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GMO AD Partners Inc. (JP:4784)
:4784
Japanese Market

GMO AD Partners Inc. (4784) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4784

GMO AD Partners Inc.

(4784)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
¥726.00
▼(-27.54% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by materially stronger 2025 financial performance and cash flow, but is held back by a clearly weak technical trend (below major moving averages with negative MACD) and a relatively high P/E that leaves less margin for error if the recent financial step-up is not sustained.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
The company generated substantial operating and free cash flow in 2025, providing durable internal funding for reinvestment, debt servicing, or shareholder returns. Strong FCF improves financial flexibility and reduces reliance on external financing if the company sustains operational performance.
Revenue and Profitability Step-up
A material increase in scale and positive net income demonstrates the business achieved stronger commercial traction and margin recovery. If sustained, this step-up supports long-term investment, scale economics, and the firm's ability to build competitive positioning in its market.
Adequate Capital Structure
The balance sheet shows equity that exceeds debt, implying moderate leverage and available solvency cushion. This capital base supports ongoing operations and growth investments while leaving room to manage obligations, provided cash generation remains reliable.
Negative Factors
Historical Revenue and Cash Volatility
Prior multi-year declines and swings in revenue and margins signal an uneven business profile. Such volatility raises the odds that the 2025 improvement could be cyclical or execution-driven rather than structural, increasing forecasting risk and requiring scrutiny of recurring revenue quality.
Newly Elevated Leverage
The firm introduced material debt after historically low or no-debt periods, shifting the balance-sheet risk profile. Elevated leverage reduces flexibility, increases interest burden sensitivity, and heightens the downside if cash flows re-run negative or growth slows.
Execution & Integration Risk from Rapid Scale-up
A quick expansion in scale and assets can strain operations, systems, and margins if integration is imperfect. Sustaining margins and cash conversion depends on effective execution across sales, delivery, and cost controls; failures would erode the recent gains and increase downside risk.

GMO AD Partners Inc. (4784) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

GMO AD Partners Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGMO AD Partners Inc. (4784) is a Japanese company that operates in the digital marketing and advertising industry. It provides a wide range of services, including digital advertising solutions, media planning, and buying, as well as creative services. The company leverages advanced technology and data analytics to optimize marketing campaigns, thus supporting clients in enhancing their online presence and achieving their marketing objectives.
How the Company Makes MoneyGMO AD Partners Inc. generates revenue through a variety of channels primarily centered around its digital marketing services. The company earns money by providing advertising solutions and media strategies to clients, charging fees for campaign management, media buying, and data-driven marketing insights. Additionally, it may receive commissions or fees from partnerships with media and technology platforms. The firm's expertise in data analytics and technology-enhanced marketing allows it to offer premium services that attract a diverse client base, thus contributing to its overall earnings.

GMO AD Partners Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials improved sharply in 2025 with a major revenue step-up (78.5B), solid profitability (net income 5.56B), and strong cash generation (OCF 13.7B; FCF 12.7B). Offsetting this, results were volatile in prior years and the company introduced meaningful debt versus historically low/no-debt periods, increasing risk if the 2025 step-change proves less durable.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Profitability and scale improved sharply in the latest annual period (2025), with revenue surging to 78.5B and solid earnings (net income 5.56B). This is a major step-up from 2024’s near break-even result and follows several years of uneven performance, including margin pressure and occasional weak operating profit. The key weakness is consistency: revenue declined in 2022–2024 before the 2025 rebound, suggesting a more volatile growth profile than typical high-quality software peers.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
The balance sheet looks reasonably supported by equity (2025 equity 13.9B vs. total debt 8.87B), indicating moderate leverage rather than an overextended profile. However, leverage increased meaningfully versus prior years that showed no debt, and the jump in total assets to 51.5B alongside the large 2025 scale-up raises integration/execution risk (financial structure changed quickly). Overall strength is adequate, but the trend is toward higher balance-sheet risk than the company historically carried.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash generation is strong in the latest year, with operating cash flow of 13.7B and free cash flow of 12.7B (2025), comfortably exceeding reported net income and providing flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns. The main drawback is historical volatility: operating and free cash flow were negative in 2023 and comparatively modest in 2024, so durability of the 2025 cash step-up is the key watch item.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.97B78.55B13.00B14.90B16.63B34.52B
Gross Profit15.68B25.97B5.97B6.33B7.20B6.16B
EBITDA6.15B12.99B300.51M126.53M859.60M623.76M
Net Income2.49B5.56B-4.84M40.34M395.97M328.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets49.37B51.53B10.36B10.85B12.42B11.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.86B13.89B4.92B5.04B6.20B5.57B
Total Debt8.17B8.87B0.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities36.01B37.46B5.11B5.61B6.99B6.43B
Stockholders Equity13.28B13.89B5.20B5.21B5.40B5.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0012.73B21.01M-1.06B765.28M-38.11M
Operating Cash Flow0.0013.71B30.46M-912.47M881.19M195.81M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-749.00M-144.39M-68.36M-197.21M-206.43M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-6.33B-22.82M-177.09M-55.58M-285.80M

