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Nathan's Famous (NATH)
NASDAQ:NATH
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Nathan's Famous (NATH) AI Stock Analysis

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NATH

Nathan's Famous

(NASDAQ:NATH)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$117.00
▲(9.90% Upside)
Nathan's Famous shows strong financial performance with robust profitability and cash flow generation, though high leverage poses a risk. Technical indicators suggest a positive trend, and the stock's valuation is reasonable. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits additional insights.

Nathan's Famous (NATH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nathan's Famous Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNathan's Famous, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the foodservice industry. The company owns and franchises restaurants under the Nathan's Famous brand name, as well as sells products bearing the Nathan's Famous trademarks through various channels of distribution. It also has license agreements for the manufacture, distribution, marketing, and sale of Nathan's Famous branded hot dogs, sausages, and corned beef products in refrigerated consumer packages to be resold through retail channels, such as supermarkets, groceries, mass merchandisers, and club stores; and other Nathan's Famous branded refrigerated meat products in consumer packages to be resold through retail channels. In addition, the company has license agreements to manufacture Nathan's Famous branded hot dog and sausage products in bulk for use in the food service industry; for supplying Nathan's Famous natural casing and skinless hot dogs in bulk for use in the Nathan's Famous restaurant system; to manufacture proprietary spices; to produce and distribute sauerkraut and pickles; to produce and sell French fries and onion rings for retail sale; and to produce and sell miniature bagel dogs, franks-in-a-blanket, mozzarella sticks, and other hors d'oeuvres through club stores, supermarkets, and other retail food stores. Further, the company sells Nathan's products directly to foodservice operators or to various foodservice distributors, as well as provides Arthur Treacher's brand fish fillets. As of March 27, 2022, its restaurant system consisted of four company-owned units in the New York City metropolitan area; and 239 franchised units in 18 states and 12 foreign countries. Nathan's Famous, Inc. was founded in 1916 and is based in Jericho, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyNathan's Famous generates revenue through several key channels. The primary revenue stream comes from its company-operated restaurants and franchised locations, where customers purchase hot dogs, fries, and other menu items. Additionally, Nathan's earns income through licensing agreements that allow third-party manufacturers to produce and sell Nathan's-branded products, such as frozen hot dogs and condiments, in grocery stores. The company also benefits from sponsorships and promotional events, notably its annual hot dog eating contest, which enhances brand visibility and drives customer engagement. Overall, Nathan's Famous leverages its brand recognition and diverse revenue streams to maintain profitability.

Nathan's Famous Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nathan's Famous demonstrates strong profitability and cash flow generation, with consistent revenue and profit growth. However, the high leverage and negative equity present considerable financial risks, which may impact long-term sustainability. While operational efficiency is commendable, the company must address its balance sheet vulnerabilities to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Nathan's Famous has exhibited a robust revenue growth trend with a notable increase of 6.91% from 2024 to 2025 and 6.00% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin has been stable at around 39.5%, and the net profit margin improved to 16.21% in 2025, which indicates strong profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, showing effective cost management. However, the growth rate in revenue is slowing, which could be a concern for future growth prospects.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative stockholders' equity, which raises concerns about financial stability and leverage. The equity ratio is negative, indicating that liabilities exceed assets. Despite this, the company has managed to reduce its total liabilities over the years, suggesting some improvement in financial management, but the high leverage remains a significant risk.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow has grown consistently, with a significant free cash flow growth of 27.04% from 2024 to 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating strong cash generation relative to accounting profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust, reflecting efficient capital expenditure management. However, the reliance on cash reserves and ongoing negative financing cash flows highlight potential liquidity risks.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue150.41M148.18M138.61M130.78M114.88M75.84M
Gross Profit56.82M58.48M49.25M49.64M44.06M38.74M
EBITDA36.97M37.82M33.94M35.68M29.73M27.11M
Net Income14.75M24.03M19.62M19.62M13.60M11.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets63.44M53.48M48.86M58.61M78.52M108.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.87M27.80M21.03M29.86M50.06M81.06M
Total Debt7.40M7.85M66.39M86.24M116.52M156.22M
Total Liabilities72.78M69.99M81.78M103.17M133.50M171.29M
Stockholders Equity-9.34M-16.51M-32.92M-44.56M-54.99M-62.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.73M25.02M19.69M19.21M15.84M11.21M
Operating Cash Flow20.03M25.24M20.00M19.84M16.48M11.77M
Investing Cash Flow-299.00K-225.00K-313.00K-584.00K-636.00K-551.00K
Financing Cash Flow-18.84M-18.24M-28.52M-39.45M-46.84M-7.27M

Nathan's Famous Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price106.46
Price Trends
50DMA
103.78
Positive
100DMA
103.19
Positive
200DMA
95.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.91
Positive
RSI
56.23
Neutral
STOCH
46.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NATH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 106.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 104.98, above the 50-day MA of 103.78, and above the 200-day MA of 95.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.91 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NATH.

Nathan's Famous Risk Analysis

Nathan's Famous disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nathan's Famous reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nathan's Famous Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$429.40M18.20-102.54%1.90%6.38%9.98%
68
Neutral
$3.02B18.6641.01%1.80%4.77%38.24%
61
Neutral
$17.92B12.81-0.76%2.98%1.30%-14.28%
60
Neutral
$1.58B21.26-20.16%3.70%-1.46%8.10%
51
Neutral
$385.77M4.15%8.87%-6.66%-71.87%
49
Neutral
$1.05B-19.76%2.56%-11.07%1.12%
47
Neutral
$12.65M22.67-1.67%21.45%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NATH
Nathan's Famous
106.46
30.90
40.89%
JACK
Jack In The Box
19.85
-21.17
-51.61%
PZZA
Papa John's International
49.69
3.49
7.55%
CAKE
Cheesecake Factory
60.11
24.80
70.24%
CNNE
Cannae Holdings
18.66
0.15
0.81%
CHSN
Chanson International Holding Class A
2.19
-121.81
-98.23%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025