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Installed Building Products (IBP)
NYSE:IBP

Installed Building Products (IBP) AI Stock Analysis

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IBP

Installed Building Products

(NYSE:IBP)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$334.00
▲(3.72% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/27/26
IBP scores well on fundamentals, led by strong profitability and cash generation, and is further supported by an earnings call highlighting record margins, strong liquidity, active capital returns, and disciplined leverage. The score is tempered by cyclical top-line pressure in residential markets, mixed near-term technicals, and a relatively high P/E with only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Sustained, substantial operating and free cash flow provides durable funding for acquisitions, buybacks, and dividends while buffering cyclical revenue swings. High cash conversion supports reinvestment in branches and distribution, enabling long-term growth and financial flexibility.
Record Profitability and Margins
Elevated and improving gross and EBITDA margins reflect disciplined pricing, mix gains and operational leverage. Sustained margin expansion increases earnings resilience during volume downturns and supports return-on-capital targets, reinforcing the company's long-term profitability profile.
Strong Liquidity & M&A Firepower
Robust liquidity and conservative net leverage versus the 2x target give management room to pursue strategic acquisitions and shareholder returns without stressing near-term operations. Extended maturities and an upsized ABL enhance optionality and reduce refinancing timing risk.
Negative Factors
Residential Demand Weakness
IBP's core exposure to single-family and production builders makes revenue and job volumes sensitive to housing affordability and cyclical downturns. Prolonged weakness compresses utilization and limits organic growth, making long-term performance reliant on successful diversification and M&A.
Meaningful Leverage on Balance Sheet
Elevated leverage increases sensitivity to rising rates or prolonged demand weakness, constraining strategic flexibility. While net debt/EBITDA sits near 1.1x, underlying debt relative to equity heightens refinancing and covenant risk if cash flow weakens, pressuring long-term resilience.
Higher Interest & Amortization from Acquisitions
Incremental interest and acquisition-related amortization raise fixed costs and reduce headline free cash flow over time. These recurring expenses make earnings and cash returns more dependent on successful integration and sustained revenue from acquired businesses, elevating execution risk.

Installed Building Products (IBP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Installed Building Products Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInstalled Building Products, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the installation of insulation for residential and commercial builders in the United States. It operates through three segments: Installation, Distribution, and Manufacturing Operations. The company offers a range of insulation materials, such as fiberglass and cellulose, and spray foam insulation materials. It is also involved in the installation of insulation and sealant materials in various areas of a structure, which includes basement and crawl space, building envelope, attic, and acoustical applications. In addition, the company installs a range of caulk and sealant products that control air infiltration in residential and commercial buildings; basic sliding door and complex custom designs; and custom designed mirrors, as well as closet shelving systems. Further, it installs and services garage doors and openers, including steel, aluminum, wood, and vinyl garage doors, as well as opener systems; installs waterproofing and caulking and moisture protection systems; offers sheet and hot applied waterproofing membrane, deck coating, bentonite, and air and vapor systems; and provides rain gutters installation services. Additionally, the company provides fire-stopping systems, including fire-rated joint assemblies, perimeter fire containment, and smoke and fire containment systems installation services; and cordless blinds, shades, and shutters installation services, as well as other complementary building products. It also distributes products and materials purchased wholesale from manufacturers, such as spray foam insulation, metal building insulation, residential insulation, and mechanical and fabricated Styrofoam insulation; and insulation products, including equipment, machines, and services. The company was formerly known as CCIB Holdco, Inc. Installed Building Products, Inc. was founded in 1977 and is based in Columbus, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyIBP generates revenue primarily through the installation of insulation and other building materials. The company's revenue model is based on service contracts with homebuilders and general contractors, where they charge for both materials and labor associated with the installation process. Key revenue streams include residential insulation, commercial insulation, and the installation of various building products such as gutters and garage doors. Significant partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers allow IBP to source quality materials at competitive prices, enhancing their profitability. Additionally, IBP benefits from the growing demand for energy-efficient building solutions, which drives increased sales and expands their market presence.

