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Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)
NASDAQ:HLNE

Hamilton Lane (HLNE) AI Stock Analysis

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Hamilton Lane

(NASDAQ:HLNE)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
Hamilton Lane is a strong performer with excellent financial health and cash flow management. While the stock shows some technical strength, the high valuation and challenges highlighted in the earnings call, such as rising expenses, need consideration. The overall score reflects a well-positioned company with potential growth but some caution due to valuation and market challenges.
Positive Factors
Earnings
The adjusted EPS of $1.21 was ahead of Visible Alpha Consensus Data and Goldman Sachs estimates.
Fee Performance
Fee-related performance fees were higher than anticipated, contributing positively to the quarter's results.
Negative Factors
Fee-related Earnings
The firm's fee-related earnings were significantly below expectations when normalized for changes.
Incentive Fees
The EPS miss was a function of both - lower FRE and lower than expected Incentive fees.

Hamilton Lane (HLNE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hamilton Lane Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHamilton Lane Incorporated is an investment firm specializing in direct and fund of fund investments. It provides following services: separate accounts (customized to each individual client and structured as single client vehicles); specialized strategies (fund-of-funds, secondaries, co-investments, taft-hartley, distribution management); advisory relationships (including due diligence, strategic portfolio planning, monitoring and reporting services); and reporting and analytics solutions. For direct investments, the firm invests in early, mid and late venture, mature companies, growth equity, emerging growth, distressed debt, later stage, turnarounds, bridge financing, mezzanine financing, and buyouts in middle market companies. For fund of fund investments, it invests in mezzanine, venture capital, private equity, turnaround, secondary investments, real estate, and special situation funds. The firm invests in real estate investments. It also invest in technology, healthcare, education, natural resources, energy and essential consumer goods sectors, cleantech, and environment, community development, and financial empowerment. It invests in private equity markets in North America, Latin America, United States, Western Europe, Middle East, Africa, United Kingdom, Asia, Japan, and Australia. The firm prefer to invest $1 million to $100 million in companies. It prefers to have majority stake in companies. Hamilton Lane Incorporated was founded in 1991 and is based in Conshohocken, Pennsylvania with additional offices across Europe, North America, and Asia.
How the Company Makes MoneyHamilton Lane primarily makes money through management and advisory fees. The company earns management fees based on a percentage of the assets under management (AUM) for its investment management services. These fees are typically recurring and provide a stable revenue stream. In addition to management fees, Hamilton Lane generates revenue from performance fees, which are contingent upon achieving certain investment return benchmarks. The firm also earns advisory and reporting fees by providing customized advisory services and reporting solutions to its clients. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with other financial institutions can enhance revenue potential and expand service offerings, though specific partnerships are not detailed.

Hamilton Lane Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 29, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -18.47%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in assets under management, management fees, and the Evergreen platform, alongside strategic investments in technology. However, challenges such as muted exit activity and market volatility pose concerns. Overall, the positive aspects of growth and strategic initiatives outweigh the lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Total Asset Footprint
Total asset footprint reached $958 billion, a 4% year-over-year increase. AUM grew to $138 billion, up $14 billion or 11% from the prior year.
Growth in Management and Advisory Fees
Management and advisory fees rose to $514 million, growing 14% year-over-year. Fee-related earnings increased by 34%.
Dividend Increase
The Board approved a 10% increase to the annual fiscal dividend, marking the eighth consecutive annual double-digit percentage increase.
Record Deal Flow
Record deal flow was observed across secondaries and direct investing, largely due to partnerships with GPs seeking capital.
Strong Evergreen Platform Growth
Evergreen platform AUM reached nearly $10.7 billion. Net inflows for Q1 of 2025 were approximately $1 billion.
Strategic Technology Investment
Investment in 73 Strings, an AI-powered platform, strengthens middle office processes for private markets.
Increased Specialized Fund AUM
Specialized fund fee-earning AUM grew to $33 billion, a 16% increase, driven by Evergreen funds and new product lines.
Negative Updates
Muted Overall Exit Activity
Exit activity remains relatively muted, extending holding periods and affecting capital return to LPs.
Slowdown in Institutional Fundraising
Institutional fundraising market remains slow, impacting capital return and investment redeployment.
Challenges from Market Volatility
Market volatility and political factors contribute to uncertainty and paralysis in decision-making among investors.
Company Guidance
During the Hamilton Lane Fiscal Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Call, several key metrics and growth indicators were highlighted. At the end of fiscal year 2025, the company's total asset footprint reached $958 billion, reflecting a 4% increase year-over-year. Assets under management (AUM) grew by $14 billion to $138 billion, marking an 11% growth, while assets under advisement (AUA) increased by $23 billion to $819 billion, up 3% from the previous year. Total management and advisory fees amounted to $514 million, representing a 14% increase year-over-year. Fee-related earnings saw a significant rise of 34%, reaching $276 million, which contributed to a GAAP EPS of $5.41 and a non-GAAP EPS of $5.04. The board approved a 10% increase in the annual fiscal dividend, now set at $2.16 per share. The company's success in growing its specialized funds, particularly in the Evergreen platform, and its ability to navigate market volatility were underscored as key factors in its performance.

