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Sprouts Farmers (SFM)
NASDAQ:SFM
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Sprouts Farmers (SFM) AI Stock Analysis

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SFM

Sprouts Farmers

(NASDAQ:SFM)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$85.00
▲(8.95% Upside)
Sprouts Farmers Market's overall stock score of 71 reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including robust earnings and sales growth. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation concerns arise from the lack of a dividend yield. The company's strategic expansion and e-commerce growth are promising, but potential challenges from consumer softening and competition need to be monitored.
Positive Factors
E-commerce Growth
The significant growth in e-commerce sales indicates a successful adaptation to digital retail trends, enhancing long-term revenue potential and market reach.
Store Expansion
Aggressive store expansion supports market penetration and revenue growth, positioning the company for sustained long-term growth.
Private Label Growth
Growth in private label sales enhances profit margins and brand loyalty, providing a competitive edge and financial stability.
Negative Factors
Softening Consumer Impact
The softening consumer demand poses a risk to revenue growth and could impact profitability if the trend continues.
Margin Pressures
Rising SG&A expenses could pressure margins, affecting the company's ability to maintain profitability amidst expansion efforts.
Market Competition Concerns
Increased competition may erode market share and impact growth, necessitating strategic adjustments to maintain competitive positioning.

Sprouts Farmers (SFM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sprouts Farmers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSprouts Farmers Market, Inc. offers fresh, natural, and organic food products in the United States. The company offers perishable product categories, including fresh produce, meat, seafood, deli, bakery, floral and dairy, and dairy alternatives; and non-perishable product categories, such as grocery, vitamins and supplements, bulk items, frozen foods, beer and wine, and natural health and body care. As of January 2, 2022, it operated 374 stores in 23 states. Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneySprouts Farmers Market generates revenue primarily through the sale of grocery products in their retail stores. Key revenue streams include fresh produce, packaged groceries, vitamins and supplements, and prepared foods. The company benefits from a strong focus on organic and natural products, which often carry higher margins compared to conventional items. Additionally, Sprouts engages in promotional pricing and loyalty programs to drive sales. The company also leverages partnerships with local farmers and suppliers to enhance product offerings and appeal to health-conscious consumers. Seasonal promotions and community events further contribute to customer engagement and sales growth.

Sprouts Farmers Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Comparable Store Sales Growth
Comparable Store Sales Growth
Indicates the sales performance of existing stores compared to previous periods, revealing trends in customer demand and operational effectiveness.
Chart InsightsSprouts Farmers Market has experienced a remarkable turnaround in comparable store sales growth, surging from negative figures in 2021 to a robust 10.2% in the latest quarter. This growth is fueled by strong new store performance and strategic initiatives like e-commerce expansion and brand development. The company's earnings call highlights a positive outlook, with plans for further store openings and expected comp sales growth between 7.5% and 9% in 2025, indicating sustained momentum despite minor challenges in the industry.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Sprouts Farmers Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong earnings growth, successful new store openings, and positive e-commerce performance. However, it also acknowledged challenges in comp sales due to consumer softening and competitive pressures. Overall, while the company showcased its strategic initiatives and growth potential, there are notable concerns regarding revenue expectations and market competition.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth
Earnings growth was up 34% year-on-year, with a comparable store sales increase of 5.9%.
Sales and Revenue Growth
Total sales reached $2.2 billion, representing a 13% increase compared to the same period last year, driven by new stores and increased traffic.
E-commerce Growth
E-commerce sales grew by 21%, accounting for 15.5% of total sales for the quarter.
Expansion and New Store Performance
Opened 9 new stores, with a total of 464 stores across 24 states, and plan to open 37 new stores in 2025.
Sprouts Brand Growth
Sprouts brand now represents more than 25% of total sales for the quarter.
Loyalty Program Launch
Full launch of the Sprouts Rewards loyalty program, showing early signs of increased shopping frequency and sales per customer.
Negative Updates
Softening Consumer Impact
Comp sales moderated faster than expected due to challenging year-on-year comparisons and signs of a softening consumer.
Margin Pressures
SG&A increased by $73 million, with a 13 basis points of leverage compared to the previous year, partially offset by increased benefit costs and pressures from new store growth.
Challenging Revenue Comparisons
Expected more from the top line as the impact of lapping strong previous year numbers was underestimated.
Market Competition Concerns
Questions raised about competition potentially impacting core consumer base and cyclical headwinds.
Company Guidance
During Sprout's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided extensive guidance for both the remainder of 2025 and beyond. The management highlighted a 34% year-over-year increase in earnings, driven by a 5.9% increase in comparable store sales and strong performance from new stores. Total sales for the third quarter reached $2.2 billion, representing a 13% growth compared to the previous year. E-commerce sales saw a significant 21% rise, accounting for approximately 15.5% of total sales. The company also noted that its private label, Sprouts brand, now represents over 25% of total sales. Despite these strong metrics, the company faced challenges with top-line growth due to strong year-on-year comparisons and a softening consumer environment. Looking ahead, Sprouts expects total sales growth of approximately 14% for the full year, with comparable sales growth around 7%. Earnings before interest and taxes are projected to be between $675 million and $680 million, and earnings per share are anticipated to range from $5.24 to $5.28. The company plans to open 37 new stores in 2025 and highlighted a robust new store pipeline with 140 approved locations, aiming for 10% unit growth by 2027. Additionally, Sprouts announced a $1 billion share repurchase authorization, with $966 million remaining. The company is also focusing on expanding its loyalty program, which has shown initial signs of increasing shopping frequency and sales per customer.

