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SAWAI GROUP HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. (JP:4887)
:4887
Japanese Market
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SAWAI GROUP HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. (4887) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4887

SAWAI GROUP HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.

(4887)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,784.00
▼(-24.37% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
The score is mainly constrained by weaker financial quality signals—especially the sharp 2026 cash flow deterioration and margin compression—despite strong revenue growth and a generally sound balance sheet. Technicals add further pressure with a clear downtrend versus moving averages and bearish momentum, while valuation is mixed: a solid dividend yield offsets a relatively higher P/E.
Positive Factors
Strong recent revenue acceleration
Nearly 50% reported revenue growth in 2026 demonstrates the company's ability to scale sales rapidly, likely from successful generic launches or market share gains. Durable top-line expansion improves fixed-cost absorption and supports longer-term operating leverage, funding capacity and strategic reinvestment.
Negative Factors
Sustained margin compression
Material erosion in gross and net margins over several years indicates persistent pricing pressure, higher input costs or product-mix shifts in the generics franchise. Lower margin structure reduces incremental cash generation, constrains reinvestment, and makes returns more sensitive to cost volatility and competition.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong recent revenue acceleration
Nearly 50% reported revenue growth in 2026 demonstrates the company's ability to scale sales rapidly, likely from successful generic launches or market share gains. Durable top-line expansion improves fixed-cost absorption and supports longer-term operating leverage, funding capacity and strategic reinvestment.
Read all positive factors

SAWAI GROUP HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. (4887) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SAWAI GROUP HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sawai Group Holdings Co., Ltd., together with subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and marketing of generic pharmaceutical products primarily in Japan and the United States. It offers generic drugs in various dosage f...
How the Company Makes Money
SAWAI GROUP HOLDINGS makes money primarily through the sale of pharmaceutical products produced and marketed by its operating subsidiaries, with generics as the core revenue driver. Revenue is generated when the group sells finished-dose medicines...

SAWAI GROUP HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue acceleration (~49.6% in 2026) and a return to sustained profitability since 2023 are positives, supported by a reasonably solid balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.59). However, gross and net margins have compressed (gross ~38.3% in 2023 to ~29.2% in 2026; net ~7.7% to ~5.2%), and cash flow deteriorated sharply in 2026 with negative free cash flow (~-¥6.0B), weakening earnings quality.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue201.68B189.02B176.86B200.34B193.82B
Gross Profit58.79B56.35B54.32B62.63B68.95B
EBITDA36.35B19.44B36.88B34.87B-20.18B
Net Income10.44B11.97B13.70B12.67B-28.27B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets359.92B354.62B382.02B364.17B349.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.99B38.78B26.37B33.08B47.72B
Total Debt105.02B95.11B87.13B77.07B70.80B
Total Liabilities181.36B180.77B163.99B151.43B149.42B
Stockholders Equity178.56B173.85B212.66B201.64B190.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.98B7.28B5.23B-7.70B19.80B
Operating Cash Flow7.43B27.85B23.15B13.03B34.31B
Investing Cash Flow-22.90B6.48B-23.11B-27.13B-30.39B
Financing Cash Flow5.59B-32.70B2.36B-1.27B-11.26B

SAWAI GROUP HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2359.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2121.69
Negative
100DMA
2224.16
Negative
200DMA
2084.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-108.35
Positive
RSI
29.19
Positive
STOCH
10.28
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4887, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2359 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1996.95, above the 50-day MA of 2121.69, and above the 200-day MA of 2084.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -108.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.19 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.28 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4887.

SAWAI GROUP HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥76.70B11.022.52%10.90%6.20%
68
Neutral
¥54.39B38.205.01%2.39%17.31%-24.31%
67
Neutral
¥283.49B22.212.12%6.58%-8.74%
58
Neutral
¥169.72B14.036.70%2.48%10.28%20.78%
55
Neutral
¥175.86B24.452.28%6.69%6.72%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
¥191.44B37.5512.02%2.14%5.44%-72.35%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4887
SAWAI GROUP HOLDINGS Co., Ltd.
1,772.50
-32.71
-1.81%
JP:4547
Kissei Pharmaceutical Co
4,015.00
258.04
6.87%
JP:4553
Towa Pharmaceutical Co
3,890.00
879.94
29.23%
JP:4554
Fuji Pharma Co., Ltd.
2,193.00
928.62
73.44%
JP:4516
Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd.
4,119.00
784.26
23.52%
JP:4886
ASKA Pharmaceutical Holdings Co., Ltd.
2,830.00
572.34
25.35%

SAWAI GROUP HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Sawai Group Lifts Profitability and Dividends as It Refocuses on Domestic Generics
May 15, 2026
Sawai Group Holdings reported a 6.7% rise in revenue to ¥201.7 billion for the year ended March 31, 2026, with operating profit surging more than threefold as its core domestic pharmaceuticals business improved after exiting its U.S. operatio...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 19, 2026