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Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)
NASDAQ:HLNE

Hamilton Lane (HLNE) AI Stock Analysis

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HLNE

Hamilton Lane

(NASDAQ:HLNE)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$126.00
▲(17.35% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/21/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance (high margins and strong cash conversion) and a positive earnings narrative around fundraising/AUM momentum and fee-related earnings growth. These are partially offset by clearly bearish technical conditions (price below key moving averages with negative MACD) and only moderate valuation support (P/E ~22 with a modest yield), while the new buyback provides a smaller incremental positive.
Positive Factors
High margins and cash conversion
Sustained high operating margins and near‑one‑for‑one free cash flow conversion indicate durable profitability and internal funding capacity. That supports dividends, reinvestment in products/tech, and flexible capital allocation over the next several quarters to years.
Fundraising momentum and fee‑earning AUM growth
Consistent net inflows across specialized funds and a fast‑growing Evergreen platform expand recurring fee base and reduce revenue cyclicality. A rising fee-earning AUM mix with higher fee rates supports sustainable fee-related revenue and fee-related earnings growth.
Strategic long‑term Guardian partnership
A multi-year mandate from Guardian provides predictable, durable capital commitments and product placement that should translate into steady management fees, scaled distribution economics, and cross‑selling opportunities over a decade horizon.
Negative Factors
Expense growth pressures
Rising compensation and G&A increases can erode fee-related earnings margins if not offset by proportional fee growth. Persistent expense expansion risks reducing free cash flow growth and constraining capital available for buybacks or product investments.
Uneven revenue and cash‑flow volatility
Historic swings in revenue and cash flow complicate forecasting and make earnings less predictable. For an asset manager reliant on fee stability, such volatility can impair consistent dividend or reinvestment planning and increases cyclicality risk over coming quarters.
Balance‑sheet reporting inconsistency on debt
Inconsistent debt reporting undermines clarity around leverage and liquidity. Hidden or mis‑timed liabilities can affect risk assessment, borrowing capacity, and capital allocation decisions, increasing governance and refinancing risks over a multi‑quarter horizon.

Hamilton Lane (HLNE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hamilton Lane Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHamilton Lane Incorporated is an investment firm specializing in direct and fund of fund investments. It provides following services: separate accounts (customized to each individual client and structured as single client vehicles); specialized strategies (fund-of-funds, secondaries, co-investments, taft-hartley, distribution management); advisory relationships (including due diligence, strategic portfolio planning, monitoring and reporting services); and reporting and analytics solutions. For direct investments, the firm invests in early, mid and late venture, mature companies, growth equity, emerging growth, distressed debt, later stage, turnarounds, bridge financing, mezzanine financing, and buyouts in middle market companies. For fund of fund investments, it invests in mezzanine, venture capital, private equity, turnaround, secondary investments, real estate, and special situation funds. The firm invests in real estate investments. It also invest in technology, healthcare, education, natural resources, energy and essential consumer goods sectors, cleantech, and environment, community development, and financial empowerment. It invests in private equity markets in North America, Latin America, United States, Western Europe, Middle East, Africa, United Kingdom, Asia, Japan, and Australia. The firm prefer to invest $1 million to $100 million in companies. It prefers to have majority stake in companies. Hamilton Lane Incorporated was founded in 1991 and is based in Conshohocken, Pennsylvania with additional offices across Europe, North America, and Asia.
How the Company Makes MoneyHamilton Lane generates revenue primarily through management fees and performance fees from its investment products. The management fees are typically calculated as a percentage of assets under management (AUM), providing a steady income stream as the firm manages capital on behalf of its clients. Performance fees, on the other hand, are contingent on the successful performance of the funds, allowing the company to earn additional revenue when investments exceed certain return thresholds. Additionally, Hamilton Lane has established strategic partnerships with various financial institutions and investors, which can enhance its ability to attract capital and expand its investment offerings, further contributing to its earnings.