Installed Building Products Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Installation Same Branch Sales Growth Breakdown
Installation Same Branch Sales Growth Breakdown
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Installed Building Products Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong operational and financial performance (record gross margins, record adjusted EBITDA, rising operating cash flow, healthy liquidity, active M&A and increased shareholder returns). These positives were balanced against persistent residential headwinds: lower job volumes, weaker entry-level production builder demand, and near-term weather-driven seasonality that will pressure Q1. Management emphasized commercial strength, continued margin discipline, and an active acquisition pipeline, signaling confidence in navigating near-term residential softness.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Profitability and Margins
Q4 adjusted gross margin reached a record 35% (up from 33.6% year-ago) and Q4 adjusted EBITDA was a record $142 million with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 19%.
Strong Q4 Adjusted Net Income
Adjusted net income for Q4 increased to $88 million, or $3.24 per diluted share.
Cash Flow and Return on Capital
Operating cash flow for the 12 months ended Dec 31, 2025 was $371 million, a 9% year-over-year increase; adjusted return on invested capital for 2025 was 24%, in line with the prior three-year average.
Commercial Segment Outperformance
Installation segment same-branch commercial sales grew 10% for full year 2025 and heavy commercial same-branch sales grew 38% in Q4 2025, materially contributing (~40 bps) to gross margin expansion.
Acquisition Activity and Pipeline
Completed 11 acquisitions in 2025 representing over $64 million of annual revenue, including 4 in Q4 representing >$23 million; added ~$21 million of annual sales in Jan-Feb 2026 across three deals; company expects to acquire at least $100 million of annual revenue in 2026.
Strong Liquidity and Capital Allocation
Closed $500M 2034 senior notes, repaid $300M 2028 notes, increased ABL to $375M, resulting in nearly $900M available liquidity and low leverage (net debt / TTM adjusted EBITDA 1.1x, below 2x target).
Shareholder Returns Increased
Repurchased 150,000 shares for $38M in Q4 and 850,000 shares for $173M in 2025; Board authorized new $500M buyback program; declared Q1 dividend $0.39 ( >5% YoY increase) and annual variable dividend $1.80 (nearly 6% increase).
Complementary Products and Distribution Progress
Complementary product penetration continued to improve (including excluding heavy commercial), distribution roll-out servicing an estimated 60%-70% of branches from ~5-6 locations, supporting margin improvement.
Negative Updates
Residential New Construction Weakness
Full year 2025 Installation residential same-branch sales were down 4%; Q4 new residential same-branch sales declined 9% and production/public builder revenue was down ~6% for the year, reflecting affordability headwinds.
Job Volume Declines
Q4 reported job volumes decreased 9.3% year-over-year (and a 9% job volume decline when including heavy commercial on a consolidated basis), partially offset by price/mix gains.
Near-Term Weather and Seasonality Impact
Management estimated a ~$20 million revenue impact in January-February 2026 due to weather; Q1 is expected to be weak seasonally and recovery may push volume recovery into Q2.
Price/Cost Pressure in Entry-Level Market
Company highlighted ongoing price/cost pressure in the entry-level production builder segment, with potential headwinds continuing into 2026 until an inflection in affordability/demand occurs.
Uncertainty on Timing of Residential Recovery
While optimistic long-term, management emphasized it is 'too early to draw conclusions' on spring 2026 single-family inflection; public builders expect a weak first half of 2026 with back-half recovery, creating timing risk.
Higher Near-Term Interest and Amortization Expense
Expected Q1 interest expense of ~ $11 million (up from Q4 $8 million) and expected 2026 amortization of ~$38 million (Q1 ~$10 million) due to recent and planned acquisitions and debt issuance.
Company Guidance
Management did not give comprehensive earnings guidance but provided targeted 2026 metrics: amortization of ~ $10 million in Q1 and ~$38 million for the full year, an expected effective tax rate of 25%–27%, and estimated Q1 interest expense of ~ $11 million (Q4 net interest was $8 million); they expect positive free cash flow to fund shareholder returns and plan to acquire at least $100 million of annual revenue in 2026 (after 11 acquisitions in 2025 adding > $64 million and Q4 deals adding > $23 million). Financial position metrics include $371 million of operating cash flow in the 12 months ended 12/31/25, adjusted ROIC of 24% for 2025, net debt/TTM adjusted EBITDA of ~1.1x (well below the 2x target) and nearly $900 million of available liquidity following a $500 million 5.625% note issuance, repayment of $300 million notes, and an increased $375 million ABL (maturity Jan 2031). They also announced shareholder actions and expected impacts: a new $500 million buyback authorization, Q4 repurchases of 150,000 shares for $38 million (850,000 shares for $173 million in 2025), a Q1 regular dividend of $0.39/share (>5% YoY increase) and a $1.80/share annual variable dividend (nearly 6% increase), plus an estimated ~$20 million weather-related Q1 revenue headwind (Jan–Feb).

