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Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)
NYSE:DIN

Dine Brands Global (DIN) AI Stock Analysis

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DIN

Dine Brands Global

(NYSE:DIN)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(1.01% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
DIN scores mid-range primarily due to elevated balance-sheet risk (negative equity/high leverage) and a 2025 profitability step-down despite positive operating/free cash flow. Technicals add pressure with a clear downtrend, while valuation (moderate P/E and high dividend yield) and earnings-call guidance for modest 2026 stabilization provide partial support.
Positive Factors
Franchise model & scale
A predominantly franchised business generating roughly $7.8B in system sales provides durable, royalty-driven revenue exposure. Franchise royalties and fees create high operating leverage with limited company-store capex, supporting steady cash flows and resilience versus company-operated chains.
Consistent cash generation
Operating and free cash flow remained positive across reported periods, giving management the ability to fund remodels, dual-brand rollouts, dividends and buybacks. Reliable cash generation underpins strategic investments and shareholder returns despite earnings volatility.
Dual-brand & remodel strategy
Targeted dual-brand expansion and remodels deliver structural unit-level revenue upside: dual locations materially outpace single-brand revenue and remodels show mid-single-digit lifts. Ongoing development and conversions create a repeatable growth lever that enhances system economics over time.
Negative Factors
Weak balance sheet
Persistent negative equity and meaningful debt reduce financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to downturns. Even with recent debt reduction, the capital structure limits maneuverability for incremental investments or shocks and elevates refinancing and covenant risks over the medium term.
Profitability & FCF step-down
A steep decline in adjusted free cash flow and lower full‑year adjusted EBITDA reflect investment-driven and operating pressures. Reduced cash conversion constrains debt paydown and reinvestment capacity, making earnings recovery and capital allocation decisions more challenging in the medium term.
Franchise & rental revenue pressure
Declines in franchise and rental revenues, partly from store takebacks and closures, signal franchisee health risks and slower royalty growth. Combined with elevated CapEx for remodels and conversions, this structurally pressures revenue streams that fund corporate royalties and investment programs.

Dine Brands Global (DIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dine Brands Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDine Brands Global, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns, franchises, operates, and rents full-service restaurants in the United States and internationally. It operates through five segments: Applebee's Franchise Operations, International House of Pancakes (IHOP) Franchise Operations, Rental Operations, Financing Operations, and Company-Operated Restaurant Operations. The company owns and franchises two restaurant concepts, including Applebee's Neighborhood Grill + Bar in the bar and grill segment of the casual dining category; and IHOP in the family dining category of the restaurant industry. Its Applebee's restaurants offer American fare with drinks and drafts; and IHOP restaurants provide full table services, and food and beverage offerings. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 1,611 Applebee's franchised restaurants, and 1,751 IHOP franchised and area licensed restaurants. It is also involved in the lease or sublease of 598 IHOP franchised restaurants and two Applebee's franchised restaurants; and the financing of franchise fees and equipment leases. the company was formerly known as DineEquity, Inc. and changed its name to Dine Brands Global, Inc. in February 2018. Dine Brands Global, Inc. was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Glendale, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyDine Brands Global generates revenue primarily through franchise fees and royalties from its franchisees, who operate Applebee's and IHOP locations across the globe. The company charges a percentage of sales from franchisees, which contributes significantly to its income. Additionally, Dine Brands earns revenue from company-operated restaurants, as well as from the sale of food and beverage products to its franchisees. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships, marketing initiatives, and promotional campaigns that enhance brand visibility and drive customer traffic to its restaurants, further contributing to its financial performance.

