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Nathan's Famous (NATH)
:NATH

Nathan's Famous (NATH) AI Stock Analysis

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NATH

Nathan's Famous

(NASDAQ:NATH)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$95.00
▲(3.56% Upside)
Nathan's Famous shows strong profitability and reasonable valuation, but high leverage and negative equity pose significant financial risks. The bearish technical indicators suggest weak market momentum, which negatively impacts the stock's attractiveness. The absence of earnings call data limits insights into future guidance and sentiment.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth reflects strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion and profitability.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation indicates efficient operations and capital management, providing financial flexibility for future investments.
Profitability
Stable and improving profit margins demonstrate effective cost management and pricing power, enhancing long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, impacting long-term sustainability.
Negative Equity
Negative equity reflects financial instability, potentially hindering growth opportunities and investor confidence over the long term.
Liquidity Risks
Liquidity risks can constrain operational capabilities and investment potential, affecting the company's ability to sustain growth and manage obligations.

Nathan's Famous (NATH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nathan's Famous Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNathan's Famous, Inc. is a renowned American fast-food restaurant chain primarily known for its hot dogs and fast-casual dining experience. Established in 1916, the company operates in the food service sector, offering a variety of products including hot dogs, hamburgers, french fries, and other classic American fare. Nathan's Famous is recognized not only for its iconic products but also for its association with the annual Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest, which enhances its brand visibility and cultural significance.
How the Company Makes MoneyNathan's Famous generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary source of income comes from its restaurant operations, including company-owned locations and franchises. Franchise fees and royalties contribute significantly to revenue as the company expands its brand footprint both domestically and internationally. Additionally, Nathan's Famous earns money through retail sales of its packaged food products, which are sold in grocery stores and other retail outlets. The brand also benefits from partnerships and sponsorships, particularly related to its annual hot dog eating contest, which boosts media exposure and customer engagement. Overall, the combination of franchise operations, retail sales, and promotional events forms the core of Nathan's revenue model.

Nathan's Famous Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nathan's Famous shows strong profitability and cash flow generation, with consistent revenue and profit growth. However, the high leverage and negative equity present considerable financial risks, which may impact long-term sustainability. While operational efficiency is commendable, the company must address its balance sheet vulnerabilities to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Nathan's Famous has exhibited a robust revenue growth trend with a notable increase of 6.91% from 2024 to 2025 and 6.00% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin has been stable at around 39.5%, and the net profit margin improved to 16.21% in 2025, which indicates strong profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, showing effective cost management. However, the growth rate in revenue is slowing, which could be a concern for future growth prospects.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative stockholders' equity, which raises concerns about financial stability and leverage. The equity ratio is negative, indicating that liabilities exceed assets. Despite this, the company has managed to reduce its total liabilities over the years, suggesting some improvement in financial management, but the high leverage remains a significant risk.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow has grown consistently, with a significant free cash flow growth of 27.04% from 2024 to 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating strong cash generation relative to accounting profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust, reflecting efficient capital expenditure management. However, the reliance on cash reserves and ongoing negative financing cash flows highlight potential liquidity risks.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue150.41M148.18M138.61M130.78M114.88M75.84M
Gross Profit50.33M51.98M49.25M49.64M44.06M38.74M
EBITDA37.10M37.82M33.94M35.68M29.73M27.11M
Net Income23.68M24.03M19.62M19.62M13.60M11.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets63.44M53.48M48.86M58.61M78.52M108.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.87M27.80M21.03M29.86M50.06M81.06M
Total Debt54.89M55.92M66.39M86.24M116.52M156.22M
Total Liabilities72.78M69.99M81.78M103.17M133.50M171.29M
Stockholders Equity-9.34M-16.51M-32.92M-44.56M-54.99M-62.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.73M25.02M19.69M19.21M15.84M11.21M
Operating Cash Flow20.03M25.24M20.00M19.84M16.48M11.77M
Investing Cash Flow-299.00K-225.00K-313.00K-584.00K-636.00K-551.00K
Financing Cash Flow-18.84M-18.24M-28.52M-39.45M-46.84M-7.27M

Nathan's Famous Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price91.73
Price Trends
50DMA
99.19
Negative
100DMA
99.99
Negative
200DMA
98.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.55
Negative
RSI
50.80
Neutral
STOCH
68.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NATH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 91.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.56, below the 50-day MA of 99.19, and below the 200-day MA of 98.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NATH.

Nathan's Famous Risk Analysis

Nathan's Famous disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nathan's Famous reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nathan's Famous Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$345.38M13.169.63%2.09%12.10%
68
Neutral
19.65%-1.72%-70.31%
67
Neutral
$353.51M12.965.82%2.40%-14.90%
61
Neutral
$389.53M17.152.04%7.81%4.58%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$491.13M15.235.99%6.47%-62.84%
53
Neutral
$383.04M8.35%-6.75%-118.94%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NATH
Nathan's Famous
95.18
12.26
14.79%
DIN
Dine Brands Global
34.05
4.98
17.13%
JACK
Jack In The Box
21.08
-21.52
-50.52%
PBPB
Potbelly
17.12
7.15
71.72%
LOCO
El Pollo LoCo
11.61
-1.20
-9.37%
PTLO
Portillo's
4.69
-4.29
-47.77%

Nathan's Famous Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Nathan’s Famous Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

On September 9, 2025, Nathan’s Famous, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where key decisions were made. The stockholders approved the election of ten directors and ratified the appointment of CBIZ CPAs P.C. as the company’s auditors for fiscal year 2026, indicating continued stability and strategic direction for the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025