproic for opioid-induced constipation treatment; S-120083 for Inflammatory pain; S-010887 for Neuropathic pain; S-117957 for Insomnia; sivopixant for Neuropathic pain, Sleep Apnea Syndrome, and Refractory/unexplainedchronic cough; S-637880 for Neuropathic Low Back Pain; Zuranolone for Depression; SDT-001 for attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder patients; BPN14770 for Fragile X syndrome and Alzheimer's disease; and S-237648 and S-309309 for Obesity. In addition, the company develops ADR-001 for Decompensated liver cirrhosis; S-723595 for NASH; S-588410 for Esophageal and Bladder cancer; S-488210 for Head and neck squamouscell carcinoma; S-588210 for Solid tumor; S-222611 for Malignant tumor; S-770108 for Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis; SR-0379 for Cutaneous ulcer; S-005151 for Stroke and Epidermolysis bullosa; S-531011 for Solid tumor; S-0373 for Spinocerebellar ataxia; and S-600918 and S-217622 for COVID-19, as well as S-555739 for Control of the aggravation of COVID-19. Further, it offers antibody test kits for COVID-19. Shionogi & Co., Ltd. has collaboration agreements with Nagasaki University, the National Institute of Infectious Diseases, and The Kitasato University to develop antimalarial drugs. The company was formerly known as Shionogi Shoten Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shionogi & Co., Ltd. in 1943. Shionogi & Co., Ltd. was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyShionogi generates revenue primarily through the sale of prescription pharmaceuticals, which constitutes the bulk of its income. The company develops proprietary drugs, often investing heavily in research and development to bring new treatments to market. In addition to direct sales, Shionogi engages in partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies and research institutions, which can include licensing agreements and joint ventures. These partnerships often provide upfront payments, milestone payments based on development progress, and royalties on sales of partnered products. Furthermore, Shionogi's OTC product lines contribute to its revenue, allowing the company to diversify its income streams. The company's focus on global expansion, particularly in emerging markets, and its commitment to addressing unmet medical needs also play significant roles in driving future earnings.

Shionogi & Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 26, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and growth in the HIV business, along with successful M&A activities and advancements in drug development. These positives were tempered by declines in domestic and overseas sales, particularly in China, and concerns regarding R&D cost management. Despite these challenges, the overall outlook remains optimistic due to strategic growth initiatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Revenue for Q1 FY2025 increased to JPY99.8 billion, a rise of JPY2.2 billion compared to the same period last year. Operating profit increased by JPY7 billion to JPY35.1 billion, and profit before tax rose by JPY9.8 billion to JPY46.3 billion. Profit attributable to owners of the parent was JPY39.4 billion, an increase of JPY8.7 billion.
HIV Business Growth
The HIV business showed strong growth, with ViiV's HIV franchise contributing to higher royalty income. Long-acting formulations like Cabenuva and Dovato are driving this growth.
Advancements in Drug Development
Significant progress in the development pipelines, including the filing of Ensitrelvir in Europe and the US. The development of S-365598, a third-generation integrase inhibitor, is ongoing with promising antiviral activity.
Successful M&A Activity
Completion of the tender offer for Torii Pharmaceutical and progress towards merging with the JT Group pharmaceutical business.
Negative Updates
Decline in Domestic and Overseas Business
Domestic prescription drug sales decreased by JPY1.3 billion to JPY14.1 billion, mainly due to reduced sales of drugs for acute respiratory virus infections. Overseas subsidiaries/exports segment also declined by JPY0.7 billion.
Challenges in China
Sales in the China business declined, impacting the overall performance of the overseas segment.
R&D Cost Management Concerns
R&D expenses decreased by JPY4.5 billion due to the completion of multiple large-scale clinical trials, raising concerns about the current level of investment in growth drivers.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter financial results briefing for fiscal year 2025, SHIONOGI reported significant growth in both financial and non-financial metrics. The company achieved a year-over-year increase in revenue to JPY99.8 billion, up by JPY2.2 billion, with operating profit reaching JPY35.1 billion, an increase of JPY7 billion. Profit before tax rose to JPY46.3 billion, up by JPY9.8 billion, and profit attributable to owners of the parent increased by JPY8.7 billion to JPY39.4 billion. EBITDA also saw a rise to JPY40.6 billion, marking a JPY7 billion increase. Significant contributors to this growth included the strong performance of the HIV business, with revenue from this segment driven by ViiV's HIV franchise and royalty income from Roche's Xofluza, which benefited from a flu epidemic in China and the U.S. Non-financial milestones included the completion of a tender offer for Torii Pharmaceutical and progress towards an M&A with the JT Group's pharmaceutical business. The company's strategic focus on pipeline developments, including the filing of Ensitrelvir in Europe and the U.S., is expected to support medium- to long-term growth.

