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JBT Marel (JBTM)
NYSE:JBTM

JBT Marel (JBTM) AI Stock Analysis

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JBTM

JBT Marel

(NYSE:JBTM)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$178.00
▲(13.53% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/24/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial stability (material deleveraging) and strong top-line momentum, supported by constructive technical uptrend signals. Offsetting factors are weaker reported profitability (net loss/EBITDA margin compression) and an unattractive earnings-based valuation (negative P/E), while the latest earnings call guidance and synergy execution provide a meaningful positive forward-looking boost despite tariff-related risk.
Positive Factors
Material Deleveraging
A sharply de-risked capital structure materially lowers financial risk and increases flexibility for capex, M&A, and synergy funding. Sustained low leverage supports investment-grade-like resilience, reduces interest costs, and provides a multi-month runway to execute margin recovery and growth plans.
Robust Orders and Backlog
Strong order intake and backlog conversion indicate durable end-market demand, especially in poultry and protein segments. High backlog supports revenue visibility over the next several quarters, enabling steady production planning, capacity utilization and predictable cash conversion as orders convert to revenue.
Synergy Delivery & Margin Guidance
Documented synergy capture plus management guidance for higher adjusted EBITDA margins reflect lasting operational improvements. Realized and targeted run-rate savings support sustainable margin expansion, improving long-term cash flow conversion and funding for strategic initiatives beyond one reporting period.
Negative Factors
Weakened Reported Profitability
A swing to a net loss and compressed EBITDA margin signal structural earnings-quality issues like cost absorption failures or one-off charges. If below-the-line losses persist, they can erode retained earnings, limit reinvestment capacity, and impair sustainable free cash flow even with strong top-line trends.
Tariff-Related Cost Pressure
Ongoing tariff exposure is a structural margin headwind that reduces pricing flexibility and raises input costs. Policy uncertainty makes cost forecasting and pricing cadence harder, potentially forcing sustained margin dilution or recurring pass-through cycles that compress competitiveness over many quarters.
Operational & Supply-Chain Transition Risk
Execution challenges in Prepared Foods and a multi-year regionalization of supply chains create prolonged cost and efficiency risk. These structural operational shifts can depress near-term margins, require continued investment, and introduce execution risk that may blunt expected synergy and margin gains.

JBT Marel (JBTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

JBT Marel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJBT Marel Corporation provides technology solutions to food and beverage industry in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. It offers value-added processing that includes chilling, mixing/grinding, injecting, blending, marinating, tumbling, flattening, forming, portioning, coating, cooking, frying, freezing, extracting, pasteurizing, sterilizing, concentrating, high pressure processing, weighing, inspecting, filling, closing, sealing, end of line material handling, and packaging solutions to the food, beverage, and health market. In addition, it offers automated guided vehicle systems for material movement in the manufacturing, warehouse, and medical facilities. It serves baby food, bakery and confectionery, citrus processing, fruits and nuts, juices, non-food, pet food, pharmaceutical, plant- based beverages and protein, poultry, meat, and seafood, ready meals, oils, soups, sauces, seasoning and dressings, automotive, building material, tissue, paper, and packaging, hospitals, pharma and life sciences, fast moving consumer goods, manufacturing, warehousing, and other industries. The company markets and sells its products and solutions through direct sales force, independent distributors, sales representatives, and technical service teams. The company was formerly known as John Bean Technologies Corporation and changed its name to JBT Marel Corporation in January 2025. JBT Marel Corporation was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyJBT Marel generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of equipment and systems used in food processing and food service. Key revenue sources include the sale of machinery, parts, and maintenance services, as well as software solutions for operational management. Additionally, JBTM earns income from long-term service agreements and support contracts that provide ongoing maintenance and upgrades to their equipment. Strategic partnerships with major food processors and continuous innovation in their product offerings further contribute to their earnings, enabling them to capture a significant share of the growing demand for efficient and safe food processing technologies.

