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Albertsons Companies (ACI)
NYSE:ACI

Albertsons Companies (ACI) AI Stock Analysis

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ACI

Albertsons Companies

(NYSE:ACI)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(6.14% Upside)
Albertsons Companies' overall stock score reflects a mix of strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, tempered by technical weakness and operational challenges. The company's robust revenue growth and strategic investments in digital platforms and share repurchases are positive, but high leverage and declining margins pose risks. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, which could impact short-term stock performance.
Positive Factors
E-commerce Growth
The significant growth in e-commerce reflects Albertsons' successful digital transformation efforts, enhancing its market position and customer reach.
Loyalty Program Expansion
Expanding loyalty program membership boosts customer engagement and retention, providing a competitive advantage and driving repeat sales.
Strategic Financial Management
The share repurchase reflects confidence in the company's valuation and enhances shareholder value, indicating strong financial management.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risk, potentially limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Gross Margin Decline
Declining gross margins suggest cost pressures and operational inefficiencies, which could impact long-term profitability.
Store Closures
Store closures may indicate challenges in certain markets, potentially reducing physical presence and affecting revenue growth.

Albertsons Companies (ACI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Albertsons Companies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlbertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) is one of the largest grocery store chains in the United States, operating under various banners including Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, Jewel-Osco, and more. The company is primarily engaged in the retail grocery sector, offering a wide range of products including fresh produce, meat, bakery items, dairy products, and household goods. In addition to groceries, Albertsons provides pharmacy services and operates fuel centers, enhancing its one-stop shopping experience for customers. With a focus on customer satisfaction and community engagement, Albertsons aims to deliver quality products and services across its numerous locations nationwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlbertsons Companies generates revenue primarily through the sale of groceries and related products in its supermarkets. The company's revenue model is based on both in-store sales and online grocery delivery services, which have seen significant growth in recent years. Key revenue streams include the sale of perishable goods, non-perishable items, and pharmacy products. Additionally, Albertsons benefits from its private label brands, which offer higher margins compared to national brands. The company also earns income through fuel sales at its gas stations and from various promotional partnerships with vendors and suppliers. Moreover, Albertsons has been investing in technology to enhance its e-commerce platform, which is expected to further boost sales and improve customer engagement.

Albertsons Companies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 14, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in e-commerce, pharmacy, and loyalty programs, alongside strategic investments in digital platforms and share repurchases. However, challenges included store closures, a decline in gross margin, and the impact of a labor dispute. Overall, the positive developments in growth and strategic initiatives slightly outweigh the challenges faced.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
E-commerce Growth
E-commerce grew 23% year-over-year, with a compounded annual growth rate of 24% over the last three fiscal years. Grocery penetration is now above 9%.
Pharmacy Growth
Pharmacy grew 19% year-over-year, driven by GLP-one, core prescription volume increases, and share gains from competitor closures.
Loyalty Program Expansion
Loyalty membership grew 13% to over 48 million members in the second quarter, enhancing engagement and transaction frequency.
Digital Platform Success
Digital platforms drove significant increases in sales and engagement, with 23% e-commerce growth and enhanced AI-powered personalization features.
Capital Allocation and Share Repurchase
Announced a $750 million accelerated share repurchase, increasing share repurchase authorization to $2.75 billion, representing over 12% of the beginning year outstanding shares.
Negative Updates
Store Closures
Announced the closure of 29 stores with only 9 new store openings expected by year-end.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased by 63 basis points year-over-year, primarily driven by a mix shift towards digital and pharmacy.
Colorado Labor Dispute Impact
Identical sales were negatively impacted by 12 basis points due to a three-week labor dispute in 47 stores.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, Albertsons Companies, Inc. reported several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. Adjusted identical sales grew by 2.2%, driven by strong growth in the pharmacy sector and a 23% increase in digital sales, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $848 million and earnings per share at $0.44. The company announced a $750 million accelerated share repurchase, reflecting confidence in their undervalued share price, and increased their share repurchase authorization to $2.75 billion. E-commerce saw significant growth, achieving a 23% year-over-year increase, while loyalty program membership expanded by 13% to over 48 million members. The company's strategic priorities focus on digital growth, enhancing customer value, and leveraging technology, with a $14.3 billion real estate portfolio appraised in July 2025. Additionally, Albertsons increased its fiscal 2025 identical sales guidance to a range of 2.2% to 2.75%, maintaining an adjusted EBITDA outlook of $3.8 billion to $3.9 billion, alongside an updated adjusted EPS range from $2.06 to $2.19.

