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Nathan's Famous (NATH)
NASDAQ:NATH
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Nathan's Famous (NATH) AI Stock Analysis

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NATH

Nathan's Famous

(NASDAQ:NATH)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$108.00
▲(17.74% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:06/10/26
The score is primarily held back by financial risk from persistent negative equity and recent margin/free-cash-flow softening, despite meaningful debt reduction. Technicals are mildly constructive with neutral momentum, and valuation is supported by a high dividend yield and a moderate P/E.
Positive Factors
Brand-licensing business model
A durable brand-licensing model generates recurring royalty streams with low capital intensity. Licensing across retail and foodservice diversifies revenue, supports margins and cash conversion, and limits the need for large capex or direct store expansion over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative equity
Negative shareholders' equity across multiple years signals a structural balance-sheet weakness. It limits borrowing capacity, constrains strategic flexibility, and amplifies downside risk in an economic downturn because losses or asset writedowns further erode the already diminished financial cushion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Brand-licensing business model
A durable brand-licensing model generates recurring royalty streams with low capital intensity. Licensing across retail and foodservice diversifies revenue, supports margins and cash conversion, and limits the need for large capex or direct store expansion over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Nathan's Famous (NATH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nathan's Famous Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Nathan's Famous, Inc. (NATH) operates primarily within the foodservice sector, encompassing both direct operations and an extensive licensing model. The company manages and licenses out restaurant locations operating under the iconic Nathan's Famo...
How the Company Makes Money
Nathan’s Famous primarily makes money through a brand-licensing model, supplemented by restaurant operations and franchising. A significant portion of revenue is generated from royalties and fees earned by licensing the Nathan’s Famous brand for (...

Nathan's Famous Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong operating profile with steady revenue growth, generally solid profitability, and good cash conversion. However, persistent negative equity is a major balance-sheet risk despite the sharp reduction in debt by 2026, and 2026 showed a notable step-down in margins and free cash flow versus 2025.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue162.06M148.18M138.61M130.78M114.88M
Gross Profit48.01M51.98M49.25M49.64M44.06M
EBITDA31.03M37.82M33.94M35.68M29.73M
Net Income20.02M24.03M19.62M19.62M13.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets53.65M53.48M48.86M58.61M78.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.40M27.80M21.03M29.86M50.06M
Total Debt6.34M55.92M66.39M86.24M116.52M
Total Liabilities67.87M69.99M81.78M103.17M133.50M
Stockholders Equity-14.22M-16.51M-32.92M-44.56M-54.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.86M25.02M19.69M19.21M15.84M
Operating Cash Flow18.23M25.24M20.00M19.84M16.48M
Investing Cash Flow-370.00K-225.00K-313.00K-584.00K-636.00K
Financing Cash Flow-21.26M-18.24M-28.52M-39.45M-46.84M

Nathan's Famous Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price91.73
Price Trends
50DMA
101.12
Positive
100DMA
100.86
Positive
200DMA
99.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Negative
RSI
59.19
Neutral
STOCH
52.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NATH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 91.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 101.25, below the 50-day MA of 101.12, and below the 200-day MA of 99.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NATH.

Nathan's Famous Risk Analysis

Nathan's Famous disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nathan's Famous reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nathan's Famous Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$478.76M15.7710.14%4.42%16.38%
62
Neutral
$415.91M20.85-182.42%2.09%9.37%-16.75%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$435.48M25.68-6.47%5.10%8.39%-70.93%
52
Neutral
$338.85M20.473.37%2.37%-49.32%
46
Neutral
$237.28M7.20-3.80%9.34%-17.16%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NATH
Nathan's Famous
101.94
-3.75
-3.54%
DIN
Dine Brands Global
34.04
7.73
29.40%
JACK
Jack In The Box
13.37
-4.65
-25.80%
LOCO
El Pollo LoCo
15.64
5.26
50.67%
PTLO
Portillo's
4.44
-7.58
-63.06%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 10, 2026