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True Data Inc. (JP:4416)
:4416
Japanese Market
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True Data Inc. (4416) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4416

True Data Inc.

(4416)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥487.00
▼(-38.51% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial fundamentals—zero debt, improving profitability, and strengthening cash flow—offset by weak technicals (price below major moving averages and negative MACD) and a relatively high P/E with no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
A zero-debt balance sheet materially reduces financial risk and interest burden, giving management durable flexibility to fund R&D, pursue strategic initiatives, or weather demand cycles without refinancing pressure. This structural strength supports long-term stability and optionality.
Negative Factors
Modest net margins
Low and variable net margins limit the company’s ability to convert revenue growth into durable profits. Modest margins increase sensitivity to cost pressures or pricing shifts, constraining retained earnings and the pace at which the company can scale profitably over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
A zero-debt balance sheet materially reduces financial risk and interest burden, giving management durable flexibility to fund R&D, pursue strategic initiatives, or weather demand cycles without refinancing pressure. This structural strength supports long-term stability and optionality.
Read all positive factors

True Data Inc. (4416) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

True Data Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
True Data Inc. operates an outsourcing contracting to a marketing platform for consumer purchasing data analysis solutions in Japan. The company offers POS/ID-POS and purchasing behavior analysis solutions for consumer goods manufacturers, and ret...
How the Company Makes Money
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True Data Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and a clear turnaround to profitability, supported by solid gross margin (~56% in 2026). Balance sheet strength is a standout with debt reduced to zero and rising equity, while cash flow is positive with a sharp improvement in 2026; the main offset is still-modest and somewhat volatile net margins and cash conversion.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.87B1.55B1.59B1.44B1.31B
Gross Profit1.05B879.64M901.35M755.07M644.11M
EBITDA167.43M95.07M122.05M198.36M161.69M
Net Income80.51M13.23M60.00M34.00M15.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.53B1.36B1.36B1.28B1.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments971.08M859.56M937.53M879.05M847.38M
Total Debt0.005.48M35.28M63.11M93.47M
Total Liabilities370.16M281.99M314.95M307.86M372.35M
Stockholders Equity1.16B1.08B1.05B970.39M925.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow172.77M21.84M115.63M126.25M132.21M
Operating Cash Flow189.05M37.15M127.53M138.66M137.01M
Investing Cash Flow-74.20M-104.91M-58.81M-87.66M-56.53M
Financing Cash Flow-2.87M-10.22M-10.23M-19.34M332.87M

True Data Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price792.00
Price Trends
50DMA
414.90
Positive
100DMA
454.89
Positive
200DMA
614.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
10.57
Negative
RSI
70.34
Negative
STOCH
78.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4416, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 792 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 428.75, above the 50-day MA of 414.90, and above the 200-day MA of 614.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 10.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.34 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4416.

True Data Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
¥28.43B16.180.73%17.32%33.18%
70
Outperform
¥21.76B42.8731.09%75.74%
69
Neutral
¥2.15B27.7620.34%503.40%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
¥11.55B27.86-6.06%418.72%
49
Neutral
¥96.80B75.952.57%1.97%9.27%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4416
True Data Inc.
462.00
-468.00
-50.32%
JP:4819
Digital Garage
2,122.00
-1,961.55
-48.04%
JP:3984
User Local, Inc.
1,784.00
7.18
0.40%
JP:4418
Japan Data Science Consortium Co Ltd.
769.00
-361.00
-31.95%
JP:5574
ABEJA,Inc.
2,359.00
-1,336.00
-36.16%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 19, 2026