Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $4.22B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 401.14K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.5
• Beta (1Y): 1.03
• Revenue Growth: 62.02%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 545
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 55
• Industry: Real Estate - Diversified
• EPS (TTM): -0.22
• Shares Outstanding: 59,401,210
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 416,119
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 401,142
• PEG Ratio: -0.14
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.39
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.20
• P/FCF Ratio: 9.77
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.71
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 3.96
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 10.35
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 10.35
• 1Y Price Target: $80.33
• Price Target Upside: 13.00% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 74 Outperform
• Price Target: $77.00 ▲(8.31% Upside)

Howard Hughes Holdings receives a solid score driven by strong financial performance and strategic corporate developments. The company's robust cash flow and strategic investments position it well for future growth. However, technical indicators suggest a neutral market sentiment, and increasing debt reliance poses a potential risk.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

HHH expects strong homebuilder demand, and thus raised FY25 MPC EBT by +14.7% to a company-high $430M.

Real Estate Market

Howard Hughes sold 70 residential acres at a higher price per acre, showing strong land sales performance.

Negative Factors

Earnings

Fourth quarter MPC EBT of $56.9M fell by 59.2% year-over-year, driven by the timing of super pad sales.

Stock Uncertainty

The focus is shifting to being a diversified holding company, leading to uncertainty about the future direction of the stock.

Howard Hughes Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development company in the United States. It operates in four segments: Operating Assets; Master Planned Communities (MPCs); Seaport; and Strategic Developments. The Operating Assets segment consists of developed or acquired retail, office, and multi-family properties along with other retail investments. Its MPCs segment develops, sells, and leases residential and commercial land designated for long-term community development projects in and around Las Vegas, Nevada; Houston, Texas; and Phoenix, Arizona. The Seaport segment is involved in the landlord operations, managed businesses, and events and sponsorships services of its restaurant, retail, and entertain properties in Pier 17, New York City; Historic Area/Uplands; and Tin Building, as well as in 250 Water Street and in the Jean-Georges restaurants. The Strategic Development segment develops and redevelops residential condominiums and commercial properties. It serves homebuilders. Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

Howard Hughes Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams. Primarily, it earns income from the sale of residential properties within its master-planned communities, which are designed to offer a blend of residential, commercial, and recreational spaces. Additionally, the company generates significant revenue from leasing commercial spaces in its developed properties, including office, retail, and hospitality spaces. The company's property management services also contribute to its revenue by offering management for residential and commercial properties. Furthermore, Howard Hughes Holdings benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its development capabilities and expand its market reach.

Howard Hughes Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Howard Hughes Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and improved profitability metrics. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but increasing debt reliance could be a concern. Cash flow generation is robust, reinforcing liquidity and operational efficiency.

Income Statement

The company's revenue has shown a strong growth trajectory, with a significant increase observed in the latest TTM compared to previous years. Gross profit margin and net profit margin have improved, indicating better cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting solid operational efficiency. However, past volatility in net income highlights some historical instability.

Balance Sheet

Howard Hughes Holdings maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which indicates a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on Equity (ROE) has improved, showing better profitability relative to equity. However, the equity ratio has been decreasing over the years, suggesting increasing reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks in downturns.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio, highlighting efficient cash generation from operations. Free cash flow growth is promising, suggesting improved liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating effective cash management. However, historically fluctuating cash flows may signal potential volatility.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.83B	1.75B	1.02B	1.61B	1.43B	699.49M
Gross Profit	699.04M	731.95M	433.97M	633.62M	500.01M	201.98M
EBITDA	699.07M	710.44M	-342.20M	556.39M	399.26M	358.20M
Net Income	260.71M	197.70M	-551.77M	184.53M	56.10M	-26.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	9.29B	9.21B	9.58B	9.60B	9.58B	9.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	493.66M	596.08M	631.55M	626.65M	843.21M	1.01B
Total Debt	5.25B	5.13B	5.35B	4.80B	4.66B	4.36B
Total Liabilities	6.43B	6.37B	6.52B	6.00B	5.85B	5.43B
Stockholders Equity	2.79B	2.78B	2.99B	3.54B	3.71B	3.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	306.40M	394.45M	-265.82M	323.25M	-285.77M	-74.48M
Operating Cash Flow	344.02M	396.59M	-258.48M	325.25M	-283.96M	-72.87M
Investing Cash Flow	-291.92M	-300.79M	-336.14M	-220.69M	101.46M	-428.55M
Financing Cash Flow	-105.72M	-148.25M	548.75M	-222.26M	156.14M	1.12B

Howard Hughes Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 71.09
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HHH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 71.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.44, above the 50-day MA of 69.06, and below the 200-day MA of 73.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HHH.

Howard Hughes Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
NHI	77 Outperform	$3.56B	23.92	10.49%	4.81%	6.87%	7.23%
JOE	76 Outperform	$2.92B	35.47	11.44%	1.11%	10.09%	16.70%
HHH	74 Outperform	$4.22B	15.53	7.80%	―	62.02%	―
RYN	72 Outperform	$4.06B	11.13	36.96%	11.19%	9.90%	137.73%
EPR	69 Neutral	$4.10B	26.45	7.56%	6.44%	1.37%	-16.66%
PCH	69 Neutral	$3.30B	81.04	2.07%	4.21%	-1.15%	14.51%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$7.41B	16.26	-2.52%	6.41%	3.67%	-26.65%

Howard Hughes Holdings Corporate Events

Howard Hughes Holdings Secures Major Investment from Pershing Square

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. reported its second-quarter 2025 results, highlighting strong demand and record pricing for its master planned community land, alongside solid performance in operating assets. The company announced a significant investment from Pershing Square, which purchased $900 million of newly issued HHH stock, positioning Howard Hughes to transform into a diversified holding company. Despite a net loss from continuing operations, the company raised its full-year guidance for adjusted operating cash flow and expects record earnings before taxes from its master planned communities. The strategic developments at Ward Village and other areas are anticipated to drive future growth, supported by strong leasing rates and a robust pipeline of condo tower completions.

The most recent analyst rating on (HHH) stock is a Hold with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Howard Hughes Holdings stock, see the HHH Stock Forecast page.

Howard Hughes Holdings Announces Board Member Departures

On June 27, 2025, Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. announced that two members of its Board of Directors, Beth Kaplan and Steven Shepsman, will not stand for re-election at the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Their decision was not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices. The company is actively searching for qualified candidates to fill the upcoming vacancies on the board.

The most recent analyst rating on (HHH) stock is a Hold with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Howard Hughes Holdings stock, see the HHH Stock Forecast page.

Howard Hughes Holdings President Announces Retirement

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. announced that its President, L. Jay Cross, will retire on June 30, 2025, ahead of the expiration of his employment agreement on December 1, 2025. As part of a Separation and Release Agreement, Mr. Cross will receive his base salary through December 1, 2025, a bonus, and a discretionary cash payment, along with full vesting of certain stock awards. Additionally, the company has set September 30, 2025, as the date for its 2025 annual meeting of stockholders, with August 4, 2025, as the record date for stockholders eligible to vote. Deadlines for stockholder proposals and nominations for the meeting have been established, ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (HHH) stock is a Buy with a $81.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Howard Hughes Holdings stock, see the HHH Stock Forecast page.