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Nathan's Famous (NATH)
NASDAQ:NATH
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Nathan's Famous (NATH) AI Stock Analysis

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NATH

Nathan's Famous

(NASDAQ:NATH)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$110.00
▲(3.98% Upside)
Nathan's Famous has a solid financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow generation, but high leverage and negative equity pose significant risks. Technical analysis shows mixed signals with potential bearish momentum. The valuation is fair, offering a reasonable P/E ratio and a moderate dividend yield. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits further insights.

Nathan's Famous (NATH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nathan's Famous Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNathan's Famous, founded in 1916, is a well-known American fast-food chain specializing in hot dogs and other casual dining offerings. The company operates primarily in the quick-service restaurant sector and is famous for its iconic Nathan's hot dogs, crinkle-cut fries, and a variety of other menu items. With a strong presence in both company-operated and franchised locations, Nathan's Famous has expanded its brand through partnerships, licensing agreements, and retail sales, making it a staple in the American food landscape.
How the Company Makes MoneyNathan's Famous generates revenue through several key channels. The primary revenue stream comes from its company-operated restaurants and franchised locations, where customers purchase hot dogs, fries, and other menu items. Additionally, Nathan's earns income through licensing agreements that allow third-party manufacturers to produce and sell Nathan's-branded products, such as frozen hot dogs and condiments, in grocery stores. The company also benefits from sponsorships and promotional events, notably its annual hot dog eating contest, which enhances brand visibility and drives customer engagement. Overall, Nathan's Famous leverages its brand recognition and diverse revenue streams to maintain profitability.

Nathan's Famous Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nathan's Famous demonstrates strong profitability and cash flow generation, with consistent revenue and profit growth. However, the high leverage and negative equity present considerable financial risks, which may impact long-term sustainability. While operational efficiency is commendable, the company must address its balance sheet vulnerabilities to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Nathan's Famous has exhibited a robust revenue growth trend with a notable increase of 6.91% from 2024 to 2025 and 6.00% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin has been stable at around 39.5%, and the net profit margin improved to 16.21% in 2025, which indicates strong profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, showing effective cost management. However, the growth rate in revenue is slowing, which could be a concern for future growth prospects.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative stockholders' equity, which raises concerns about financial stability and leverage. The equity ratio is negative, indicating that liabilities exceed assets. Despite this, the company has managed to reduce its total liabilities over the years, suggesting some improvement in financial management, but the high leverage remains a significant risk.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow has grown consistently, with a significant free cash flow growth of 27.04% from 2024 to 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating strong cash generation relative to accounting profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust, reflecting efficient capital expenditure management. However, the reliance on cash reserves and ongoing negative financing cash flows highlight potential liquidity risks.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue150.41M148.18M138.61M130.78M114.88M75.84M
Gross Profit56.82M58.48M49.25M49.64M44.06M38.74M
EBITDA36.97M37.82M33.94M35.68M29.73M27.11M
Net Income14.75M24.03M19.62M19.62M13.60M11.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets63.44M53.48M48.86M58.61M78.52M108.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.87M27.80M21.03M29.86M50.06M81.06M
Total Debt7.40M7.85M66.39M86.24M116.52M156.22M
Total Liabilities72.78M69.99M81.78M103.17M133.50M171.29M
Stockholders Equity-9.34M-16.51M-32.92M-44.56M-54.99M-62.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.73M25.02M19.69M19.21M15.84M11.21M
Operating Cash Flow20.03M25.24M20.00M19.84M16.48M11.77M
Investing Cash Flow-299.00K-225.00K-313.00K-584.00K-636.00K-551.00K
Financing Cash Flow-18.84M-18.24M-28.52M-39.45M-46.84M-7.27M

Nathan's Famous Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price105.79
Price Trends
50DMA
105.46
Negative
100DMA
101.79
Positive
200DMA
94.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
57.36
Neutral
STOCH
87.39
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NATH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 105.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 98.89, above the 50-day MA of 105.46, and above the 200-day MA of 94.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.39 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NATH.

Nathan's Famous Risk Analysis

Nathan's Famous disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nathan's Famous reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nathan's Famous Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$3.14B19.3841.01%1.74%4.77%38.24%
66
Neutral
$430.71M18.26-102.54%1.90%6.38%9.98%
61
Neutral
$17.51B12.51-5.96%3.09%1.71%-15.50%
60
Neutral
$1.56B20.97-20.16%4.01%-1.46%8.10%
51
Neutral
$386.53M4.15%9.26%-6.66%-71.87%
47
Neutral
$136.48M512.504.99%3.95%1180.00%
46
Neutral
$997.62M-19.76%2.65%-11.07%1.12%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NATH
Nathan's Famous
105.79
32.94
45.22%
JACK
Jack In The Box
19.00
-31.14
-62.11%
PZZA
Papa John's International
45.90
1.29
2.89%
CAKE
Cheesecake Factory
62.08
24.67
65.94%
CNNE
Cannae Holdings
18.01
-0.97
-5.11%
CHSN
Chanson International Holding Class A
2.70
-133.30
-98.01%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 13, 2025