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Ingles Markets Inc. (IMKTA)
NASDAQ:IMKTA

Ingles Markets (IMKTA) AI Stock Analysis

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IMKTA

Ingles Markets

(NASDAQ:IMKTA)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$99.00
▲(28.09% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/06/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—improving leverage but weaker profitability and uncertain cash-flow quality. Technicals are supportive due to a strong uptrend, though overbought indicators add near-term risk. Valuation is fair with a modest P/E but a low dividend yield, while the latest corporate update was a positive incremental catalyst.
Positive Factors
Improving leverage and equity growth
Debt-to-equity improvement and equity growth materially lower balance-sheet risk and interest burden. This durable strengthening increases financial flexibility to fund remodeling, capex or weather sales volatility without heavy new external financing, supporting long-term resilience.
Negative Factors
Weakened free cash flow generation
Multi-year weakness and inconsistent conversion of earnings into free cash flow reduce internal funding for debt reduction, capex and shareholder returns. An uneven cash-flow profile raises financing risk and limits flexibility to respond to competitive or cost pressures over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving leverage and equity growth
Debt-to-equity improvement and equity growth materially lower balance-sheet risk and interest burden. This durable strengthening increases financial flexibility to fund remodeling, capex or weather sales volatility without heavy new external financing, supporting long-term resilience.
Read all positive factors

Ingles Markets (IMKTA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ingles Markets Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ingles Markets, Incorporated operates a chain of supermarkets in the southeast United States. It offers food products, including grocery, meat and dairy products, produce, frozen foods, and other perishables; and non-food products, which include f...
How the Company Makes Money
Ingles Markets primarily makes money by selling products to consumers through its supermarkets, recognizing revenue at the point of sale across a broad mix of categories such as food (including perishable departments like produce, meat, and dairy)...

Ingles Markets Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: the balance sheet is improving with more manageable leverage, but operating and net margins have compressed meaningfully versus 2021–2023. Cash flow is the main concern due to multi-year free cash flow weakness and less consistent conversion versus earnings.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.42B5.33B5.64B5.89B5.68B4.99B
Gross Profit1.31B1.27B1.30B1.40B1.42B1.30B
EBITDA267.08M252.54M282.98M416.55M500.58M469.05M
Net Income95.13M83.59M105.54M210.81M272.76M249.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.57B2.57B2.53B2.47B2.30B2.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments361.68M366.25M353.69M328.54M267.20M75.31M
Total Debt539.03M543.67M564.96M595.47M612.50M632.04M
Total Liabilities930.27M950.12M982.13M1.01B1.04B1.04B
Stockholders Equity1.64B1.62B1.55B1.46B1.26B983.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow123.07M39.60M51.66M92.82M219.89M165.70M
Operating Cash Flow236.15M154.10M262.52M266.41M339.50M306.30M
Investing Cash Flow-112.37M-109.94M-206.18M-170.10M-111.99M-127.98M
Financing Cash Flow-31.61M-31.60M-31.18M-34.97M-30.62M-114.90M

Ingles Markets Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price77.29
Price Trends
50DMA
86.30
Positive
100DMA
79.16
Positive
200DMA
73.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.54
Negative
RSI
69.50
Neutral
STOCH
89.79
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IMKTA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 77.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 88.83, below the 50-day MA of 86.30, and above the 200-day MA of 73.51, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.79 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IMKTA.

Ingles Markets Risk Analysis

Ingles Markets disclosed 12 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ingles Markets reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ingles Markets Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$583.98M7.2611.37%2.63%3.88%7.71%
66
Neutral
$609.46M12.7123.11%1.99%7.19%35.90%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$8.88B8.3128.54%3.49%2.08%-1.63%
60
Neutral
$1.75B11.865.93%0.93%-5.42%-20.80%
58
Neutral
$1.78B17.846.83%2.06%3.11%6.54%
46
Neutral
$671.37M-4.43-19.78%7.22%-108.99%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IMKTA
Ingles Markets
94.04
30.86
48.84%
VLGEA
Village Super Market
43.89
9.17
26.43%
WMK
Weis Markets
71.99
-8.12
-10.14%
NGVC
Natural Grocers
26.46
-19.60
-42.56%
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding
6.84
-7.40
-51.97%
ACI
Albertsons Companies
17.28
-3.64
-17.39%

Ingles Markets Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ingles Markets Posts Strong Fiscal 2026 First-Quarter Results
Positive
Feb 5, 2026
On February 5, 2026, Ingles Markets reported strong results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, covering the period ended December 27, 2025, with net sales rising 6.6% year-on-year to $1.37 billion and gross profit improving to 24.4% of sales fr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026