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Smaregi, Inc. (JP:4431)
:4431
Japanese Market

Smaregi, Inc. (4431) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4431

Smaregi, Inc.

(4431)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,427.00
▼(-20.56% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/17/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial fundamentals (fast growth, solid margins, high ROE, and minimal leverage). This is offset by weak technical conditions (price below key moving averages with negative MACD), while valuation is reasonable but not especially compelling given the low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth Momentum
Sustained high single- to double-digit top-line growth (21.7% YoY to ¥11.1B in 2025) indicates durable product adoption for Smaregi’s cloud POS and expanding customer footprint, supporting recurring subscription revenue and longer-term scale benefits for margins and cash flow.
Negative Factors
Cash Conversion Variability
Operating cash flow lagging net income in 2025 and past years shows working-capital and timing swings that can cause periodic cash volatility, complicating reinvestment planning and making free-cash-flow reliability less predictable for funding growth or dividends.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Momentum
Sustained high single- to double-digit top-line growth (21.7% YoY to ¥11.1B in 2025) indicates durable product adoption for Smaregi’s cloud POS and expanding customer footprint, supporting recurring subscription revenue and longer-term scale benefits for margins and cash flow.
Read all positive factors

Smaregi, Inc. (4431) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Smaregi, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Smaregi, Inc. plans, designs, develops, and provides Web services. The company also offers Smaregi, a cloud type POS cash register system; Smaregi Waiter, an order management system that uses smartphones; and Smaregi - Time Card, a cloud-based att...
How the Company Makes Money
Smaregi primarily generates revenue from providing its cloud POS and related services to business customers. Key revenue streams include: (1) recurring fees from cloud POS software and associated service plans (subscription/usage-based SaaS), wher...

Smaregi, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong financial profile driven by accelerating revenue growth (+21.7% YoY in 2025), solid profitability (EBIT margin ~21%, net margin ~14.8%), and an exceptionally conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.01x, ROE ~21%). Key watch-outs are some margin variability versus prior peaks and uneven cash conversion (OCF below net income in 2025).
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
93
Very Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMApr 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022Apr 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.20B11.07B8.39B5.91B4.30B3.32B
Gross Profit3.87B6.76B5.20B3.57B2.64B2.06B
EBITDA1.36B2.72B1.95B1.11B744.93M969.56M
Net Income779.09M1.64B1.21B887.60M444.98M583.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.59B10.75B7.96B6.18B5.20B4.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.50B5.91B5.28B3.96B3.51B3.61B
Total Debt100.00M100.00M0.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities2.84B3.08B1.99B1.50B1.00B837.54M
Stockholders Equity7.76B7.67B5.97B4.68B4.20B3.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.79B1.35B806.71M116.59M672.99M
Operating Cash Flow0.002.47B1.71B986.44M222.99M772.77M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.92B-393.08M-310.73M-84.51M-103.03M
Financing Cash Flow0.0082.22M8.84M-447.94M17.21M-228.70M

Smaregi, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3055.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2501.44
Negative
100DMA
2714.45
Negative
200DMA
2950.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-122.31
Positive
RSI
40.27
Neutral
STOCH
21.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4431, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3055 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2296.45, above the 50-day MA of 2501.44, and above the 200-day MA of 2950.84, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -122.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4431.

Smaregi, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥9.46B20.410.47%19.35%71.74%
71
Outperform
¥42.43B20.490.52%26.98%19.69%
71
Outperform
¥6.68B15.281.18%6.95%-9.62%
71
Outperform
¥5.48B12.302.50%4.29%-42.71%
65
Neutral
¥9.96B13.232.16%2.75%25.24%
64
Neutral
¥600.82B35.9320.54%1.47%11.81%16.69%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4431
Smaregi, Inc.
2,169.00
-734.26
-25.29%
JP:3769
GMO Payment Gateway
7,922.00
-14.33
-0.18%
JP:3623
Billing System Corporation
1,048.00
-147.22
-12.32%
JP:3633
GMO Pepabo, Inc.
1,882.00
445.59
31.02%
JP:4374
ROBOT PAYMENT INC.
2,480.00
315.37
14.57%
JP:4496
Commerce One Holdings, Inc.
762.00
-67.58
-8.15%

Smaregi, Inc. Corporate Events

Smaregi Starts Preparations to Seek Upgrade to TSE Prime Market
Mar 13, 2026
Smaregi, Inc. has announced that it will begin preparing an application to move its stock listing from the Tokyo Stock Exchange Growth Market to the Prime Market. The company aims to leverage this potential upgrade to support medium- to long-term ...
Smaregi Cuts Sales Outlook but Keeps Profits Steady as Subscription Shift Accelerates
Mar 13, 2026
Smaregi, Inc. has revised its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending April 30, 2026, lowering projected net sales to ¥13,149 million from ¥13,859 million while maintaining forecasts for operating profit, ordinary profi...
Smaregi Delivers Double-Digit Profit Growth and Lifts Full-Year Outlook
Mar 13, 2026
Smaregi reported strong growth for the nine months ended Jan. 31, 2026, with net sales rising 22.1% year on year to ¥9.62 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent up 25.2% to ¥1.53 billion. Earnings per share also improved, re...
Smaregi to Absorb E-Commerce Subsidiary Netshop Supporters in May 2026
Feb 13, 2026
Smaregi, Inc. will merge with its wholly owned subsidiary Netshop Supporters Co., Ltd. on May 1, 2026, in an absorption-type transaction with Smaregi as the surviving company. The move follows Smaregi’s 2024 acquisition of Netshop Supporters...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 17, 2026