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Fuji Pharma Co., Ltd. (JP:4554)
:4554

Fuji Pharma Co., Ltd. (4554) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4554

Fuji Pharma Co., Ltd.

(4554)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,615.00
▲(38.51% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/07/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial progress (consistent revenue growth) but tempered by margin volatility, rising leverage, and only moderate cash conversion. Technicals are supportive due to a strong uptrend, though overbought RSI elevates near-term risk, while valuation is fair-to-moderate with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Consistent revenue growth
Fuji Pharma's multi-year consistent revenue growth, including a notable increase in the latest period, supports durable demand for its marketed drugs and contract manufacturing services. Predictable top-line expansion enhances the firm's ability to fund R&D, scale production, and broaden distribution over the medium term.
Improved free cash flow
Reported improvements in free cash flow and positive FCF growth indicate stronger cash generation capacity. Sustained free cash flow allows Fuji Pharma to fund capex, support selective business development or dividends, and reduce dependence on external financing, bolstering long-term financial flexibility.
Focused women's-health franchise and CDMO capabilities
A niche focus on women's health combined with in‑house contract manufacturing positions Fuji Pharma with differentiated products and recurring institutional relationships. This specialization can create durable competitive advantages via regulatory know‑how, long-term supply contracts and higher customer stickiness.
Negative Factors
Margin volatility and recent declines
Recent volatility and declines in EBIT and net profit margins reduce earnings predictability and compress internal funding for growth. Persistent margin pressure from pricing, reimbursement shifts or rising input costs would constrain free cash flow and limit the company's ability to reinvest or buffer against shocks.
Rising leverage
An increasing debt‑to‑equity ratio elevates interest and refinancing risk and narrows strategic flexibility. Higher leverage can force tighter capital allocation, raise funding costs, and reduce capacity to pursue M&A or expand R&D if operating performance weakens or macro conditions tighten.
Weaker operating cash conversion
Operating cash flow lagging reported earnings implies weaker cash conversion. If persistent, this shortfall may require external financing to cover working capital or investment needs, undermining the benefits of improved free cash flow and constraining sustainable funding for R&D, dividends, or debt reduction.

Fuji Pharma Co., Ltd. (4554) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Fuji Pharma Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFuji Pharma Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and marketing of pharmaceutical products in Japan and internationally. The company offers injection agents, internal drugs, drugs for external use, and diagnostic products. It also provides medical care for women; in vitro diagnostics, acute medical care products, and curative medicines; and information regarding pharmaceuticals and health. Fuji Pharma Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyFuji Pharma generates revenue through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, which include both generic and proprietary medications. The company’s revenue model is primarily based on direct sales to hospitals, pharmacies, and healthcare providers. Key revenue streams include prescription drug sales, licensing agreements, and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies for research and development. Additionally, Fuji Pharma may benefit from partnerships with healthcare institutions for clinical trials and product testing, which can provide funding and shared resources for new drug development. The company's focus on niche therapeutic areas helps it maintain a competitive edge and potentially higher profit margins.

Fuji Pharma Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is consistently positive, but profitability has become more volatile with weaker net profit and EBIT margins in the latest year. Balance sheet risk has risen due to increasing leverage, while cash flow trends improved (higher free cash flow) but operating cash generation versus earnings remains a relative weakness.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Fuji Pharma has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in the latest period. However, margins have shown some volatility, with a decline in net profit margin and EBIT margin in the most recent year. Despite this, the company maintains a solid gross profit margin, indicating effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased over time, indicating rising leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. However, the equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Return on equity has been relatively stable, reflecting consistent profitability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Fuji Pharma's cash flow situation has improved, with positive free cash flow growth in the latest period. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash generation from operations could be stronger. The free cash flow to net income ratio has improved, suggesting better cash management.
BreakdownSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue51.68B46.14B40.89B35.43B33.99B
Gross Profit19.29B17.84B16.52B14.56B14.75B
EBITDA8.30B12.15B7.54B6.52B5.53B
Net Income3.00B6.15B3.44B2.70B2.43B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets93.41B90.00B85.33B75.54B64.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.25B4.58B2.32B3.55B10.20B
Total Debt30.94B29.25B28.95B24.57B18.66B
Total Liabilities46.49B44.44B44.16B39.73B31.56B
Stockholders Equity46.91B45.56B41.17B35.80B32.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.82B-221.00M-1.98B-13.08B2.10B
Operating Cash Flow5.80B4.15B1.92B-658.00M5.99B
Investing Cash Flow-4.22B-1.66B-5.24B-11.27B-2.35B
Financing Cash Flow954.00M-435.00M1.92B5.09B-5.43B

Fuji Pharma Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1888.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2027.06
Positive
100DMA
1848.62
Positive
200DMA
1616.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
116.03
Negative
RSI
72.21
Negative
STOCH
54.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4554, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1888 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2216.20, below the 50-day MA of 2027.06, and above the 200-day MA of 1616.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 116.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.21 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4554.

Fuji Pharma Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥66.08B14.412.52%5.44%-20.33%
73
Outperform
¥133.39B21.895.11%2.34%4.35%48.30%
69
Neutral
¥89.33B9.203.36%11.65%93.46%
68
Neutral
¥57.67B25.146.49%2.39%12.01%-51.38%
63
Neutral
¥43.78B19.772.75%7.56%-48.91%
60
Neutral
¥21.74B-5.283.71%7.50%-281.41%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4554
Fuji Pharma Co., Ltd.
2,361.00
1,036.06
78.20%
JP:4534
Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.
3,920.00
810.51
26.07%
JP:4538
Fuso Pharmaceutical Industries,Ltd.
2,478.00
111.63
4.72%
JP:4569
KYORIN Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.
1,697.00
369.74
27.86%
JP:4577
Daito Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.
1,455.00
453.85
45.33%
JP:4886
ASKA Pharmaceutical Holdings Co., Ltd.
2,483.00
457.93
22.61%

Fuji Pharma Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Fuji Pharma Lifts Sales Outlook but Slashes Profit Forecast on Alvotech Valuation Loss
Feb 5, 2026

Fuji Pharma revised its earnings forecasts for the second quarter and full year ending September 2026, projecting higher net sales, operating profit and ordinary profit on the back of stronger-than-expected sales of its main products, while keeping its dividend outlook unchanged. However, the company sharply cut its forecast for profit attributable to owners of parent after booking a ¥2.46 billion valuation loss on investment securities, triggered by a significant share price decline in Alvotech Holdings S.A., a key biosimilar partner whose shares Fuji holds to reinforce their strategic collaboration and secure access to biosimilar pipelines, underscoring the increased earnings volatility tied to its investment-driven growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4554) stock is a Buy with a Yen2093.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fuji Pharma Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:4554 Stock Forecast page.

Fuji Pharma Books ¥2.46 Billion Securities Valuation Loss on Alvotech Stake
Feb 5, 2026

Fuji Pharma has recognized an impairment loss on its portfolio of available-for-sale securities for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending September 2026, booking a valuation loss of ¥2,457 million after a significant decline in the share price of Alvotech Holdings S.A., a key partner in its biosimilars growth strategy. The company notes that the valuation of these securities is reassessed quarterly under a wash-up method and may fluctuate with future share price movements, and it has indicated that the impact on its consolidated earnings forecast for the first half and full year to September 2026 is addressed in a separate revision of earnings guidance released the same day, underscoring potential implications for profitability and investor expectations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4554) stock is a Buy with a Yen2093.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fuji Pharma Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:4554 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026