JBT Marel Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 23, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive outlook: the combined JBT Marel business delivered better-than-expected revenue, achieved adjusted EPS accretion in year one, realized meaningful synergy and run-rate savings, materially reduced leverage, and provided confident 2026 guidance with meaningful EBITDA and EPS upside. Primary negatives were tariff-driven cost pressure (material in 2025 and expected to increase in early 2026), a Q4 margin dip, and some operational inefficiencies in Prepared Foods/AGV that are expected to be temporary. Taken together, the operational and financial achievements substantially outweigh the near-term macro and tariff headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Order Intake and Backlog Conversion
Full-year orders of $3.8 billion with more than $1.0 billion in Q4; management noted strong conversion of backlog to revenue and accelerating order synergies (captured $30 million in order synergies for 2025, more than half in Q4) that are expected to convert to revenue in 2026.
Revenue Above Guidance
Full-year consolidated revenue of $3.8 billion exceeded the high end of guidance; favorable FX translation contributed $77 million to revenue.
Margin Expansion and Adjusted EBITDA
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $600 million with a margin of 15.8% (at midpoint of guidance). Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin was 16.0%. Segment adjusted EBITDA margins: Protein Solutions 20.1% and Prepared Food & Beverage Solutions 17.2%.
Adjusted EPS Accretion
Full-year adjusted EPS of $6.41, representing first-year earnings accretion vs. legacy JBT 2024 adjusted EPS of $6.15 (approximately +4.2%).
Deleveraging Success and Capital Position
Leverage improved from just below 4.0x at transaction close to less than 2.9x at year-end 2025; management expects leverage of ~2.0–2.5x by end of 2026, supported by convertible financing and cash flow.
Synergy Realization and Run-Rate Savings
Realized $43 million year-over-year synergy benefit in 2025 and exited the year with approximately $85 million of run-rate savings versus 2024 baseline; company remains on track for a $150 million run-rate synergy target by exit-2027 and expects ~ $60 million incremental synergy benefit in 2026.
Confident 2026 Guidance with Strong Upside
2026 guidance: revenue growth of 5%–7% (includes ~1% FX benefit); adjusted EBITDA margins 17.0%–17.5% (midpoint +145 bps YoY); adjusted EPS guidance $8.00–$8.50 (midpoint ~+29% YoY); GAAP EPS guidance $4.70–$5.15.
End-Market Momentum — Poultry Leadership
Management highlighted a sharp recovery and robust investment in poultry equipment (poultry cited as the dominant driver across categories), plus strength in meat, beverages, pharma and improving Prepared Foods demand in Q4.
Negative Updates
Tariff Headwinds and Cost Impact
Higher tariff environment (since April 2025) cost the company approximately $43 million in 2025 net of $15 million of cost avoidance; tariffs reduced adjusted EBITDA margin by roughly 50 basis points in 2025. Management expects approximately $45 million of higher tariff costs for full-year 2026 (pre-mitigation) and anticipates a net full-year margin headwind in the ~25–50 basis point range depending on pricing and market dynamics.
Q4 Margin Decline and Near-Term Investments
Fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA margin of 16% declined sequentially due to accelerated tariff costs and investments to support 2026 growth (short-term margin pressure).
Operational Challenges in Prepared Foods / AGV
Prepared Food & Beverage faced inefficiencies (notably in AGV) that impacted Q4 results; management expects these issues to be largely contained in Q1 2026 with some bleed into early Q2.
Ongoing Supply-Chain Transition Costs
Company is undertaking supplier and manufacturing regionalization (shifting parts and some production to the U.S. where feasible); this is a multi-year effort with meaningful execution required and limited near-term offset to tariff-related cost pressure (structural changes likely to extend into 2027).
Tariff Uncertainty and Policy Risk
Uncertainty around evolving tariff rulings (including recent Supreme Court-related developments) creates a moving target for cost forecasting and pricing, complicating cadence of mitigation actions.
Company Guidance
The company guided to full-year 2026 consolidated revenue growth of 5%–7% (including ~1% FX tailwind), with adjusted EBITDA margins of 17.0%–17.5% (about +145 bps year-over-year at the midpoint) and adjusted EPS of $8.00–$8.50 (GAAP EPS $4.70–$5.15); management included roughly $45 million of incremental tariff headwinds (pre-pricing) for 2026 (most of it in H1) and expects to mitigate some impact via pricing and cost actions (net drag perhaps ~25–50 bps), while realizing ~ $60 million of year-over-year synergy benefit next year (after delivering $43 million Y/Y in 2025 and exiting 2025 with ~$85 million run-rate savings versus 2024 and a $150 million run-rate target by end‑2027); segment commentary noted Protein Solutions should be at the higher end of revenue growth and Prepared Food & Beverage at the lower end, with margin progression in both segments (slightly stronger improvement in Prepared Foods), and Q1 2026 was guided to $920–$940 million revenue with 14%–15% adjusted EBITDA margin.

