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Ingles Markets Inc. (IMKTA)
NASDAQ:IMKTA

Ingles Markets (IMKTA) AI Stock Analysis

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IMKTA

Ingles Markets

(NASDAQ:IMKTA)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$89.00
▲(15.15% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/06/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—improving leverage but weaker profitability and uncertain cash-flow quality. Technicals are supportive due to a strong uptrend, though overbought indicators add near-term risk. Valuation is fair with a modest P/E but a low dividend yield, while the latest corporate update was a positive incremental catalyst.
Positive Factors
Diversified Grocery Model
Ingles operates supermarkets with grocery, pharmacy and fuel sales plus private-label and loyalty programs, creating multiple steady revenue streams. This diversification supports customer retention, improves basket economics and cushions margins against single-category shocks over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Weakened Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow has declined for multiple years and conversion of earnings to cash is inconsistent, increasing uncertainty about sustainable internal funding. Weak FCF constrains ability to fund capex, debt paydown, dividends or pursue strategic investments without external financing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified Grocery Model
Ingles operates supermarkets with grocery, pharmacy and fuel sales plus private-label and loyalty programs, creating multiple steady revenue streams. This diversification supports customer retention, improves basket economics and cushions margins against single-category shocks over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Ingles Markets (IMKTA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ingles Markets Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ingles Markets, Incorporated (IMKTA) is a regional grocery store chain based in the southeastern United States, primarily serving customers in North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Tennessee, and Virginia. The company operates a network of supe...
How the Company Makes Money
Ingles Markets generates revenue primarily through the sale of grocery products in its supermarkets, which includes both perishable and non-perishable items. The company's revenue model is driven by a combination of in-store sales and online groce...

Ingles Markets Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: the balance sheet is improving with more manageable leverage, but operating and net margins have compressed meaningfully versus 2021–2023. Cash flow is the main concern due to multi-year free cash flow weakness and less consistent conversion versus earnings.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.42B5.33B5.64B5.89B5.68B4.99B
Gross Profit1.31B1.27B1.30B1.40B1.42B1.30B
EBITDA267.08M252.54M282.98M416.55M500.58M469.05M
Net Income95.13M83.59M105.54M210.81M272.76M249.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.57B2.57B2.53B2.47B2.30B2.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments361.68M366.25M353.69M328.54M267.20M75.31M
Total Debt539.03M543.67M564.96M595.47M612.50M632.04M
Total Liabilities930.27M950.12M982.13M1.01B1.04B1.04B
Stockholders Equity1.64B1.62B1.55B1.46B1.26B983.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow123.07M39.60M51.66M92.82M219.89M165.70M
Operating Cash Flow236.15M154.10M262.52M266.41M339.50M306.30M
Investing Cash Flow-112.37M-109.94M-206.18M-170.10M-111.99M-127.98M
Financing Cash Flow-31.61M-31.60M-31.18M-34.97M-30.62M-114.90M

Ingles Markets Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price77.29
Price Trends
50DMA
81.69
Positive
100DMA
76.98
Positive
200DMA
71.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.70
Positive
RSI
56.19
Neutral
STOCH
57.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IMKTA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 77.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.56, below the 50-day MA of 81.69, and above the 200-day MA of 71.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IMKTA.

Ingles Markets Risk Analysis

Ingles Markets disclosed 12 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ingles Markets reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ingles Markets Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$542.86M7.2611.37%2.63%3.88%7.71%
66
Neutral
$570.30M12.7123.11%1.99%7.19%35.90%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$8.52B8.3128.54%3.49%2.08%-1.63%
60
Neutral
$1.61B11.865.93%0.93%-5.42%-20.80%
58
Neutral
$1.63B17.846.83%2.06%3.11%6.54%
45
Neutral
$641.92M-4.43-19.78%7.22%-108.99%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IMKTA
Ingles Markets
86.57
24.19
38.78%
VLGEA
Village Super Market
40.80
6.68
19.58%
WMK
Weis Markets
65.77
-8.38
-11.31%
NGVC
Natural Grocers
24.76
-12.62
-33.76%
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding
6.54
-6.36
-49.30%
ACI
Albertsons Companies
16.57
-3.95
-19.25%

Ingles Markets Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ingles Markets Posts Strong Fiscal 2026 First-Quarter Results
Positive
Feb 5, 2026
On February 5, 2026, Ingles Markets reported strong results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, covering the period ended December 27, 2025, with net sales rising 6.6% year-on-year to $1.37 billion and gross profit improving to 24.4% of sales fr...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ingles Markets Reports Q4 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025
Ingles Markets reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended September 27, 2025. The company saw a decrease in net sales for both the quarter and the fiscal year compared to the previous year, with $1.37 billion for t...
Executive/Board Changes
Ingles Markets Appoints New Board Member
Neutral
Nov 24, 2025
On November 21, 2025, Ingles Markets, a North Carolina-based company, announced the resignation of John R. Lowden from its Board of Directors, effective immediately. L. Keith Collins, who has extensive experience in dairy operations and management...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026