NVR Inc (NVR)
NYSE:NVR
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NVR
(NYSE:NVR)
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Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$6,923.00
▼(-1.11% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/12/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial quality (high profitability/ROE, improving leverage, solid cash conversion) and supportive technical momentum (above key moving averages with a positive MACD). This is tempered by recent margin and free-cash-flow weakening and only mid-range valuation support given a ~18 P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High ROE / Profitability
NVR's very high ROE reflects durable underlying profitability and efficient capital use across cycles. Sustained high returns point to strong pricing, operational execution and margin structure, supporting earnings resilience and reinvestment capacity over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
Margin deterioration despite revenue growth signals rising cost pressure or mix shifts that erode core profitability. If sustained, lower margins will reduce cash flow and return metrics, limiting reinvestment and increasing sensitivity to housing-cycle swings over the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High ROE / Profitability
NVR's very high ROE reflects durable underlying profitability and efficient capital use across cycles. Sustained high returns point to strong pricing, operational execution and margin structure, supporting earnings resilience and reinvestment capacity over the next several months.
Read all positive factors
NVR (NVR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$17.10B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)24.32K
Price to Earnings (P/E)23.1
Beta (1Y)0.40
Revenue Growth-6.68%
EPS Growth-16.31%
CountryUS
Employees7,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryResidential Construction
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)462.38
Shares Outstanding2,778,119
10 Day Avg. Volume22,069
30 Day Avg. Volume24,323
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.08
Price to Book (P/B)5.47
Price to Sales (P/S)2.05
P/FCF Ratio19.28
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.92
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.55
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit6.81
Enterprise Value/Ebitda8.75
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$7,070.00Price Target Upside0.99% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering7
EPS Forecast (FY)386.89
Revenue Forecast (FY)$9.51B
NVR Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
NVR, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking. It engages in the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings under ...
How the Company Makes Money
NVR primarily makes money by selling newly constructed homes to individual homebuyers. The largest revenue stream is homebuilding revenue, recognized from the sale of completed (or contractually delivered) homes across its operating markets and br...
NVR Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyNVR Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
81
Very Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 10.32B | 10.54B | 9.53B | 10.54B | 8.96B |
| Gross Profit | 2.37B | 2.69B | 2.48B | 2.88B | 2.20B |
| EBITDA | 1.79B | 2.16B | 1.97B | 2.31B | 1.66B |
| Net Income | 1.34B | 1.68B | 1.59B | 1.73B | 1.24B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 5.86B | 6.38B | 6.60B | 5.66B | 5.83B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.96B | 2.61B | 3.16B | 2.52B | 2.57B |
| Total Debt | 1.20B | 1.02B | 1.01B | 1.01B | 1.59B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.99B | 2.17B | 2.24B | 2.15B | 2.83B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.86B | 4.21B | 4.36B | 3.51B | 3.00B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.10B | 1.35B | 1.47B | 1.85B | 1.22B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.12B | 1.37B | 1.50B | 1.87B | 1.24B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -71.21M | -26.55M | -24.10M | -27.43M | -18.18M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.76B | -1.90B | -832.97M | -1.91B | -1.40B |
NVR Technical Analysis
Neutral
7000.92
Price Trends
7024.71
Negative
7269.24
Negative
7525.77
Negative
Market Momentum
-14.59
Negative
58.62
Neutral
72.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NVR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7000.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6647.94, below the 50-day MA of 7024.71, and below the 200-day MA of 7525.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -14.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NVR.
NVR Risk Analysis
NVR disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NVR reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
NVR Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $5.64B | 13.92 | 10.85% | ― | -8.99% | -22.26% | |
75 Outperform | $17.10B | 23.10 | 32.66% | ― | -6.68% | -16.31% | |
72 Outperform | $42.53B | 15.24 | 13.24% | 1.14% | -5.57% | -19.40% | |
71 Outperform | $22.71B | 16.24 | 15.92% | 0.78% | -5.94% | -27.06% | |
69 Neutral | $13.24B | 16.39 | 16.86% | 0.70% | 4.60% | -3.85% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
56 Neutral | $21.72B | 30.47 | 8.04% | 1.91% | -7.52% | -49.33% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
NVR
NVR
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.