Hdfc Bank (HDB)
:HDB
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Hdfc Bank (HDB) AI Stock Analysis

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HDB

Hdfc Bank

(NYSE:HDB)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(9.20% Upside)
HDFC Bank's overall score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, indicating robust growth prospects. However, technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, and valuation metrics reflect moderate attractiveness. The bank's strategic initiatives and economic conditions support a positive outlook, despite challenges in cash flow and market share.
Positive Factors
Strong Loan Growth
The acceleration in loan growth across segments indicates robust demand and effective lending strategies, which can drive long-term revenue and market share expansion.
Technology Investments
Continued investment in technology enhances operational efficiency and customer experience, positioning the bank for sustainable growth and competitive advantage.
Improvement in Asset Quality
Improved asset quality reflects effective risk management and recovery strategies, reducing potential future losses and enhancing financial stability.
Negative Factors
Net Interest Margin Compression
NIM compression can pressure profitability, as it reduces the spread between lending and borrowing rates, impacting long-term earnings potential.
Challenges in Maintaining Deposit Market Share
Difficulty in maintaining deposit market share could limit funding sources, affecting the bank's ability to support loan growth and operational expansion.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates inefficiencies in cash generation, potentially hindering the bank's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage financial obligations.

Hdfc Bank (HDB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hdfc Bank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHDFC Bank (HDB) is one of India's leading private sector banks, offering a wide range of financial products and services to individuals and businesses. Established in 1994, the bank operates in various sectors, including retail banking, wholesale banking, and treasury operations. Its core products include savings and current accounts, fixed deposits, loans (personal, home, auto, and business), credit cards, and a variety of investment and insurance products, catering to a diverse customer base across urban and rural regions in India.
How the Company Makes MoneyHDFC Bank generates revenue primarily through interest income, which comes from lending activities, and non-interest income, derived from fee-based services. The bank earns interest by providing loans to customers at rates higher than the interest it pays on deposits. Key revenue streams include retail loans, corporate loans, and credit card operations. Additionally, the bank benefits from fees charged for services such as account maintenance, transaction fees, and commissions from third-party products like insurance and mutual funds. Significant partnerships with fintech companies and merchants also contribute to its earnings by expanding payment solutions and digital banking services.

Hdfc Bank Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 18, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:Jan 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call depicted a positive outlook with strong loan growth and improvements in asset quality, supported by strategic investments in technology and distribution. However, there were challenges in maintaining deposit market share and margin compression. The overall sentiment is positive due to the bank's strategic initiatives and positive economic conditions.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Loan Growth Acceleration
The bank saw growth pick up across segments, with a focus on accelerating loan growth due to improvements in economic activity. The bank aims to grow in line with the system and faster than the market by FY '27.
Strong Deposit Growth
Average deposit growth was 15% year-on-year, with a strategic focus on maintaining a disciplined pricing approach. Retail deposits contributed to 83% of the total deposits.
Improvement in Asset Quality
The bank experienced strong recoveries and upgrades in non-performing assets (NPA), contributing to a 10 basis point improvement in asset quality.
Technology Investments
The bank continues to invest in technology and distribution to create operating leverage over the medium to long term, focusing on stability, scalability, and security.
Positive Economic Outlook
The domestic economy is strengthening with low food inflation and strong rainfall, providing a positive environment for future growth.
Growth in Home Loans
The bank is focusing on home loans with improved turnaround times and increased distribution, indicating a strategic focus on this long-term relationship product.
Negative Updates
Net Interest Margin Compression
The bank experienced an 8 basis point compression in net interest margins (NIMs) due to front-loading of interest rate cuts on the asset side.
Challenges in Maintaining Deposit Market Share
The bank's incremental deposit market share decreased, attributed to a disciplined pricing strategy and a reduction in bulk deposits.
Lower Growth in Credit Card Receivables
Despite high card issuances and spends, credit card book growth was tepid due to cautious participation in certain spend categories and limited credit line increases.
Company Guidance
In the HDFC Bank Limited Q2 FY '26 earnings call, guidance was provided on several key metrics and strategic directions. The bank reported a compression in Net Interest Margin (NIM) by about 8 basis points due to front-loaded interest rate cuts, but anticipates a tailwind effect from deposit repricing over the next 6 to 12 months. The bank maintained a stable Return on Assets (ROA) within the range of 1.85% to 1.95% and highlighted strong asset quality with a non-performing asset (NPA) ratio improving by approximately 10 basis points, partly due to one-off upgrades. The bank's loan growth accelerated across segments supported by economic activity, with continued market share gains in deposits driven by disciplined pricing. HDFC Bank also emphasized investments in distribution and technology, including new platforms like GenAI, to reengineer processes and enhance customer experience. Despite a slight decrease in cost of funds, the bank remains focused on managing expenses tightly and achieving operating leverage in the medium to long term. The strategic objectives include bringing the Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (LDR) below 90% by growing loans in line with the market and increasing growth beyond the market in FY '27. The earnings call also covered the bank's capital position, contingent provisions, and the impact of external factors such as regulatory changes on risk-weighted assets and expected credit loss (ECL) provisions.

