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Intesa Sanpaolo (ISNPY)
OTHER OTC:ISNPY

Intesa Sanpaolo (ISNPY) AI Stock Analysis

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Intesa Sanpaolo

(OTC:ISNPY)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:―
Intesa Sanpaolo exhibits strong financial health with impressive income growth and a solid balance sheet. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, while valuation metrics imply the stock is undervalued. The latest earnings call underscored strong performance, though liquidity management and capital allocation remain key areas for improvement.

Intesa Sanpaolo (ISNPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Intesa Sanpaolo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIntesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. provides various financial products and services primarily in Italy. It operates through six segments Banca dei Territori, IMI Corporate & Investment Banking, International Subsidiary Banks, Asset Management, Private Banking, and Insurance. The company offers lending and deposit products; corporate, investment banking, and public finance services; industrial credit, factoring, and leasing services; asset management solutions; life and non-life insurance products; and bancassurance and pension fund, and fiduciary services. It also provides consumer credit and E-money; wealth management and private banking services. The company serves individuals, small and medium-sized businesses, non-profit organizations, corporates and financial institutions, public administration, private clients and high net worth individuals, institutional clientele, and other customers. Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. is headquartered in Turin, Italy.
How the Company Makes MoneyIntesa Sanpaolo generates revenue primarily through interest income, which it earns from lending activities to individuals, businesses, and government entities. The bank also earns substantial fees and commissions from services such as asset management, investment banking, insurance products, and payment processing. Wealth management and private banking services contribute to its earnings by managing client assets and providing tailored financial advice. Additionally, Intesa Sanpaolo benefits from its strategic partnerships and investments, which offer synergies and expand its market reach. The bank's extensive network of branches and digital platforms enhances its ability to attract deposits, which in turn supports its lending capabilities and revenue generation.

Intesa Sanpaolo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.46%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with record-breaking net income and robust asset quality, supported by strategic tech investments and capital distributions. However, challenges in net interest income and loan growth due to market volatility and economic conditions were noted. The sentiment leans positive with a cautious outlook on certain financial metrics.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Net Income
Intesa Sanpaolo delivered its best-ever net income exceeding €2.6 billion for Q1 2025, resulting in a 20% annualized return on equity.
Dividend and Capital Distribution
The bank plans to return at least €8.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks in 2025, with potential additional distributions at year-end.
Strong Asset Quality
NPL ratios are at historical lows, with gross NPL stock decreasing by €200 million year-on-year and Stage 2 loans decreasing by 8%.
Tech Investments and Digital Growth
Tech investments have facilitated efficiency gains and workforce changes, with Isybank reaching 1 million clients.
Commissions and Insurance Income Growth
Commissions grew by 7% year-on-year, with Wealth Management & Protection up 11% and insurance income driven by a strong P&C performance.
Negative Updates
Net Interest Income Decline
Quarter-on-quarter decline in net interest income was noted due to a reduction in Euribor, fewer days in the quarter, and seasonality in NPL.
Loan Growth Challenges
Lack of growth in Italy remains a drag on banks' operating performance, and Intesa Sanpaolo is cautious about mispricing in the market.
Economic and Market Volatility
The Italian economy, while resilient, faces challenges from market volatility, affecting short-term lending and asset management strategies.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Intesa Sanpaolo delivered a record net income of over €2.6 billion, resulting in an annualized return on equity of 20%. The bank confirmed its full-year net income guidance for 2025 to be well above €9 billion. Dividend distributions are expected to be at least €8.2 billion. The bank's common equity Tier 1 ratio improved by 45 basis points to 13.3%, reflecting robust capital generation capabilities. Intesa Sanpaolo's digital bank, Isybank, now serves 1 million clients. Operating costs decreased by 2.7%, excluding impacts from the national labor contract renewal and tech investment depreciation. Asset quality remained strong, with the gross NPL stock decreasing by €200 million year-on-year, and net NPL inflows at historical lows. The cost-income ratio was the best ever at 38%, and the bank achieved nearly 3,000 headcount reductions in Q1. Overall, the bank's profitability and capital position are robust, even amid market volatility.

Intesa Sanpaolo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Intesa Sanpaolo demonstrates strong revenue and net income growth, and a solid equity base enhancing financial stability. However, cash flow challenges could pose liquidity risks if not addressed.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Intesa Sanpaolo demonstrates strong revenue and net income growth over the years. The gross profit margin remains stable, benefiting from consistent revenue growth. However, the absence of EBIT and EBITDA data for the latest year limits a comprehensive analysis of operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity base with a significant increase in stockholders' equity, reflecting financial stability. The absence of total debt in 2024 enhances its leverage position. However, the equity ratio has experienced slight fluctuations, indicating variations in asset management.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Intesa Sanpaolo's cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows in recent years. Despite a substantial operating cash flow in 2022, the trend reversed in 2023 and 2024, suggesting potential liquidity management issues.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
26.00B28.29B23.16B22.47B22.40B19.85B
Gross Profit
26.96B28.29B25.17B22.47B22.40B19.85B
EBIT
11.85B13.42B11.11B6.02B5.32B3.34B
EBITDA
13.21B0.000.007.76B6.76B5.92B
Net Income Common Stockholders
8.27B8.67B7.72B4.38B4.18B2.15B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
-55.50B99.87B136.97B144.20B147.09B86.77B
Total Assets
934.42B933.28B963.57B975.68B1.07T1.00T
Total Debt
49.36B146.57B93.71B96.14B101.22B107.15B
Net Debt
-15.14B-51.38B43.30B-27.71B-44.63B20.39B
Total Liabilities
869.02B867.96B899.44B913.86B1.00T936.29B
Stockholders Equity
65.28B65.18B63.96B61.66B63.77B65.87B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.54B-41.86B-18.99B100.43B6.91B-3.61B
Operating Cash Flow
1.54B-40.19B-17.34B102.28B8.80B-2.17B
Investing Cash Flow
0.00-1.25B-588.00M-538.00M-2.23B-357.00M
Financing Cash Flow
0.00-7.19B-5.59B-3.52B-5.59B2.68B

Intesa Sanpaolo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.25
Price Trends
50DMA
31.78
Positive
100DMA
30.15
Positive
200DMA
26.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.42
Positive
RSI
51.99
Neutral
STOCH
4.05
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ISNPY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.47, above the 50-day MA of 31.78, and above the 200-day MA of 26.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.05 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ISNPY.

Intesa Sanpaolo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
IBIBN
77
Outperform
$116.30B19.0917.89%0.73%22.15%12.13%
76
Outperform
$97.23B10.3813.48%5.04%6.58%17.25%
74
Outperform
$67.59B9.5020.65%8.15%-6.74%5.13%
HDHDB
73
Outperform
$171.01B22.5914.51%0.80%13.13%0.54%
LYLYG
72
Outperform
$61.16B13.028.73%4.96%-2.65%-14.84%
MFMFG
65
Neutral
$68.54B11.958.45%2.35%13.63%27.77%
64
Neutral
$12.73B9.927.90%78.88%12.06%-7.95%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ISNPY
Intesa Sanpaolo
33.25
11.85
55.37%
HDB
Hdfc Bank
74.62
11.03
17.35%
IBN
Icici Bank
32.62
4.68
16.75%
ITUB
Itau Unibanco
6.63
1.54
30.26%
LYG
Lloyds Banking
4.10
1.44
54.14%
MFG
Mizuho Financial
5.45
1.50
37.97%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.