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Shionogi & Co Ltd (JP:4507)
:4507
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Shionogi & Co (4507) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4507

Shionogi & Co

(OTC:4507)

Rating:83Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,919.00
▲(9.08% Upside)
Shionogi & Co's strong financial performance, coupled with positive earnings call results, significantly contributes to the high stock score. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, although caution is advised due to high stochastic levels. The stock's attractive valuation, with a low P/E ratio and a solid dividend yield, further enhances its investment appeal. Challenges in certain markets and the need for operational efficiency improvements are areas to watch.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
The acquisition of JT Pharma enhances Shionogi's drug discovery research capabilities, particularly in small molecule-based drugs.
Cost Management
Shionogi signaled potential for lower costs and improved operating profit through tighter expense management.
Market Competition
Cabenuva is expected to face no competition in its primary market for HIV treatment until around 2030.
Negative Factors
Earnings Miss
The numbers missed guidance due to low COVID and influenza cases in Japan.
Earnings Performance
Shionogi's FY24 top and bottom lines slightly missed consensus and its guidance.
Guidance
Shionogi has set its FY25 guidance lower than their original mid-term goal despite the acquisition of JT Group’s pharma division.

Shionogi & Co (4507) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Shionogi & Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionShionogi & Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and distribution of pharmaceuticals, diagnostic reagents, and medical devices in Japan. It offers Fetroja, a multidrug-resistant for gram-negative bacterial infection treatment; Xofluza, an influenza virus drug; and Tivicay for HIV treatment. It also develops Symproic for opioid-induced constipation treatment; S-120083 for Inflammatory pain; S-010887 for Neuropathic pain; S-117957 for Insomnia; sivopixant for Neuropathic pain, Sleep Apnea Syndrome, and Refractory/unexplainedchronic cough; S-637880 for Neuropathic Low Back Pain; Zuranolone for Depression; SDT-001 for attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder patients; BPN14770 for Fragile X syndrome and Alzheimer's disease; and S-237648 and S-309309 for Obesity. In addition, the company develops ADR-001 for Decompensated liver cirrhosis; S-723595 for NASH; S-588410 for Esophageal and Bladder cancer; S-488210 for Head and neck squamouscell carcinoma; S-588210 for Solid tumor; S-222611 for Malignant tumor; S-770108 for Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis; SR-0379 for Cutaneous ulcer; S-005151 for Stroke and Epidermolysis bullosa; S-531011 for Solid tumor; S-0373 for Spinocerebellar ataxia; and S-600918 and S-217622 for COVID-19, as well as S-555739 for Control of the aggravation of COVID-19. Further, it offers antibody test kits for COVID-19. Shionogi & Co., Ltd. has collaboration agreements with Nagasaki University, the National Institute of Infectious Diseases, and The Kitasato University to develop antimalarial drugs. The company was formerly known as Shionogi Shoten Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shionogi & Co., Ltd. in 1943. Shionogi & Co., Ltd. was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyShionogi & Co. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, which include both prescription and over-the-counter medications. The company's key revenue streams are derived from its proprietary drugs, particularly in areas such as infectious diseases and pain management. Shionogi also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies and research institutions, which can provide additional revenue through licensing agreements and joint development projects. The company invests heavily in research and development to sustain its pipeline of new drugs, ensuring a continuous flow of innovative products to the market. Additionally, Shionogi may earn income from royalties, milestone payments, and other financial arrangements related to its patented drugs and technology.

Shionogi & Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.78%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025 were generally positive, with significant increases in revenue and profit metrics. The HIV business showed strong growth, and strategic M&A activities were completed successfully. However, there were challenges in domestic and overseas business performance, especially in China, and a noted decrease in R&D spending. Overall, the positive aspects of financial growth and strategic developments outweigh the challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Revenue increased to JPY99.8 billion, up JPY2.2 billion YoY. Operating profit rose to JPY35.1 billion, up JPY7 billion YoY. Profit before tax reached JPY46.3 billion, an increase of JPY9.8 billion YoY. EBITDA was JPY40.6 billion, up JPY7 billion from the previous year.
HIV Business Growth
The HIV business experienced accelerated growth, contributing significantly to overall revenue. Strong sales from products like Cabenuva, Apretude, and Dovato are driving this growth.
Successful M&A and Pipeline Developments
Completion of the tender offer for Torii Pharmaceutical and progress in the merger with JT Group's pharmaceutical business. Development of Ensitrelvir in Europe and the U.S. is progressing, with applications for approval submitted.
Royalties and Global Expansion
Royalty income increased to JPY63.9 billion, up JPY2.9 billion YoY, driven by ViiV's strong HIV sales and Roche's Xofluza sales. Expansion of Fetroja and Fetcroja in Europe and the U.S. contributed to revenue growth.
Negative Updates
Decline in Domestic and Overseas Business
Domestic prescription drug sales fell to JPY14.1 billion, down JPY1.3 billion YoY, and overseas subsidiaries/exports also decreased by JPY0.7 billion YoY.
Challenges in the China Market
Sales in the China business declined, impacting overall performance.
R&D Expense Reduction
Research and development expenses decreased by JPY4.5 billion YoY, largely due to the completion of large-scale clinical trials from the previous fiscal year.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, SHIONOGI & Co., Ltd. reported a strong financial performance with revenue reaching JPY99.8 billion, marking an increase of JPY2.2 billion compared to the same period last year. Operating profit rose by JPY7 billion to JPY35.1 billion, while profit before tax increased by JPY9.8 billion, reaching JPY46.3 billion. Profit attributable to owners of the parent was JPY39.4 billion, up JPY8.7 billion, and EBITDA grew by JPY7 billion to JPY40.6 billion. The company noted that the HIV business, especially through partnerships with ViiV, showed strong growth, contributing significantly to royalty income, which rose to JPY63.9 billion. SHIONOGI also highlighted progress in its development pipelines, including the filing of Ensitrelvir in Europe and the U.S., and emphasized its ongoing efforts in cost management and strategic investments to sustain growth. Additionally, the company completed a tender offer for Torii Pharmaceutical and made strides in acquiring the pharmaceutical business of JT Group, positioning it for future expansion.

