Lennar (LEN) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $26.52B
• Dividend Yield: 1.91%
• Average Volume (3M): 8.14M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 13.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.73
• Revenue Growth: -3.78%
• EPS Growth: -44.21%
• Country: US
• Employees: 13,265
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Residential Construction
• EPS (TTM): 1.93
• Shares Outstanding: 223,803,530
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 4,508,910
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 8,142,754
• PEG Ratio: 2.86
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.70
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.34
• P/FCF Ratio: 21.25
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.36
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.04
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.32
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 9.70
• 1Y Price Target: $105.00
• Price Target Upside: -0.09% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Sell
• Number of Analyst Covering: 12
• EPS Forecast (FY): 7.39
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $33.40B

• Rating: 59 Neutral
• Price Target: $117.00 ▲(11.33% Upside)

Lennar's overall stock score is primarily impacted by financial performance challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, further weighing on the score. Valuation is fair, providing some support, while mixed earnings call results reflect ongoing market challenges.

Positive Factors

Strong Balance Sheet

A strong balance sheet with substantial liquidity provides Lennar with financial flexibility to navigate market challenges and invest in growth opportunities.

Operational Efficiency

Improved operational efficiency enhances Lennar's ability to deliver homes more quickly and cost-effectively, supporting long-term profitability and competitiveness.

Asset-Light Strategy

An asset-light strategy reduces capital intensity and risk, allowing Lennar to adapt more swiftly to market changes and focus on core competencies.

Negative Factors

Declining Margins

Declining margins indicate pressure on profitability, which could affect Lennar's ability to sustain earnings growth in a competitive market.

Affordability Challenges

Affordability challenges in the housing market may constrain demand for Lennar's homes, impacting sales volume and revenue growth.

Leadership Change

Leadership changes can lead to strategic shifts and potential disruptions, affecting Lennar's operational focus and long-term strategic direction.

Lennar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Lennar Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a homebuilder primarily under the Lennar brand in the United States. It operates through Homebuilding East, Homebuilding Central, Homebuilding Texas, Homebuilding West, Financial Services, Multifamily, and Lennar Other segments. The company's homebuilding operations include the construction and sale of single-family attached and detached homes, as well as the purchase, development, and sale of residential land; and development, construction, and management of multifamily rental properties. It also offers residential mortgage financing, title insurance, and closing services for home buyers and others, as well as originates and sells securitization commercial mortgage loans. In addition, the company is involved in the fund investment activity. It primarily serves first-time, move-up, active adult, and luxury homebuyers. Lennar Corporation was founded in 1954 and is based in Miami, Florida.

How the Company Makes Money

Lennar generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential homes, which includes both the construction and sale of new homes to consumers. The company also earns significant income from its financial services segment, which provides mortgage financing and related services to homebuyers. Key revenue streams include home sales, which account for the majority of its revenue, and service fees from mortgage origination and title services. Furthermore, Lennar benefits from strategic partnerships with land developers and financial institutions, allowing for efficient land acquisition and financing solutions. The company's ability to manage costs effectively and streamline operations also contributes to its profitability.

Lennar Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Lennar faces profitability and cash flow challenges, with declining margins and negative cash flow growth. Despite these issues, the company maintains a strong balance sheet with low leverage, providing some financial stability.

Income Statement

Lennar's income statement shows a decline in revenue growth rate at -1.71% TTM, indicating a slowdown compared to previous periods. Gross profit margin decreased to 14.99% TTM from 15.52% in 2024, and net profit margin also fell to 7.72% TTM from 11.10% in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins have similarly declined, reflecting reduced profitability. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive net income, which is a strength.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16 TTM, improving from 0.15 in 2024. Return on equity is at 11.21% TTM, down from 14.11% in 2024, indicating reduced efficiency in generating returns. The equity ratio remains robust, suggesting financial stability despite some profitability pressures.

Cash Flow

Lennar's cash flow statement shows significant challenges, with a negative operating cash flow of -$568 million TTM and a free cash flow of -$713 million TTM. The free cash flow growth rate is notably negative at -355.85% TTM, highlighting cash flow difficulties. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues despite positive net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	34.78B	35.48B	34.29B	33.71B	27.14B	22.46B
Gross Profit	6.79B	8.01B	8.23B	9.20B	7.34B	5.17B
EBITDA	3.72B	5.32B	5.33B	6.12B	5.93B	3.24B
Net Income	2.68B	3.93B	3.94B	4.61B	4.43B	2.47B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	34.88B	41.31B	39.23B	37.98B	33.21B	29.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.73B	4.98B	6.56B	4.79B	2.93B	2.92B
Total Debt	5.66B	4.45B	5.14B	6.36B	6.54B	7.54B
Total Liabilities	12.13B	13.29B	12.53B	13.74B	12.21B	11.84B
Stockholders Equity	22.57B	27.87B	26.58B	24.10B	20.82B	17.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-712.96M	2.23B	5.08B	3.21B	2.47B	4.12B
Operating Cash Flow	-568.17M	2.40B	5.18B	3.27B	2.53B	4.19B
Investing Cash Flow	49.90M	-302.56M	-176.98M	-128.30M	-105.09M	-280.20M
Financing Cash Flow	-2.04B	-3.68B	-3.25B	-1.28B	-2.40B	-2.45B

Lennar Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 105.09
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LEN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 105.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 117.95, below the 50-day MA of 121.27, and below the 200-day MA of 117.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.97 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.56 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.14 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LEN.

Lennar Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TOL	77 Outperform	$13.22B	10.31	16.89%	0.70%	1.11%	-10.03%
KBH	71 Outperform	$3.71B	9.32	10.72%	1.76%	-10.01%	-27.81%
NVR	70 Outperform	$20.96B	16.20	34.80%	―	3.61%	-6.94%
PHM	70 Outperform	$23.23B	9.18	21.57%	0.78%	1.76%	-4.24%
DHI	66 Neutral	$42.73B	12.65	14.48%	1.14%	-6.93%	-19.41%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
LEN	59 Neutral	$26.52B	13.15	8.28%	1.91%	-3.78%	-44.21%

Lennar Corporate Events

Lennar Announces Co-CEO Jonathan Jaffe’s Retirement

On November 12, 2025, Lennar Corporation announced the retirement of Jonathan M. Jaffe, Co-Chief Executive Officer and President, effective December 31, 2025. Jaffe, who joined Lennar in 1983, played a pivotal role in the company’s national expansion and resilience through significant challenges. His departure marks a strategic shift towards a leaner, more efficient organization focused on affordability and technological advancement, with Stuart Miller continuing as Executive Chairman and CEO.