Albertsons Companies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Albertsons demonstrates steady revenue growth and sound cash generation capabilities despite facing profitability challenges. The balance sheet reflects high leverage but shows signs of stabilization. Continued focus on improving operational efficiency and managing debt levels will be crucial for sustaining growth and enhancing shareholder value.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Albertsons shows a stable revenue growth with recent TTM revenue at $81.01 billion compared to $80.39 billion in the previous year, indicating a modest growth trajectory. However, net income has slightly declined, resulting in a net profit margin decrease. The gross profit margin remains healthy, but the decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins suggests rising operational costs affecting profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting significant leverage at a level typical for the grocery industry. Despite this, the equity ratio shows slight improvement, indicating some strengthening of financial stability. Return on equity has decreased due to lower net income, signaling challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Albertsons maintains a positive free cash flow, though it has decreased compared to previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio signifies efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the declining free cash flow growth rate suggests potential pressures on future cash availability for investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue81.37B80.39B79.24B77.65B71.89B69.69B
Gross Profit22.24B22.26B22.05B21.76B20.72B20.41B
EBITDA3.78B4.08B4.53B4.85B4.87B3.78B
Net Income977.30M958.60M1.30B1.51B1.62B850.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.85B29.31B28.79B28.75B30.77B29.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments270.60M339.20M212.00M477.20M2.97B1.78B
Total Debt15.30B14.18B14.24B15.01B15.30B16.07B
Total Liabilities23.77B25.92B26.05B27.14B27.75B28.06B
Stockholders Equity3.08B3.39B2.75B1.61B3.02B1.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow944.50M749.40M628.20M700.00M1.91B2.27B
Operating Cash Flow2.87B2.68B2.66B2.85B3.51B3.90B
Investing Cash Flow-1.80B-1.89B-1.75B-1.98B-1.54B-1.57B
Financing Cash Flow-1.08B-684.10M-1.18B-3.37B-789.50M-1.04B

Albertsons Companies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.43
Price Trends
50DMA
17.96
Negative
100DMA
18.24
Negative
200DMA
19.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Negative
RSI
45.61
Neutral
STOCH
76.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.59, below the 50-day MA of 17.96, and below the 200-day MA of 19.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ACI.

Albertsons Companies Risk Analysis

Albertsons Companies disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Albertsons Companies reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Albertsons Companies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.33B16.295.29%0.92%-5.42%-20.80%
69
Neutral
$7.95B15.8136.96%16.60%49.76%
67
Neutral
$1.66B17.717.22%2.02%3.11%6.54%
64
Neutral
$9.57B10.3132.04%3.44%2.08%-1.63%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
56
Neutral
$39.50B57.167.75%2.15%-1.77%-70.83%
52
Neutral
$981.37M-210.08-0.37%7.22%-108.99%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ACI
Albertsons Companies
17.43
-1.63
-8.55%
IMKTA
Ingles Markets
71.70
7.74
12.10%
KR
Kroger Company
62.41
2.66
4.45%
WMK
Weis Markets
67.18
0.55
0.83%
SFM
Sprouts Farmers
81.63
-47.77
-36.92%
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding
10.00
-5.71
-36.35%

Albertsons Companies Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Albertsons Companies Appoints Scott Wille to Board
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Lisa Gray resigned from the Board of Directors of Albertsons Companies, Inc., with no disagreements cited between her and the company or its management. Scott Wille, Senior Managing Director of Cerberus Capital Management, was appointed to the Board following her resignation as per the Stockholders’ Agreement. Cerberus, a significant shareholder in Albertsons, manages approximately $66 billion in assets and has a substantial influence on the company’s board appointments.

Private Placements and Financing
Albertsons Companies Issues $1.5 Billion in Senior Notes
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Albertsons Companies, Inc. and its subsidiaries issued $1.5 billion in senior notes, with maturities set for 2031 and 2034. The proceeds from these notes are intended to refinance existing debt, repay part of its revolving credit borrowings, and cover related fees, potentially strengthening the company’s financial position and flexibility.

Private Placements and Financing
Albertsons Announces $750M Senior Notes Redemption Plan
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Albertsons Companies announced plans to redeem $750 million of senior notes due 2026, with the redemption expected on November 20, 2025. The company also revealed a new offering of $1,250 million in senior notes due 2031 and 2034, intending to use the proceeds to refinance existing debt, repay borrowings, and cover related expenses, with the offering expected to close around November 10, 2025.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Albertsons Announces $750M Share Buyback Agreement
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Albertsons Companies announced an accelerated share repurchase agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank to buy back $750 million of its common stock, as part of a broader share repurchase program increased to $2.75 billion. This move, reflecting confidence in the company’s valuation and strategy, is expected to enhance shareholder value by repurchasing approximately 8% of its outstanding shares, with completion anticipated by the first quarter of 2026.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Albertsons Announces New Board Leadership Changes
Positive
Sep 17, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Albertsons Companies announced significant changes to its Board of Directors. James Donald retired as Chair of the Board, with Kim Fennebresque succeeding him. David Zinsner, Executive Vice President and CFO of Intel Corporation, joined the Board as an independent director, bringing extensive experience in finance and technology. The changes are expected to enhance the company’s strategic direction, particularly in digital transformation and innovation, aligning with its Customers for Life strategy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025