True Data Inc. (4416) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥4.12B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 22.33K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 1176.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.37
• Revenue Growth: -0.93%
• EPS Growth: -97.16%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 93
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Information Technology Services
• EPS (TTM): 1.74
• Shares Outstanding: 4,841,200
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 8,040
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 22,330
• PEG Ratio: -3.24
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.11
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.16
• P/FCF Ratio: 115.48
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥887.00
• Price Target Upside: 5.22% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 55 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥887.00 ▲(5.22% Upside)

The overall stock score is primarily influenced by a strong financial performance, characterized by consistent revenue growth and a robust balance sheet. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the extremely high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, which significantly impacts the overall score.

True Data Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

True Data Inc. operates a big data platform that provides consumer data and purchasing behavior analysis solutions in Japan. The company offers POS/ID-POS analysis solutions for consumer goods manufacturers, and retail, and other industries. It provides urecon, an internet service that visualizes purchasing information; Eagle Eye, an analysis tool; Dolphin Eye, a service that provides a tool that displays consumer purchasing information through the Internet; POS Analysis Cloud, a service that provides a complete set of functions such as data purification, storage, management, and analysis as a cloud system; and Shopping Scan, an ID-POS data analysis tool for the retail industry. In addition, the company offers KURASHI 360, an ID-POS data of consumers; and KURASHI AI, a service that provides AI to analyze marketing data related to daily life. Further, it provides data utilization solutions, such as holding data utilization seminars and setting up support desks for retailers and consumer goods manufacturers. The company was formerly known as Customer Communications Ltd. True Data Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

True Data Inc. generates revenue through a diverse range of data-related services. The company's primary revenue streams include subscription-based data analytics platforms, where clients pay regular fees to access data insights and analytics tools. Additionally, True Data Inc. offers customized data consulting services, which generate revenue on a project basis. The company also partners with various businesses to provide tailored data solutions, enabling them to enhance their operational efficiency and decision-making processes. These partnerships often include revenue-sharing agreements or licensing deals, further contributing to the company's earnings.

True Data Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

True Data Inc. exhibits a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth and a solid balance sheet characterized by low leverage and high equity. While profitability margins have shown improvement, variability in net income and free cash flow suggests areas for improvement. Overall, the company is financially stable with opportunities to enhance profitability and cash flow consistency.

Income Statement

True Data Inc. has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from 2020 to 2025. The gross profit margin has remained strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has fluctuated, reflecting variability in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, demonstrating enhanced operational efficiency, though the recent decline in EBIT margin suggests potential challenges in maintaining profitability.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet is robust, with a strong equity base and low debt levels, as evidenced by a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. The return on equity has improved over the years, indicating effective use of shareholders' funds. The equity ratio is high, reflecting financial stability and low leverage, which reduces financial risk.

Cash Flow

True Data Inc. has demonstrated positive operating cash flows, supporting its operational needs. The free cash flow has shown growth, although it has been volatile, suggesting potential challenges in sustaining cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates efficient conversion of earnings into cash, while the free cash flow to net income ratio highlights the company's ability to generate cash relative to its net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.58B	1.55B	1.59B	1.44B	1.31B	1.17B
Gross Profit	919.92M	892.96M	914.04M	765.03M	649.37M	503.15M
EBITDA	64.31M	71.39M	120.99M	162.52M	162.26M	53.58M
Net Income	3.62M	13.23M	60.00M	34.00M	15.48M	-60.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.40B	1.36B	1.36B	1.28B	1.30B	890.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	955.04M	859.56M	937.53M	879.05M	847.38M	434.02M
Total Debt	2.96M	5.48M	35.28M	63.11M	93.47M	123.83M
Total Liabilities	310.12M	281.84M	314.58M	307.64M	372.08M	352.32M
Stockholders Equity	1.09B	1.08B	1.05B	970.39M	925.37M	538.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	29.07M	68.72M	82.82M	118.66M	55.53M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	37.15M	127.53M	138.66M	137.01M	135.72M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-104.91M	-58.81M	-87.66M	-56.53M	-80.98M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-10.22M	-10.23M	-19.34M	332.87M	25.52M

True Data Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 843.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4416, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 843 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 859.25, below the 50-day MA of 889.64, and above the 200-day MA of 814.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -18.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4416.

True Data Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
3996	77 Outperform	¥4.43B	21.50	14.26%	―	-1.23%	2.92%
4386	75 Outperform	¥4.44B	9.84	19.60%	3.50%	27.51%	68.04%
4068	65 Neutral	¥3.59B	36.19	4.72%	―	17.03%	644.34%
4398	57 Neutral	¥5.62B	39.73	6.77%	1.20%	-5.47%	-68.77%
4416	55 Neutral	¥4.12B	1,176.72	―	―	-0.93%	-97.16%
4260	44 Neutral	¥4.19B	-56.96	-3.25%	―	-4.94%	-135.39%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%