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Nathan's Famous (NATH)
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Nathan's Famous (NATH) AI Stock Analysis

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NATH

Nathan's Famous

(NASDAQ:NATH)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$115.00
▲(3.24% Upside)
Nathan's Famous demonstrates strong profitability and cash flow generation, which are significant strengths. However, the high leverage and negative equity pose financial risks. The technical analysis indicates a neutral trend, and the valuation suggests the stock is fairly priced. These factors combine to give a moderate overall stock score.

Nathan's Famous (NATH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nathan's Famous Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNathan's Famous, founded in 1916, is a well-known American fast-food chain specializing in hot dogs and other casual dining offerings. The company operates primarily in the quick-service restaurant sector and is famous for its iconic Nathan's hot dogs, crinkle-cut fries, and a variety of other menu items. With a strong presence in both company-operated and franchised locations, Nathan's Famous has expanded its brand through partnerships, licensing agreements, and retail sales, making it a staple in the American food landscape.
How the Company Makes MoneyNathan's Famous generates revenue through several key channels. The primary revenue stream comes from its company-operated restaurants and franchised locations, where customers purchase hot dogs, fries, and other menu items. Additionally, Nathan's earns income through licensing agreements that allow third-party manufacturers to produce and sell Nathan's-branded products, such as frozen hot dogs and condiments, in grocery stores. The company also benefits from sponsorships and promotional events, notably its annual hot dog eating contest, which enhances brand visibility and drives customer engagement. Overall, Nathan's Famous leverages its brand recognition and diverse revenue streams to maintain profitability.

Nathan's Famous Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nathan's Famous demonstrates strong profitability and cash flow generation, with consistent revenue and profit growth. However, the high leverage and negative equity present considerable financial risks, which may impact long-term sustainability. While operational efficiency is commendable, the company must address its balance sheet vulnerabilities to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Nathan's Famous has exhibited a robust revenue growth trend with a notable increase of 6.91% from 2024 to 2025 and 6.00% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin has been stable at around 39.5%, and the net profit margin improved to 16.21% in 2025, which indicates strong profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, showing effective cost management. However, the growth rate in revenue is slowing, which could be a concern for future growth prospects.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative stockholders' equity, which raises concerns about financial stability and leverage. The equity ratio is negative, indicating that liabilities exceed assets. Despite this, the company has managed to reduce its total liabilities over the years, suggesting some improvement in financial management, but the high leverage remains a significant risk.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow has grown consistently, with a significant free cash flow growth of 27.04% from 2024 to 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating strong cash generation relative to accounting profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust, reflecting efficient capital expenditure management. However, the reliance on cash reserves and ongoing negative financing cash flows highlight potential liquidity risks.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2019Dec 2018Dec 2017
Income Statement
Total Revenue150.41M148.18M138.61M103.33M101.85M104.20M
Gross Profit56.82M58.48M49.25M43.18M43.04M41.94M
EBITDA36.97M37.82M33.94M29.85M41.41M19.05M
Net Income14.75M24.03M19.62M13.44M21.49M2.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets63.44M53.48M48.86M105.28M94.31M80.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.87M27.80M21.03M77.12M75.45M57.34M
Total Debt7.40M7.85M66.39M156.25M145.45M144.76M
Total Liabilities72.78M69.99M81.78M171.68M164.45M164.66M
Stockholders Equity-9.34M-16.51M-32.92M-66.40M-70.14M-84.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.73M25.02M19.69M11.48M10.71M18.30M
Operating Cash Flow20.03M25.24M20.00M12.35M11.16M18.86M
Investing Cash Flow-299.00K-225.00K-313.00K-870.00K12.33M-550.00K
Financing Cash Flow-18.84M-18.24M-28.52M-9.81M-5.38M-17.89M

Nathan's Famous Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price111.39
Price Trends
50DMA
107.49
Negative
100DMA
106.24
Positive
200DMA
99.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Positive
RSI
45.41
Neutral
STOCH
37.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NATH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 111.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 108.91, above the 50-day MA of 107.49, and above the 200-day MA of 99.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NATH.

Nathan's Famous Risk Analysis

Nathan's Famous disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nathan's Famous reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nathan's Famous Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$426.47M9.267.59%2.92%-49.77%
$429.48M12.397.36%3.62%17.67%
$283.76M11.599.46%1.85%-0.99%
$517.96M48.0919.65%-1.72%-70.31%
$442.08M18.741.88%6.38%9.98%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
$334.79M-5.0310.17%-6.66%-71.87%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NATH
Nathan's Famous
106.40
22.06
26.16%
DIN
Dine Brands Global
26.88
-1.58
-5.55%
JACK
Jack In The Box
17.30
-31.46
-64.52%
PBPB
Potbelly
17.12
9.45
123.21%
LOCO
El Pollo LoCo
9.76
-2.94
-23.15%
PTLO
Portillo's
5.66
-7.40
-56.66%

Nathan's Famous Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Nathan’s Famous Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

On September 9, 2025, Nathan’s Famous, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where key decisions were made. The stockholders approved the election of ten directors and ratified the appointment of CBIZ CPAs P.C. as the company’s auditors for fiscal year 2026, indicating continued stability and strategic direction for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (NATH) stock is a Buy with a $117.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nathan’s Famous stock, see the NATH Stock Forecast page.

Nathan’s Famous Reports Mixed First Quarter Results
Aug 9, 2025

Nathan’s Famous, Inc. is a well-known company in the foodservice industry, renowned for its iconic hot dogs and a wide range of branded products distributed across the United States and internationally. The company operates through restaurant systems, foodservice sales programs, and product licensing activities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025