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Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)
NYSE:DIN
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Dine Brands Global (DIN) AI Stock Analysis

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DIN

Dine Brands Global

(NYSE:DIN)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$21.50
▼(-3.93% Downside)
Dine Brands Global's overall score is driven by strong valuation metrics and positive corporate events, offset by financial performance challenges and mixed earnings call results. The lack of technical indicators suggests uncertainty in market momentum.
Positive Factors
Financial Position
The successful completion of debt refinancing in June 2025 has strengthened Dine Brands' financial position.
Sales Growth
Applebee’s showed strong same-store sales growth of 4.9%, indicating positive brand momentum and successful product innovation.
Strategic Initiatives
DIN is showing an increased willingness to pivot from its fully franchised operating model by owning up to 2% of each system to advance and prove-out important initiatives like the new dual/brand format.
Negative Factors
Earnings Guidance
Dine Brands lowered its AEBITDA guidance, reflecting challenges in achieving previously expected earnings levels.
Operating Results
Dine Brands Global reported 2Q25 operating results that lagged consensus expectations from a gross profit, AEPS, and AEBITDA standpoint.
Store Profitability
The acquired 47 lower-AUV Applebee’s locations are currently not profitable at the gross margin level, and management expects it will take until the end of FY25 for this group of stores to be approaching breakeven.

Dine Brands Global (DIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dine Brands Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDine Brands Global, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns, franchises, operates, and rents full-service restaurants in the United States and internationally. It operates through five segments: Applebee's Franchise Operations, International House of Pancakes (IHOP) Franchise Operations, Rental Operations, Financing Operations, and Company-Operated Restaurant Operations. The company owns and franchises two restaurant concepts, including Applebee's Neighborhood Grill + Bar in the bar and grill segment of the casual dining category; and IHOP in the family dining category of the restaurant industry. Its Applebee's restaurants offer American fare with drinks and drafts; and IHOP restaurants provide full table services, and food and beverage offerings. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 1,611 Applebee's franchised restaurants, and 1,751 IHOP franchised and area licensed restaurants. It is also involved in the lease or sublease of 598 IHOP franchised restaurants and two Applebee's franchised restaurants; and the financing of franchise fees and equipment leases. the company was formerly known as DineEquity, Inc. and changed its name to Dine Brands Global, Inc. in February 2018. Dine Brands Global, Inc. was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Glendale, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyDine Brands generates revenue primarily through its franchise and company-operated restaurant segments. The company earns money from franchise fees, which include initial fees, ongoing royalties based on a percentage of sales, and contributions to marketing funds. Additionally, revenue is generated through company-operated restaurants, where it retains all sales revenue. The brand's strength and recognition contribute significantly to its earnings, bolstered by strategic partnerships with suppliers and marketing companies that enhance operational efficiencies and customer outreach. Moreover, Dine Brands has been adapting its business model to include more off-premise sales, such as delivery and takeout, which have become increasingly important in the current dining landscape.

Dine Brands Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.61%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative aspects. Applebee's showed significant growth in sales and traffic, bolstered by successful marketing strategies and new menu innovations. Social media engagement and off-premise sales also saw substantial improvements. However, IHOP faced challenges with declining comp sales and increased commodity costs. Financially, the company experienced a decrease in adjusted EBITDA and EPS, alongside rising G&A expenses.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Applebee's Sales and Traffic Growth
Applebee's reported a 4.9% increase in comp sales, achieving positive comp sales for the first time in 2 years and outperforming Black Box in both sales and traffic.
Social Media Engagement Increase
Significant expansion in social media capabilities led to a 500% increase in TikTok video views, a 760% increase in user reach, and a nearly 1,000% increase in likes.
Off-Premise Sales Growth
Off-premise sales saw a positive 7.6% lift in Q2, contributing to overall sales improvement.
Dual Brand Restaurants Success
The second domestic dual-brand restaurant opened in Uvalde, Texas, performing at 2x to 3x higher sales than the pre-dual brand restaurant.
International Expansion
Opened the first dual-brand non-traditional travel center in Mexico and the first non-traditional IHOP at an airport in Mexico City.
Record Revenue Growth
Consolidated total revenues increased 11.9% to $230.8 million in Q2 versus $206.3 million in the prior year.
Negative Updates
IHOP Comp Sales Decline
IHOP posted comp sales of negative 2.3%, although it was a sequential improvement from Q1.
Adjusted EBITDA Decrease
Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $56 million from $67 million in the same quarter last year.
Increase in G&A Expenses
G&A expenses increased to $50.8 million in Q2 of 2025 from $46.9 million in the same period last year due to increased compensation-related expenses and professional services fees.
Adjusted Diluted EPS Decline
Adjusted diluted EPS for the second quarter of 2025 was $1.17 compared to $1.71 for the second quarter of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Dine Brands Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, John Peyton, CEO, highlighted several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. Applebee's reported a 4.9% increase in comparable sales, marking the first positive traffic since Q1 2023, while IHOP experienced a 2.3% decline in comparable sales. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $56 million, down from $67 million the previous year, with adjusted free cash flow at $49 million compared to $53 million in 2024. The company is focusing on menu innovation, marketing enhancements, and guest experience improvements, alongside a strategic push in off-premise sales, which saw a 7.6% increase in Q2. Dine Brands also completed a refinancing initiative, issuing $600 million in senior secured notes with a 6.72% interest rate. The company's guidance for the full year was updated, with Applebee's expected to achieve domestic system-wide comparable sales growth between 1% and 3%, and IHOP's revised to a range of -1% to 1%.

