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Howard Hughes Holdings
(NYSE:HHH)
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Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$76.00
▲(15.31% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/06/26
The score is driven mainly by improved profitability and strong recent free cash flow, supported by a constructive earnings call highlighting MPC/NOI momentum and strengthened liquidity. Offsetting factors are meaningful leverage and uneven/margin-compressed operating trends, plus mixed technicals and a relatively high P/E without a dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Conversion
Howard Hughes has generated meaningful free cash flow recently (~$444M TTM) with FCF roughly matching net income. Durable cash conversion supports refinancing, capital deployment for development and the Vantage deal, and provides a cushion through real estate cycles versus pure accrual earnings.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Material leverage (debt above equity) limits financial flexibility and increases refinancing and interest-rate exposure. In a real estate downturn or slower land-sale environment, higher leverage can amplify losses, constrain opportunistic investments, and raise the cost of executing strategic initiatives over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Conversion
Howard Hughes has generated meaningful free cash flow recently (~$444M TTM) with FCF roughly matching net income. Durable cash conversion supports refinancing, capital deployment for development and the Vantage deal, and provides a cushion through real estate cycles versus pure accrual earnings.
Read all positive factors
Howard Hughes Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$3.81B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)386.15K
Price to Earnings (P/E)31.2
Beta (1Y)0.86
Revenue Growth-17.29%
EPS Growth-60.87%
CountryUS
Employees500
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Development
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.05
Shares Outstanding59,624,588
10 Day Avg. Volume332,681
30 Day Avg. Volume386,153
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.80
Price to Book (P/B)1.24
Price to Sales (P/S)3.18
P/FCF Ratio10.23
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$91.33Price Target Upside38.57% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)2.77
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.71B
Howard Hughes Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (HHH) is a U.S. real estate company focused on the ownership, development, and management of large-scale master planned communities and a portfolio of operating real estate. The company develops and sells residential an...
How the Company Makes Money
HHH primarily generates revenue through a combination of (1) land and property sales and (2) recurring income from operating real estate, supplemented by (3) development-related income and other real estate activities.
1) Land sales within master...
Howard Hughes Holdings Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive operational and strategic picture: MPC earnings and pricing showed strong momentum (MPC EBT +33% YoY), operating NOI grew (2% YoY, 7% TTM), and the company strengthened liquidity and executed a favorable refinancing. Management introduced clearer KPIs, outlined a large, de‑risked condo pipeline (~$5B future GAAP revenue at sell-up), and laid out a strategic plan to deploy $2.5–$3.0B of cash into higher‑return insurance opportunities via the Vantage acquisition (on track to close in Q2). Near-term negatives are limited to lumpy condo GAAP timing (breakeven in Q1), incremental G&A/transaction costs ($3.4M Vantage-related), and removal of annual guidance, plus a continued disconnect between management’s valuation and the current market price. Overall, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights, driven by strong cash generation, improved liquidity, strategic acquisition upside, and clearer long-term metrics.Positive Updates
Strong MPC Earnings Growth
Master Planned Community (MPC) earnings before taxes (EBT) were $84 million in Q1, up 33% year-over-year, driven by higher residential land sales and pricing power in key communities.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Condo Gross Profit Lumpy and Breakeven in Q1
Condo gross profit was roughly breakeven in Q1 as expected due to timing of tower deliveries; management warns condo profit recognition will remain lumpy quarter-to-quarter even though underlying presales and economics are largely locked in.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong MPC Earnings Growth