Hamilton Lane Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hamilton Lane demonstrates strong financial performance with impressive margins and growth rates. The company shows robust cash flow management, though increasing debt trends need monitoring. Overall, the company maintains a stable financial position with effective operational efficiency.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Hamilton Lane demonstrates strong financial performance with a high gross profit margin of 67.1% and a net profit margin of 31.1% in TTM. The company recorded a remarkable revenue growth rate of 24.8% from the previous year, indicating positive growth trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 49.3% and 51.6% respectively, showcasing efficient operational management. However, the net income decreased from 2022 to TTM, which could be a concern for sustained profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57, suggesting moderate leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at 33.2% in TTM, reflecting effective use of shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 40.8%, indicating a stable financial position. While the leverage is managed well, the increase in total debt over the years could present future risks if not controlled.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Hamilton Lane exhibits robust cash flow management with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.32, and free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.31 in TTM. The free cash flow growth rate is a notable 156.5%, demonstrating excellent cash conversion and financial health. These metrics highlight the company's ability to generate cash efficiently, providing a buffer for investments and operations.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue712.96M553.84M528.75M367.92M341.63M
Gross Profit438.47M352.35M340.29M246.16M205.32M
EBITDA317.54M301.02M247.48M323.81M199.38M
Net Income217.42M140.86M187.19M247.25M168.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.69B1.27B1.14B1.29B1.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments229.16M114.63M111.75M72.17M87.34M
Total Debt0.00275.19M292.35M253.57M238.46M
Total Liabilities766.46M595.24M566.35M557.46M546.32M
Stockholders Equity717.28M525.15M415.44M346.88M238.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow311.36M109.78M221.84M161.00M168.52M
Operating Cash Flow323.52M120.85M226.59M169.52M188.16M
Investing Cash Flow-139.81M-122.18M177.91M-70.49M-421.78M
Financing Cash Flow-19.62M4.40M-364.15M-113.22M270.66M

Hamilton Lane Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price142.52
Price Trends
50DMA
152.42
Negative
100DMA
151.09
Negative
200DMA
159.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.84
Positive
RSI
42.37
Neutral
STOCH
47.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HLNE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 142.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 146.37, below the 50-day MA of 152.42, and below the 200-day MA of 159.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HLNE.

Hamilton Lane Risk Analysis

Hamilton Lane disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hamilton Lane reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hamilton Lane Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$7.44B25.6835.00%1.51%41.16%64.13%
CGCG
73
Outperform
$17.74B16.6020.38%2.85%81.86%
71
Outperform
$919.98M6.5617.56%14.34%46.14%34.91%
67
Neutral
$16.47B11.309.71%3.94%11.97%-10.51%
63
Neutral
$6.39B103.13-71.28%4.66%118.79%-285.61%
62
Neutral
$2.24B84.62-12.68%3.83%17.33%1.83%
57
Neutral
$2.58B72.24-22.41%4.46%-1.09%-120.06%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HLNE
Hamilton Lane
144.24
22.33
18.32%
CG
Carlyle Group
50.67
11.69
29.99%
GCMG
GCM Grosvenor
11.51
2.09
22.19%
STEP
StepStone Group
56.04
11.22
25.03%
TRIN
Trinity Capital
14.23
1.50
11.78%
BRDG
Bridge Investment Group
9.80
2.66
37.25%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 25, 2025