Shionogi & Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Shionogi & Co exhibits a strong financial profile with consistent revenue growth, high profitability margins, and a stable balance sheet with low leverage. Effective cash flow management enhances its financial resilience, positioning it well for future growth. However, there is potential for further optimization in operational efficiency and asset utilization.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Shionogi & Co has demonstrated strong financial performance with a consistent increase in revenue, achieving a revenue growth rate from the previous year. The company maintains robust profitability with a high gross profit margin and a notable net profit margin. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, slight fluctuations in EBIT indicate potential areas for operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting prudent financial management and low leverage risk. The return on equity is impressive, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is high, indicating substantial equity financing, which enhances financial stability. Despite these strengths, the high stockholders' equity relative to total assets suggests room for optimizing asset utilization.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Shionogi & Co's cash flow statement highlights strong cash generation capabilities, with significant free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, reflecting effective conversion of accounting profits to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio further underscores the company's capability to generate cash exceeding net income. These metrics indicate solid liquidity and financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue440.46B438.27B435.08B426.68B335.14B297.18B
Gross Profit376.77B370.26B377.48B364.44B279.72B244.65B
EBITDA217.10B230.71B217.81B176.41B143.42B158.67B
Net Income179.15B170.43B162.03B184.97B114.19B111.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.54T1.54T1.42T1.31T1.15T998.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments254.83B374.80B358.09B309.22B254.42B276.17B
Total Debt21.69B21.88B11.62B9.41B6.67B7.99B
Total Liabilities159.80B172.85B164.36B189.92B157.32B134.44B
Stockholders Equity1.38T1.36T1.24T1.10T975.66B846.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow184.32B178.33B126.02B140.68B70.50B76.09B
Operating Cash Flow203.00B195.46B154.28B177.87B102.07B109.04B
Investing Cash Flow-168.89B-129.07B5.92B-48.29B-96.20B-5.26B
Financing Cash Flow-56.47B-51.92B-126.85B-84.12B-36.62B-43.89B

Shionogi & Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2487.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2545.59
Negative
100DMA
2520.52
Negative
200DMA
2380.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-25.19
Negative
RSI
47.76
Neutral
STOCH
78.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4507, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2487 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2483.90, below the 50-day MA of 2545.59, and above the 200-day MA of 2380.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -25.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4507.

Shionogi & Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$2.15T11.3912.22%2.54%4.48%11.08%
¥286.82B14.957.11%2.60%3.53%38.23%
$1.28T25.445.96%3.49%9.43%56.53%
¥267.78B10.609.09%3.80%14.60%8.97%
$688.11B36.4010.94%26.28%
¥6.71T49.341.99%4.56%1.52%-8.68%
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4507
Shionogi & Co
2,487.00
355.81
16.70%
JP:4506
Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma Co
1,654.00
1,126.00
213.26%
JP:4523
Eisai Co
4,530.00
-473.49
-9.46%
JP:4530
Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co
3,931.00
-447.32
-10.22%
JP:4502
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co
4,234.00
155.54
3.81%
JP:4540
Tsumura & Co
3,500.00
-1,340.43
-27.69%

Shionogi & Co Corporate Events

Shionogi & Co. Reports Steady Q2 Earnings Amid Strategic Expansion
Oct 28, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. is a Japanese pharmaceutical company primarily engaged in the research, development, and distribution of prescription drugs, with a focus on infectious diseases and innovative healthcare solutions.