Hdfc Bank Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HDFC Bank shows strong financial health with robust revenue growth and profitability. The income statement reflects high margins and efficient operations. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, though the negative free cash flow indicates a need for improved cash flow management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
HDFC Bank exhibits strong revenue and profit growth. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to 2025 is approximately 19.15%, reflecting a robust upward trajectory. Gross profit margin stands at 52.21%, and net profit margin at 16.88%, indicating high profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 20.53% and 22.04%, respectively, showcasing efficient operations. Overall, the income statement suggests strong and growing financial performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.22, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is 11.88%, demonstrating a reasonable proportion of equity financing. Return on equity is strong at 13.57%, suggesting effective use of equity capital. The financial stability is commendable, though the leverage could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals some challenges in free cash flow generation, with a negative free cash flow of -2,108,450,000,000 in the latest year. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating inefficiencies in converting income into cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is -2.92, showing room for improvement in cash flow management. Despite these issues, the bank's cash reserves remain substantial, aiding resilience.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.33T4.19T3.52T1.98T1.60T1.53T
Gross Profit2.28T2.19T1.85T1.13T892.43B782.43B
EBITDA912.79B924.57B757.81B685.87B535.98B453.69B
Net Income689.19B673.51B622.66B495.45B386.00B325.98B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.15T48.19T44.12T25.76T21.11T17.98T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.77T9.20T9.93T7.24T5.99T5.32T
Total Debt6.00T7.46T8.15T3.24T2.19T1.48T
Total Liabilities39.50T39.56T35.60T22.84T18.60T15.82T
Stockholders Equity5.43T7.68T4.56T2.91T2.50T2.16T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-2.11T147.83B433.58B554.69B903.97B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-2.07T190.69B477.20B581.02B921.78B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-38.51B-3.67T-4.39T-3.30T-2.52T
Financing Cash Flow0.002.32T3.35T4.17T2.91T1.92T

Hdfc Bank Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.63
Price Trends
50DMA
35.52
Positive
100DMA
36.49
Negative
200DMA
34.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Positive
RSI
54.79
Neutral
STOCH
65.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HDB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.45, above the 50-day MA of 35.52, and above the 200-day MA of 34.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HDB.

