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Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Inc (HY)
NYSE:HY

Hyster-Yale Materials Handling (HY) AI Stock Analysis

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HY

Hyster-Yale Materials Handling

(NYSE:HY)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
â–²(7.02% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/04/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened 2025 profitability and a very high P/E, despite improved leverage and solid cash generation. Technicals are supportive with price trading above key moving averages and positive momentum indicators. Earnings call commentary adds moderate support via improving bookings and guidance for a 2026 recovery, but persistent tariff and margin headwinds limit upside confidence.
Positive Factors
Improved leverage
Material deleveraging to ~0.82x D/E meaningfully lowers balance-sheet risk and enhances financial flexibility. Lower leverage supports funding of capex, product launches, and restructuring savings without heavy external financing, strengthening resilience across industry cycles.
Consistent cash generation
Positive operating and free cash flow in 2025 provides durable liquidity to fund R&D, capex guidance ($55–75M), and cost programs while supporting dealer/service networks. Steady FCF cushions cyclicality and improves the company's ability to execute strategic investments and deleveraging plans.
Product & technology initiatives
Introduction of modular platforms, EV and automation products represents a structural shift toward higher-value offerings. Scalable technology can raise revenue per unit, improve margins over time, and differentiate Hyster‑Yale versus low-cost competitors, supporting a more resilient, higher-margin installed base.
Negative Factors
Profitability volatility
A swing to net losses and compressed gross margins in 2025 underscores cyclical and execution risk. Volatile profitability undermines consistent return generation and planning, complicates sustained reinvestment and dividend policies, and raises uncertainty around normalized earnings power.
Tariff headwinds
Sustained ~$100M tariff costs are a structural margin drag, reducing pricing flexibility and unit economics. With uncertain refunds and mitigation only ramping in later quarters, tariffs can materially compress margins and slow the pace at which operational savings translate to net-income recovery.
Margin pressure from mix & competition
A durable market shift toward lower-priced models and aggressive competitor pricing constrains gross-margin recovery even as volumes improve. Structural mix change caps upside on returns, so cost cuts may only partially offset lower average selling prices and could limit long-term profitability improvements.

Hyster-Yale Materials Handling (HY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHyster-Yale Materials Handling, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, sells, and services a line of lift trucks, attachments, and aftermarket parts worldwide. It manufactures components, such as frames, masts, and transmissions; and assembles lift trucks. The company markets its products primarily under the Hyster and Yale brand names to independent Hyster and Yale retail dealerships. It also sells aftermarket parts under the Hyster and Yale, as well as UNISOURCE and PREMIER brands to Hyster and Yale dealers for the service of competitor lift trucks. In addition, the company produces and distributes attachments, forks, and lift tables under the Bolzoni, Auramo, and Meyer brand names; and designs and produces products in the port equipment and rough terrain forklift markets. Further, it designs, manufactures, and sells hydrogen fuel-cell stacks and engines. The company serves light and heavy manufacturers, trucking and automotive companies, rental companies, building materials and paper suppliers, lumber, metal products, warehouses, retailers, food distributors, container handling companies, and U.S. and non-U.S. governmental agencies. Hyster-Yale Materials Handling, Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyHY makes money primarily by selling materials-handling equipment and by generating recurring aftermarket revenue tied to its installed base of trucks. (1) New equipment sales: The largest revenue stream comes from the sale of Hyster- and Yale-branded lift trucks and related warehouse equipment. These products are generally sold through independent dealer networks that market, sell, and support customers in their territories; HY records revenue from the sale of equipment (and, where applicable, any bundled elements) based on its commercial arrangements. Equipment demand is influenced by industrial activity, logistics/warehousing investment, competitive pricing, and the timing of customers’ fleet refresh cycles. (2) Aftermarket/parts and service: HY earns additional revenue from replacement parts, service-related offerings, and other support tied to the maintenance and repair of its installed base. Aftermarket tends to be more recurring than new truck sales because trucks require ongoing maintenance and periodic component replacement over their useful lives; HY participates in this stream through parts sales and related support provided via its dealers and channels. (3) Attachments: Through its Bolzoni attachments business, HY earns revenue from the sale of lift-truck attachments and related handling solutions. Attachments are often purchased alongside new trucks or added later to adapt existing fleets to specific material types, helping drive both OEM-linked and retrofit demand. (4) Dealer/channel contribution: Independent dealers are a significant commercial route to market, supporting sales, financing/leasing offerings, rentals, and service in local markets; HY’s earnings are therefore influenced by dealer coverage, dealer inventory practices, and the strength of dealer/customer relationships. Specific details on material partnerships, customer concentration, or revenue mix percentages are null.

Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Shows each segment’s profit after operating expenses, revealing which parts of the company actually generate operating earnings and which require subsidies or restructuring. Helps assess operational efficiency, the payoff from investments, and which segments are likely to drive overall profitability or need management attention.
Chart InsightsAmericas has been the primary profit engine, but its 2025 pullback combined with EMEA’s swing into sizable losses and JAPIC’s persistent drag has shifted consolidated operating income lower. Nuvera’s drop to zero suggests a disposal or reclassification that removes a chronic loss-maker, yet tariff headwinds (about $40M) and a shrinking backlog mean the company must actually convert recent booking and price gains into shipments—management’s pricing and cost actions are necessary but not yet proven to restore steady operating profitability.
Data provided by:The Fly

Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 03, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced picture: clear operational and commercial improvements (strong sequential bookings, improved cash flow, inventory discipline, and multiple cost-savings programs) signal constructive early recovery and positioning for growth. However, sizable near-term headwinds remain—notably significant tariff costs (~$100M for 2025), Q4 adjusted operating loss, revenue declines, shift to lower-margin product mix, and uneven global demand—delaying a full margin recovery. Management guidance expects a trough in Q1 2026 with gradual volume and profit recovery through H2 2026, supported by structural cost actions and product launches.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sharp Improvement in Bookings
Bookings strengthened in Q4 to $540 million, up 42% sequentially (Q3 $380 million) and 35% year-over-year (prior year Q4 $400 million). Positive booking momentum continued into the first two months of 2026, led by North America and core counterbalance Class 5 trucks.
Improved Operating Cash Flow and Inventory Efficiency
Fourth quarter operating cash flow increased to $57 million, driven by meaningful improvements in inventory efficiency, better finished goods management, and aligning production with demand.
Backlog and Early Signs of Demand Recovery
Backlog totaled $1.28 billion at year-end. Management expects Q1 2026 to be the trough, with bookings outpacing shipments as the year progresses and backlog rebuilding toward a normalized three- to four-month level.
Disciplined Cost Actions and Expected Savings
VE/RA realignment delivered $15 million of savings in 2025. A restructuring program launched in 2025 targets $40–45 million of annualized savings beginning in 2026. Manufacturing footprint optimization is expected to deliver $20–30 million in 2027 and $30–40 million by 2028. Total expected recurring annualized savings are $85–100 million by 2028 versus the start of 2025 (pre-inflation).
Product and Technology Initiatives
Company introduced modular, scalable platforms and announced product launches (electric counterbalance and warehouse products). Automation pilots have progressed to initial orders and an automated IDA truck official launch is planned for April. Management expects automation and lithium-ion solutions to meaningfully increase revenue per unit and improve margins over time.
Capital Allocation and 2026 Guidance
