Dine Brands (DIN)
NYSE:DIN
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Dine Brands Global
(NYSE:DIN)
Select Model
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Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▼(-2.19% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
The score is held back primarily by high leverage/negative equity and sharply weaker profitability and recent free-cash-flow pressure. Offsetting factors include a supportive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield), improving technical momentum, and an earnings-call outlook that maintained guidance with clear brand/initiative progress despite near-term margin and cash flow headwinds.
Positive Factors
Franchising revenue model
A franchise-heavy model produces recurring, low-capex revenue through royalties and fees tied to systemwide sales. That steady, scalable cash flow profile reduces capital intensity and operational risk versus owning restaurants, supporting durable cash generation and shareholder returns over months.
Negative Factors
High leverage & negative equity
Elevated debt and negative equity materially constrain financial flexibility, increase refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity, and limit capacity to absorb operational shocks. Over a 2–6 month horizon this raises refinancing risk and restricts the firm’s ability to invest or withstand weaker franchisee cash flows.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Franchising revenue model
A franchise-heavy model produces recurring, low-capex revenue through royalties and fees tied to systemwide sales. That steady, scalable cash flow profile reduces capital intensity and operational risk versus owning restaurants, supporting durable cash generation and shareholder returns over months.
Read all positive factors
Dine Brands Global (DIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$385.25M
Dividend Yield5.1%
Average Volume (3M)481.96K
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.8
Beta (1Y)1.08
Revenue Growth8.39%
EPS Growth-70.93%
CountryUS
Employees992
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.05
Shares Outstanding12,685,175
10 Day Avg. Volume653,414
30 Day Avg. Volume481,962
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.37
Price to Book (P/B)-1.70
Price to Sales (P/S)0.53
P/FCF Ratio8.70
Enterprise Value/Market Cap4.81
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.08
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit5.35
Enterprise Value/Ebitda14.44
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$30.33Price Target Upside2.30% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering5
EPS Forecast (FY)4.55
Revenue Forecast (FY)$906.76M
Dine Brands Global Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Dine Brands Global, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns, franchises, operates, and rents full-service restaurants in the United States and internationally. It operates through five segments: Applebee's Franchise Operations, International Ho...
How the Company Makes Money
Dine Brands Global makes money primarily through a franchising-based revenue model rather than operating most restaurants itself. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) Franchise royalties: ongoing fees paid by franchisees, typically calculate...
Dine Brands Global Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reflected a balanced tone: clear operational and brand-level wins (revenue growth, brand comp outperformance, strong marketing results, dual-brand momentum, and maintained guidance) alongside near-term financial pressures (EBITDA decline, negative free cash flow, higher CapEx, commodity inflation, and some franchisee-specific disruptions). Management emphasized strategic investments and confidence in the long-term upside while acknowledging short-term headwinds and turnaround costs.Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue Growth
Total revenues increased 4.8% year-over-year to $225.2 million in Q1 2026 (vs. $214.8M prior year), driven primarily by company-owned restaurant acquisitions.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $50.8 million from $54.7 million year-over-year (~-7.1%), primarily due to investments in company-owned and dual-brand initiatives, pre-opening costs, and restaurants still in turnaround stages.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Consolidated Revenue Growth
Total revenues increased 4.8% year-over-year to $225.2 million in Q1 2026 (vs. $214.8M prior year), driven primarily by company-owned restaurant acquisitions.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management maintained full‑year financial guidance while flagging Q1 headwinds and the investments driving near‑term pressure: consolidated revenues rose 4.8% to $225.2M, adjusted EBITDA was $50.8M (vs. $54.7M LY), adjusted diluted EPS $1.07 (vs. $1.03), adjusted free cash flow was negative $3M (vs. $14.6M), and YTD CapEx was $12.1M (vs. $3.3M), with unrestricted cash of $104.2M; the company returned roughly $20–24M of capital in Q1 (including $22M of repurchases) and repurchased $52M of stock across Q4 and Q1 (~5% of shares). Guidance assumes fewer closure days going forward, CapEx finishing in the prior communicated range, continued franchise stability, and expected leverage of initiatives (43 dual brands open +13 under construction, ~80 targeted by year‑end; company‑owned units 86 ~2% of system) to drive recovery.Dine Brands Global Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 889.72M | 879.30M | 812.31M | 831.07M | 909.40M | 896.17M |
| Gross Profit | 346.29M | 350.80M | 375.31M | 396.68M | 377.36M | 375.23M |
| EBITDA | 128.23M | 73.10M | 200.84M | 217.38M | 213.69M | 225.10M |
| Net Income | 16.30M | 17.10M | 64.89M | 97.18M | 81.11M | 97.86M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.69B | 1.74B | 1.79B | 1.74B | 1.88B | 2.00B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 150.90M | 128.20M | 186.70M | 146.03M | 269.65M | 361.41M |
| Total Debt | 1.62B | 1.60B | 1.60B | 1.59B | 1.74B | 1.77B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.98B | 2.01B | 2.01B | 1.99B | 2.18B | 2.24B |
| Stockholders Equity | -290.00M | -273.80M | -216.02M | -250.97M | -301.08M | -242.81M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 34.52M | 53.40M | 94.09M | 93.97M | 54.02M | 178.99M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 80.37M | 89.00M | 108.16M | 131.14M | 89.34M | 195.84M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -37.42M | -31.60M | -8.45M | -30.10M | -80.90M | 3.86M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -120.49M | -104.30M | -51.70M | -225.44M | -108.80M | -230.40M |
Dine Brands Global Technical Analysis
Positive
29.65
Price Trends
27.91
Positive
30.74
Negative
28.48
Positive
Market Momentum
0.62
Negative
58.49
Neutral
54.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.70, above the 50-day MA of 27.91, and above the 200-day MA of 28.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DIN.
Dine Brands Global Risk Analysis
Dine Brands Global disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dine Brands Global reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Dine Brands Global Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $413.82M | 31.17 | -182.42% | 2.09% | 7.79% | -9.60% | |
71 Outperform | $428.51M | 12.51 | 10.14% | ― | 4.42% | 16.38% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
55 Neutral | $385.25M | 10.80 | -6.47% | 5.10% | 8.39% | -70.93% | |
48 Neutral | $305.50M | -235.32 | 3.37% | ― | 2.37% | -49.32% | |
46 Neutral | $220.30M | 5.33 | -3.80% | 9.34% | -17.16% | ― |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
DIN
Dine Brands Global
30.37
8.45
38.53%
JACK
Jack In The Box
11.55
-8.74
-43.08%
NATH
Nathan's Famous
101.07
4.30
4.44%
LOCO
El Pollo LoCo
14.07
4.94
54.11%
PTLO
Portillo's
4.03
-7.71
-65.67%
Dine Brands Global Corporate Events
Stock BuybackDividends
Dine Brands Announces Dividend and Expanded Share Repurchase Program
Positive
May 14, 2026
On May 14, 2026, Dine Brands Global, Inc. announced that its board declared a second-quarter 2026 cash dividend of $0.19 per share, payable July 10, 2026, to shareholders of record as of June 24, 2026. The move continues the company’s practi...
Dividends
Dine Brands Global Declares First-Quarter 2026 Cash Dividend
Positive
Feb 20, 2026
On February 20, 2026, Dine Brands Global, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared a first-quarter 2026 cash dividend of $0.19 per share of common stock. The dividend is scheduled to be paid on April 10, 2026, to shareholders of record ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.