Hamilton Lane Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted robust asset growth, strong fundraising momentum (particularly in Evergreen and specialized funds), rising fee-related revenues and FRE, successful fund closes, a strategic long-term partnership with Guardian, and active product and technology initiatives. These positives were partially offset by higher expenses, comparability noise from retro fees, more modest growth in separate accounts, and the timing of Guardian-related financial recognition. On balance, the call emphasized execution, momentum, and several high-growth drivers.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Total Asset Footprint Exceeds $1 Trillion
Total asset footprint stood at over $1 trillion at quarter end, representing a 6% increase year over year.
AUM and AUA Growth
Assets under management (AUM) were $146 billion, up $11 billion or 8% YoY; assets under advisement (AUA) were $871 billion, up $50 billion or 6% YoY.
Fee-Earning AUM and Blended Fee Rate Expansion
Total fee-earning AUM was $79.1 billion, up $8.1 billion or 11% YoY (net QoQ growth $2.7 billion or 4%). Blended fee rate increased to 67 basis points (10 bps higher vs 2017, ~18% improvement from IPO mix).
Specialized Funds and Evergreen Momentum
Specialized funds fee-earning AUM reached $38.1 billion, up $6.9 billion or 22% YoY (QoQ +$2.4 billion or 7%). Evergreen platform generated over $1.2 billion of net inflows in the quarter and Evergreen AUM exceeded $16 billion, representing >70% YoY growth.
Strong Fundraising and Fund Closes
Multiple fund successes: direct equity fund now >$2.3 billion (≈15% larger than prior fund), second infrastructure fund final close nearly $2 billion (3x inaugural), sixth secondary fund prior vintage raised $5.6 billion, and strategic opportunities series 9 raised $527 million in final close.
Fee-Related Revenue, FRE and Earnings Growth
Total fee-related revenue for the period was $57 million (+31% YoY). Fee-related earnings were $254.6 million YTD (+37% YoY). FRE came in at $255 million YTD (+37% YoY) with an FRE margin of 50% (vs 48% prior).
GAAP and Non-GAAP EPS, Dividend Increase
Fiscal year-to-date GAAP EPS of $4.35 (GAAP net income $183 million) and non-GAAP EPS of $4.41 (adjusted net income $240.1 million). Declared quarterly dividend of $0.54, maintaining a path to a targeted $2.16 for FY2026 (10% increase YoY).
Unrealized Carry and Incentive Fees
Unrealized carry balance rose to approximately $1.5 billion (+15% YoY). Incentive fees totaled $136 million for the period, with fee-related performance revenues contributing materially to growth.
Strategic Partnership with Guardian
Partnership with Guardian closed: Hamilton Lane will oversee nearly $5 billion of Guardian's private equity portfolio, expects ~$500 million of additional annual commitments for at least 10 years, at least $250 million into HL Evergreen, and a warrant package expected to result in <1% dilution.
Product Innovation and Technology Investment
Expanded product set (Evergreen, secondaries, venture access) and announced investment in Pluto Financial Technologies to expand liquidity offerings and technology-enabled solutions for private markets.
International Credit Evergreen Performance
International credit Evergreen AUM surpassed $2 billion, with since-inception net annualized return >9.5% and averaged >$90 million of monthly net inflows in calendar 2025; December was the fourth-highest net inflow month since launch.
Negative Updates
Expense Growth
Fiscal YTD total expenses increased $40 million or 14% YoY. Total compensation and benefits rose $29 million or 15%, and G&A increased $11 million. Revenue-related expenses (e.g., third-party commissions) also increased.
Retro Fee Comparison and Seasonal/Timing Effects
Comparability impacted by retro fees: prior-year included nearly $21 million of retro fees (from previous final close) vs $2 million in the current period, creating variability in year-over-year management fee comparisons.
Slower Growth in Customized Separate Accounts
Customized separate account fee-earning AUM was $41.1 billion, up $1.3 billion or 3% YoY (QoQ +$280 million or 1%), showing more modest growth versus specialized funds and subject to timing variability from step-downs and returns of capital.
Timing of Guardian Financial Impact
Financial benefits from the Guardian partnership were not reflected in the quarter and will begin to be recognized next quarter, adding near-term uncertainty to YTD comparatives.
Industry & Market Risks Highlighted
Management acknowledged industry headlines and volatility in parts of private credit and noted continued monitoring of software/AI and sector-specific risks; while credit and software exposures were characterized as diversified, these remain potential sources of volatility.
Company Guidance
Management guided that initial financial impacts from the Guardian partnership will be recognized next quarter (Hamilton Lane to oversee nearly $5.0 billion of Guardian’s PE portfolio, expect ~ $500 million of additional annual commitments for ≥10 years with at least $250 million into HL&E, and associated warrants expected to dilute <1% on a fully diluted basis), and reiterated targets and current operating metrics: total asset footprint >$1.0 trillion (+6% YoY); AUM $146.0 billion (+$11.0 billion, +8% YoY); AUA $871.0 billion (+$50.0 billion, +6%); total fee‑earning AUM $79.1 billion (+$8.1 billion, +11% YoY; +$2.7 billion, +4% QoQ) with a blended fee rate of 67 bps (up 10 bps vs. 2017) and a separate‑accounts/specialized‑funds mix of 52%/48%; specialized funds fee‑earning AUM $38.1 billion (+$6.9 billion, +22% YoY; +$2.4 billion, +7% QoQ); Evergreen AUM >$16.0 billion (+70% YoY) with >$1.2 billion of Q3 net inflows, core multi‑strategy $11.7 billion, credit Evergreen >$2.0 billion (since‑inception net annualized return >9.5%, avg. >$90 million monthly inflows in 2025); customized separate accounts fee‑earning AUM $41.1 billion (+$1.3 billion, +3% YoY; +$280 million, +1% QoQ) and >$2.0 billion of SMA closings in December. Financial guidance/recap included YTD management & advisory fees +11%; total fee‑related revenue $57 million (+31% YoY); fee‑related earnings $254.6 million (+37%); incentive fees $136 million; unrealized carry ≈ $1.5 billion (+15% YoY); FRE YTD $255 million (+37%) with a 50% FRE margin; GAAP EPS YTD $4.35 (GAAP net income $183 million) and non‑GAAP EPS $4.41 (adjusted net income $240.1 million); declared quarterly dividend $0.54, on track for a $2.16 FY2026 target (~10% increase).