Management expects 2026 capital expenditures of $55–75 million focused on product development, IT upgrades (CRM, PLM, ERP for parts), and manufacturing footprint optimization. Company anticipates moderate full-year operating profit in 2026 with a small loss in H1 and stronger revenue and profit improvement in H2 as volumes rise and cost actions take effect.
Manufacturing Flexibility and Mitigation Efforts on Tariffs
Modular platforms and expanded manufacturing flexibility enable sourcing and assembly adjustments to respond to tariff changes. Pricing, sourcing, and other mitigation initiatives are in place and expected to contribute more meaningfully beginning Q2 2026.
Negative Updates
Revenue Declines and Lower Shipment Volumes
Fourth quarter revenue declined to $923 million and full-year 2025 revenue declined to $3.8 billion, reflecting weaker shipment volumes as customers delayed purchases and shipment levels trailed order intake.
Q4 Adjusted Operating Loss and Full-Year Compression
Adjusted operating loss for Q4 was $16 million, driven by lower volumes and tariff impacts. Full-year 2025 adjusted operating profit was only $16 million after significant headwinds.
Significant Tariff Headwind
Gross tariff costs were substantial: approximately $40 million in Q4 and about $100 million for full-year 2025. Management expects tariff costs to remain broadly consistent with Q4 2025 levels through 2026, with uncertain timing or magnitude of any legal refunds or policy changes.
Persistent Margin Pressure and Product Mix Shift
Market shift toward lighter-duty, lower-priced models and aggressive competitive pricing (notably from foreign manufacturers) are expected to keep near-term margins pressured. Management does not expect a return to the unusually high low-20s percent gross margins seen in 2023–24; normalization toward mid- to high-teens is anticipated by the end of 2026.
Regional Demand Disparities
While North America showed sequential improvement and drove booking strength, EMEA and JAPIC contracted sequentially. Backlog declines were driven by lower unit volumes, especially in EMEA, and continued customer caution in many regions.
Shipments Outpacing Orders at Year-End
As shipments outpaced new orders late in the year, backlog declined sequentially. This reflected the tailing off of deliveries from earlier long lead-time orders and contributed to near-term revenue weakness.
Near-Term Unfavorable Year-Over-Year Comparisons
Even with mitigation efforts, management expects year-over-year comparisons to remain unfavorable in early 2026 as tariff impacts persist and mitigation benefits ramp up only beginning in Q2.
Company Guidance
Management guided that Q1 2026 should mark the trough with a small loss in H1 and a moderate full‑year operating profit as volumes recover and production/shipments expand gradually through the year; early 2026 bookings are ahead of prior year and the first two months have continued the momentum. Key metrics cited: Q4 bookings rose to $540M (up 42% sequentially from $380M and 35% y/y from $400M), backlog exited at $1.28B, Q4 revenue was $923M and FY2025 revenue was $3.8B with FY adjusted operating profit of $16M, Q4 operating cash flow was $57M, and FY2025 gross tariff costs were ~ $100M (including $40M in Q4) — tariffs are expected to remain broadly consistent with Q4 levels through 2026 with mitigation benefits ramping in Q2. Capital allocation and cost actions: 2026 capex is guided to $55–75M, VERA delivered $15M of savings in 2025, a restructuring targets $40–45M annualized savings beginning in 2026, manufacturing optimization is expected to deliver $20–30M in 2027 (rising to $30–40M annualized by 2028), and total recurring annualized savings of $85–100M are expected by 2028 versus the start of 2025.

Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals. Earnings deteriorated sharply in 2025 with net losses, margin compression, and lower revenue, increasing cyclicality and execution risk. Offsetting this, leverage improved materially (debt-to-equity down to ~0.82x) and cash generation remained a strength with positive operating and free cash flow in 2025.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Profitability has been volatile. After solid profitability in 2023–2024 (net profit margin ~3% and improving gross margin), 2025 saw a sharp reversal with net losses (-$60.1M) and negative operating results, alongside a ~3.7% revenue decline. Gross margin also compressed in 2025 versus 2024, signaling weaker pricing, mix, or cost pressure. The longer-term picture shows a rebound from 2021–2022 losses, but the latest year reintroduces earnings risk and lowers confidence in the trajectory.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Leverage has improved meaningfully versus 2022, with debt-to-equity declining from ~2.70x (2022) to ~0.82x (2025), indicating a stronger capital structure and reduced balance-sheet risk. Equity is stable around ~$472M–$475M in 2024–2025 and total assets are steady near ~$2.0B. However, returns have swung sharply: strong profitability in 2023–2024 supported healthy returns on equity, but 2025 losses pushed returns negative again, highlighting cyclical earnings pressure despite improved leverage.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength. Operating cash flow remained positive in 2025 ($86.1M) and free cash flow was also positive ($86.1M), following solid 2023–2024 levels and a major recovery from deeply negative 2021. Free cash flow growth in 2025 was strong versus 2024, supporting liquidity and financial flexibility even in a loss year. The main weakness is that cash flow has not consistently tracked reported earnings across the cycle, with coverage levels varying widely year to year, which adds some quality-of-earnings uncertainty.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.77B4.31B4.12B3.55B3.08B
Gross Profit632.80M895.50M785.60M433.90M363.40M
EBITDA63.30M300.40M263.40M9.40M-93.20M
Net Income-60.10M142.30M125.90M-74.10M-173.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.02B2.03B2.08B2.03B1.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments123.20M96.60M78.80M59.00M65.50M
Total Debt384.70M541.80M571.90M552.90M518.50M
Total Liabilities1.53B1.54B1.67B1.80B1.59B
Stockholders Equity472.00M475.10M389.90M204.40M357.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.60M122.90M115.30M11.80M-297.80M
Operating Cash Flow86.10M170.70M150.70M40.60M-253.50M
Investing Cash Flow-62.70M-47.60M-34.50M-35.40M-24.50M
Financing Cash Flow-800.00K-100.10M-100.50M-10.90M193.60M

Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price29.90
Price Trends
50DMA
34.71
Negative
100DMA
33.07
Negative
200DMA
35.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.40
Positive
RSI
30.80
Neutral
STOCH
1.95
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 29.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.31, below the 50-day MA of 34.71, and below the 200-day MA of 35.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 1.95 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HY.

Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Risk Analysis

Hyster-Yale Materials Handling disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hyster-Yale Materials Handling reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$322.73B30.1245.10%0.98%-1.51%-9.69%
73
Outperform
$154.24B54.8318.93%1.34%-11.66%-27.80%
72
Outperform
$60.31B24.2512.57%3.83%-15.29%-42.93%
67
Neutral
$6.68B15.8911.16%1.24%4.60%-65.73%
66
Neutral
$9.21B12.4614.57%1.56%-2.28%-0.53%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$535.21M-8.760.51%4.61%-8.30%-98.18%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HY
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling
29.90
-14.60
-32.82%
CAT
Caterpillar
693.62
359.60
107.66%
DE
Deere
571.02
96.44
20.32%
OSK
Oshkosh
147.20
51.44
53.72%
PCAR
Paccar
114.69
17.59
18.12%
TEX
Terex
58.73
19.64
50.25%

Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Hyster-Yale Updates Investors With New Strategic Presentation
Neutral
Mar 4, 2026

On March 4, 2026, Hyster-Yale, Inc. posted an updated investor presentation on its corporate website, providing the market with refreshed information on the company’s performance and strategic direction. The materials were furnished in connection with a Form 8-K filing, indicating a formal communication of key financial and operational updates to investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HY) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hyster-Yale Materials Handling stock, see the HY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Hyster-Yale Expands Historical Quarterly Financial Disclosure Access
Positive
Mar 4, 2026

On March 3, 2026, Hyster-Yale, Inc. plans to post additional historical quarterly financial data on its website and update the schedules previously made available for its fourth-quarter 2025 results. The company is furnishing this information as historical data on its operating performance under a Form 8-K, clarifying that the materials are provided for disclosure purposes and are not deemed filed or incorporated by reference under federal securities laws.

The move provides investors and other stakeholders with more detailed visibility into Hyster-Yale’s past quarterly performance, potentially aiding in trend analysis and assessment of the company’s recent operating trajectory. By expanding access to historical financial schedules while keeping them outside the “filed” category, the company balances transparency with managing its formal reporting obligations and associated liabilities under securities regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HY) stock is a Buy with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hyster-Yale Materials Handling stock, see the HY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026