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Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH)
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Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) AI Stock Analysis

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HHH

Howard Hughes Holdings

(NYSE:HHH)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$101.00
▲(25.37% Upside)
Howard Hughes Holdings has a solid overall score driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment. Financial performance is robust but tempered by high debt levels and declining cash flow. The valuation is fair, though the lack of a dividend yield may deter some investors.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Leasing and NOI Growth
Sustained NOI growth from leasing activities enhances recurring revenue streams, contributing to stable cash flows and profitability.
Strong Land Sales
Robust land sales reflect strategic positioning in high-demand areas, bolstering earnings and supporting future development potential.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
Elevated debt levels can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting long-term investment and growth capabilities.
Declining Cash Flow
Reduced cash flow generation may constrain the company's ability to fund operations and investments, affecting overall financial stability.
Condo Revenue Target Adjustment
Lower condo revenue targets could signal challenges in the residential segment, impacting future revenue and profitability expectations.

Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Howard Hughes Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHoward Hughes Holdings (HHH) is a diversified real estate development and management company based in the United States. The company operates primarily in the residential, commercial, and mixed-use sectors, focusing on creating master-planned communities and urban developments. HHH's core products and services include land development, property management, and the construction of residential and commercial properties, including retail spaces, office buildings, and hospitality venues.
How the Company Makes MoneyHoward Hughes Holdings generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from the sale and leasing of developed properties in its master-planned communities. The company earns income from residential sales, commercial leasing, and land sales. Additionally, HHH benefits from management fees associated with its property management services. Significant partnerships with local governments and other developers can also enhance its revenue potential by facilitating large-scale projects and community developments. The company’s strategic focus on high-demand markets allows it to capitalize on real estate trends and maximize earnings through effective development and management strategies.

Howard Hughes Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance across multiple segments, with record metrics in MPC and leasing growth. The company increased its guidance based on these strong results. However, there was a minor adjustment in condo revenue targets. Overall, the sentiment was positive, with strategic developments and refinancing adding to the favorable outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarter for MPC Segment
Generated $205 million EBT, driven by strong land sales in Summerlin. Sold 319 acres at roughly $795,000 an acre, with a single 231-acre bulk sale at a 75% margin. Excluding that transaction, the rest of the land averaged $1.7 million per acre.
Increased Guidance and Record Performance
Raised full-year EBT guidance to $450 million, up $20 million from prior guidance. Expect to finish the year with record high residential land sales, record pricing, and a record full-year MPC EBT.
Strong Leasing and NOI Growth
NOI grew 5% year-over-year to $68 million, driven by leasing momentum. Office NOI up 7%, multifamily NOI grew 2%, and retail NOI up 9% year-over-year.
Condo Presales and Strategic Developments
Reached a new record with $1.4 billion in condo presales. Projects like Melia and Ilima at Ward Village are collectively 57% presold.
Successful Refinancing
Refinanced about $114 million of near-term maturities, pushing them out into 2026 and beyond, reducing 2025 maturities to $76 million.
Negative Updates
Condo Revenue Target Adjustment
Adjusted full-year condo revenue target down by $15 million to $360 million, due to a timing shift for Ulana closings into early 2026.
Company Guidance
During the Howard Hughes Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance updates, highlighting strong performance across various metrics. The full year Earnings Before Taxes (EBT) guidance was raised to $450 million at the midpoint, reflecting a $20 million increase due to robust land sales. The company also reaffirmed its full year Net Operating Income (NOI) guidance of $267 million. Adjusted operating cash flow guidance increased by $30 million to $440 million, equivalent to $7.86 per diluted share. The guidance for General and Administrative (G&A) expenses was maintained between $76 million and $86 million, excluding specific noncash and variable fees. Despite a slight reduction in the full-year revenue target for condos to $360 million, the future condo pipeline is strong, with $1.4 billion in presales recorded this quarter. Overall, the company anticipates another record-breaking year, driven by strategic land sales, leasing momentum, and effective cost management.