Master Planned Community (MPC) earnings before taxes (EBT) were $84 million in Q1, up 33% year-over-year, driven by higher residential land sales and pricing power in key communities.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company withdrew annual guidance given the pending Vantage acquisition and shifted to longer‑term, platform-level objectives, but did provide a number of new KPIs and quarter metrics: Communities MPC EBT was $84 million in Q1, up 33% year‑over‑year; Bridgeland closed 62 acres (vs. 37 a year ago) with net new home sales +12%, Summerlin custom lots averaged $7.2M/acre and super pads $1.8M/acre with new home sales +6%; operating asset NOI grew 2% YoY and 7% on a trailing‑12‑month same‑store basis; condo gross profit was roughly breakeven in Q1 (≈$5B of estimated future GAAP revenue at sell‑up and Lē‘ahi ~70% presold), and condo profits should rise with Park Ward Village closings in Q2; quarter G&A was $25.8M (including $3.8M Pershing fees and $3.4M Vantage transaction costs), net interest expense declined YoY, the company completed a $1.0B refinancing that added $230M liquidity, closed a $300M Downtown Summerlin mortgage, and finished the quarter with ~$1.8B of cash (including $929M at HHC); management expects the Vantage close in Q2, projects $2.5B–$3.0B of cash generation over five years, and presented a conservative intrinsic value of ~$104/share today rising to ~$211/share by 2030 (implying ~3.3x current price).Howard Hughes Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
57
Neutral
Cash Flow
69
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.51B | 1.47B | 1.75B | 1.02B | 1.49B | 1.43B |
| Gross Profit | 199.81M | 276.10M | 731.95M | 433.97M | 642.06M | 510.68M |
| EBITDA | 518.26M | 517.54M | 710.44M | -342.20M | 602.23M | 399.26M |
| Net Income | 121.59M | 123.90M | 197.70M | -551.77M | 184.53M | 56.10M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 11.25B | 10.64B | 9.21B | 9.58B | 9.60B | 9.58B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.84B | 1.47B | 596.08M | 629.71M | 626.65M | 843.21M |
| Total Debt | 5.80B | 5.11B | 5.13B | 5.15B | 4.80B | 4.66B |
| Total Liabilities | 7.40B | 6.80B | 6.37B | 6.52B | 6.00B | 5.85B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.78B | 3.78B | 2.78B | 2.99B | 3.54B | 3.71B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 446.14M | 458.87M | 350.85M | -295.73M | 323.25M | -285.77M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 467.08M | 462.37M | 400.94M | -248.18M | 325.25M | -283.96M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -213.47M | -219.07M | -307.25M | -348.92M | -220.69M | 101.46M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 1.40B | 855.35M | -148.25M | 551.22M | -222.26M | 156.14M |
Howard Hughes Holdings Technical Analysis
Negative
65.91
Price Trends
67.84
Negative
65.80
Negative
73.33
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.19
Positive
41.11
Neutral
33.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HHH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 65.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.36, below the 50-day MA of 67.84, and below the 200-day MA of 73.33, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HHH.
Howard Hughes Holdings Risk Analysis
Howard Hughes Holdings disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Howard Hughes Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Howard Hughes Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $3.54B | 29.08 | 16.10% | 1.00% | 28.41% | 50.50% | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
65 Neutral | $5.34B | 32.87 | 5.61% | 5.37% | 13.50% | 7.25% | |
61 Neutral | $3.81B | 31.18 | 3.25% | ― | -17.29% | -60.87% | |
61 Neutral | $4.04B | -20.68 | -4.61% | 4.62% | 7.51% | -386.65% | |
61 Neutral | $5.84B | 57.11 | 8.20% | 5.33% | -1.65% | 27.25% | |
59 Neutral | $7.62B | -36.39 | -7.35% | 2.63% | -2.56% | 60.74% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
HHH
Howard Hughes Holdings
65.65
-3.53
-5.10%
MAC
Macerich
25.62
9.10
55.04%
SBRA
Sabra Healthcare REIT
20.66
3.57
20.89%
SLG
SL Green Realty
55.81
2.96
5.61%
JOE
St Joe Company
64.84
14.37
28.46%
NSA
National Storage Affiliates
43.41
15.12
53.47%
Howard Hughes Holdings Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Howard Hughes Completes Vantage Acquisition, Expands Into Insurance
Positive
Jun 5, 2026
On June 4, 2026, Howard Hughes Insurance Holdings, a wholly owned subsidiary of Howard Hughes Holdings, completed its previously announced $2.1 billion cash acquisition of Vantage Group Holdings, a specialty insurance and reinsurance company forme...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Howard Hughes Posts Q1 Results, Prepares Vantage Acquisition
Neutral
May 7, 2026
Howard Hughes Holdings reported first-quarter 2026 results on May 7, 2026, with net income attributable to common stockholders declining to $8.2 million from $10.5 million a year earlier, despite a 2% rise in Operating Assets NOI to $73.1 million ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.