Shionogi & Co. Adopts New Management Policies to Enhance Capital and Stock Awareness
Oct 27, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. has announced new management policies aimed at enhancing their awareness of capital costs and stock prices, following a Board of Directors meeting. This strategic move is expected to influence the company’s operational focus and potentially impact its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Buy with a Yen2770.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi Reports Mixed Q2 FY 2025 Results Amid Revenue Challenges
Oct 27, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. reported its financial results for the second quarter of FY 2025, showing a slight decrease in revenue by 0.5% to 213 billion yen. The company experienced a decline in prescription drug sales, particularly in the acute respiratory virus infection treatment segment, which saw a 65.1% drop. However, this was partially offset by an increase in royalty income, which rose by 6.4%. The company also noted an increase in sales-related expenses in the U.S. and costs associated with making Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. a wholly-owned subsidiary. Despite these challenges, Shionogi revised its FY 2025 forecast, indicating a cautious yet optimistic outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Buy with a Yen2770.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi & Co. Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Expansion
Oct 27, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. reported its consolidated financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, showing a slight decrease in revenue and operating profit compared to the same period last year. Despite these declines, the company experienced growth in profit before tax and comprehensive income, indicating a positive financial trajectory. The company also announced a revision in its financial forecast for the year ending March 31, 2026, with expectations of increased revenue and profit. The inclusion of Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. as a subsidiary marks a strategic expansion in Shionogi’s operations, potentially enhancing its market position and offering new opportunities for growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Buy with a Yen2770.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi & Co. Announces Merger with Shionogi Pharma to Strengthen Supply Chain
Oct 27, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. has announced a merger with its wholly owned subsidiary, Shionogi Pharma Co., Ltd., effective April 1, 2027. This strategic move aims to enhance the company’s production and supply chain resilience in response to changing geopolitical and regulatory environments, particularly in the infectious disease sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Buy with a Yen2770.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi to Acquire Japan Tobacco’s Pharmaceutical Business
Sep 25, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. has entered into an absorption-type company split agreement with Japan Tobacco Inc. to acquire its pharmaceutical business. This strategic move, effective December 25, 2025, aims to enhance Shionogi’s market position by integrating Japan Tobacco’s pharmaceutical operations, potentially impacting stakeholders by expanding Shionogi’s product offerings and market reach.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Buy with a Yen2900.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

FDA Reviews Shionogi’s Ensitrelvir as First Oral COVID-19 Preventive Therapy
Sep 3, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. announced that the FDA has accepted the New Drug Application for ensitrelvir, an investigational oral antiviral for preventing COVID-19 following exposure. If approved, it would be the first oral therapy of its kind in the U.S., potentially enhancing Shionogi’s position in the infectious disease market. The application is supported by successful Phase 3 trial results, and the drug is already approved in Japan and Singapore for COVID-19 treatment.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Buy with a Yen2919.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi Completes Acquisition of TORII PHARMACEUTICAL as Wholly-Owned Subsidiary
Sep 1, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. announced the successful acquisition of TORII PHARMACEUTICAL CO., LTD., making it a wholly-owned subsidiary. This strategic move, completed through a series of transactions including a tender offer and stock consolidation, positions Shionogi to strengthen its market presence and operational capabilities in the pharmaceutical sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Buy with a Yen2919.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi & Co. Reports Strong Q1 Earnings Amid Strategic Growth
Jul 30, 2025

The recent earnings call for Shionogi & Co. painted a generally positive picture of the company’s financial health and strategic direction. The first quarter of fiscal year 2025 showed significant increases in revenue and profit metrics, driven by strong growth in the HIV business and successful strategic M&A activities. Despite facing challenges in domestic and overseas markets, particularly in China, and a decrease in R&D spending, the overall sentiment was optimistic, with the positives outweighing the negatives.

Shionogi & Co. Reports Strong Q1 2025 Earnings Growth
Jul 29, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. is a Japanese pharmaceutical company primarily engaged in the research, development, and distribution of prescription drugs. The company is known for its focus on infectious diseases and innovative drug formulations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025