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Banca Popolare di Sondrio S.C.p.A. (IT:BPSO)
:BPSO

Banca Popolare di Sondrio S.C.p.A. (BPSO) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:BPSO

Banca Popolare di Sondrio S.C.p.A.

(BPSO)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
€20.00
▲(17.72% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/11/25
Banca Popolare di Sondrio's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary drivers of its score. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions. The main risk lies in the negative cash flow, which needs addressing to sustain long-term growth.
Positive Factors
High profitability and margins
Sustained high gross, EBIT and net margins alongside a large reported revenue increase suggest the bank's core lending and fee operations are highly profitable. Durable margins support internal capital generation, bolster loss-absorption capacity and fund reinvestment without reliance on volatile market funding.
Negative Factors
Volatile/uncertain revenue trend
Conflicting revenue signals (a negative RevenueGrowth metric versus a large one-year increase noted elsewhere) point to top-line volatility or inconsistent reporting windows. Such variability undermines medium-term forecasting, provisioning and strategic planning for loan and fee growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High profitability and margins
Sustained high gross, EBIT and net margins alongside a large reported revenue increase suggest the bank's core lending and fee operations are highly profitable. Durable margins support internal capital generation, bolster loss-absorption capacity and fund reinvestment without reliance on volatile market funding.
Read all positive factors

Banca Popolare di Sondrio S.C.p.A. (BPSO) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Banca Popolare di Sondrio S.C.p.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Banca Popolare di Sondrio S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Italy. The company offers current accounts, savings deposits, certificates of deposits, time deposit accounts, and bonds; and loans...
How the Company Makes Money
Banca Popolare di Sondrio generates revenue through various key streams, primarily from interest income earned on loans provided to customers. The bank offers personal loans, mortgages, and business financing, which yield interest payments that co...

Banca Popolare di Sondrio S.C.p.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Banca Popolare di Sondrio demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by a solid balance sheet. However, significant challenges in cash flow, particularly negative operating and free cash flows, pose potential risks if not addressed.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.99B2.81B2.47B1.32B1.23B987.63M
Gross Profit1.53B1.79B1.60B1.16B1.11B883.24M
EBITDA1.02B920.20M735.05M419.13M429.46M218.31M
Net Income647.64M574.94M461.16M251.32M268.63M106.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets56.57B56.63B57.72B57.85B55.02B49.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.39B4.12B4.92B7.39B7.94B7.66B
Total Debt6.25B5.78B16.77B4.19B4.42B3.43B
Total Liabilities52.25B52.47B53.91B54.47B51.64B46.71B
Stockholders Equity4.33B4.16B3.81B3.39B3.27B3.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-629.23M-2.43B1.45B286.12M3.22B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-505.88M-2.31B1.58B344.51M3.26B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-41.48M-71.18M-198.45M-43.32M-27.01M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-252.06M-126.92M-89.94M-26.42M-14.00K

Banca Popolare di Sondrio S.C.p.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price16.99
Price Trends
50DMA
16.85
Negative
100DMA
16.25
Negative
200DMA
14.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.33
Negative
RSI
46.16
Neutral
STOCH
67.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:BPSO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 16.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.96, above the 50-day MA of 16.85, and above the 200-day MA of 14.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IT:BPSO.

Banca Popolare di Sondrio S.C.p.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
€21.69B12.5313.48%6.09%5.23%3.54%
73
Outperform
€4.85B8.3913.87%6.23%-7.81%4.89%
72
Outperform
€7.15B13.8414.64%4.87%-10.80%20.43%
71
Outperform
€1.34B4.7616.33%8.44%-3.63%-5.12%
66
Neutral
€18.00B9.4818.92%8.25%2.23%72.08%
58
Neutral
€1.13B9.767.87%4.86%-5.81%-11.05%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:BPSO
Banca Popolare di Sondrio S.C.p.A.
15.64
5.07
48.02%
IT:IF
Banca Ifis SPA
21.84
1.52
7.50%
IT:BAMI
Banco BPM S.p.A.
11.68
2.98
34.29%
IT:BDB
Banco di Desio e Della Brianza SPA
8.47
0.70
9.05%
IT:BPE
BPER Banca S.p.A.
10.87
4.04
59.22%
IT:CE
Credito Emiliano SPA Credem
14.26
2.22
18.39%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025