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Hudson Technologies (HDSN)
NASDAQ:HDSN

Hudson Tech (HDSN) AI Stock Analysis

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HDSN

Hudson Tech

(NASDAQ:HDSN)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(5.04% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/05/26
HDSN scores strongest on financial stability due to a very low-leverage balance sheet, but the overall rating is held back by weakened cash-flow consistency (negative OCF/FCF in 2025) and a weak technical trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is reasonable and the earnings-call tone is constructive, while corporate events are mixed due to the contract bid-protest overhang despite strategic expansion efforts.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Hudson’s very low leverage and growing equity base provide durable financial flexibility to fund operations, acquisitions, or absorb shocks. Low debt reduces refinancing and solvency risk, supporting strategic optionality and resilience over the next several quarters to years.
Strategic Acquisition & Reclamation
The Refrigerants Inc. acquisition expands Hudson’s access to reclaimed product and EPA-certified reclamation capabilities, directly aligning with AIM Act-driven demand for lower-GWP refrigerants. This strengthens aftermarket supply, supports margin durability, and bolsters long-term market positioning in a regulated industry.
Operational Leadership Continuity
Promoting a seasoned operations executive with an employment agreement (non-compete, severance, equity vesting) preserves institutional knowledge and aligns incentives. That continuity reduces execution risk during leadership transitions and supports reliable supply‑chain and military contract operations.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Instability
Operating and free cash flow turned negative in 2025 after prior years of positive cash generation, and OCF has been inconsistent historically. This weakens internal funding for inventory, capex and M&A, increases reliance on cash reserves or external financing, and raises execution risk.
Contract Award Uncertainty
The DLA bid protest and rescission of the new award create material government-contract revenue visibility risk. Although Hudson will continue under the existing contract through July 2026, uncertainty around the $210M award threatens multi-year backlog assumptions and complicates revenue and cash flow planning.
Revenue & Margin Volatility
Revenue has been volatile—strong in 2021–2022, weaker in 2023–2024—and margins have compressed markedly from 2022 peaks. This indicates less resilient earnings power and greater sensitivity to pricing and market imbalances, increasing downside risk if macro or regulatory timing shifts persist.

Hudson Tech (HDSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hudson Tech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHudson Technologies, Inc. a refrigerant services company, provides solutions to recurring problems within the refrigeration industry primarily in the United States. The company's products and services include refrigerant and industrial gas sales; refrigerant management services consisting primarily of reclamation of refrigerants, re-usable cylinder refurbishment, and hydrostatic testing services; and RefrigerantSide services comprising system decontamination to remove moisture, oils, and other contaminants. It also offers SmartEnergy OPS service, a web-based real time continuous monitoring service for facility's refrigeration systems and other energy systems applications; and Chiller Chemistry and Chill Smart services. In addition, the company participates in the generation of carbon offset projects. It serves commercial, industrial, and governmental customers, as well as refrigerant wholesalers, distributors, contractors, and refrigeration equipment manufacturers. Hudson Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyHudson Tech generates revenue through multiple streams, including the sale of its energy management software licenses, hardware devices, and subscription services for its cloud-based analytics platforms. Additionally, the company offers consulting and support services to help clients implement and maximize the effectiveness of their energy management solutions. Significant partnerships with energy suppliers and technology firms further bolster its revenue, enabling HDSN to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. The growing demand for energy efficiency solutions and sustainability initiatives among businesses is a critical factor contributing to HDSN's earnings.

