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True Data Inc. (JP:4416)
:4416
Japanese Market

True Data Inc. (4416) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4416

True Data Inc.

(4416)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
¥515.00
▼(-34.97% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is anchored by a financially conservative balance sheet and solid long-term revenue/gross margin improvement, but it is pulled down by a pronounced technical downtrend and a very high P/E valuation. Recent profitability and free-cash-flow softness further temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Extremely low leverage and a materially larger equity base provide durable financial flexibility. This structural strength reduces insolvency risk, supports capital allocation (investment or M&A) without relying on external debt, and helps the company weather cyclical downturns over many months.
Negative Factors
Profitability compression in 2025
A sharp drop in net margin weakens the company’s ability to convert revenue into durable profits. If structural (higher operating costs or sustained investments), compressed margins can constrain retained earnings, limit reinvestment and shareholder returns, and heighten sensitivity to revenue shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Extremely low leverage and a materially larger equity base provide durable financial flexibility. This structural strength reduces insolvency risk, supports capital allocation (investment or M&A) without relying on external debt, and helps the company weather cyclical downturns over many months.
Read all positive factors

True Data Inc. (4416) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

True Data Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
True Data Inc. (4416) is a technology company focused on providing advanced data analytics solutions and services across various sectors, including healthcare, finance, and retail. The company specializes in big data processing, machine learning a...

True Data Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet with minimal leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.01) and a larger equity base supports financial stability. Revenue and gross margin trends are positive over multiple years, but 2025 profitability and cash generation weakened materially versus 2024, limiting the overall financial score.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.58B1.55B1.59B1.44B1.31B1.17B
Gross Profit918.96M879.64M901.35M755.07M644.11M498.98M
EBITDA89.84M95.07M122.05M198.36M161.69M53.07M
Net Income3.55M13.23M60.00M34.00M15.48M-60.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.40B1.36B1.36B1.28B1.30B890.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments955.04M859.56M937.53M879.05M847.38M434.02M
Total Debt2.96M5.48M35.28M63.11M93.47M123.83M
Total Liabilities310.12M281.99M314.95M307.86M372.35M352.64M
Stockholders Equity1.09B1.08B1.05B970.39M925.37M538.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0021.84M115.63M126.25M132.21M132.80M
Operating Cash Flow0.0037.15M127.53M138.66M137.01M135.72M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-104.91M-58.81M-87.66M-56.53M-80.98M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-10.22M-10.23M-19.34M332.87M25.52M

True Data Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price792.00
Price Trends
50DMA
588.90
Negative
100DMA
683.94
Negative
200DMA
792.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-20.84
Negative
RSI
35.94
Neutral
STOCH
31.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4416, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 792 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 517.30, above the 50-day MA of 588.90, and below the 200-day MA of 792.94, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -20.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4416.

True Data Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥23.89B16.060.73%17.86%21.52%
74
Outperform
¥29.91B35.9929.61%93.16%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
¥13.29B46.766.24%
55
Neutral
¥2.44B268.525.05%-50.80%
46
Neutral
¥94.97B15.202.57%1.97%19.61%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4416
True Data Inc.
503.00
-223.00
-30.72%
JP:4819
Digital Garage
2,037.00
-2,665.00
-56.68%
JP:3984
User Local, Inc.
1,478.00
-236.18
-13.78%
JP:4418
Japan Data Science Consortium Co Ltd.
822.00
-29.00
-3.41%
JP:5574
ABEJA,Inc.
3,010.00
694.00
29.97%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026