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Grandes, Inc. (JP:3261)
:3261
Japanese Market

Grandes, Inc. (3261) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3261

Grandes, Inc.

(3261)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
¥457.00
▼(-61.63% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by weakening financial performance (revenue decline, margin deterioration to a net loss, higher leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals add pressure with a clear downtrend and negative MACD, while valuation is only modestly supported by the dividend given the negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Gross margin & historical profitability
A sustained gross margin near 21.7% and several years of profitability through 2021–2024 indicate the company retains underlying unit economics. If revenue stabilizes, the business can leverage fixed costs to restore operating margins, supporting a durable recovery in earnings quality.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
A ~10.2% revenue decline in 2025, on top of earlier softness, reduces scale and weakens pricing/leverage power. Persistent top-line contraction will pressure margins and returns, making it harder to cover fixed costs and invest in growth without structural changes to the business model.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Gross margin & historical profitability
A sustained gross margin near 21.7% and several years of profitability through 2021–2024 indicate the company retains underlying unit economics. If revenue stabilizes, the business can leverage fixed costs to restore operating margins, supporting a durable recovery in earnings quality.
Read all positive factors

Grandes, Inc. (3261) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Grandes, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Grandes, Inc. (3261) is a leading player in the advanced manufacturing sector, specializing in the production of precision-engineered components for the aerospace and automotive industries. With a commitment to innovation and quality, the company ...

Grandes, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals weakened materially: revenue fell ~10.2% in 2025, margins compressed sharply with a slight net loss, leverage increased (debt-to-equity ~0.84 vs ~0.37), and operating/free cash flow turned meaningfully negative. Prior-year profitability and gross margin (~21.7%) are positives, but near-term execution and funding risk is elevated.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.82B3.43B4.23B4.60B2.66B2.81B
Gross Profit1.18B742.78M1.26B940.00M609.15M622.47M
EBITDA433.60M105.70M507.26M160.00M191.81M352.49M
Net Income144.32M-3.11M251.05M178.00M65.68M182.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.56B5.55B4.53B4.09B4.40B3.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.04B1.01B1.61B1.17B1.64B703.11M
Total Debt2.46B2.24B1.04B1.21B1.54B1.59B
Total Liabilities2.95B2.86B1.75B2.02B2.46B1.86B
Stockholders Equity2.61B2.69B2.77B2.06B1.93B1.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-548.53M165.66M-229.00M685.54M840.65M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-525.79M176.66M-221.00M685.81M845.69M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-408.03M-17.39M125.00M362.44M-29.91M
Financing Cash Flow0.00291.34M279.08M-377.33M-107.33M-943.35M

Grandes, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1191.00
Price Trends
50DMA
507.48
Negative
100DMA
722.60
Negative
200DMA
896.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-12.30
Negative
RSI
36.40
Neutral
STOCH
43.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3261, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1191 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 484.20, above the 50-day MA of 507.48, and above the 200-day MA of 896.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -12.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3261.

Grandes, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
¥4.11B5.420.50%12.29%139.06%
66
Neutral
¥2.41B15.822.00%6.86%10.06%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
62
Neutral
¥2.09B4.4385.59%330.15%
60
Neutral
¥4.72B-4.302.51%86.49%83.40%
43
Neutral
¥1.92B-783.912.70%7.47%148.01%
43
Neutral
¥3.37B-4.073.41%31.33%174.39%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3261
Grandes, Inc.
476.00
-602.01
-55.84%
JP:3238
Central General Development Co., Ltd.
348.00
-104.12
-23.03%
JP:8912
Area Quest Inc.
162.00
-4.24
-2.55%
JP:8944
Land Business Co., Ltd.
238.00
49.82
26.47%
JP:8946
Asian Star Co.
88.00
-2.00
-2.22%
JP:8996
HouseFreedom Co., Ltd.
1,019.00
233.19
29.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026