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Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. (JP:4516)
:4516
Japanese Market

Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. (4516) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4516

Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd.

(4516)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥5,764.00
▲(2.02% Upside)
Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. has a strong financial foundation with efficient operations and low leverage, contributing significantly to its score. The stock's technical indicators suggest strong bullish momentum, although caution is advised due to overbought conditions. The valuation is attractive, with a reasonable P/E ratio and a solid dividend yield, enhancing its investment appeal.
Positive Factors
Very low leverage / strong balance sheet
Extremely low leverage provides durable financial flexibility, lowering insolvency risk and interest burden. This supports sustained R&D investment, manufacturing capacity and potential M&A without stressing capital structure, enhancing long-term resilience across economic cycles.
High and sustainable profitability margins
Robust gross and net margins indicate structural pricing power and operational efficiency typical of specialty pharmaceutical producers. High margins enable ongoing reinvestment in R&D and commercialization, supporting product lifecycle economics and long-term cash generation even with moderate revenue variability.
Diversified business model across pharma and agrochemicals
Having both pharmaceuticals and agrochemicals reduces single-market dependency and smooths revenue cycles. An integrated model from discovery through commercialization supports sustained product lifecycles, multiple revenue streams and cross-segment resource allocation, strengthening long-term business stability.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue decline
A material TTM revenue decline signals possible product lifecycle pressures, weaker demand or competitive loss. If the trend persists it can erode operating leverage, reduce available funds for R&D and commercialization, and challenge the company's ability to sustain medium-term growth trajectories.
Declining free cash flow
An 11.9% drop in free cash flow constrains capacity to fund R&D, capex, dividends and strategic initiatives. Even with healthy operating cash conversion ratios, a negative FCF trend reduces financial flexibility and could force tougher allocation choices that impact long-term innovation and growth investments.
Concentration on key products and R&D outcomes
Profitability tied to a limited set of products and successful R&D creates binary risk: approvals, patent cliffs or competitive displacement can sharply affect revenues. This product concentration increases long-term earnings volatility and makes sustained growth dependent on consistent development success.

Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. (4516) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells pharmaceuticals and foodstuffs in Japan, Switzerland, and internationally. The company operates through Pharmaceuticals and Functional Food segments. It offers drugs for urological diseases, inflammation and allergies, hematologic malignancies, cardiovascular and metabolic diseases, gastrointestinal disorders, and other diseases. The company's products include Zalutia for urinary disorder caused by benign prostatic; Eviprostat for prostatic hypertrophy; Bladderon for pollakisuria; Estracyt for prostate cancer; Cialis for erectile dysfunction; Vidaza for myelodysplastic syndrome; Cylocide for solid tumor and acute leukemia; CylocideN for relapsed and refractory acute leukemia and malignant lymphoma; Gazyva for humanized anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody; Defiterio sinusoidal obstruction syndrome; and Trisenox and Amnolake for relapsed and refractory acute promyelocytic leukemia. Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd.'s products also comprise Uptravi, Adcirca, and Opsumit for pulmonary arterial hypertension; VILTEPSO for muscular dystrophy; Lunabel LD and Lunabel ULD for dysmenorrhea; Erizas, a dry powder inhaler solution for allergic rhinitis; Azunol Gargle liquid, a gargling solution containing azulene; Isobide for oral osmotic diuresis/meniere's disease; Cephadol for vertigo; Livostin for allergic rhinitis and conjunctivitis; Regtect for maintaining alcohol abstinence; and Onetram and Tramal for cancer and chronic pain. In addition, it researches, develops, and markets drugs in the areas of gynecology, otorhinolaryngology, and orthopedics. Further, the company provides functional foods, such as health food ingredients, preservatives, protein preparations, supplements, and spice and condiments. Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. was founded in 1911 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyNippon Shinyaku generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, which include prescription medications for various medical conditions. The company benefits from a diverse revenue model that includes direct sales to hospitals and healthcare providers, as well as partnerships with other pharmaceutical firms for co-development and marketing of drugs. Key revenue streams are derived from both the domestic Japanese market and international sales, with significant contributions from patented products that offer high margins. Additionally, the company engages in research collaborations and licensing agreements, which provide supplementary income while allowing for shared development costs. Factors contributing to its earnings include the successful launch of new drugs, expanding market presence in targeted therapeutic areas, and strategic alliances that enhance its product offerings.

Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong profitability and financial stability with efficient operations and low leverage. However, recent revenue and free cash flow declines pose potential risks. The company should focus on reversing the revenue decline to maintain its strong financial position.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 68% and a net profit margin of approximately 19% in the TTM. However, the company experienced a revenue decline of 6.2% in the TTM, which is a concern. Despite this, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a robust balance sheet with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0096, indicating minimal leverage. Return on equity is solid at 12.46%, reflecting effective use of equity. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting financial stability and a low risk of insolvency.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow by 11.9% in the TTM, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.12, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 0.91, showing efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue160.55B160.23B148.25B144.18B137.48B121.89B
Gross Profit109.03B109.12B98.02B88.19B87.29B71.93B
EBITDA44.04B42.30B36.29B35.67B38.01B32.09B
Net Income31.95B32.56B25.85B22.81B24.99B19.54B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets297.04B283.64B263.40B237.45B219.94B197.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.46B55.24B68.70B71.60B65.74B60.80B
Total Debt2.53B2.72B2.87B2.66B2.71B2.84B
Total Liabilities36.83B36.30B42.87B41.52B39.06B34.49B
Stockholders Equity259.90B247.03B220.22B195.62B180.58B162.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.76B32.77B11.23B20.51B18.18B21.50B
Operating Cash Flow32.34B36.13B16.29B26.17B21.32B23.67B
Investing Cash Flow-14.79B-28.88B-9.92B-17.63B-10.04B-1.66B
Financing Cash Flow-9.80B-9.90B-9.72B-9.61B-8.41B-7.67B

Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price5650.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5234.92
Negative
100DMA
4269.42
Positive
200DMA
3776.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-44.04
Positive
RSI
38.59
Neutral
STOCH
25.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4516, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5650 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5466.55, above the 50-day MA of 5234.92, and above the 200-day MA of 3776.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -44.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4516.

Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥176.93B8.5711.81%2.14%9.32%30.85%
76
Outperform
¥312.38B11.229.05%3.30%10.51%9.62%
74
Outperform
¥347.41B10.882.12%4.07%22.59%
66
Neutral
¥187.89B13.636.57%2.48%13.11%41.57%
63
Neutral
¥235.75B-235.612.28%12.78%-105.43%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4516
Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd.
5,158.00
1,592.75
44.67%
JP:4547
Kissei Pharmaceutical Co
4,600.00
733.47
18.97%
JP:4540
Tsumura & Co
4,083.00
-213.16
-4.96%
JP:4553
Towa Pharmaceutical Co
3,595.00
759.98
26.81%
JP:4887
SAWAI GROUP HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.
2,370.00
495.64
26.44%

Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Nippon Shinyaku Reports Mixed Financial Results for H1 2025
Nov 14, 2025

Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. reported its financial results for the six months ended September 30, 2025, showing a slight increase in revenue to ¥79,647 million, with operating profit and profit before tax also rising. However, the profit attributable to owners of the parent decreased by 3.8%, reflecting challenges in maintaining profit margins. The company’s total assets and equity have grown, indicating a stable financial position, but the forecast for the full year ending March 31, 2026, suggests a potential decline in profits, which may impact investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4516) stock is a Buy with a Yen3635.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:4516 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025