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Albertsons Companies (ACI)
NYSE:ACI
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Albertsons Companies (ACI) AI Stock Analysis

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ACI

Albertsons Companies

(NYSE:ACI)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(12.80% Upside)
Albertsons' overall stock score reflects its stable financial performance and attractive valuation. The company's strategic focus on digital growth and share repurchases, as highlighted in the earnings call, supports a positive outlook. However, challenges such as high leverage and profitability pressures temper the score.
Positive Factors
E-commerce Growth
Sustained e-commerce growth indicates strong digital adoption and positions Albertsons well in the expanding online grocery market.
Pharmacy Sector Expansion
Growth in the pharmacy sector enhances revenue diversification and strengthens Albertsons' competitive position in healthcare services.
Loyalty Program Expansion
Expanding loyalty program membership boosts customer retention and transaction frequency, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting Albertsons' ability to invest in growth initiatives.
Gross Margin Decline
Declining gross margins suggest rising operational costs, which could pressure profitability and limit future earnings potential.
Store Closures
Store closures may reduce market presence and revenue potential, indicating challenges in optimizing the retail footprint.

Albertsons Companies (ACI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Albertsons Companies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlbertsons Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of food and drug stores in the United States. The company's food and drug retail stores offer grocery products, general merchandise, health and beauty care products, pharmacy, fuel, and other items and services. It also manufactures and processes food products for sale in stores. As of February 26, 2022, it operated 2,276 stores under various banners, including Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, Pavilions, Randalls, Tom Thumb, Carrs, Jewel-Osco, Acme, Shaw's, Star Market, United Supermarkets, Market Street, Haggen, Kings Food Markets, and Balducci's Food Lovers Market; and 1,722 pharmacies, 1,317 in-store branded coffee shops, 402 adjacent fuel centers, 22 distribution centers, and 20 manufacturing facilities, as well as various digital platforms. The company was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlbertsons Companies generates revenue primarily through the sale of grocery and pharmacy products in its stores. The company's revenue model is driven by several key streams: first, the retail sale of food and non-food items, which constitutes the majority of its revenue; second, pharmacy sales, including prescription medications and health-related products; and third, fuel sales from its gas stations. Additionally, Albertsons benefits from loyalty programs and private label products, which enhance customer retention and margins. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers also contribute to its earnings by allowing for promotional activities and cost efficiencies. Furthermore, the company's investment in e-commerce and delivery services has expanded its customer base and increased sales, particularly during the pandemic and in the growing online grocery market.

Albertsons Companies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 14, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in e-commerce, pharmacy, and loyalty programs, alongside strategic investments in digital platforms and share repurchases. However, challenges included store closures, a decline in gross margin, and the impact of a labor dispute. Overall, the positive developments in growth and strategic initiatives slightly outweigh the challenges faced.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
E-commerce Growth
E-commerce grew 23% year-over-year, with a compounded annual growth rate of 24% over the last three fiscal years. Grocery penetration is now above 9%.
Pharmacy Growth
Pharmacy grew 19% year-over-year, driven by GLP-one, core prescription volume increases, and share gains from competitor closures.
Loyalty Program Expansion
Loyalty membership grew 13% to over 48 million members in the second quarter, enhancing engagement and transaction frequency.
Digital Platform Success
Digital platforms drove significant increases in sales and engagement, with 23% e-commerce growth and enhanced AI-powered personalization features.
Capital Allocation and Share Repurchase
Announced a $750 million accelerated share repurchase, increasing share repurchase authorization to $2.75 billion, representing over 12% of the beginning year outstanding shares.
Negative Updates
Store Closures
Announced the closure of 29 stores with only 9 new store openings expected by year-end.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased by 63 basis points year-over-year, primarily driven by a mix shift towards digital and pharmacy.
Colorado Labor Dispute Impact
Identical sales were negatively impacted by 12 basis points due to a three-week labor dispute in 47 stores.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, Albertsons Companies, Inc. reported several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. Adjusted identical sales grew by 2.2%, driven by strong growth in the pharmacy sector and a 23% increase in digital sales, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $848 million and earnings per share at $0.44. The company announced a $750 million accelerated share repurchase, reflecting confidence in their undervalued share price, and increased their share repurchase authorization to $2.75 billion. E-commerce saw significant growth, achieving a 23% year-over-year increase, while loyalty program membership expanded by 13% to over 48 million members. The company's strategic priorities focus on digital growth, enhancing customer value, and leveraging technology, with a $14.3 billion real estate portfolio appraised in July 2025. Additionally, Albertsons increased its fiscal 2025 identical sales guidance to a range of 2.2% to 2.75%, maintaining an adjusted EBITDA outlook of $3.8 billion to $3.9 billion, alongside an updated adjusted EPS range from $2.06 to $2.19.

