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Identive Group (INVE)
:INVE

Identiv (INVE) AI Stock Analysis

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Identiv

(NASDAQ:INVE)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(12.18%Upside)
Identiv's stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance, which faces significant challenges due to negative margins and cash flow issues. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, with some bearish momentum. The valuation is concerning with a negative P/E ratio, suggesting overvaluation. The earnings call provided a mixed outlook, with strategic initiatives underway but ongoing financial difficulties and market uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Financial Position
Identiv ended with a strong cash position of $146M, with a clear capital allocation plan including organic investments, strategic M&A, working capital, and a buyback.
Manufacturing and Productivity
The manufacturing transition from Singapore and Thailand remains largely on track, with expectations to reach full productivity in Thailand soon.
Strategic Growth
Identiv remained bullish on organic and inorganic growth opportunities and was optimistic about its position within RFID, NFC, HF, and BLE technology.
Negative Factors
Enterprise Value
The analyst sees the current negative enterprise value as an attractive risk/reward opportunity for patient investors.
Gross Margin
The company expects its gross margin to improve to 26%-28% after shifting production to Thailand and achieving full productivity.

Identiv (INVE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Identiv Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIdentiv, Inc. operates as a security technology company that secures things, data, and physical places in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates in two segments, Identity and Premises. The Identity segment offers products and solutions that enables secure access to information serving the logical access and cyber security markets, as well as protecting connected objects and information using radio-frequency identification embedded security. The Premises segment provides solutions for premises security market, such as access control, video surveillance, analytics, audio, access readers, and identities to government facilities, schools, utilities, hospitals, stores, apartment buildings, and shops. The company sells its products through dealers, systems integrators, value added resellers, and resellers. The company was formerly known as Identive Group, Inc. and changed its name to Identiv, Inc. in May 2014. Identiv, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyIdentiv makes money through the sale of its physical security and identification products and services. The company's revenue streams include product sales, which cover access control systems, RFID inlays and tags, and secure credentials. Additionally, Identiv generates income from services such as software licenses and subscriptions for identity management solutions, as well as maintenance and support services. Key factors contributing to its earnings include strategic partnerships and contracts with government agencies and private sector clients, leveraging its expertise in security and identification technologies.

Identiv Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there are significant strategic partnerships, product development, and operational transitions underway, financial challenges persist with declining revenue, gross margins, and continued losses. Uncertainty due to tariffs also poses risks.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Partnerships and Product Development
Identiv announced a new strategic partnership with Tag-N-Trac for IoT solutions in pharmaceutical supply chains and is collaborating with InPlay on a new portfolio of BLE-enabled smart labels for logistics applications.
Transition to Lower Cost Production
Operational progress was made on transitioning production from Singapore to a lower cost facility in Thailand, with expectations to complete this by the end of Q2 2025.
Expansion of BLE and Multi-Component Platform
Solid progress in expanding BLE technology, with several significant projects in the pipeline, supporting the company's roadmap and innovation in IoT.
Strong Financial Position
Exited Q1 2025 with $132.7 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, enabling pursuit of organic and inorganic growth initiatives.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Net revenue for Q1 2025 was $5.3 million, down from $6.7 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to the exit of low-margin business.
Gross Margin Decrease
Year-over-year decrease in gross margin due to dual manufacturing overhead and decreased utilization, with GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins at 2.5% and 10.8% respectively for Q1 2025.
Continued Net Loss
GAAP net loss from continuing operations was $4.8 million for Q1 2025, compared to a net loss of $5.4 million in Q1 2024.
Tariff Impact and Uncertainty
Approximately 25% of the business exposed to US import tariffs, with potential impacts on customer demand and ongoing high volatility expected in the market.
Company Guidance
During Identiv's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance that included expectations of continued market uncertainty and high volatility due to global economic conditions, such as shifting trade policies and a softening global GDP outlook. Identiv reported $5.3 million in net revenue, slightly above its quarter one guidance, yet experienced a year-over-year decrease compared to $6.7 million in Q1 2024. Gross margin for the quarter was 2.5% on a GAAP basis and 10.8% on a non-GAAP basis, both lower than the previous year, primarily due to dual manufacturing overhead costs and decreased utilization. Operating expenses totaled $5.6 million on a GAAP basis and $4.5 million on a non-GAAP basis, reflecting targeted investments in growth initiatives. The company ended the quarter with $132.7 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, and projected net revenue for Q2 2025 in the range of $4.9 million to $5.3 million. Identiv continues to execute its P-A-T strategic framework, focusing on strengthening its core business, accelerating growth through high-value applications, and transforming the business into a market leader in specialty IoT solutions.

