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Ingles Markets Inc (IMKTA)
NASDAQ:IMKTA

Ingles Markets (IMKTA) AI Stock Analysis

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IMKTA

Ingles Markets

(NASDAQ:IMKTA)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$86.00
▲(11.27% Upside)
Ingles Markets scores well due to strong technical indicators and solid financial performance, despite concerns over declining revenue. The valuation is moderate, with a fair P/E ratio but low dividend yield. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation capabilities enhance financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth opportunities and debt reduction.
Margin Sustainability
Efficient cost management supports sustainable margins, contributing to long-term profitability and competitive positioning.
Balance Sheet Health
A healthier balance sheet with lower leverage enhances financial stability and reduces risk, supporting long-term resilience.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A declining revenue trend poses challenges for future growth and market competitiveness, potentially impacting long-term financial performance.
Earnings Decline
A significant decline in earnings per share indicates potential profitability challenges, which could affect investor confidence and capital allocation.
Revenue Growth Challenges
Ongoing revenue challenges may hinder the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives and maintain market share, affecting long-term prospects.

Ingles Markets (IMKTA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ingles Markets Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIngles Markets, Incorporated operates a chain of supermarkets in the southeast United States. It offers food products, including grocery, meat and dairy products, produce, frozen foods, and other perishables; and non-food products, which include fuel centers, pharmacies, health and beauty care products, and general merchandise, as well as private label items. The company also owns and operates a milk processing and packaging plant that supplies organic milk, fruit juices, and bottled water products to other retailers, food service distributors, and grocery warehouses. In addition, it provides home meal replacement items, delicatessens, bakeries, floral departments, and greeting cards, as well as broad selections of local organic, beverage, and health-related items. As of September 25, 2021, the company operated 189 supermarkets under the brand name Ingles, and nine supermarkets under the brand name Sav-Mor in western North Carolina, western South Carolina, northern Georgia, eastern Tennessee, southwestern Virginia, and northeastern Alabama, as well as 111 pharmacies and 107 fuel stations. Ingles Markets, Incorporated was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Asheville, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyIngles Markets generates revenue primarily through the sale of grocery products in its supermarkets, which includes both perishable and non-perishable items. The company's revenue model is driven by a combination of in-store sales and online grocery orders, catering to changing consumer preferences. Key revenue streams include groceries, pharmacy sales, and fuel sales from its gas stations. Additionally, Ingles benefits from private label products, which typically have higher margins compared to national brands. The company may also engage in partnerships with local suppliers and farms, promoting regional products and enhancing its market appeal. Seasonal promotions and loyalty programs further contribute to customer retention and increased sales, effectively bolstering the company’s earnings.

Ingles Markets Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ingles Markets shows strong profitability and cash flow generation, with a robust gross profit margin and improved net profit margin. However, the declining revenue trend is a concern for future growth. The balance sheet indicates improved leverage and stable equity, contributing to financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Ingles Markets has shown a decline in revenue over the past year, with a negative revenue growth rate of -5.43%. However, the company maintains a strong gross profit margin of approximately 23.9% in the most recent year, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved significantly, suggesting better profitability. Despite these strengths, the declining revenue trend is a concern.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved over the years, indicating a reduction in leverage, which is a positive sign for financial stability. The return on equity has decreased from previous years but remains healthy, reflecting the company's ability to generate returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio shows a stable financial position with a good proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Ingles Markets has demonstrated a substantial increase in free cash flow growth, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, suggesting efficient cash conversion from earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has fluctuated, which could indicate variability in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.33B5.33B5.64B5.89B5.68B4.99B
Gross Profit1.27B1.27B1.30B1.40B1.42B1.30B
EBITDA252.54M252.54M282.98M416.55M500.58M469.05M
Net Income83.59M83.59M105.54M210.81M272.76M249.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.57B2.57B2.53B2.47B2.30B2.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments366.25M366.25M353.69M328.54M267.20M75.31M
Total Debt543.67M543.67M564.96M595.47M612.50M632.04M
Total Liabilities950.12M950.12M982.13M1.01B1.04B1.04B
Stockholders Equity1.62B1.62B1.55B1.46B1.26B983.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow39.60M39.60M51.66M92.82M219.89M165.70M
Operating Cash Flow154.10M154.10M262.52M266.41M339.50M306.30M
Investing Cash Flow-109.94M-109.94M-206.18M-170.10M-111.99M-127.98M
Financing Cash Flow-31.60M-31.60M-31.18M-34.97M-30.62M-114.90M

Ingles Markets Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price77.29
Price Trends
50DMA
73.24
Negative
100DMA
70.47
Positive
200DMA
66.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.67
Positive
RSI
41.61
Neutral
STOCH
39.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IMKTA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 77.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.60, above the 50-day MA of 73.24, and above the 200-day MA of 66.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IMKTA.

Ingles Markets Risk Analysis

Ingles Markets disclosed 12 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ingles Markets reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ingles Markets Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.33B16.055.29%0.92%-5.42%-20.80%
71
Outperform
$487.44M9.3811.22%2.63%3.88%7.71%
70
Neutral
$583.89M12.8324.02%1.99%7.19%35.90%
67
Neutral
$1.64B17.387.22%2.06%3.11%6.54%
64
Neutral
$9.59B10.1832.04%3.49%2.08%-1.63%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
52
Neutral
$986.28M-214.29-0.37%7.22%-108.99%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IMKTA
Ingles Markets
70.65
5.77
8.89%
VLGEA
Village Super Market
35.97
5.02
16.22%
WMK
Weis Markets
65.94
-1.29
-1.92%
NGVC
Natural Grocers
25.62
-13.74
-34.91%
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding
10.20
-5.56
-35.28%
ACI
Albertsons Companies
17.21
-1.85
-9.71%

Ingles Markets Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ingles Markets Reports Q4 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025

Ingles Markets reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended September 27, 2025. The company saw a decrease in net sales for both the quarter and the fiscal year compared to the previous year, with $1.37 billion for the quarter and $5.33 billion for the year. Despite the decline in sales, the company improved its gross profit margins and achieved a net income of $25.7 million for the quarter, recovering from a net loss in the same quarter of the previous year due to impairment losses from Hurricane Helene. For the fiscal year, net income was $83.6 million, down from $105.5 million the prior year. Ingles Markets continues to focus on enhancing customer experience and managing its financial resources effectively.

Executive/Board Changes
Ingles Markets Appoints New Board Member
Neutral
Nov 24, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Ingles Markets, a North Carolina-based company, announced the resignation of John R. Lowden from its Board of Directors, effective immediately. L. Keith Collins, who has extensive experience in dairy operations and management, was appointed to fill the vacancy. Mr. Collins, previously President of Milkco, Inc., a subsidiary of Ingles Markets, will serve on the Board until the 2026 annual meeting of shareholders. His appointment is expected to bring valuable industry expertise to the Board, with no conflicts of interest reported.

Executive/Board Changes
Ingles Markets Director John Lowden to Resign
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

On October 23, 2025, John R. Lowden, a member of the Board of Directors of Ingles Markets, Incorporated, announced his decision not to stand for re-election and to resign from his position effective December 31, 2025, citing personal reasons.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ingles Markets Updates Bylaws for Modern Governance
Neutral
Sep 23, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Ingles Markets‘ board of directors adopted the Second Amended and Restated Bylaws, which introduced several updates including advance notice requirements for shareholder nominations, updated officer roles, and strengthened indemnification provisions. These changes aim to modernize company operations and enhance flexibility in board meetings, impacting the company’s governance and potentially influencing stakeholder engagement.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025