Installed Building Products Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation support the score (solid margins and robust TTM operating/free cash flow). Offsetting factors are the recent TTM revenue decline and elevated leverage risk on the balance sheet.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Profitability remains solid, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin around 33.6% and net margin near 8.6%, broadly consistent with the last several years and well above 2020–2021 levels. Earnings power also looks resilient with EBIT margin holding in the low-teens. The main concern is growth: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined about 9.1% versus the prior period after multiple years of positive growth, signaling a softer top-line environment.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
The company generates strong returns on shareholder capital (TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) return on equity ~37.8%), but the balance sheet is meaningfully levered with debt running around 1.45x equity in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (and generally elevated in prior years as well). Equity has improved versus 2020–2022, which helps stability, yet leverage remains a key risk if residential demand weakens or financing costs rise.
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow (~$646M) and free cash flow (~$519M) are materially higher than recent annual levels, and free cash flow remains substantial relative to net income (TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow is about 71% of net income). A watch item is volatility: free cash flow growth swung sharply in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), following a weaker 2024, suggesting cash flow can be lumpy year to year.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.97B2.94B2.78B2.67B1.97B
Gross Profit1.01B994.50M930.70M827.78M589.45M
EBITDA281.90M517.80M495.80M462.60M288.02M
Net Income265.40M256.60M243.70M223.40M118.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.07B2.06B1.98B1.78B1.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments321.90M327.60M386.50M229.60M333.49M
Total Debt991.70M978.30M954.80M946.00M937.38M
Total Liabilities1.36B1.35B1.31B1.29B1.24B
Stockholders Equity709.90M705.30M670.30M493.50M416.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow300.80M251.40M278.60M232.26M101.30M
Operating Cash Flow371.40M340.00M340.20M277.90M138.30M
Investing Cash Flow-112.00M-159.10M-103.40M-158.70M-278.44M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-239.80M-79.90M-223.10M242.09M

Installed Building Products Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price322.01
Price Trends
50DMA
296.03
Positive
100DMA
276.35
Positive
200DMA
244.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.33
Positive
RSI
42.91
Neutral
STOCH
24.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IBP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 322.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 318.22, above the 50-day MA of 296.03, and above the 200-day MA of 244.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 6.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IBP.

Installed Building Products Risk Analysis

Installed Building Products disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Installed Building Products reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Installed Building Products Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$6.44B8.4212.87%6.98%9.74%
72
Outperform
$8.68B34.4536.66%1.20%2.12%3.08%
71
Outperform
$5.27B24.7013.69%12.14%48.68%
66
Neutral
$4.58B25.2217.18%15.81%37.89%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$28.50B14.588.26%1.91%-3.78%-44.21%
60
Neutral
$5.18B12.208.76%2.62%-6.06%-32.39%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IBP
Installed Building Products
322.01
154.86
92.65%
CVCO
Cavco Industries
576.29
58.23
11.24%
LEN
Lennar
112.00
-6.26
-5.29%
MTH
Meritage
75.44
4.12
5.78%
SKY
Champion Homes
92.71
-8.16
-8.09%
TMHC
Taylor Morrison
65.81
4.66
7.62%

Installed Building Products Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Installed Building Products Reports Record 2025 Profitability, Boosts Payouts
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

Installed Building Products reported record profitability for the fourth quarter and full year 2025 on February 26, 2026, despite a 0.4% year-over-year decline in quarterly net revenue to $747.5 million as residential markets softened. Net income rose 14.5% to a quarterly record $76.6 million, adjusted EBITDA increased 7.7% to a record $142.2 million, margins expanded, and the company ended 2025 with $321.9 million in cash after repurchasing $210.2 million of stock for the year.