Hdfc Bank Risk Analysis

Hdfc Bank disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hdfc Bank reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hdfc Bank Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$73.30B12.0611.31%3.53%1.79%30.93%
74
Outperform
$77.16B10.5419.90%5.92%11.82%3.41%
73
Outperform
$170.87B21.8914.17%0.19%-1.78%0.65%
71
Outperform
$108.79B17.3817.41%0.84%10.85%7.98%
70
Outperform
$71.96B16.467.85%3.37%-20.94%-18.71%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$81.81B14.208.69%1.40%-2.22%24.37%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HDB
Hdfc Bank
36.48
6.11
20.12%
IBN
Icici Bank
30.54
1.01
3.42%
ITUB
Itau Unibanco
7.64
2.65
53.11%
LYG
Lloyds Banking
5.03
2.40
91.25%
MFG
Mizuho Financial
6.80
2.28
50.44%
PNC
PNC Financial
186.91
-14.92
-7.39%

Hdfc Bank Corporate Events

HDFC Bank Re-appoints Kaizad Bharucha as Deputy Managing Director
Oct 31, 2025

On October 30, 2025, HDFC Bank announced the re-appointment of Mr. Kaizad Bharucha as Deputy Managing Director for a period of three years, subject to approval from the Reserve Bank of India and the bank’s shareholders. Mr. Bharucha, who joined HDFC Bank in 1995, has played a pivotal role in the bank’s strategic growth, mergers, and acquisitions, and has been influential in various domains including business, credit, risk management, and corporate social responsibility. His leadership has been crucial in navigating economic challenges and driving the bank’s technology transformation.

HDFC Bank Reports Strong Financial Performance for Q2 2025
Oct 23, 2025

On October 18, 2025, HDFC Bank’s Board of Directors approved the unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter and half-year ended September 30, 2025. The bank reported a net profit of ₹20,363.77 crore for the quarter, reflecting its robust financial performance. This announcement highlights HDFC Bank’s continued growth and stability in the financial sector, reinforcing its position as a leading bank in India. The financial results are crucial for stakeholders as they indicate the bank’s operational efficiency and profitability, impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

HDFC Bank Receives ESG Rating Amid Operational Challenges
Oct 14, 2025

On October 13, 2025, HDFC Bank announced that it received an ESG rating of 70 for FY 2024 from NSE Sustainability Ratings & Analytics Ltd. The rating, independently prepared, highlights the bank’s performance across environmental, social, and governance pillars, with scores of 67, 73, and 72 respectively. Despite recent challenges, including restrictions by the Dubai Financial Services Authority on its DIFC branch due to client onboarding issues and mis-selling allegations, HDFC Bank maintains that these do not materially impact its overall business operations. The bank is actively cooperating with authorities to resolve these issues and continues to uphold its commitment to professional standards.

HDFC Bank Schedules Earnings Call for Q2 2025 Results
Oct 14, 2025

On October 13, 2025, HDFC Bank announced that it will host an earnings call on October 18, 2025, to discuss its unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter and half-year ended September 30, 2025. This event is significant as it provides insights into the bank’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its stakeholders and market positioning.

HDFC Bank Reports Strong Growth in Advances and Deposits for September 2025 Quarter
Oct 6, 2025

On October 4, 2025, HDFC Bank reported significant growth in its financial metrics for the quarter ending September 2025. The bank’s average advances under management increased by 9.0% year-over-year to ₹27,946 billion, while period-end advances grew by 8.9% to ₹28,690 billion. Additionally, the bank’s average deposits rose by 15.1% year-over-year to ₹27,105 billion, with period-end deposits reaching ₹28,015 billion, marking a 12.1% increase. These figures indicate a robust expansion in the bank’s lending and deposit activities, strengthening its market position and potentially enhancing stakeholder value.

HDFC Bank Announces Resignation of Senior Executive Rahul Shukla
Oct 3, 2025

On October 1, 2025, HDFC Bank announced the resignation of Rahul Shyam Shukla, a senior management personnel, who stepped down due to personal reasons. Shukla, who played a pivotal role in expanding the bank’s SME and rural banking footprint, contributed to the bank’s growth in these sectors, achieving a 30% year-on-year increase in commercial and rural banking over four years. His departure marks a significant change in the bank’s leadership, potentially impacting its strategic direction in these areas.