Hamilton Lane Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation: TTM gross margin ~73%, net margin ~33%, EBIT margin ~58%, and free cash flow ~97% of net income. Offsets include uneven multi-year revenue/cash-flow trends and a noted TTM debt data inconsistency that adds some caution to balance-sheet interpretation.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
HLNE shows strong profitability for an asset manager, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin ~73% and net margin ~33%, alongside very healthy operating profitability (TTM EBIT margin ~58%). Revenue growth is positive in TTM (~4.3%) but has been uneven over the last several years, and margins have also fluctuated (notably an unusually high net margin in 2022), which tempers the score despite the currently strong earnings profile.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet looks solid with equity building over time (from ~$238M in 2021 to ~$877M in TTM) and strong returns on equity (~31% TTM). Leverage appears moderate based on the debt-to-equity ratio sitting around ~0.5 recently (improving from ~1.0 in 2021). A key watch item is data consistency: TTM shows total debt at 0 while the debt-to-equity ratio remains ~0.53, suggesting debt may not be fully reflected in that specific TTM data point.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash generation is strong and well-converted: TTM operating cash flow (~$367M) and free cash flow (~$364M) are close to net income, with free cash flow running at ~97% of net income. Free cash flow growth is positive in TTM (~4.45%) and cash flow has improved meaningfully versus 2024, though historical volatility (including a sharp free cash flow decline in 2024) and an unusually high TTM operating cash flow coverage figure indicate results can swing period to period.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue763.40M712.96M553.84M528.75M367.92M341.63M
Gross Profit528.54M504.74M387.45M379.44M259.52M205.32M
EBITDA446.22M384.89M301.02M258.67M323.81M159.86M
Net Income233.50M217.42M140.86M109.12M145.99M98.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.17B1.69B1.27B1.14B1.29B1.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments340.19M277.27M114.63M111.75M72.17M87.34M
Total Debt359.84M368.32M275.19M292.35M253.57M238.46M
Total Liabilities844.76M766.46M595.24M566.35M557.46M546.32M
Stockholders Equity877.39M717.28M525.15M415.44M346.88M238.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow355.96M288.66M109.78M221.84M161.00M168.52M
Operating Cash Flow363.50M300.82M120.85M226.59M169.52M188.16M
Investing Cash Flow-315.50M-117.58M-122.18M177.91M-70.49M-421.78M
Financing Cash Flow-28.25M-19.62M4.40M-364.15M-113.22M270.66M

Hamilton Lane Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price107.37
Price Trends
50DMA
134.06
Negative
100DMA
128.65
Negative
200DMA
138.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.12
Positive
RSI
33.19
Neutral
STOCH
32.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HLNE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 107.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 119.04, below the 50-day MA of 134.06, and below the 200-day MA of 138.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HLNE.

Hamilton Lane Risk Analysis

Hamilton Lane disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hamilton Lane reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hamilton Lane Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$5.99B19.2630.59%1.52%13.01%21.96%
73
Outperform
$10.11B14.6929.38%1.18%9.33%33.17%
72
Outperform
$8.28B13.6521.77%0.01%1.08%8.24%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$5.15B10.3617.04%7.17%11.60%9.38%
56
Neutral
$3.07B278.630.18%18.52%-13.67%-48.49%
51
Neutral
$5.33B-6.442.17%92.02%-1386.34%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HLNE
Hamilton Lane
107.37
-43.36
-28.77%
AMG
Affiliated Managers
310.30
144.61
87.28%
MAIN
Main Street Capital
57.20
3.15
5.82%
SEIC
SEI Investments Company
82.67
6.65
8.75%
FSK
FS KKR Capital
10.95
-8.45
-43.56%
STEP
StepStone Group
44.75
-10.91
-19.61%

Hamilton Lane Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Hamilton Lane Initiates New $50 Million Share Repurchase
Positive
Feb 20, 2026

Hamilton Lane Incorporated, a private markets-focused investment manager with publicly traded Class A common stock, has an authorized stock repurchase framework that allows it to buy back up to 6% of its outstanding Class A shares, capped at $50 million. The program, originally approved in November 2018 and most recently re-approved in December 2024, supports the firm’s broader capital management strategy and can influence share liquidity and valuation.

On February 20, 2026, Hamilton Lane began repurchasing shares under this Stock Repurchase Program, having not executed any buybacks under it before that date, leaving the full authorization available at commencement. The repurchases may occur via open market purchases or privately negotiated transactions, with the total number of shares ultimately repurchased dependent on market conditions and other factors, potentially affecting existing shareholders and the company’s capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (HLNE) stock is a Buy with a $150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hamilton Lane stock, see the HLNE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 21, 2026