Dine Brands Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed meaningful operational progress — product innovation, digital engagement, positive traffic trends (especially at IHOP), accelerated development and dual-brand momentum — that underpin management's optimism for 2026. However, material near-term financial headwinds (lower full-year adjusted EBITDA vs prior year, a large decline in adjusted free cash flow, higher CapEx and company-restaurant investments impacting EBITDA and cash) temper the outlook. Guidance for 2026 (Applebee's and IHOP comp range 0%–2% and EBITDA $220M–$230M) reflects modest improvement and a return toward stability. Overall, the narrative emphasized strategic progress and a path to recovery but highlighted notable financial pressures and investment-driven cash impacts.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Q4 Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 increased to $59.8M from $50.1M (up ~19.4% YoY), driven in part by national advertising timing benefits.
Applebee's Returned to Positive Full-Year Same-Restaurant Sales
Applebee's full-year comp sales improved to +1.3% (vs -4.2% in prior year); Q4 comp sales were -0.4% with check growth of ~3%.
IHOP Traffic Recovery and Q4 Sales
IHOP full-year comps improved to -1.5% (vs -2.0% prior year) and delivered Q4 comp sales of +0.3%, driven by positive traffic and marketing; average check comp improved ~150 bps from Q3 to Q4.
Off-Premise and Delivery Growth
Off-premise comp sales increased +6.5% for the full year (and +6.2% in Q4); delivery grew ~10.5% for the year, supporting sales and convenience trends.
Successful Menu Innovation and Product Momentum
Applebee's launches were standout: the Grilled Cheese cheeseburger and Ultimate Trio were top sellers (Ultimate Trio ~11.5% of transactions); the O-M-Cheese Burger became the highest-selling 2-for burger of all time and drove January momentum.
Strong Digital & Social Media Engagement
Applebee's increased posting cadence by 84% and saw a 107% lift in engagement in the back half vs the front half of the year; IHOP reported overall engagement up over 300% YoY.
Dual Brand & Development Acceleration
Opened 32 U.S. dual-brand restaurants (and 32 international dual brand restaurants ended the year, +14 YoY); duals outperform single-brand locations (~1.5x–2.5x higher revenue) and the company expects at least +50 incremental dual brand openings in 2026 (targeting ~80 domestic duals by year-end).
Unit Growth and Openings
Total gross new openings accelerated to 80 restaurants in 2025 vs 68 in 2024; development is a key growth lever into 2026.
Remodel Program Progress
Completed 103 Applebee's remodels (exceeding initial goal) with early results showing mid-single-digit sales lifts when combined with marketing; targeting ~100+ remodels in 2026.
Shareholder Returns and Buybacks
Returned $92M of capital to shareholders in 2025 (buybacks & dividends); repurchased $31M in Q4 and ~2.4M shares for the year (~15% of shares outstanding), with continued buybacks planned while management sees valuation discount.
System Scale and Franchise Economics
Dine system sales approx. $7.8B in 2025. Average weekly franchise sales: Applebee's $54.3K (23% off-premise) and IHOP $38.7K (21% off-premise), underscoring scale and off-premise contribution.
Negative Updates
Full-Year Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA for the full year decreased to $219.8M from $239.8M (down ~8.3% YoY), reflecting investments, company-owned restaurant impacts and transitory costs.
Material Drop in Free Cash Flow
Adjusted free cash flow fell to $61.5M in 2025 from $106.4M in 2024 (down ~42%), driven by higher restaurant CapEx, remodel incentives and company restaurant operations.
Higher CapEx and Company Restaurant Costs
CapEx increased to $35.6M in 2025 from $14.1M in 2024 (up ~152%), with ~70% tied to deferred maintenance/remodeling and 30% to dual-brand conversions; company-owned restaurants unfavorably impacted EBITDA by ~$10M.
Franchise Revenues and Rental Revenue Pressure
Franchise revenues excluding advertising decreased 2.8% in Q4 and ~3% for the full year (partly due to company taking back restaurants and closures); rental revenues declined due to lease terminations and acquired company restaurants.
Commodity Inflation Headwinds
IHOP experienced full-year commodity inflation of ~6.4% (driven by higher egg prices; ex-eggs ~3%); Q4 commodity increases were ~0.5% for Applebee's and ~3.5% for IHOP. Supply-chain expects mid-single-digit commodity inflation for Applebee's and low single digits for IHOP in 2026, with beef prices and tariffs as drivers.
Liquidity Decline
Total unrestricted cash declined to $128.2M at year-end from $168.0M in prior quarter (down ~23.7%), reflecting cash deployed to operations, CapEx and returns to shareholders.
Applebee's and IHOP Seasonal/Timing Softness
Both brands experienced temporary softening in December; Applebee's Q4 comp was negative (-0.4%) and IHOP, while positive in Q4, finished the year slightly below internal comp expectations.
Adjusted Diluted EPS Full-Year Decline
Adjusted diluted EPS for the full year decreased to $4.45 from $5.34 (down ~16.8% YoY), despite Q4 EPS improving to $1.46 (from $0.87).
Company Guidance
The company guided 2026 domestic system-wide comparable sales of 0% to +2% for both Applebee’s and IHOP, with Applebee’s net domestic unit outlook of roughly -15 to -5 restaurants and IHOP a range of -10 to +10 net restaurants; they expect at least an incremental 50 dual‑brand openings in 2026 (bringing dual brands close to ~80 domestic by year‑end). Financial guidance includes G&A of $205M–$210M (including ~ $35M of noncash stock‑based comp and depreciation) and adjusted EBITDA of $220M–$230M, with company‑owned restaurants expected to move toward breakeven (after a ~ $10M negative EBITDA impact in 2025). Capital spending is forecast at $25M–$35M for 2026, and development/remodel targets include corporate plans to continue the Applebee’s Lookin’ Good program (management cited a goal of ~100+ remodels systemwide) while company‑owned plans call for roughly 23 remodels and ~8 dual‑brand conversions; management also reiterated ongoing share repurchases while prioritizing dual‑brand investment and disciplined capital allocation.