GMO AD Partners Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1002.00
Price Trends
50DMA
832.45
Negative
100DMA
841.61
Negative
200DMA
1349.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-21.45
Negative
RSI
49.33
Neutral
STOCH
56.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4784, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1002 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 762.30, above the 50-day MA of 832.45, and below the 200-day MA of 1349.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -21.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4784.

GMO AD Partners Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
¥107.39B47.698.26%28.88%27.51%
65
Neutral
¥211.03B37.951.76%377.76%
65
Neutral
¥10.84B12.152.16%2.75%25.24%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
¥84.95B32.940.18%25.88%80.30%
52
Neutral
¥120.74B162.310.14%36.42%28.23%
44
Neutral
¥3.53B-1.971.17%-21.76%-5832.28%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4784
GMO AD Partners Inc.
770.00
-530.75
-40.80%
JP:3993
PKSHA Technology
3,415.00
155.00
4.75%
JP:3633
GMO Pepabo, Inc.
2,049.00
678.75
49.53%
JP:3680
Hotto Link, Inc.
225.00
-22.47
-9.08%
JP:3778
SAKURA Internet Inc.
3,020.00
-1,155.73
-27.68%
JP:4180
Appier Group, Inc.
828.00
-606.08
-42.26%

GMO AD Partners Inc. Corporate Events

GMO Internet Reshapes Leadership as Infrastructure Reorganization Advances
Feb 16, 2026

GMO Internet, Inc. has outlined changes to its top management as part of an ongoing reorganization of the GMO Internet Group’s infrastructure business, which was transferred to the company via an absorption-type split effective January 1, 2025. The move is intended to align the leadership structure with the progress of organizational integration following the consolidation of domain, cloud and hosting, and access operations.

Under the new structure, the company will shift from a two-person representative director system to a single representative director, with President and CEO Tadashi Ito remaining in his current role. Representative Director and Executive Vice President Makoto Hashiguchi will step down from his representative role on March 18, 2026, and continue as Director and Executive Vice President, while the seven incumbent directors, including audit and supervisory committee members, are scheduled to be re-elected at the March 18, 2026 shareholders’ meeting, ensuring continuity during the transition.

The planned management lineup keeps key figures such as Chairman of the Board Masatoshi Kumagai and Director Masashi Yasuda in their positions, maintaining stability in governance while refining responsibilities at the top. Audit and supervisory committee members Miyuki Iwahama, Tomoshige Sugino, and Takuya Ayukawa will also continue in their roles, supporting oversight as the company navigates its post-reorganization structure and seeks to solidify its position in the internet infrastructure market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4784) stock is a Hold with a Yen751.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GMO AD Partners Inc. stock, see the JP:4784 Stock Forecast page.

GMO Internet Sets 100% Payout Year-End Dividend and Launches Quarterly Dividend Policy
Feb 16, 2026

GMO Internet, Inc. has proposed a year-end dividend of 5.64 yen per share for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, consisting of an ordinary dividend of 3.70 yen and a commemorative dividend of 1.94 yen. The total payout will be 1,546 million yen, sourced from retained earnings, and is scheduled to become effective on March 23, 2026, subject to approval at the March 18 shareholders’ meeting.