The board approved a higher first-quarter 2026 regular dividend of $0.39 per share and a $1.80 annual variable dividend, both payable March 31, 2026, and authorized a new $500 million share repurchase program through March 1, 2027, underscoring a shareholder-friendly capital allocation strategy. IBP also closed $500 million of 5.625% senior unsecured notes due 2034, upsized and extended its ABL facility, received initial credit ratings from Fitch, and advanced its acquisition program with 11 deals in 2025 and additional transactions through February 2026, positioning the company for continued growth despite near-term homebuilding headwinds.

The most recent analyst rating on (IBP) stock is a Hold with a $355.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Installed Building Products stock, see the IBP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Installed Building Products expands footprint with three acquisitions
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

On February 2, 2026, Installed Building Products announced it had completed three acquisitions: Thermo-Tech Mechanical Insulation, Inc. on February 2, 2026, Biomax Spray Foam Insulation, LLC on January 19, 2026, and CKV Finished Products LLC on December 11, 2025. The acquired companies collectively contribute more than $22 million in annual revenue and extend IBP’s reach in key regional residential, commercial and industrial markets across the Midwest, South and Southwest, adding mechanical insulation services, spray foam and fiberglass insulation, and complementary interior building products such as shower doors, shelving, mirrors, bath accessories and locksets. Management framed these deals as part of its ongoing acquisition-led growth strategy to broaden IBP’s national footprint, diversify products and end markets, and strengthen its revenue and cash flow profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (IBP) stock is a Hold with a $329.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Installed Building Products stock, see the IBP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Installed Building Products completes major refinancing and upsizing
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

On January 21, 2026, Installed Building Products completed a private offering of $500 million in 5.625% senior unsecured notes due 2034 and used approximately $308.2 million of the roughly $490 million in net proceeds to fully redeem its outstanding 5.75% senior unsecured notes due 2028, which were redeemed on January 22, 2026, thereby satisfying and discharging the related 2019 indenture. The company also amended and upsized its asset-based revolving credit facility from $250 million to $375 million, extended its maturity to January 21, 2031, and put in place an updated intercreditor agreement, moves that collectively extend IBP’s debt maturity profile, enhance borrowing capacity and liquidity, and provide greater financial flexibility and access to capital while subjecting the company to customary covenants and security arrangements under the new notes and ABL structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (IBP) stock is a Hold with a $336.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Installed Building Products stock, see the IBP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Installed Building Products Prices $500 Million Senior Notes
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

On January 7, 2025, Installed Building Products announced it had priced a private offering of $500 million in 5.625% senior unsecured notes due 2034, with closing expected on or about January 21, 2026, for sale to qualified institutional buyers in the U.S. and certain investors abroad. The company plans to use the proceeds primarily to redeem in full its outstanding 5.75% senior unsecured notes due 2028, cover related fees and expenses, and fund general corporate purposes, a move that refinances its debt profile and may modestly lower interest costs while extending maturities, potentially strengthening its capital structure for future operations and growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (IBP) stock is a Hold with a $245.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Installed Building Products stock, see the IBP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Installed Building Products Announces $500 Million Notes Offering
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

On January 6, 2025, Installed Building Products announced it had launched a private offering of $500 million in senior unsecured notes due 2034, with proceeds intended primarily to fund the conditional full redemption of its outstanding 5.75% senior unsecured notes due 2028, cover related fees and expenses, and support general corporate purposes. The transaction, which is limited to qualified institutional buyers and certain offshore investors and remains subject to market and other conditions, is set to refinance existing debt and could extend the company’s maturity profile and provide added financial flexibility, potentially strengthening its balance sheet and supporting ongoing operations and growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (IBP) stock is a Hold with a $245.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Installed Building Products stock, see the IBP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026