Shionogi & Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Shionogi & Co demonstrates a strong financial profile with consistent revenue growth, high profitability margins, and a stable balance sheet with low leverage. Effective cash flow management enhances its financial resilience and positions it well for future growth, though there is potential for operational efficiency and asset utilization optimization.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Shionogi & Co has demonstrated strong financial performance with a consistent increase in revenue, achieving a revenue growth rate from the previous year. The company maintains robust profitability with a high gross profit margin and a notable net profit margin. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, slight fluctuations in EBIT indicate potential areas for operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting prudent financial management and low leverage risk. The return on equity is impressive, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is high, indicating substantial equity financing, which enhances financial stability. Despite these strengths, the high stockholders' equity relative to total assets suggests room for optimizing asset utilization.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Shionogi & Co's cash flow statement highlights strong cash generation capabilities, with significant free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, reflecting effective conversion of accounting profits to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio further underscores the company's capability to generate cash exceeding net income. These metrics indicate solid liquidity and financial flexibility.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue438.27B435.08B426.68B335.14B297.18B
Gross Profit370.26B369.09B364.44B279.72B244.65B
EBITDA230.71B186.70B176.41B143.42B158.67B
Net Income170.43B162.03B184.97B114.19B111.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.54T1.42T1.31T1.15T998.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments374.80B358.09B563.36B465.18B418.32B
Total Debt21.88B11.62B9.41B6.67B7.99B
Total Liabilities172.85B164.36B189.92B157.32B134.44B
Stockholders Equity1.36T1.24T1.10T975.66B846.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow178.33B126.02B140.68B70.50B76.09B
Operating Cash Flow195.46B154.28B177.87B102.07B109.04B
Investing Cash Flow-129.07B5.92B-48.29B-96.20B-5.26B
Financing Cash Flow-51.92B-126.85B-84.12B-36.62B-43.89B

Shionogi & Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2676.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2512.35
Positive
100DMA
2414.28
Positive
200DMA
2289.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
40.10
Negative
RSI
70.92
Negative
STOCH
91.37
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4507, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2676 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2543.27, above the 50-day MA of 2512.35, and above the 200-day MA of 2289.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 40.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.92 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.37 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4507.

Shionogi & Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$2.35T12.7113.71%2.14%4.04%21.20%
65
Neutral
¥341.96B10.87-0.16%2.41%10.05%-9.84%
$3.75B30.3710.94%
$8.54B25.985.96%3.51%
$2.12B16.617.24%2.00%
$46.51B48.091.99%4.61%
$1.86B10.759.09%3.98%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4507
Shionogi & Co
2,676.00
618.82
30.08%
DNPUF
Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma Co
8.97
5.52
160.00%
ESALF
Eisai Co
31.00
-6.91
-18.23%
HTSUF
Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co
29.33
3.05
11.61%
TKPHF
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co
29.28
3.54
13.75%
TSMRF
Tsumura & Co
24.20
-1.05
-4.16%