Albertsons Companies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Albertsons demonstrates steady revenue growth and sound cash generation capabilities despite facing profitability challenges. The balance sheet reflects high leverage but shows signs of stabilization. Continued focus on improving operational efficiency and managing debt levels will be crucial for sustaining growth and enhancing shareholder value.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Albertsons shows a stable revenue growth with recent TTM revenue at $81.01 billion compared to $80.39 billion in the previous year, indicating a modest growth trajectory. However, net income has slightly declined, resulting in a net profit margin decrease. The gross profit margin remains healthy, but the decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins suggests rising operational costs affecting profitability.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting significant leverage at a level typical for the grocery industry. Despite this, the equity ratio shows slight improvement, indicating some strengthening of financial stability. Return on equity has decreased due to lower net income, signaling challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Albertsons maintains a positive free cash flow, though it has decreased compared to previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio signifies efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the declining free cash flow growth rate suggests potential pressures on future cash availability for investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue62.57B80.39B79.24B77.65B71.89B69.69B
Gross Profit17.09B22.26B22.05B21.76B20.72B20.41B
EBITDA2.89B4.08B4.53B4.85B4.87B3.78B
Net Income805.50M958.60M1.30B1.51B1.62B850.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.85B29.31B28.79B28.75B30.77B29.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments270.60M339.20M212.00M477.20M2.97B1.78B
Total Debt15.30B14.18B14.24B15.01B15.30B16.07B
Total Liabilities23.77B25.92B26.05B27.14B27.75B28.06B
Stockholders Equity3.08B3.39B2.75B1.61B3.02B1.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow670.50M749.40M628.20M700.00M1.91B2.27B
Operating Cash Flow2.12B2.68B2.66B2.85B3.51B3.90B
Investing Cash Flow-1.33B-1.89B-1.75B-1.98B-1.54B-1.57B
Financing Cash Flow-886.90M-684.10M-1.18B-3.37B-789.50M-1.04B

Albertsons Companies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.73
Price Trends
50DMA
18.13
Negative
100DMA
19.17
Negative
200DMA
20.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
44.43
Neutral
STOCH
24.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.41, below the 50-day MA of 18.13, and below the 200-day MA of 20.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ACI.

Albertsons Companies Risk Analysis

Albertsons Companies disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Albertsons Companies reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Albertsons Companies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$43.01B16.4324.83%2.02%-2.13%3.22%
71
Outperform
$7.67B15.2636.96%16.60%49.76%
67
Neutral
$9.74B10.4932.04%3.38%2.08%-1.63%
66
Neutral
$1.38B24.943.58%0.89%-7.96%-64.67%
66
Neutral
$1.60B17.027.22%2.11%3.11%6.54%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
51
Neutral
$1.19B-0.37%7.22%-108.99%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ACI
Albertsons Companies
17.73
-1.07
-5.69%
IMKTA
Ingles Markets
74.03
2.83
3.97%
KR
Kroger Company
64.91
6.50
11.13%
WMK
Weis Markets
64.59
-9.99
-13.40%
SFM
Sprouts Farmers
78.80
-67.71
-46.22%
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding
12.15
-6.62
-35.27%

Albertsons Companies Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Albertsons Announces $750M Senior Notes Redemption Plan
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Albertsons Companies announced plans to redeem $750 million of senior notes due 2026, with the redemption expected on November 20, 2025. The company also revealed a new offering of $1,250 million in senior notes due 2031 and 2034, intending to use the proceeds to refinance existing debt, repay borrowings, and cover related expenses, with the offering expected to close around November 10, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACI) stock is a Buy with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Albertsons Companies stock, see the ACI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Albertsons Announces $750M Share Buyback Agreement
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Albertsons Companies announced an accelerated share repurchase agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank to buy back $750 million of its common stock, as part of a broader share repurchase program increased to $2.75 billion. This move, reflecting confidence in the company’s valuation and strategy, is expected to enhance shareholder value by repurchasing approximately 8% of its outstanding shares, with completion anticipated by the first quarter of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACI) stock is a Hold with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Albertsons Companies stock, see the ACI Stock Forecast page.

Albertsons Companies Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Oct 15, 2025

Albertsons Companies, Inc. is a prominent food and drug retailer in the United States, operating over 2,200 stores across 35 states under various well-known banners such as Safeway, Vons, and Jewel-Osco. The company focuses on providing quality food and pharmacy services while engaging in community support initiatives.

Albertsons’ Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 15, 2025

Albertsons Companies, Inc. Earnings Call: Balancing Growth and Challenges

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Albertsons Announces New Board Leadership Changes
Positive
Sep 17, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Albertsons Companies announced significant changes to its Board of Directors. James Donald retired as Chair of the Board, with Kim Fennebresque succeeding him. David Zinsner, Executive Vice President and CFO of Intel Corporation, joined the Board as an independent director, bringing extensive experience in finance and technology. The changes are expected to enhance the company’s strategic direction, particularly in digital transformation and innovation, aligning with its Customers for Life strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACI) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Albertsons Companies stock, see the ACI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Albertsons Companies Enters New $4 Billion Credit Agreement
Neutral
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Albertsons Companies, Inc. and its subsidiaries entered into a Fifth Amended and Restated Asset-Based Revolving Credit Agreement, replacing their previous agreement from December 2021. This new agreement establishes a $4.0 billion senior secured revolving credit facility, with provisions for increasing commitments and utilizing proceeds for working capital and general corporate purposes. The agreement, which matures in 2030, includes various financial covenants and security interests, impacting the company’s financial flexibility and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACI) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Albertsons Companies stock, see the ACI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Albertsons Companies Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Albertsons Companies held its annual meeting of stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. Directors were elected for the upcoming year, Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent accounting firm, and executive compensation was approved. However, stockholder proposals on food waste reporting, human rights policy, and reproductive health care risks were not approved, indicating a focus on traditional business operations over expanded social responsibility reporting.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACI) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Albertsons Companies stock, see the ACI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 25, 2025