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Commerce One Holdings, Inc. (JP:4496)
:4496
Japanese Market
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Commerce One Holdings, Inc. (4496) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4496

Commerce One Holdings, Inc.

(4496)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥845.00
▲(8.33% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:06/09/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial positioning (minimal leverage) and robust 2026 revenue growth, tempered by volatile margins and a notable 2026 free-cash-flow decline. Technical signals are mixed with negative MACD, while valuation is reasonable with a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage provides durable financial flexibility: with debt/equity near 0.02 the company can fund investments, endure cyclical weakness, pursue opportunistic M&A or support shareholder returns without heavy refinancing risk. This structural strength reduces solvency risk over months.
Negative Factors
Margin Volatility
Material swings in margins—net margin rebounded to ~7.8% in 2026 but remains well below 2022–24 levels—make earnings less predictable and complicate capital planning. Persistent margin volatility undermines sustainable return on capital and raises the risk that revenue gains may not reliably convert to lasting profits.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage provides durable financial flexibility: with debt/equity near 0.02 the company can fund investments, endure cyclical weakness, pursue opportunistic M&A or support shareholder returns without heavy refinancing risk. This structural strength reduces solvency risk over months.
Read all positive factors

Commerce One Holdings, Inc. (4496) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Commerce One Holdings, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Commerce One Holdings Inc. furnishes a comprehensive array of services designed to empower online businesses, assisting them from their initial launch through to ongoing operations. The company's offerings encompass the development and upkeep of e...

Commerce One Holdings, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet (very low leverage and improved ROE) supports resilience, and 2026 revenue growth accelerated sharply. However, profitability and margins have been volatile versus prior peaks, and free cash flow declined materially in 2026 with inconsistent cash conversion.
Income Statement
71
Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.90B3.69B3.56B3.20B2.94B
Gross Profit2.13B2.10B2.02B1.80B1.70B
EBITDA632.40M483.08M846.67M798.20M808.32M
Net Income302.31M91.59M414.86M441.36M495.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.63B3.47B3.88B3.51B3.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.88B1.86B1.73B1.61B1.64B
Total Debt50.38M70.62M53.92M57.54M14.15M
Total Liabilities1.00B948.30M1.04B889.59M822.17M
Stockholders Equity2.62B2.52B2.84B2.62B2.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow303.28M479.30M775.37M156.29M514.26M
Operating Cash Flow312.72M532.78M778.61M163.97M515.51M
Investing Cash Flow-82.82M-182.39M-367.76M-56.40M-111.19M
Financing Cash Flow-236.94M-213.37M-307.41M-142.77M-3.68M

Commerce One Holdings, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price780.00
Price Trends
50DMA
736.98
Positive
100DMA
753.57
Positive
200DMA
774.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
16.89
Negative
RSI
61.63
Neutral
STOCH
66.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4496, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 780 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 725.95, above the 50-day MA of 736.98, and above the 200-day MA of 774.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 16.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4496.

Commerce One Holdings, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥50.06B21.610.52%20.60%35.88%
74
Outperform
¥9.01B14.520.47%17.60%71.29%
71
Outperform
¥6.30B12.451.18%12.84%24.85%
68
Neutral
¥5.68B18.742.50%5.48%240.29%
67
Neutral
¥622.14B26.3420.54%1.47%11.96%18.70%
65
Neutral
¥8.35B9.842.16%-1.76%25.65%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4496
Commerce One Holdings, Inc.
814.00
51.83
6.80%
JP:3769
GMO Payment Gateway
8,329.00
-466.00
-5.30%
JP:3623
Billing System Corporation
994.00
-3.47
-0.35%
JP:3633
GMO Pepabo, Inc.
1,582.00
79.42
5.29%
JP:4374
ROBOT PAYMENT INC.
2,339.00
-152.01
-6.10%
JP:4431
Smaregi, Inc.
2,500.00
-592.27
-19.15%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 09, 2026