Dine Brands Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial quality is mixed: income statement trends show choppy revenue and a sharp earnings step-down in 2025, while cash flow remains consistently positive but volatile. The largest drag is balance-sheet risk, with persistent negative equity and elevated leverage (partly offset by debt reduction in 2025).
Income Statement
63
Positive
Revenue has been choppy (down in 2023–2024, modest rebound in 2025), suggesting limited top-line momentum. Profitability was solid through 2021–2024 with healthy gross and operating profitability, but 2025 shows a sharp step-down in earnings (net income fell materially vs. 2024), indicating margin pressure and/or higher costs below the operating line. The business recovered well from 2020’s loss year, but recent earnings volatility keeps the score mid-range.
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Leverage is a clear concern: total debt remains high, and shareholders’ equity is negative across all reported periods, which reduces financial flexibility and makes the capital structure more fragile in a downturn. While total debt declined sharply in 2025 versus 2021–2024 levels, the company still carries meaningful debt and the negative equity position persists, keeping balance-sheet quality weak overall.
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
Cash generation is positive and generally supportive: operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently positive across the period, including 2025. However, free cash flow growth has been volatile (notably a large decline in 2025 after being roughly flat in 2024), and cash conversion metrics provided for 2022–2024 indicate cash flow covers only a modest portion of total debt. Overall, cash flow is a relative strength versus the balance sheet, but volatility limits the score.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue879.30M812.31M831.07M909.40M896.17M
Gross Profit359.30M375.31M396.68M377.36M375.23M
EBITDA73.10M200.84M217.38M213.69M225.10M
Net Income16.00M64.89M97.18M81.11M97.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.74B1.79B1.74B1.88B2.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments128.20M186.65M146.03M269.65M361.41M
Total Debt405.10M1.63B1.59B1.74B1.77B
Total Liabilities2.01B2.01B1.99B2.18B2.24B
Stockholders Equity-273.80M-216.02M-250.97M-301.08M-242.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.40M94.09M93.97M54.02M178.99M
Operating Cash Flow89.00M108.16M131.14M89.34M195.84M
Investing Cash Flow-31.60M-8.45M-30.10M-80.90M3.86M
Financing Cash Flow-104.30M-51.70M-225.44M-108.80M-230.40M

Dine Brands Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price30.69
Price Trends
50DMA
34.47
Negative
100DMA
31.13
Negative
200DMA
27.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.96
Positive
RSI
34.40
Neutral
STOCH
21.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DIN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.73, below the 50-day MA of 34.47, and above the 200-day MA of 27.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.96 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DIN.

Dine Brands Global Risk Analysis

Dine Brands Global disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dine Brands Global reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dine Brands Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$411.82M19.312.09%7.81%4.58%
68
Neutral
$320.22M12.349.63%2.09%12.10%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
$401.75M19.084.45%2.40%-14.90%
54
Neutral
$441.94M13.715.10%6.47%-62.84%
45
Neutral
$331.42M-4.599.34%-6.75%-118.94%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DIN
Dine Brands Global
31.32
7.17
29.67%
JACK
Jack In The Box
17.28
-20.80
-54.62%
NATH
Nathan's Famous
100.77
3.66
3.77%
LOCO
El Pollo LoCo
11.14
0.15
1.36%
PTLO
Portillo's
5.48
-8.50
-60.80%

Dine Brands Global Corporate Events

Dividends
Dine Brands Global Declares First-Quarter 2026 Cash Dividend
Positive
Feb 20, 2026

On February 20, 2026, Dine Brands Global, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared a first-quarter 2026 cash dividend of $0.19 per share of common stock. The dividend is scheduled to be paid on April 10, 2026, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on March 18, 2026.

The dividend declaration underscores the company’s continued capital return to shareholders amid its position as a major global full-service restaurant operator. The move signals ongoing confidence by the board in Dine Brands’ financial stability and cash generation, which is significant for income-focused investors tracking the restaurant sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (DIN) stock is a Hold with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dine Brands Global stock, see the DIN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Dine Brands Global Adds Two Independent Directors to Board
Positive
Feb 3, 2026

On February 1, 2026, Dine Brands Global’s board of directors expanded its size from nine to eleven members and elected Amanda Clark and Enrique “Rick” Silva as independent directors, with their appointments announced publicly on February 3, 2026 and effective February 4, 2026. The move continues the company’s board refreshment strategy by adding seasoned franchise and restaurant operators: Silva, former CEO of Checkers & Rally’s and Culver’s franchising and current chairman of Zips Car Wash, and Clark, former Papa John’s international COO and Taco Bell executive and current CEO of WellBiz Brands, both bring deep experience in franchised restaurant and consumer brands; their compensation and indemnification will align with existing non‑employee directors, underscoring an effort to strengthen governance and strategic oversight ahead of the 2026 annual meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (DIN) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dine Brands Global stock, see the DIN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026