Banco BPM S.p.A. (BAMI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €17.38B
• Dividend Yield: 8.7%
• Average Volume (3M): 4.92M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.2
• Beta (1Y): 1.11
• Revenue Growth: 2.23%
• EPS Growth: 72.08%
• Country: IT
• Employees: 18,964
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 71
• Industry: Banks - Regional
• EPS (TTM): 0.45
• Shares Outstanding: 1,515,182,100
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 4,089,306
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 4,916,659
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €11.48
• Price Target Upside: -0.17% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4

• Rating: 79 Outperform
• Price Target: €13.50 ▲(17.39% Upside)

Banco BPM S.p.A. is rated highly due to its strong valuation metrics, including a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield, which suggest it is undervalued. The technical analysis supports a positive outlook with strong market momentum. Financial performance is solid, though operational efficiency and cash flow management require attention. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events does not affect the score.

Banco BPM S.p.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Banco BPM S.p.A. (BAMI) is one of Italy's leading banking institutions, formed through the merger of Banco Popolare and Banca Popolare di Milano. The bank operates primarily in the retail and corporate banking sectors, offering a wide range of financial products and services including personal and business loans, mortgages, savings accounts, investment services, and insurance products. With a strong focus on customer service and innovation, Banco BPM serves both individual and institutional clients across Italy and internationally.

How the Company Makes Money

Banco BPM generates revenue through multiple streams primarily centered around interest income and non-interest income. The main revenue source is interest income from loans extended to individuals and businesses, which includes personal loans, mortgages, and corporate credit facilities. Additionally, the bank earns fees from various services such as account management, transaction processing, and advisory services related to investments and asset management. Non-interest income also comes from commissions on financial products, wealth management services, and insurance. Significant partnerships with other financial entities and fintech firms enhance its offering and contribute to its revenue. Furthermore, the bank's focus on digital transformation and customer acquisition strategies plays a crucial role in sustaining its profitability.

Banco BPM S.p.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Banco BPM S.p.A. shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability, with a net profit margin of 30.90%. However, operational challenges are indicated by a volatile EBIT margin and decreased free cash flow, coupled with high leverage risk.

Income Statement

Banco BPM S.p.A. has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 15.09% increase in the latest year, indicating a positive trajectory. The net profit margin has improved to 30.90%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin shows volatility, with a negative value in the latest report, suggesting potential operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.65, which indicates significant leverage and potential risk. However, the return on equity has improved to 11.74%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow has decreased by 22.51%, indicating potential cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting that cash generation from operations is not fully supporting net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 97.80%, indicating efficient cash conversion.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.91B	5.45B	4.59B	3.76B	3.30B	2.59B
Gross Profit	1.71B	5.45B	4.59B	3.76B	3.30B	2.59B
EBITDA	1.17B	2.77B	2.01B	1.19B	720.71M	-316.83M
Net Income	1.30B	1.92B	1.26B	685.05M	569.07M	20.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	205.53B	198.21B	202.13B	189.69B	200.49B	183.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	0.00	12.12B	18.30B	15.02B	39.78B	17.25B
Total Debt	31.20B	24.04B	42.16B	46.60B	16.12B	51.16B
Total Liabilities	190.67B	183.61B	188.09B	176.92B	187.39B	171.46B
Stockholders Equity	14.87B	14.60B	14.04B	13.02B	13.09B	12.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	5.06B	5.06B	5.70B	-16.00B	19.48B	7.65B
Operating Cash Flow	5.17B	5.17B	5.89B	-15.68B	19.68B	7.80B
Investing Cash Flow	-2.50B	-2.50B	-142.84M	-250.44M	-180.49M	-211.36M
Financing Cash Flow	-9.04B	-9.04B	-379.61M	-96.34M	241.85M	354.73M

Banco BPM S.p.A. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 11.50
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:BAMI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.79, above the 50-day MA of 10.99, and above the 200-day MA of 9.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IT:BAMI.

Banco BPM S.p.A. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
BAMI	79 Outperform	€17.38B	7.25	16.45%	8.70%	2.23%	72.08%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$17.81B	11.87	10.24%	3.74%	9.75%	1.30%
0RK6	―	€9.24B	5.46	15.13%	―	―	―
0MU6	―	€16.86B	7.78	14.64%	―	―	―
0QVF	―	€11.30B	17.37	32.83%	―	―	―
0HBF	―	€15.21B	11.79	11.90%	―	―	―
BNMDF	―	$14.88B	12.03	28.26%	7.36%	―	―