Jack In The Box (JACK) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $429.51M
• Dividend Yield: 7.74%
• Average Volume (3M): 913.13K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.81
• Revenue Growth: -6.02%
• EPS Growth: -289.54%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,606
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 64
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): 1.20
• Shares Outstanding: 18,879,446
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 855,050
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 913,130
• PEG Ratio: -0.51
• Price to Book (P/B): -2.09
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 13.22
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 10.70
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.76
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 9.97
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 5.58
• 1Y Price Target: $28.31
• Price Target Upside: 24.44% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 14

• Rating: 49 Neutral
• Price Target: $22.50 ▼(-1.10%Downside)

Jack In The Box's overall score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, with significant challenges in maintaining profitability and managing debt. The technical analysis shows some short-term momentum, but valuation concerns persist due to losses. The earnings call reflects continued operational and economic challenges, overshadowing strategic efforts like digital sales growth.

Positive Factors

Business Strategy

The sale of Del Taco is viewed as a positive step toward simplifying JACK's business.

Debt Reduction

Reducing debt by $300M+ over the next 12-18 months should materially improve the equity value.

Management Strategy

New CEO, Lanc Tucker, has created a viable plan to strengthen the balance sheet and simplify the investment narrative.

Negative Factors

Customer Traffic

The recent T-Pain Munchie Meal launch does not appear to be generating a meaningful increase in customer traffic.

Market Conditions

Aggressive immigration policies are likely to create a significant sales headwind for an unpredictable period.

Sales Performance

Mobile location data suggests that sales momentum has deteriorated, leading to lower projections for future sales.

Jack In The Box Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Jack in the Box Inc. operates and franchises Jack in the Box quick-service restaurants. As of November 23, 2021, it operated and franchised approximately 2,200 Jack in the Box quick-service restaurants in 21 states and Guam. The company was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

How the Company Makes Money

Jack in the Box generates revenue primarily through sales at its company-operated restaurants and from franchise royalties and fees. The company-operated restaurants account for a significant portion of its earnings, driven by customer purchases of food and beverages. Franchise operations also contribute substantially to revenue, as franchisees pay initial franchise fees, ongoing royalties, and other related fees to the corporation. Additionally, Jack in the Box benefits from strategic marketing partnerships and promotional campaigns that enhance brand visibility and drive customer traffic to its locations.

Jack In The Box Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Jack In The Box is experiencing financial challenges with declining revenue, decreasing profitability, and cash flow issues, alongside a heavily leveraged balance sheet with negative equity. These factors suggest the company faces significant financial pressure, requiring strategic measures to improve its financial stability and growth prospects.

Income Statement

The company has shown a declining revenue trend from $1.692 billion in 2023 to $1.571 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2024, indicating challenges in maintaining growth. Net profit margin has turned negative at -2.34% in TTM 2024, compared to 7.73% in 2023, showing a significant drop in profitability. The gross profit margin also decreased from 76.79% in 2023 to 27.70% in TTM 2024. While the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain relatively stable, the overall income statement reflects concerns regarding decreasing revenue and profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative stockholders' equity, indicating financial instability. The total liabilities exceed total assets, resulting in a negative equity position. The company's return on equity is not calculable due to negative equity, posing a risk to financial health. Despite steady total assets, the heavy leverage and negative equity position cast doubt on long-term sustainability.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow has significantly decreased from $215 million in 2023 to $68.8 million in TTM 2024, showing a concerning drop in operational efficiency. Free cash flow turned negative in TTM 2024 at -$46.7 million, compared to positive $140.1 million in 2023, indicating a decline in cash generation capability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not favorable due to negative net income, further highlighting cash flow challenges.

Breakdown	Sep 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.57B	1.69B	1.47B	1.14B	1.02B
Gross Profit	462.98M	487.85M	433.31M	411.60M	354.47M
EBITDA	138.29M	336.80M	304.07M	337.16M	241.90M
Net Income	-36.70M	130.83M	115.78M	165.75M	89.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.74B	3.00B	2.92B	1.75B	1.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	24.75M	157.65M	108.89M	55.35M	199.66M
Total Debt	3.18B	3.16B	3.17B	2.23B	2.33B
Total Liabilities	3.59B	3.72B	3.66B	2.57B	2.70B
Stockholders Equity	-851.80M	-718.33M	-736.19M	-817.88M	-793.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	140.05M	116.41M	160.11M	124.00M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	215.01M	162.88M	201.12M	143.53M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	42.22M	-578.59M	-20.93M	29.12M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-207.36M	478.18M	-343.55M	-87.29M

Jack In The Box Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 22.75
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JACK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.05, above the 50-day MA of 21.34, and below the 200-day MA of 34.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JACK.

Jack In The Box Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PBPB	76 Outperform	$381.38M	8.99	117.47%	―	-3.96%	1036.87%
CAKE	74 Outperform	$3.21B	20.33	46.60%	1.67%	4.42%	48.23%
LOCO	72 Outperform	$329.37M	12.89	9.68%	―	1.22%	6.59%
WEN	67 Neutral	$2.12B	11.76	90.40%	5.08%	2.18%	-5.15%
NATH	66 Neutral	$464.04M	19.34	-102.54%	1.76%	6.91%	22.33%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$16.85B	11.30	-7.01%	2.93%	1.72%	-24.85%
JACK	49 Neutral	$429.51M	―	4.15%	7.74%	-6.02%	-289.54%

Jack In The Box Corporate Events

Jack In The Box Adopts Stockholder Rights Plan

On July 2, 2025, Jack in the Box Inc. announced the adoption of a limited-duration stockholder rights plan in response to Biglari Capital Corp.’s accumulation of 9.9% of its shares. The plan aims to protect stockholder interests, ensuring fair treatment in potential takeovers and preventing control without appropriate premiums. The Board expressed confidence in the company’s ‘JACK on Track’ plan to enhance financial performance and transition to an asset-light model, emphasizing the plan’s role in safeguarding long-term stockholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JACK) stock is a Hold with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jack In The Box stock, see the JACK Stock Forecast page.

Jack In The Box Appoints New Chief Financial Officer

On May 23, 2025, Jack in the Box Inc. announced the appointment of Dawn Hooper as the Chief Financial Officer, effective May 26, 2025. Hooper, who has been with the company since 2000, has held various leadership roles and served as interim principal financial officer multiple times. Her extensive experience and deep institutional knowledge are expected to support the company’s long-term financial performance and growth strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (JACK) stock is a Hold with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jack In The Box stock, see the JACK Stock Forecast page.

Jack In The Box Approves Executive Stock Retention Awards

On April 26, 2025, Jack in the Box Inc.’s Compensation Committee approved stock retention awards for its executive leadership team, excluding the CEO, to be granted effective May 1, 2025. The awards, totaling $2.55 million, are split between restricted stock units and performance share units, with vesting conditions based on stock price performance over three years, aiming to incentivize and retain key executives.