The company is shifting to a policy of quarterly dividends from FY2025 and is targeting a consolidated dividend payout ratio of 65% or higher as a core policy. For fiscal years 2025 and 2026, it plans to add a 35% commemorative component to reach a 100% payout ratio in celebration of its Prime Market listing, underscoring an enhanced commitment to shareholder returns and potentially strengthening its appeal to income-focused investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4784) stock is a Hold with a Yen751.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GMO AD Partners Inc. stock, see the JP:4784 Stock Forecast page.

GMO Internet Plans Cut to Authorized Shares to Refine Capital Structure
Feb 16, 2026

GMO Internet’s board has approved a proposal to partially amend its Articles of Incorporation, seeking shareholder approval to revise the total number of authorized shares at the upcoming annual general meeting in March 2026. The change is aimed at aligning the share authorization with the company’s current business scale, financial position, and capital policy.

Under the proposal, the ceiling on authorized shares would be reduced from 555 million to 356 million, a move the company says is designed to maintain an appropriate capital structure while preserving flexibility to respond to future changes in its business environment. The adjustment reflects a more conservative share issuance framework that could influence future capital-raising options and may be seen by investors as a signal of disciplined equity management and attention to potential dilution.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4784) stock is a Hold with a Yen751.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GMO AD Partners Inc. stock, see the JP:4784 Stock Forecast page.

GMO Internet to Invest ¥3.2 Billion in Turing and Supply High-End GPU Cloud for Autonomous Driving AI
Feb 12, 2026

GMO Internet has signed a memorandum of understanding with autonomous driving startup Turing Inc. to form a strategic partnership in the GPU cloud sector, alongside a planned 3.2 billion yen equity investment. Under the deal, GMO will supply Turing with a large-scale AI computing infrastructure over four years using NVIDIA’s latest H200 and B300 GPUs, targeting about 0.37 EFLOPS of theoretical performance to support development of fully autonomous driving AI.

The agreement deepens an existing commercial relationship, as GMO has already been providing its GMO GPU Cloud service to Turing for AI development workloads. While GMO expects only a minor near-term impact on its 2026 consolidated earnings, the move underscores its ambitions to position GMO GPU Cloud as core infrastructure for cutting-edge AI applications and strengthens its foothold in the fast-evolving autonomous driving ecosystem.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4784) stock is a Hold with a Yen751.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GMO AD Partners Inc. stock, see the JP:4784 Stock Forecast page.

GMO AD Partners Outlines 2025 Results and 2026 Growth Strategy
Feb 12, 2026

GMO AD Partners Inc., under the umbrella of GMO Internet Group, works in Japan’s digital and internet-related markets, with a focus likely centered on online advertising and associated services for corporate clients. Its operations are tied into the group’s broader strategy to capture growth in internet infrastructure and digital marketing.

The company released presentation materials outlining full-year financial results for the fiscal year ending December 2025, together with growth strategies, progress across business fields, and its 2026 earnings forecast. The materials also address shareholder returns and provide reference data, signaling an effort to communicate performance, future strategy, and capital policy to investors and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4784) stock is a Hold with a Yen751.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GMO AD Partners Inc. stock, see the JP:4784 Stock Forecast page.

GMO Internet Lifts 2025 Dividend Forecast and Adopts Aggressive Payout Policy
Feb 12, 2026

GMO Internet has revised its dividend forecast for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, raising the planned annual dividend per share to 20.26 yen from 18.20 yen. The new forecast incorporates a year-end dividend of 5.64 yen, following quarterly dividends already declared for the first three quarters.

The company is formalizing a policy targeting a consolidated dividend payout ratio of at least 65% and will begin regular quarterly dividends from fiscal 2025. For fiscal years 2025 and 2026, it also plans an additional commemorative dividend equivalent to 35% of the payout ratio to mark its Prime Market listing, effectively setting the 2025 payout ratio at 100% and signaling a more shareholder-friendly capital return stance going forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4784) stock is a Hold with a Yen751.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GMO AD Partners Inc. stock, see the JP:4784 Stock Forecast page.