Shionogi & Co Corporate Events

Shionogi & Co. Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Jul 28, 2025

Shionogi & Co. reported its consolidated financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, showing a revenue increase of 2.2% compared to the previous year. The company also experienced significant growth in operating profit and profit before tax, indicating strong financial performance. The company’s financial forecast for the year ending March 2026 anticipates continued revenue and profit growth, reflecting positive market positioning and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Hold with a Yen2750.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi Highlights ViiV Healthcare’s Study on Long-Acting Injectable HIV Treatment
Jul 24, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. announced that ViiV Healthcare presented results from the VOLITION study at the IAS 2025, showing that 89% of HIV patients preferred switching from daily oral therapy to the long-acting injectable Cabenuva. This preference highlights the potential for improved adherence and treatment satisfaction, reinforcing Shionogi’s commitment to infectious disease solutions and its strategic positioning in the global health market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Hold with a Yen2750.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi Completes Disposal of Treasury Shares for Compensation Plan
Jul 17, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. has completed the disposal of 200,400 treasury shares as part of a restricted stock compensation plan, with a total value of approximately ¥500 million. This move is aimed at aligning the interests of directors and officers with the company’s performance, potentially impacting the company’s governance and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Hold with a Yen2750.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi Expands COVID-19 Drug Use to Younger Patients
Jun 30, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. has submitted a supplemental New Drug Application in Japan to expand the use of its oral antiviral drug, ensitrelvir, for treating COVID-19 in pediatric patients aged 6 years and older. This move follows positive Phase 3 study results showing the drug’s safety and efficacy in children, and if approved, it will address the unmet need for oral antiviral treatments in this age group. Ensitrelvir, also known as Xocova® in some markets, has already received emergency and full regulatory approval in Japan and is under review in other regions. The drug has shown promising results in preventing symptomatic COVID-19 in post-exposure scenarios, marking a significant step in Shionogi’s efforts to strengthen its position in the antiviral market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Hold with a Yen7400.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi Completes Tender Offer for Torii Pharmaceutical Shares
Jun 19, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. announced the successful completion of its tender offer for shares of Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., which will become an equity-method affiliate of Shionogi as of June 25, 2025. This acquisition is expected to enhance Shionogi’s market position and expand its influence in the pharmaceutical industry, potentially impacting stakeholders by increasing the company’s operational scope and strategic capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Hold with a Yen2750.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi Announces Treasury Shares Disposal for Compensation Plan
Jun 18, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. announced the disposal of 200,400 treasury shares as part of a restricted stock compensation plan aimed at incentivizing directors and corporate officers to enhance corporate value. This move, approved by the Board of Directors, aligns with the company’s strategy to promote shared values with shareholders and adapt its governance structure, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Hold with a Yen2750.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi Amends Tender Offer for Torii Amid Patent Lawsuit
Jun 4, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. announced an amendment to its tender offer for shares of Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. due to a patent infringement lawsuit involving Torii’s oral antipruritus medication, REMITCH®. Despite the legal proceedings, Torii’s stance on the tender offer remains unchanged, as the financial implications of the lawsuit are still uncertain.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Hold with a Yen2750.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi’s Naldemedine Gains Approval in China for Opioid-Induced Constipation
May 30, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. announced the acceptance of its New Drug Application for naldemedine, a treatment for opioid-induced constipation, in China. This approval is expected to enhance pain management options in China, where current treatments are limited, and improve the quality of life for patients. The drug, already available in several regions, demonstrated significant efficacy in a Phase III trial in China. Following approval, Shionogi China Co., Ltd. will handle sales through an exclusive agreement with Chia Tai Tianqing Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd., potentially boosting Shionogi’s market presence and revenue in China.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Buy with a Yen3100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi Amends Tender Offer for Torii Pharmaceutical Shares
May 28, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. has announced amendments to its tender offer for shares of Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., following a notice from the Japan Fair Trade Commission. These amendments, which do not alter the terms of purchase, are necessary to update the Tender Offer Statement and ensure compliance with regulatory requirements, reflecting the company’s commitment to adhere to legal standards in its acquisition efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Buy with a Yen3100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi Proposes Governance Structure Overhaul to Enhance Strategic Oversight
May 16, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. announced its decision to propose amendments to its Articles of Incorporation at the upcoming Annual General Meeting of Shareholders. The amendments aim to transition the company to a structure with an Audit and Supervisory Committee, enhancing corporate governance and facilitating strategic decision-making. This move is expected to strengthen oversight, promote globalization, and support business model transformation, potentially impacting the company’s operational efficiency and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4507) stock is a Buy with a Yen3100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shionogi & Co stock, see the JP:4507 Stock Forecast page.

Shionogi & Co. Reports Fiscal Year 2024 Financial Results with Positive Outlook
May 12, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. reported its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year 2024, showing a slight increase in revenue and operating profit compared to the previous year. The company conducted a 3-for-1 stock split effective October 2024, which impacted earnings per share calculations. Despite a decline in comprehensive income, the company forecasts significant growth in revenue and profit for the fiscal year ending March 2026, indicating a positive outlook for stakeholders.

Shionogi Announces Tender Offer to Acquire TORII Pharmaceutical
May 7, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. has announced the commencement of a tender offer to acquire all shares of TORII PHARMACEUTICAL CO., LTD., aiming to make it a wholly-owned subsidiary. This strategic move is part of a broader transaction involving stock consolidation and capital restructuring, which is expected to enhance Shionogi’s market position and operational capabilities by integrating TORII’s resources and expertise.

Shionogi Expands Pharmaceutical Capabilities with Strategic Acquisitions
May 7, 2025

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. announced a strategic move to acquire the pharmaceutical business of Japan Tobacco Inc. and make Akros Pharma Inc. a sub-subsidiary, enhancing its capabilities in small molecule drug discovery. This transaction aligns with Shionogi’s vision of creating a new healthcare platform and aims to accelerate the development of innovative drugs, strengthen its global market position, and contribute to global health by delivering advanced pharmaceuticals.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025