Howard Hughes Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Howard Hughes Holdings demonstrates a strong financial recovery with positive revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The balance sheet shows reduced leverage, enhancing financial stability. Cash flow performance is robust, with significant growth in free cash flow, indicating strong operational efficiency. While there are areas for improvement, such as gross profit margins, the overall financial health of the company is solid, positioning it well for future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Howard Hughes Holdings shows a positive revenue growth rate of 3.56% in the TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The company maintains a strong EBIT margin of 33.07% and a net profit margin of 14.95%, reflecting efficient cost management and profitability. However, the gross profit margin has decreased compared to previous years, suggesting potential pressure on production costs or pricing strategies.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 1.40 in the TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage compared to previous years. Return on equity is at 8.45%, showing improved profitability from equity investments. However, the equity ratio remains moderate, suggesting a balanced but cautious approach to asset financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals a significant improvement in free cash flow growth of 160.32% in the TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.26, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, demonstrating effective cash management and reinvestment strategies.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.83B1.75B1.02B1.49B1.43B699.49M
Gross Profit792.34M731.95M433.97M642.06M510.68M210.15M
EBITDA802.07M710.44M-342.20M602.23M399.26M358.20M
Net Income274.21M197.70M-551.77M184.53M56.10M-26.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.70B9.21B9.58B9.60B9.58B9.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.46B596.08M629.71M626.65M843.21M1.24B
Total Debt5.29B5.13B5.15B4.80B4.66B4.36B
Total Liabilities6.86B6.37B6.52B6.00B5.85B5.43B
Stockholders Equity3.77B2.78B2.99B3.54B3.71B3.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow436.83M350.85M-295.73M323.25M-285.77M-74.48M
Operating Cash Flow439.20M400.94M-248.18M325.25M-283.96M-72.87M
Investing Cash Flow-216.55M-307.25M-348.92M-220.69M101.46M-428.55M
Financing Cash Flow830.54M-148.25M551.22M-222.26M156.14M1.12B

Howard Hughes Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price80.56
Price Trends
50DMA
82.78
Positive
100DMA
78.50
Positive
200DMA
74.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.89
Negative
RSI
59.08
Neutral
STOCH
71.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HHH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 80.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.51, below the 50-day MA of 82.78, and above the 200-day MA of 74.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HHH.

Howard Hughes Holdings Risk Analysis

Howard Hughes Holdings disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Howard Hughes Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Howard Hughes Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.54B34.0514.16%0.95%26.89%53.54%
74
Outperform
$4.81B26.526.29%6.18%8.12%75.95%
74
Outperform
$5.34B17.498.79%59.27%240.63%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
61
Neutral
$4.03B48.666.89%7.76%-4.98%-65.45%
48
Neutral
$4.56B-18.43%4.02%8.06%74.26%
45
Neutral
$3.55B0.61%6.79%8.60%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HHH
Howard Hughes Holdings
87.67
1.91
2.23%
MAC
Macerich
17.44
-3.42
-16.40%
SBRA
Sabra Healthcare REIT
19.22
1.72
9.81%
SLG
SL Green Realty
45.50
-25.01
-35.47%
JOE
St Joe Company
61.80
13.05
26.77%
NSA
National Storage Affiliates
29.99
-10.63
-26.17%

Howard Hughes Holdings Corporate Events

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 11, 2025

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. is a diversified real estate holding company that focuses on developing and managing commercial, residential, and mixed-use properties across the United States, with notable assets in Texas, Nevada, Arizona, Hawaii, and Maryland.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Howard Hughes Holdings Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. reported strong third-quarter 2025 results, driven by record land sales and robust performance across all segments, leading to an upward revision of its full-year guidance. The company achieved $1.4 billion in condominium pre-sales, reinforcing its long-term cash-flow outlook. With a significant liquidity position and strategic reinvestments into new developments, Howard Hughes is well-positioned for continued growth and increased net asset value, as evidenced by its increased guidance for Adjusted Operating Cash Flow and Master Planned Community EBT.

The most recent analyst rating on (HHH) stock is a Hold with a $86.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Howard Hughes Holdings stock, see the HHH Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Howard Hughes Holdings Approves 2025 Equity Incentive Plan
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where the 2025 Equity Incentive Plan was approved by the stockholders, following the Board’s prior approval in August. Additionally, the stockholders elected the Board of Directors and voted on several proposals, including the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (HHH) stock is a Buy with a $94.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Howard Hughes Holdings stock, see the HHH Stock Forecast page.

Howard Hughes Holdings: Strong Land Sales and Strategic Growth
Aug 12, 2025

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. recently held its earnings call, showcasing a robust performance in land sales and operating assets, despite some challenges in new home sales and retail NOI. The sentiment was generally optimistic, bolstered by strategic investments and a shift towards a diversified holding strategy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025