GMO Internet Books Extraordinary Losses on Asian Subsidiaries in Portfolio Review
Feb 12, 2026

GMO Internet has recognized extraordinary losses in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 tied to three overseas subsidiaries in Mongolia, Thailand, and the Philippines acquired in March 2025. Following a strategic review of business positioning within its group portfolio and a conservative reassessment of future projections, the company booked an impairment loss of ¥242 million on goodwill and fixed assets at the consolidated level.

Separately, GMO Internet recorded a ¥259 million loss on valuation of shares of these subsidiaries in its non-consolidated accounts, a charge that does not affect consolidated earnings. The impact of these extraordinary losses has already been incorporated into the company’s full-year 2025 consolidated financial results under Japanese GAAP, signaling an early balance-sheet clean-up as it reorganizes and streamlines its overseas operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4784) stock is a Hold with a Yen751.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GMO AD Partners Inc. stock, see the JP:4784 Stock Forecast page.

GMO Internet Profit Soars After Absorbing Parent’s Infrastructure Business
Feb 12, 2026

GMO Internet, Inc. reported a sharp divergence between its non-consolidated financial results for fiscal 2025 and the prior year, with net sales surging to ¥67,015 million and net profit swinging to ¥5,775 million from a ¥272 million loss. Earnings per share improved from a loss of ¥16.86 to a profit of ¥21.06, underscoring a major turnaround in profitability.

The company attributed these changes primarily to an absorption-type company split effective January 1, 2025, through which it took over the internet infrastructure business of parent GMO Internet Group, Inc. By integrating the domain, cloud and hosting, and access businesses, GMO Internet has significantly expanded its operating base, potentially strengthening its market position within Japan’s internet infrastructure industry and altering the earnings profile for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4784) stock is a Hold with a Yen751.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GMO AD Partners Inc. stock, see the JP:4784 Stock Forecast page.

GMO Internet Posts Sharp 2025 Profit Rebound and Hikes Dividends
Feb 12, 2026

GMO Internet reported a dramatic rebound in fiscal 2025, with net sales surging more than fivefold to ¥78.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent swinging to ¥5.6 billion from a slight loss a year earlier. Profitability metrics also improved sharply, with operating margin rising to 10.5% and return on equity reaching 59.0%, while operating cash flow expanded to ¥13.7 billion.

The company expanded its consolidation scope to include nine new subsidiaries and removed one, contributing to a sharp increase in total assets to ¥51.5 billion, although the equity ratio fell to 26.6%. GMO Internet significantly lifted shareholder returns, raising total annual dividends to ¥20.26 per share for 2025, including commemorative payments, and plans a full-year payout of ¥21.51 per share in 2026, alongside guidance for modest sales and profit growth next year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4784) stock is a Hold with a Yen751.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GMO AD Partners Inc. stock, see the JP:4784 Stock Forecast page.

GMO Internet Warns of Ongoing Non-Compliance With TSE Prime Free-Float Rules
Jan 21, 2026

GMO Internet, Inc. reported that as of the end of December 2025 it remains non-compliant with one of the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market listing maintenance standards, specifically the minimum 35% ratio of tradable shares, despite now meeting the requirements for number of shareholders, number of tradable shares and market capitalization of tradable shares. The company has raised its tradable share ratio from 1.6% to 7.7% mainly through sales of shares held by corporate shareholders, including its parent GMO Internet Group, Inc., and plans to continue similar measures to further increase the free float; if the TSE formally determines non-compliance, GMO Internet will enter an improvement period through the end of 2026, with the risk of its shares being designated for supervision and ultimately delisting in 2027 if it fails to meet the tradable share ratio standard, a scenario that would be closely watched by investors and other stakeholders concerned with liquidity and listing status.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4784) stock is a Hold with a Yen902.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GMO AD Partners Inc. stock, see the JP:4784 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026