JBT Marel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth was strong in 2025 (+16.6%) and leverage improved sharply (debt-to-equity ~0.09), supporting financial resilience. Offsetting this, profitability deteriorated to a net loss with a much lower EBITDA margin (~5%) and free-cash-flow consistency has been uneven despite solid 2025 FCF (~$238M).
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Revenue growth accelerated sharply in 2025 (annual report: +16.6%) on a much larger sales base, and gross margin has been relatively steady in the mid-30% range. However, profitability deteriorated meaningfully in 2025 with a swing to a net loss (net margin -1.3%) and a much lower EBITDA margin (~5%) versus 2024 (~11.9%) and 2023 (~16.1%), indicating weaker cost absorption and/or higher below-the-line charges. Overall: strong top-line momentum but weakened earnings quality and margins in the latest year.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage improved substantially in 2025, with debt-to-equity falling to ~0.09 from ~0.81 in 2024 and ~1.08 in 2022, suggesting a materially de-risked capital structure. Equity and assets increased significantly in 2025, improving balance sheet capacity. Key watch-out: despite the stronger balance sheet, the latest year produced a net loss, which can weigh on future capital generation if it persists.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Cash generation was solid in 2025 with operating cash flow of ~$342M and free cash flow of ~$238M, following healthy 2024 free cash flow (~$196M). Free cash flow growth turned negative in 2025 (-12.9%), and cash conversion has been volatile historically (notably negative free cash flow in 2023). Also, in 2025 the company produced positive free cash flow despite a net loss, which is supportive in the near term but highlights a disconnect between reported earnings and cash results that bears monitoring.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.80B1.72B1.66B1.59B1.40B
Gross Profit1.33B626.50M585.70M529.40M482.10M
EBITDA301.60M204.20M268.70M212.50M202.80M
Net Income-50.50M85.40M582.60M137.40M119.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.20B3.41B2.71B2.64B2.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments186.50M1.23B483.30M71.70M78.80M
Total Debt1.88B1.25B646.40M977.90M674.40M
Total Liabilities3.73B1.87B1.22B1.74B1.39B
Stockholders Equity4.46B1.54B1.49B905.40M750.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow238.10M195.70M-15.50M57.70M172.10M
Operating Cash Flow341.70M233.60M39.60M142.30M223.80M
Investing Cash Flow-1.84B-41.30M725.90M-416.10M-272.90M
Financing Cash Flow458.10M561.80M-354.10M270.60M80.80M

JBT Marel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price156.79
Price Trends
50DMA
158.19
Negative
100DMA
147.87
Positive
200DMA
139.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.34
Positive
RSI
42.19
Neutral
STOCH
32.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JBTM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 156.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 162.91, below the 50-day MA of 158.19, and above the 200-day MA of 139.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JBTM.

JBT Marel Risk Analysis

JBT Marel disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. JBT Marel reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

JBT Marel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$12.11B45.0212.76%12.60%24.02%
73
Outperform
$11.52B34.2416.49%1.17%3.19%69.89%
69
Neutral
$7.12B28.457.93%-0.75%9.22%
68
Neutral
$8.52B-155.36-3.65%0.26%91.98%-141.14%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$5.27B196.081.71%7.81%
60
Neutral
$8.11B-35.84-6.20%0.27%-159.24%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JBTM
JBT Marel
156.79
25.83
19.73%
FLS
Flowserve
92.04
38.47
71.80%
SPXC
SPX
226.66
82.72
57.47%
MIDD
The Middleby
157.78
-5.47
-3.35%
GTES
Gates Industrial
27.51
6.21
29.15%
MIR
Mirion Technologies
21.49
6.53
43.65%

JBT Marel Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
JBT Marel Implements New Segment Reporting After Integration
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

On February 18, 2026, JBT Marel said that a previously announced realignment of its reportable segments took effect for the fourth quarter of 2025, following its January 2, 2025 acquisition of Marel hf., consolidating legacy JBT and Marel operations. The company now reports through two segments, Protein Solutions and Prepared Food and Beverage Solutions, with historical results recast for 2023–2025 for comparability, and it emphasized that the change does not affect previously reported consolidated revenue, earnings, earnings per share, or total assets, but better aligns financial reporting with its integrated operating model for management and stakeholders.

For the quarter ended March 31, 2025, Protein Solutions generated $377.7 million in revenue and Prepared Food and Beverage Solutions $476.4 million, producing total segment adjusted EBITDA of $140.6 million but a pre-tax loss of $219.2 million after significant pension, M&A, restructuring and other unallocated costs. In the quarter ended June 30, 2025, segment revenues rose to $421.5 million and $513.3 million, respectively, with combined segment adjusted EBITDA of $179.7 million and income from continuing operations before taxes of $11.6 million, illustrating improved profitability as integration progressed despite ongoing restructuring and transaction-related charges.

The most recent analyst rating on (JBTM) stock is a Buy with a $171.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JBT Marel stock, see the JBTM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 24, 2026