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ONO Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (JP:4528)
:4528
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ONO Pharmaceutical Co (4528) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4528

ONO Pharmaceutical Co

(4528)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,670.00
▲(9.65% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/01/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (high margins, strong cash conversion, and low leverage), partially offset by weaker recent momentum (TTM revenue decline and normalization from peak profitability). Valuation adds support via a reasonable P/E and a solid dividend yield, while technicals are mixed with near-term softness but a still-supportive longer-term trend.
Positive Factors
High margins
Sustained high gross and operating margins reflect durable pricing power and efficient cost structure in specialty pharmaceuticals. Over 2–6 months this supports cash generation, reinvestment in R&D, and ability to defend margins against pricing pressure or higher SG&A.
Negative Factors
Revenue contraction
A declining top line signals product lifecycle headwinds or slowing demand for key drugs. Over the medium term this can pressure R&D funding trade-offs, reduce operating leverage benefits, and limit milestone-linked upside from partnerships.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High margins
Sustained high gross and operating margins reflect durable pricing power and efficient cost structure in specialty pharmaceuticals. Over 2–6 months this supports cash generation, reinvestment in R&D, and ability to defend margins against pricing pressure or higher SG&A.
Read all positive factors

ONO Pharmaceutical Co (4528) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

ONO Pharmaceutical Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ono Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., along with its affiliated companies, is engaged in the global development, manufacturing, procurement, and sale of a diverse range of pharmaceutical products and diagnostic tools. Its diverse oncology portfolio includ...
How the Company Makes Money
ONO primarily makes money by selling prescription pharmaceuticals, with revenue recognized from the distribution of its branded drugs to wholesalers, hospitals, and pharmacies (predominantly in Japan). Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Pr...

ONO Pharmaceutical Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2026
(Q1-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Mixed but balanced. The quarter delivered the company's highest-ever Q1 revenue (up 8.4% YoY) driven by strong FORXIGA performance and the addition of Deciphera (notably QINLOCK and ROMVIMZA). Strategic pipeline moves (povetacicept acquisition) and regulatory approvals/positive opinions support medium-term growth. However, near-term profitability was weakened by Deciphera operating losses, acquisition-related amortization and increased R&D/SG&A, while OPDIVO faces competitive pressure and slower recovery in lung cancer prescriptions. Management maintained full-year guidance, signaling confidence but with clear execution and timing risks.
Positive Updates
Highest Q1 Revenue on Record
Revenue increased by JPY9.9 billion (8.4% YoY) to JPY127.5 billion, the highest Q1 sales in company history; sales revenue component rose JPY8.4 billion (10.6% YoY) to JPY87.8 billion and royalties/other increased JPY1.4 billion (3.7% YoY) to JPY39.8 billion.
Negative Updates
Core Operating Profit Decline
Core operating profit decreased by JPY3.5 billion (10.1% YoY) to JPY31.6 billion, primarily driven by a JPY4.8 billion operating loss at Deciphera included this period but not in the prior-year comparison.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Highest Q1 Revenue on Record
Revenue increased by JPY9.9 billion (8.4% YoY) to JPY127.5 billion, the highest Q1 sales in company history; sales revenue component rose JPY8.4 billion (10.6% YoY) to JPY87.8 billion and royalties/other increased JPY1.4 billion (3.7% YoY) to JPY39.8 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
guidance reiterated that full-year guidance is unchanged: Q1 revenue rose JPY9.9bn (8.4%) to JPY127.5bn (sales JPY87.8bn, royalties JPY39.8bn), driven by JPY10.1bn of Deciphera sales (QINLOCK JPY8.9bn; ROMVIMZA JPY1.1bn, annualized JPY5bn), while domestic sales fell JPY1.6bn and OPDIVO IV sales dropped JPY2.6bn to JPY29.4bn; FORXIGA grew JPY2.9bn (13%) to JPY25.1bn. Core operating profit fell JPY3.5bn (10.1%) to JPY31.6bn and core profit for the period fell JPY3.9bn (13.7%) to JPY24.8bn (full-IFRS operating profit down JPY8.7bn to JPY22.0bn; profit for the period JPY17.7bn), with R&D up JPY7.4bn and SG&A up JPY6.1bn partly due to Deciphera (Deciphera operating loss JPY4.8bn); reconciling amortization/step-up items totaled about JPY8.9bn. OPDIVO guidance: FY2025 sales target JPY125bn (+JPY4.7bn YoY) with specific new‑patient share goals—gastric 65% now, target 70% by year‑end; esophageal new‑patient share 53% aiming for 60%; lung new‑patient share 17% vs target 30% (PD‑L1‑negative target 50% in FY2025); hepatocellular carcinoma first‑line new‑patient share target 30% by Dec 2026—and ~70,000 existing patients remain untreated for existing indications; timing for new approvals and povetacicept filing remains subject to trial timelines.