Sprouts Farmers Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sprouts Farmers Market demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability metrics. The income statement shows a 4.05% revenue increase and a healthy net profit margin of 5.77%. The balance sheet is moderate with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 1.29, but the equity ratio suggests potential financial vulnerability. Cash flow is positive, with a 3.39% growth in free cash flow, indicating strong cash generation capabilities.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Sprouts Farmers shows strong performance in the income statement with consistent revenue growth, evidenced by a 4.05% increase in TTM. The gross profit margin is robust at 38.69%, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin has improved to 5.77%, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, supporting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.29, which is manageable but indicates reliance on debt financing. Return on equity is impressive at 36.53%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting potential vulnerability to financial fluctuations.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows positive trends with a 3.39% growth in free cash flow, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, demonstrating efficient conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 67.07%, supporting sustainable operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2019Dec 2018Dec 2017
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.40B7.72B6.84B5.63B5.21B4.66B
Gross Profit2.49B2.96B2.54B1.89B1.75B1.35B
EBITDA639.53M645.07M518.59M422.01M335.33M324.69M
Net Income405.34M380.60M258.86M149.63M158.54M158.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.78B3.64B3.33B2.72B1.68B1.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments261.40M265.16M201.79M85.31M1.59M19.48M
Total Debt1.76B1.68B1.66B1.74B580.07M482.73M
Total Liabilities2.43B2.32B2.18B2.14B1.09B930.91M
Stockholders Equity1.36B1.32B1.15B581.95M589.20M650.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow446.31M414.84M239.76M171.98M117.30M110.94M
Operating Cash Flow619.39M645.21M465.07M355.21M294.38M309.57M
Investing Cash Flow-173.08M-230.38M-238.34M-183.23M-177.08M-198.59M
Financing Cash Flow-317.78M-351.50M-318.05M-87.44M-134.53M-103.96M

Sprouts Farmers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price78.02
Price Trends
50DMA
109.67
Negative
100DMA
132.70
Negative
200DMA
145.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.79
Positive
RSI
24.08
Positive
STOCH
14.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SFM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 78.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 95.79, below the 50-day MA of 109.67, and below the 200-day MA of 145.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 24.08 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SFM.

Sprouts Farmers Risk Analysis

Sprouts Farmers disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sprouts Farmers reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sprouts Farmers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$7.67B15.3036.96%16.60%49.76%
71
Outperform
$43.01B16.4324.83%2.01%-2.13%3.22%
67
Neutral
$9.74B10.4932.04%3.37%2.08%-1.63%
66
Neutral
$1.36B24.693.58%0.90%-7.96%-64.67%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
$728.79M16.9023.58%1.52%8.51%40.83%
51
Neutral
$1.19B-0.37%7.22%-108.99%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SFM
Sprouts Farmers
78.02
-68.05
-46.59%
IMKTA
Ingles Markets
73.00
2.01
2.83%
KR
Kroger Company
65.02
6.54
11.18%
NGVC
Natural Grocers
31.55
-2.25
-6.66%
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding
11.49
-7.58
-39.75%
ACI
Albertsons Companies
17.82
-1.13
-5.96%

Sprouts Farmers Corporate Events

Sprouts Farmers Market Reports Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 31, 2025

Sprouts Farmers Market’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth tempered by competitive challenges. The company reported strong earnings growth and successful new store openings, alongside a positive e-commerce performance. However, concerns were raised about comp sales due to consumer softening and competitive pressures, indicating a mixed sentiment overall.

Sprouts Farmers Market Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 30, 2025

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc., headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, is a leading specialty retailer in the United States, focusing on fresh, natural, and organic food products. The company operates over 450 stores across 24 states, offering a unique grocery experience with an emphasis on health and wellness.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Sprouts Farmers Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

Sprouts Farmers Market reported a strong third quarter for 2025, with net sales reaching $2.2 billion, marking a 13% increase from the previous year. The company opened nine new stores, bringing the total to 464, and achieved a comparable store sales growth of 5.9%. Sprouts also authorized a new $1 billion share repurchase program and entered into a new $600 million credit facility. Looking ahead, the company projects a full-year net sales growth of approximately 14% and plans to open 37 new stores by the end of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (SFM) stock is a Buy with a $175.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sprouts Farmers stock, see the SFM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Sprouts Farmers Signs New Distribution Agreement
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. entered into a new ten-year Distribution Agreement with KeHE Distributors, LLC, replacing their previous agreement from 2018. This agreement outlines the terms for product pricing, service levels, and distribution procedures, potentially impacting the company’s operational efficiency and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SFM) stock is a Hold with a $170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sprouts Farmers stock, see the SFM Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Sprouts Farmers Approves $1 Billion Share Buyback
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Sprouts Farmers Market’s Board of Directors approved a new $1 billion share repurchase authorization, replacing the previous program with $143 million remaining. This initiative, reflecting the company’s strong cash flow and strategic confidence, aims to return excess cash to shareholders and may be adjusted based on market conditions and investment opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (SFM) stock is a Buy with a $190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sprouts Farmers stock, see the SFM Stock Forecast page.

Sprouts Farmers Market’s Strong Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
Aug 2, 2025

Sprouts Farmers Market Shines in Strong Earnings Call

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025