Hudson Tech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Hudson Technologies reported strong financial results and secured a significant contract renewal, indicating robust performance and strategic positioning. However, challenges such as leadership transition, potential regulatory delays, market imbalance concerns, and near-term impacts from the U.S. government shutdown present areas of uncertainty and risk.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Third Quarter Financial Performance
Hudson Technologies reported 20% revenue growth, 32% gross margin, and a 59% increase in net income to $12.4 million for the third quarter of 2025.
Renewal of U.S. Military Contract
Awarded a $210 million contract renewal with the U.S. Defense Logistics Agency for a 5-year base period and a 5-year renewal option.
Increase in Refrigerant Reclamation
Hudson's refrigerant reclamation grew by 19%, in line with industry growth as reported by the EPA for 2024.
Strong Balance Sheet
Hudson ended the quarter with $90 million in cash and no debt, highlighting financial stability and capacity for strategic growth.
Negative Updates
Leadership Transition
Brian Coleman stepped down as CEO, with the company searching for a new leader with different skills to drive future growth.
Potential Regulatory Delays
EPA proposals may extend compliance dates for certain equipment transitions to 2032, potentially delaying market shifts.
Market Imbalance Concerns
Concerns about supply-demand balance in the HFC refrigerant market, which may not occur until 2029 due to current market dynamics.
Government Shutdown Impact
The U.S. government shutdown created near-term volatility affecting the fourth quarter performance.
Company Guidance
During Hudson Technologies' third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial performance, with a 20% increase in revenue, driven by both higher sales volume and increased average sales prices of refrigerants. The gross margin reached 32%, and net income surged by 59% to $12.4 million. The company also highlighted the renewal of a significant contract with the U.S. Defense Logistics Agency valued at $210 million, which further solidified its market position. Despite a late start to the selling season, Hudson effectively maintained its market presence, with HFC pricing averaging around $8 per pound, particularly for 410A, which constitutes about 70% of the aftermarket demand. The company also emphasized its strategic focus on expanding its supply chain for aftermarket refrigerants and its commitment to environmental initiatives, including refrigerant reclamation and collaboration with state-level regulations promoting lower GWP refrigerants. Hudson ended the quarter with $90 million in cash, continuing to prioritize organic and strategic growth, alongside opportunistic share repurchases totaling $5.8 million year-to-date.

Hudson Tech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet (very low leverage and a solid equity base) is a major positive, but operating performance has cooled from the 2022 peak and cash flow reliability deteriorated materially with negative operating and free cash flow in 2025.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue has been volatile: strong growth in 2021–2022, followed by declines in 2023–2024 and a modest rebound in 2025. Profitability has compressed meaningfully from the 2022 peak (gross and net margins down sharply), and earnings power appears less resilient versus prior years. Still, the company remains solidly profitable in the most recent year, with positive net income and mid-single-digit net margin.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet is a clear strength. Leverage is very low in recent years (debt-to-equity near zero in 2025) after a major deleveraging versus 2020–2021, and equity has grown substantially over time. Returns on equity remain positive, though down from the elevated 2021–2022 levels, indicating profitability has normalized even as the capital structure improved.
Cash Flow
34
Negative
Cash generation is the main concern. After strong operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2022–2024, 2025 swung to negative operating cash flow and negative free cash flow. Cash flow has also been inconsistent historically (negative operating cash flow in 2021 and 2025), which increases execution and working-capital risk even though profitability remains positive.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue236.85M246.61M237.12M289.02M325.23M192.75M
Gross Profit64.33M62.10M65.71M111.51M162.89M71.66M
EBITDA33.00M18.56M35.69M83.95M137.49M50.95M
Net Income22.73M16.67M24.39M52.25M103.80M32.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets338.95M318.65M302.65M296.67M272.49M215.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments89.68M39.46M70.13M12.45M5.29M3.49M
Total Debt3.49M3.23M6.88M6.68M50.67M100.27M
Total Liabilities73.06M75.26M56.80M67.90M97.62M144.78M
Stockholders Equity265.89M243.39M245.85M228.77M174.88M70.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow44.60M-8.21M86.51M54.97M59.16M-3.15M
Operating Cash Flow50.09M-3.16M91.81M58.55M62.81M-1.23M
Investing Cash Flow-5.49M-7.29M-25.97M-3.58M-3.66M-1.92M
Financing Cash Flow-11.40M-20.23M-8.15M-47.82M-57.35M5.29M

Hudson Tech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.14
Price Trends
50DMA
7.20
Negative
100DMA
7.55
Negative
200DMA
8.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
45.92
Neutral
STOCH
45.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HDSN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.30, below the 50-day MA of 7.20, and below the 200-day MA of 8.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HDSN.

