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Nathan's Famous (NATH)
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Nathan's Famous (NATH) AI Stock Analysis

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NATH

Nathan's Famous

(NASDAQ:NATH)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$98.00
▼(-12.02% Downside)
Nathan's Famous faces significant financial risks due to high leverage and negative equity, which weigh heavily on its overall score. The technical analysis suggests bearish momentum, further impacting the score. While the valuation is reasonable, it does not offset the financial concerns.

Nathan's Famous (NATH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nathan's Famous Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNathan's Famous, Inc. is a renowned American fast-food restaurant chain primarily known for its hot dogs and fast-casual dining experience. Established in 1916, the company operates in the food service sector, offering a variety of products including hot dogs, hamburgers, french fries, and other classic American fare. Nathan's Famous is recognized not only for its iconic products but also for its association with the annual Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest, which enhances its brand visibility and cultural significance.
How the Company Makes MoneyNathan's Famous generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary source of income comes from its restaurant operations, including company-owned locations and franchises. Franchise fees and royalties contribute significantly to revenue as the company expands its brand footprint both domestically and internationally. Additionally, Nathan's Famous earns money through retail sales of its packaged food products, which are sold in grocery stores and other retail outlets. The brand also benefits from partnerships and sponsorships, particularly related to its annual hot dog eating contest, which boosts media exposure and customer engagement. Overall, the combination of franchise operations, retail sales, and promotional events forms the core of Nathan's revenue model.

Nathan's Famous Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nathan's Famous shows strong profitability and cash flow generation, with consistent revenue and profit growth. However, the high leverage and negative equity present considerable financial risks, which may impact long-term sustainability. While operational efficiency is commendable, the company must address its balance sheet vulnerabilities to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Nathan's Famous has exhibited a robust revenue growth trend with a notable increase of 6.91% from 2024 to 2025 and 6.00% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin has been stable at around 39.5%, and the net profit margin improved to 16.21% in 2025, which indicates strong profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, showing effective cost management. However, the growth rate in revenue is slowing, which could be a concern for future growth prospects.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative stockholders' equity, which raises concerns about financial stability and leverage. The equity ratio is negative, indicating that liabilities exceed assets. Despite this, the company has managed to reduce its total liabilities over the years, suggesting some improvement in financial management, but the high leverage remains a significant risk.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow has grown consistently, with a significant free cash flow growth of 27.04% from 2024 to 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating strong cash generation relative to accounting profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust, reflecting efficient capital expenditure management. However, the reliance on cash reserves and ongoing negative financing cash flows highlight potential liquidity risks.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue150.41M148.18M138.61M130.78M114.88M75.84M
Gross Profit50.33M51.98M49.25M49.64M44.06M38.74M
EBITDA37.10M37.82M33.94M35.68M29.73M27.11M
Net Income23.68M24.03M19.62M19.62M13.60M11.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets63.44M53.48M48.86M58.61M78.52M108.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.87M27.80M21.03M29.86M50.06M81.06M
Total Debt54.89M55.92M66.39M86.24M116.52M156.22M
Total Liabilities72.78M69.99M81.78M103.17M133.50M171.29M
Stockholders Equity-9.34M-16.51M-32.92M-44.56M-54.99M-62.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.73M25.02M19.69M19.21M15.84M11.21M
Operating Cash Flow20.03M25.24M20.00M19.84M16.48M11.77M
Investing Cash Flow-299.00K-225.00K-313.00K-584.00K-636.00K-551.00K
Financing Cash Flow-18.84M-18.24M-28.52M-39.45M-46.84M-7.27M

Nathan's Famous Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price111.39
Price Trends
50DMA
105.89
Negative
100DMA
104.77
Negative
200DMA
101.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.24
Positive
RSI
39.71
Neutral
STOCH
12.71
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NATH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 111.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 102.29, above the 50-day MA of 105.89, and above the 200-day MA of 101.91, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.71 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NATH.

Nathan's Famous Risk Analysis

Nathan's Famous disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nathan's Famous reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nathan's Famous Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$313.63M11.879.63%2.09%12.10%
68
Neutral
19.65%-1.72%-70.31%
67
Neutral
$383.66M14.075.82%2.40%-14.90%
65
Neutral
$409.78M12.718.01%6.47%-62.84%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$398.03M17.521.88%7.81%4.58%
47
Neutral
$317.66M10.47%-6.75%-118.94%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NATH
Nathan's Famous
97.33
13.94
16.72%
DIN
Dine Brands Global
28.41
-3.75
-11.66%
JACK
Jack In The Box
16.81
-30.04
-64.12%
PBPB
Potbelly
17.12
6.91
67.68%
LOCO
El Pollo LoCo
10.47
-2.29
-17.95%
PTLO
Portillo's
5.09
-6.21
-54.96%

Nathan's Famous Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Nathan’s Famous Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

On September 9, 2025, Nathan’s Famous, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where key decisions were made. The stockholders approved the election of ten directors and ratified the appointment of CBIZ CPAs P.C. as the company’s auditors for fiscal year 2026, indicating continued stability and strategic direction for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (NATH) stock is a Buy with a $117.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nathan’s Famous stock, see the NATH Stock Forecast page.

Nathan’s Famous Reports Mixed First Quarter Results
Aug 9, 2025

Nathan’s Famous, Inc. is a well-known company in the foodservice industry, renowned for its iconic hot dogs and a wide range of branded products distributed across the United States and internationally. The company operates through restaurant systems, foodservice sales programs, and product licensing activities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025