Dine Brands Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dine Brands Global shows strong revenue growth and cash flow generation, but faces challenges with high leverage and negative equity. Operational efficiency is evident, but improving profitability and reducing financial risk are crucial for long-term stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Dine Brands Global shows strong revenue growth in the TTM, with a remarkable increase compared to previous periods. The company maintains healthy gross and EBIT margins, indicating efficient cost management and operational performance. However, the net profit margin is relatively low, suggesting room for improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The negative stockholders' equity is concerning, reflecting accumulated losses or high debt levels. Return on equity is negative, highlighting challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows robust free cash flow growth in the TTM, suggesting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash conversion. However, the high leverage could pose risks to sustaining cash flow levels in the future.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue845.37M812.31M831.07M909.40M896.17M689.27M
Gross Profit361.15M375.31M396.68M377.36M375.23M248.72M
EBITDA178.32M200.84M217.38M213.69M225.10M1.16M
Net Income46.25M64.89M97.18M81.11M97.86M-103.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.79B1.79B1.74B1.88B2.00B2.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments194.20M186.65M146.03M269.65M361.41M383.37M
Total Debt1.64B1.63B1.59B1.74B1.77B2.03B
Total Liabilities2.00B2.01B1.99B2.18B2.24B2.43B
Stockholders Equity-212.54M-216.02M-250.97M-301.08M-242.81M-354.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow92.53M94.09M93.97M54.02M178.99M85.58M
Operating Cash Flow109.09M108.16M131.14M89.34M195.84M96.50M
Investing Cash Flow-12.56M-8.45M-30.10M-80.90M3.86M18.73M
Financing Cash Flow-51.71M-51.70M-225.44M-108.80M-230.40M168.35M

Dine Brands Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price22.38
Price Trends
50DMA
23.91
Negative
100DMA
22.90
Negative
200DMA
25.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.60
Negative
RSI
50.67
Neutral
STOCH
58.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DIN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.71, below the 50-day MA of 23.91, and below the 200-day MA of 25.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DIN.

Dine Brands Global Risk Analysis

Dine Brands Global disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dine Brands Global reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dine Brands Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$3.12B19.3041.01%1.72%4.77%38.24%
64
Neutral
$1.21B21.1112.90%1.84%2.84%-4.44%
63
Neutral
$344.19M7.48-42.81%9.12%2.92%-49.77%
61
Neutral
$17.70B12.60-3.90%3.04%1.52%-15.30%
60
Neutral
$230.72M14.52-63.40%0.06%-12.14%
60
Neutral
$1.52B20.40-20.16%3.97%-1.46%8.10%
51
Neutral
$352.16M4.15%9.44%-6.66%-71.87%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DIN
Dine Brands Global
22.38
-7.27
-24.52%
CBRL
Cracker Barrel
54.40
13.92
34.39%
DENN
Denny's
4.48
-1.79
-28.55%
JACK
Jack In The Box
18.65
-32.12
-63.27%
PZZA
Papa John's International
46.29
-0.26
-0.56%
CAKE
Cheesecake Factory
62.71
22.96
57.76%

Dine Brands Global Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dine Brands Global Completes Major Refinancing Transaction
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Dine Brands Global, Inc. completed a securitization refinancing transaction through its subsidiaries, Applebee’s Funding LLC and IHOP Funding LLC. The transaction involved issuing $600 million in Series 2025-1 Fixed Rate Senior Secured Notes and establishing a revolving financing facility for up to $325 million. The proceeds will be used to repay existing debt and for general corporate purposes. This strategic move is expected to optimize the company’s financial structure and support its operational and growth objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (DIN) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dine Brands Global stock, see the DIN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dine Brands Global Issues $600M Senior Secured Notes
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Dine Brands Global, Inc. and its subsidiaries entered into a Purchase Agreement to issue and sell $600 million in Series 2025-1 6.720% Fixed Rate Senior Secured Notes. This move, announced on June 5, 2025, is part of a strategic financial maneuver to strengthen the company’s capital structure and potentially enhance its market positioning by leveraging its well-known restaurant brands, Applebee’s and IHOP.

The most recent analyst rating on (DIN) stock is a Buy with a $71.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dine Brands Global stock, see the DIN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dine Brands Global Announces Refinancing Plan
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Dine Brands Global, Inc. announced its plan to refinance its Series 2019-1 Class A-2-II Fixed Rate Senior Secured Notes and Series 2022-1 Class A-1 Variable Funding Senior Notes through a new securitized financing facility. The proceeds from this refinancing will be used to repay existing notes, cover transaction costs, and support general corporate purposes. The announcement indicates a strategic move to manage the company’s debt, although the timing and completion of the refinancing remain uncertain.

The most recent analyst rating on (DIN) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dine Brands Global stock, see the DIN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Dine Brands Global Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Dine Brands Global, Inc. conducted its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key proposals were voted on. The election of directors resulted in the appointment of nine individuals for a one-year term. Stockholders also ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year 2025. Additionally, the compensation of the Corporation’s named executive officers was approved on an advisory basis, and an amendment to the 2019 Stock Incentive Plan was passed to increase the reservation of common stock for issuance.

The most recent analyst rating on (DIN) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dine Brands Global stock, see the DIN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Dine Brands Global Declares Q2 2025 Cash Dividend
Positive
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Dine Brands Global announced that its Board of Directors declared a second quarter 2025 cash dividend of $0.51 per share of common stock, payable on July 9, 2025, to stockholders of record as of June 20, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may positively impact investor confidence and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (DIN) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dine Brands Global stock, see the DIN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025