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Hotto Link, Inc. (JP:3680)
:3680
Japanese Market
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Hotto Link, Inc. (3680) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3680

Hotto Link, Inc.

(3680)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
¥214.00
▼(-16.08% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/16/26
Overall score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (material losses, negative ROE, and negative/free-cash-flow deterioration) despite a strong TTM revenue rebound and manageable leverage. Technicals also remain weak with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation gets limited support from a ~2.75% dividend yield, but the negative P/E reflects ongoing losses.
Positive Factors
Recurring subscription business model
A subscription-based analytics model creates recurring, predictable revenue and higher customer lifetime value. Combined with strategic partnerships with platforms and agencies, this supports scalable upsells, cross‑sell opportunities and a durable revenue base if retention holds.
Negative Factors
Deep negative margins and returns
Significantly negative margins and deeply negative ROE reflect persistent loss-making and erosion of shareholder value. Until operating profitability turns sustainably positive, the business will struggle to retain capital internally for growth, dividends, or balance-sheet repair.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring subscription business model
A subscription-based analytics model creates recurring, predictable revenue and higher customer lifetime value. Combined with strategic partnerships with platforms and agencies, this supports scalable upsells, cross‑sell opportunities and a durable revenue base if retention holds.
Read all positive factors

Hotto Link, Inc. (3680) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Hotto Link, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Hottolink, Inc. offers social media marketing support that collects, analyzes, and utilizes social big data in Japan. The company provides SNS marketing support, Twitter marketing support, Instagram marketing support, influencer marketing support,...
How the Company Makes Money
Hotto Link, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the provision of subscription-based social media data analytics platforms and services. The company's key revenue streams include licensing its proprietary analytics software to businesses, prov...

Hotto Link, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue rebounded sharply (+205.6% TTM), but profitability is weak (EBIT margin ~-6.2%, net margin ~-49.0%) and has deteriorated versus 2021–2023. Balance sheet leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.24) but ROE is deeply negative (~-34.9%). Operating cash flow is positive (~296M), yet free cash flow is negative (~-420M) and worsened materially, increasing funding/loss-reversal risk.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.73B3.65B4.27B4.74B7.91B6.57B
Gross Profit1.23B1.17B1.29B1.57B2.16B2.16B
EBITDA194.17M213.20M346.31M700.31M620.53M747.24M
Net Income-1.73B-1.79B-564.63M226.60M1.82B764.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.74B6.00B7.87B8.49B8.47B7.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.31B2.43B3.30B3.50B3.60B2.60B
Total Debt920.00M980.26M978.25M1.18B1.35B1.61B
Total Liabilities1.81B1.96B2.02B2.35B2.52B3.18B
Stockholders Equity3.93B4.03B5.86B6.14B5.95B3.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-420.44M-376.35M295.60M687.68M793.22M677.97M
Operating Cash Flow296.16M239.97M295.60M698.11M793.56M678.71M
Investing Cash Flow-904.50M-921.07M-432.91M-716.18M-291.06M-536.01M
Financing Cash Flow-196.73M-144.31M-193.11M-154.51M375.77M307.87M

Hotto Link, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price255.00
Price Trends
50DMA
223.04
Positive
100DMA
241.97
Negative
200DMA
264.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.79
Negative
RSI
59.03
Neutral
STOCH
83.96
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3680, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 255 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 220.70, above the 50-day MA of 223.04, and below the 200-day MA of 264.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.96 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3680.

Hotto Link, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
¥91.26B22.136.41%61.41%-14.56%
68
Neutral
¥18.08B25.498.39%19.42%
66
Neutral
¥99.34B288.850.18%29.01%-10.58%
62
Neutral
¥191.37B28.621.76%178.95%4567.63%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
46
Neutral
¥3.42B-17.801.17%-7.26%-128.69%
40
Underperform
¥1.26B-4.1122.96%57.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3680
Hotto Link, Inc.
218.00
-79.36
-26.69%
JP:3993
PKSHA Technology
2,902.00
-87.00
-2.91%
JP:3914
JIG-SAW INC.
2,749.00
44.00
1.63%
JP:4073
Global Communication Planning Co.Ltd.
495.00
-35.00
-6.60%
JP:4180
Appier Group, Inc.
967.00
-381.26
-28.28%
JP:4784
GMO AD Partners Inc.
629.00
-2,097.51
-76.93%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 16, 2026