ONO Pharmaceutical Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by high TTM gross margin (~74%), solid operating margin (~21%), good net margin (~15%), robust cash generation with strong earnings-to-cash conversion (FCF ~0.96x net income), and low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.14). The key offsets are weakening momentum with TTM revenue down (~-2.2%), slightly lower TTM free cash flow, and profitability/returns moderating versus the unusually strong 2023–2024 period.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue504.41B515.78B486.87B502.67B447.19B361.36B
Gross Profit371.03B374.07B335.47B372.67B334.28B264.91B
EBITDA141.44B133.94B87.86B181.98B161.11B122.82B
Net Income76.33B69.77B50.05B127.98B112.72B80.52B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.08T1.11T1.06T913.67B882.44B739.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments221.20B237.11B210.38B204.59B164.29B116.97B
Total Debt117.10B120.94B146.68B8.86B9.17B8.80B
Total Liabilities211.67B249.87B275.84B115.06B134.62B77.53B
Stockholders Equity866.83B850.73B782.45B792.96B741.87B655.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow128.74B130.80B77.03B106.64B154.27B56.33B
Operating Cash Flow134.50B136.82B82.46B110.66B159.61B61.83B
Investing Cash Flow6.61B-39.86B-136.78B48.08B-100.26B6.04B
Financing Cash Flow-61.59B-65.49B94.30B-89.85B-32.48B-60.24B

ONO Pharmaceutical Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥11.41T24.2024.02%2.87%12.25%19.19%
74
Outperform
¥1.12T14.698.54%3.28%1.55%77.55%
73
Outperform
¥1.34T18.348.39%2.52%3.20%43.05%
71
Outperform
¥1.36T35.314.44%3.44%4.56%-16.55%
65
Neutral
¥3.97T13.5317.44%3.60%11.87%474.29%
58
Neutral
¥4.67T19.4415.74%2.79%15.51%-16.27%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4528
ONO Pharmaceutical Co
2,338.00
701.60
42.87%
JP:4503
Astellas Pharma
2,288.50
745.47
48.31%
JP:4519
Chugai Pharmaceutical Co
6,764.00
-442.10
-6.14%
JP:4568
Daiichi Sankyo Company
2,660.00
-850.69
-24.23%
JP:4523
Eisai Co
4,691.00
487.95
11.61%
JP:4151
Kyowa Kirin Co
2,514.00
-103.10
-3.94%

ONO Pharmaceutical Co Corporate Events

Ono Pharmaceutical Lifts Q1 Profits Despite Revenue Decline, Confirms FY2026 Outlook
Jul 31, 2026
Ono Pharmaceutical reported first-quarter FY2026 revenue of ¥116.2 billion, down 8.9% year on year, but significantly improved profitability, with operating profit up 39.4% and profit attributable to owners rising 36.7%. Core operating profit...
ONO Pharmaceutical Details FY2025 Results and FY2026 Outlook with Focus on Pipeline and Core Metrics
May 8, 2026
ONO Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. released supplementary materials for its fiscal year 2025 consolidated financial results on a core basis, covering the period from April 1, 2025 to March 31, 2026. The materials outline sales revenue for major products...
Ono Pharmaceutical Delivers Strong FY 2025 Profits but Guides for Lower Revenue in FY 2026
May 8, 2026
Ono Pharmaceutical reported fiscal 2025 revenue of ¥515.8 billion, up 5.9% year on year, with operating profit surging 54.4% and profit attributable to owners jumping 39.4%, reflecting improved margins and stronger core earnings. The company ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2026