Hudson Tech Risk Analysis

Hudson Tech disclosed 16 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hudson Tech reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hudson Tech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$307.04M17.688.75%-4.24%-23.16%
60
Neutral
$757.10M9.602.99%1.19%-9.62%-76.62%
58
Neutral
$1.02B-5.45-14.87%-12.07%-821.68%
48
Neutral
$450.69M-14.33-9.27%675.75%42.00%
47
Neutral
$763.51M-23.57-56.26%-11.12%8.76%
46
Neutral
$294.87M-4.24-7.24%1.61%-4.31%-206.57%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HDSN
Hudson Tech
7.10
1.51
27.01%
GEVO
Gevo
1.91
0.59
44.70%
GPRE
Green Plains
15.18
9.63
173.51%
KOP
Koppers Holdings
38.55
10.29
36.43%
OEC
Orion SA
5.24
-8.18
-60.95%
LWLG
Lightwave Logic
5.60
4.45
386.96%

Hudson Tech Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Hudson Tech Appoints Robert Stoody as Senior Operations VP
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

On January 30, 2026, Hudson Technologies, Inc. appointed longtime executive Robert A. Stoody, 42, as Senior Vice President of Operations, recognizing his progression through key leadership roles including Vice President of Supply Chain and head of the Military and Gases Division, as well as prior industry experience leading Compressed Cylinder Services, Inc. and serving as Executive Vice President of Stoody Industrial & Welding Supply, Inc. His elevation to a top operational role is supported by an existing 2021 employment agreement that remains in force and provides non-compete protections for the company and outlines severance, bonus, and accelerated equity-vesting terms in the event of his involuntary separation without cause or a qualifying voluntary resignation, underscoring the company’s intent to secure leadership continuity and align executive incentives with long-term performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (HDSN) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hudson Tech stock, see the HDSN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Hudson Tech Faces Bid Protest, DLA Rescinds Contract
Negative
Jan 30, 2026

On January 30, 2026, Hudson Technologies reported that a competitor has filed a bid protest in the U.S. Court of Federal Claims over the United States Defense Logistics Agency’s evaluation of proposals and the October 2025 contract award to Hudson, which had been scheduled to begin in July 2026. As a result, the DLA has rescinded the 2025 contract award while it reviews its evaluation for potential corrective action, though Hudson will continue to provide logistics support under its existing contract through July 2026, allowing the company to maintain its decade-long relationship and operational continuity with the agency even as the award outcome and future revenue visibility from the new contract remain uncertain.

The most recent analyst rating on (HDSN) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hudson Tech stock, see the HDSN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Hudson Tech Acquires Refrigerants Inc. for Expansion
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

Hudson Technologies, Inc. announced on December 17, 2025, its acquisition of Denver-based Refrigerants Inc., an EPA-certified reclaimer and refrigerant distributor, for an initial purchase price of $2.5 million. The move strengthens Hudson’s presence in key markets, expands its access to recovered refrigerants, and aligns with the company’s strategy to bolster its aftermarket supply chain amid regulatory changes like the AIM Act’s phase-down of virgin HFC refrigerants. The acquisition is expected to bring additional growth opportunities, leveraging Refrigerants Inc.’s longstanding customer base and expertise to enhance Hudson’s leadership in sustainable refrigerant reclamation.

The most recent analyst rating on (HDSN) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hudson Tech stock, see the HDSN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Hudson Tech Board Member Brian F. Coleman Resigns
Neutral
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Brian F. Coleman resigned from his position as a member of the Board of Directors of Hudson Technologies, Inc., effective immediately. His resignation was not due to any disagreement with the company, ensuring stability and continuity in the company’s operations and governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (HDSN) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hudson Tech stock, see the HDSN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 05, 2026