Identiv Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Identiv faces significant operational challenges with negative margins impacting profitability. While the balance sheet is stable, cash flow issues persist, indicating potential liquidity concerns. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company exhibits significant challenges in its income statement, with a negative gross profit margin of -0.04% and a concerning net profit margin of 295.56% in TTM, driven by unusual net income figures. Revenue growth is negative, indicating a drop from the previous year. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows stability with a healthy equity ratio of 94.82% in TTM and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01, indicating low leverage. However, the return on equity is not calculable due to negative net income in prior periods, which may concern investors.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash flow issues despite a high free cash flow to net income ratio due to substantial decrease in net income. Free cash flow growth is negative, highlighting cash management challenges.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
25.24M26.63M116.38M112.92M103.77M86.92M
Gross Profit
-11.00K340.00K42.16M40.94M37.07M33.68M
EBIT
-28.37M-27.96M-4.34M-131.00K-530.00K-1.99M
EBITDA
-26.86M-24.55M-2.17M2.12M4.10M-257.00K
Net Income Common Stockholders
74.59M74.82M-5.49M-392.00K1.62M-5.11M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
132.38M135.65M23.31M16.65M28.55M11.41M
Total Assets
158.74M163.22M109.72M102.77M96.66M78.68M
Total Debt
1.82M2.02M15.38M4.56M2.21M3.55M
Net Debt
-130.56M-133.63M-7.93M-12.09M-26.35M-7.86M
Total Liabilities
8.24M9.16M35.45M27.37M22.15M44.49M
Stockholders Equity
150.50M154.07M74.27M75.39M74.51M34.19M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-18.97M-16.93M-3.13M-11.71M-859.00K-3.33M
Operating Cash Flow
-17.41M-15.43M1.16M-7.81M1.23M-1.77M
Investing Cash Flow
141.42M141.49M-4.15M-3.87M-1.48M-1.56M
Financing Cash Flow
-13.45M-13.63M10.07M-1.04M19.34M4.85M

Identiv Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.12
Price Trends
50DMA
3.22
Negative
100DMA
3.33
Negative
200DMA
3.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
41.02
Neutral
STOCH
14.58
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INVE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.28, below the 50-day MA of 3.22, and below the 200-day MA of 3.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.58 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for INVE.

Identiv Risk Analysis

Identiv disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Identiv reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Identiv Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.10-7.47%2.99%7.37%-8.16%
OSOSS
60
Neutral
$82.90M-44.43%-4.34%-82.08%
56
Neutral
$68.06M16.92-19.13%7.14%-415.34%
55
Neutral
$35.28M-25.34%-25.06%-1624.61%
52
Neutral
$73.69M-22.95%-77.64%-243.23%
41
Neutral
$64.88M33.98%-17.08%-223.70%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INVE
Identiv
3.12
-0.99
-24.09%
ALOT
AstroNova
8.96
-6.74
-42.93%
QMCO
Quantum
9.94
-5.66
-36.28%
TACT
Transact Technologies
3.50
0.00
0.00%
OSS
One Stop Systems
3.84
1.21
46.01%

Identiv Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Identiv Announces Corporate Governance Changes Post-Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

Identiv, Inc. announced significant changes to its corporate governance structure following the 2025 Annual Meeting held on June 10, 2025. The company’s stockholders approved amendments to declassify the board of directors and exculpate certain officers from liability under specific conditions. These changes, effective immediately, will see all directors stand for election annually starting from the 2026 Annual Meeting. The company also adopted new bylaws to modernize governance practices, including revised procedures for stockholder nominations and proposals, increased quorum requirements, and updated director removal provisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (INVE) stock is a Buy with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Identiv stock, see the INVE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Identiv Appoints Miguel A. Lopez to Board
Neutral
Apr 15, 2025

Identiv, Inc. announced the appointment of Miguel A. Lopez to its board of directors effective April 9, 2025. Lopez, who has held significant financial leadership roles in various companies, will serve until the 2026 annual meeting of stockholders. In addition, the company is moving forward with plans to declassify its board, with conditional resignations from several directors contingent upon stockholder approval of an amendment to the company’s certificate of incorporation. This move aims to enhance corporate governance practices by allowing all directors to stand for election annually if the amendment is approved.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.