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GMO Pepabo, Inc. (JP:3633)
:3633
Japanese Market
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GMO Pepabo, Inc. (3633) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3633

GMO Pepabo, Inc.

(3633)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,819.00
▼(-18.50% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:02/18/26
The score is led by improved financial fundamentals (margin recovery, better leverage, and solid 2025 free cash flow) and supportive valuation (low P/E with a ~3.29% yield). These positives are offset by weak technicals (below key moving averages and negative MACD) and limited revenue growth, which reduce confidence in near-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Margin recovery
Margins have meaningfully recovered to sustainable levels (operating ~8.5%, net ~8.0%, gross 53–58%) suggesting resilient unit economics for hosting and e‑commerce services. Durable margins improve free cash flow potential and provide a buffer vs. revenue volatility over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Flat/weak revenue growth
Top-line stagnation (flat-to-slight decline) limits scalability and constrains operating leverage: with little revenue growth the company must rely on cost control to lift profits. Over 2–6 months this structural flatness restricts market share expansion and long-term margin upside.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin recovery
Margins have meaningfully recovered to sustainable levels (operating ~8.5%, net ~8.0%, gross 53–58%) suggesting resilient unit economics for hosting and e‑commerce services. Durable margins improve free cash flow potential and provide a buffer vs. revenue volatility over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

GMO Pepabo, Inc. (3633) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

GMO Pepabo, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
GMO Pepabo, Inc. provides consumer-targeted Internet services in Japan. It operates through four segments: Hosting, Ecommerce Support, Customer to Customer (C2C), and Community. The Hosting segment offers consumer domain registration and web hosti...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money through recurring subscription and usage-based fees from its web infrastructure and commerce-support services. Key revenue streams include (1) monthly/annual subscription fees for web hosting and related web servi...

GMO Pepabo, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has rebounded strongly after 2023, with net margin ~8.0% and operating margin ~8.5% in 2025, while gross margin stayed healthy (~53–58%). Leverage improved meaningfully (debt-to-equity ~0.31 in 2025 vs. ~0.82 in 2023) and 2025 cash generation was solid (FCF ~¥1.37B, ~0.94x net income). The main constraint is flat-to-slightly down revenue and historical cash-flow volatility (notably 2022).
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
73
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.10B10.96B10.92B10.90B10.53B11.88B
Gross Profit6.00B5.96B5.78B5.93B6.08B6.73B
EBITDA1.53B1.44B1.47B84.16M1.12B1.36B
Net Income663.90M878.44M591.63M-628.79M510.09M715.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.98B11.32B11.47B10.95B11.52B8.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.04B5.75B4.92B4.36B3.61B3.62B
Total Debt600.00M857.45M1.19B1.48B1.57B172.15M
Total Liabilities8.61B8.52B9.08B9.14B8.83B5.96B
Stockholders Equity2.37B2.80B2.39B1.81B2.69B2.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.37B901.23M1.38B-708.88M338.84M
Operating Cash Flow0.001.46B1.21B1.78B-213.40M669.08M
Investing Cash Flow0.00236.62M-292.00M-325.63M-510.15M-278.35M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-859.23M-361.39M-702.63M712.28M-392.52M

GMO Pepabo, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2232.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1878.12
Negative
100DMA
2004.19
Negative
200DMA
1938.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-55.25
Positive
RSI
20.72
Positive
STOCH
13.68
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3633, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2232 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1834.00, above the 50-day MA of 1878.12, and above the 200-day MA of 1938.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -55.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 20.72 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.68 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3633.

GMO Pepabo, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥44.33B20.490.52%25.31%22.71%
68
Neutral
¥16.49B-40.9512.01%-191.13%
67
Neutral
¥647.16B22.6020.54%1.47%11.96%18.70%
65
Neutral
¥8.95B12.542.16%-1.76%25.65%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
55
Neutral
¥14.66B9.422.31%6.19%-24.70%
45
Neutral
¥129.33B32.360.14%12.38%-92.66%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3633
GMO Pepabo, Inc.
1,690.00
186.46
12.40%
JP:3769
GMO Payment Gateway
8,585.00
125.02
1.48%
JP:3665
ENIGMO, Inc.
353.00
75.35
27.14%
JP:3778
SAKURA Internet Inc.
3,130.00
-223.59
-6.67%
JP:4431
Smaregi, Inc.
2,240.00
-1,114.91
-33.23%
JP:4434
Serverworks Co., Ltd.
2,076.00
-326.08
-13.57%

GMO Pepabo, Inc. Corporate Events

GMO Pepabo Sees Profit Decline in Q1 2026 and Guides for Tougher Full Year
May 14, 2026
GMO Pepabo reported consolidated net sales of ¥2.61 billion for the three months ended March 31, 2026, down 4.8% year on year, with operating profit falling 23.8% to ¥255 million and profit attributable to owners of parent declining 20.5...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026