HDFC Bank Announces Retirement of Key Executive Parag Rao
Oct 1, 2025

On September 30, 2025, HDFC Bank announced the retirement of Mr. Parag Rao, the Group Head of Payments Business, Liability Products, Consumer Finance, and Marketing, marking the end of his 23-year tenure. Mr. Rao played a pivotal role in establishing and leading the bank’s payments business, contributing significantly to its market leadership in credit card issuance and merchant acquiring. His leadership also extended to technology, digital banking, and marketing functions, where he helped align the bank’s offerings with market demands. The bank expressed gratitude for his commitment and leadership in achieving strategic objectives.

HDFC Bank’s DIFC Branch Faces DFSA Restrictions
Sep 29, 2025

On September 26, 2025, HDFC Bank’s Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) branch received a decision notice from the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA), prohibiting it from soliciting or conducting business with new clients in certain financial services. The prohibition, which does not affect existing clients, stems from issues related to customer onboarding and financial services arrangements. Despite the restrictions, the impact on HDFC Bank’s overall operations and financial position is expected to be minimal, as the DIFC branch’s business is not material to the bank’s financial standing.

HDFC Bank Schedules Board Meeting to Review Financial Results
Sep 25, 2025

On September 23, 2025, HDFC Bank announced that its Board of Directors will meet on October 18, 2025, to review and approve the unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter and half-year ending September 30, 2025. Additionally, the bank has implemented a trading window closure from September 24 to October 20, 2025, for designated employees and their immediate relatives, in accordance with the bank’s share dealing code.

HDFC Bank Announces Resignation of Chief of Internal Vigilance
Sep 3, 2025

On September 2, 2025, HDFC Bank announced the resignation of Mr. Sachin Suryakant Rane from his role as the Chief of Internal Vigilance, effective from the close of business hours on September 1, 2025. This change in senior management could have implications for the bank’s internal oversight and operational continuity, as Mr. Rane cited personal reasons for his departure and requested an early release from his duties.

HDFC Bank Issues Bonus Shares to Double Share Capital
Aug 29, 2025

On August 28, 2025, HDFC Bank Limited announced the issuance of 7,67,70,39,761 fully paid-up bonus equity shares in a 1:1 ratio to its eligible members. This move effectively doubles the bank’s paid-up share capital to Rs. 15,35,40,79,522, reflecting a strategic effort to enhance shareholder value and strengthen its market position.

HDFC Bank Approves Share Capital Increase and Bonus Shares
Aug 22, 2025

On August 21, 2025, HDFC Bank announced the successful passing of resolutions through a postal ballot, including an increase in authorized share capital and the issuance of bonus shares. The resolutions were approved with a significant majority, indicating strong shareholder support. This development is expected to enhance the bank’s capital structure and potentially improve shareholder value, reinforcing its position in the financial sector.

HDFC Bank’s Credit Rating Upgraded by S&P Global
Aug 20, 2025

On August 19, 2025, HDFC Bank announced that S&P Global Ratings has upgraded its credit rating to BBB/Stable/A-2 from BBB-/Positive/A-3. This upgrade follows the improvement in India’s sovereign credit rating to the same level. The bank’s standalone credit profile remains at ‘a-‘, reflecting its stable financial position. This development is likely to enhance HDFC Bank’s market positioning and could positively impact its borrowing costs and investor confidence.

HDFC Bank Receives RBI Approval for Bonus Shares Issuance
Aug 15, 2025

On August 13, 2025, HDFC Bank announced that the Reserve Bank of India approved the utilization of the Share Premium Account for issuing bonus shares in a 1:1 ratio, as well as an amendment to increase the authorized share capital. This decision follows the Board’s approval on July 19, 2025, and is subject to member approval via a postal ballot. The move is expected to enhance shareholder value and strengthen the bank’s capital structure, reflecting its strategic focus on growth and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 10, 2025