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Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP)
NYSE:KOP

Koppers Holdings (KOP) AI Stock Analysis

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KOP

Koppers Holdings

(NYSE:KOP)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$36.00
▼(-3.33% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is driven by mixed fundamentals: solid operating margins and positive free cash flow are offset by leverage and weak net profitability. Technicals are a clear positive with an uptrend and strong momentum. Valuation is a meaningful headwind due to a high P/E and modest yield. Earnings call outlook is cautiously supportive but balanced by tariff/end-market and execution risks.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Consistent operating cash flow above $100M and positive free cash flow provide durable internal funding for debt reduction, dividends, buybacks, and transformation capex. Even with FCF down y/y, multi-year cash generation supports execution of strategic targets and resilience versus cyclical end markets.
Operating Profitability
Stable mid-to-high single-digit operating margins and robust adjusted EBITDA show the core manufacturing and chemicals businesses retain structural profitability. This operating leverage underpins sustainable cash flow and provides buffer against cyclical revenue dips when paired with disciplined cost management.
Catalyst Transformation & Portfolio Simplification
The Catalyst program is a structural initiative reducing cost base, simplifying the portfolio, and improving margins via $46M realized benefits and a larger $75M pipeline. Portfolio actions (including a business sale) and procurement moves enhance long-term competitiveness and operating efficiency.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Elevated net leverage reduces financial flexibility and increases interest expense sensitivity, constraining capital allocation and M&A optionality. Achieving the stated 2–3x target will rely on sustained cash conversion and execution of cost saves, making balance-sheet repair a multi‑period priority that affects strategic choices.
Declining Revenue & Market Share
Material top-line declines and notable volume losses in key segments indicate structural demand weakness or competitive share loss. Persistent revenue erosion undermines operating leverage, limits scale benefits from fixed costs, and makes margin and ROE recovery harder even with cost programs.
Input Cost & Tariff Exposure
Significant commodity and tariff exposure creates sustained margin volatility because contract passthroughs can lag or be incomplete. Higher feedstock costs and regulatory uncertainty increase execution risk for pricing, compress margins over multiple quarters, and complicate forecasting and long-term contract negotiations.

Koppers Holdings (KOP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Koppers Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKoppers Holdings Inc. provides treated wood products, wood preservation chemicals, and carbon compounds in the United States, Australasia, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Railroad and Utility Products and Services (RUPS), Performance Chemicals (PC), and Carbon Materials and Chemicals (CMC). The RUPS segment procures and treats crossties, switch ties, and various types of lumber used for railroad bridges and crossings. It also provides rail joint bars to join rails together for railroads; transmission and distribution poles for electric and telephone utilities; and pilings. This segment also provides railroad services, such as engineering, design, repair, and inspection services for railroad bridges. The PC segment develops, manufactures, and markets copper-based wood preservatives, including micronized copper azole, micronized pigments, alkaline copper quaternary, amine copper azole, and chromated copper arsenate for decking, fencing, utility poles, construction lumber and timbers, and various agricultural uses; and supplies fire-retardant chemicals for pressure treatment of wood primarily in commercial construction. The CMC segment manufactures creosote for the treatment of wood or as a feedstock in the production of carbon black; carbon pitch, a raw material used in the production of aluminum and steel; naphthalene for use as a feedstock in the production of phthalic anhydride and as a surfactant in the production of concrete; phthalic anhydride for the production of plasticizers, polyester resins, and alkyd paints; and carbon black feedstock for use in the production of carbon black. The company serves the railroad, specialty chemical, utility, residential lumber, agriculture, aluminum, steel, rubber, and construction industries. Koppers Holdings Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyKoppers Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of treated wood products and chemical solutions. Key revenue streams include the sale of railroad ties, utility poles, and various wood preservation chemicals. The Railroad and Utility Products segment constitutes a significant portion of the company's earnings, driven by consistent demand from the transportation and utility sectors. Additionally, Koppers benefits from partnerships with major railroads and utility companies, which provide a stable customer base. The Performance Chemicals segment also contributes to revenue through the sale of specialty chemicals, which are used in various applications across different industries. Overall, Koppers' focus on innovation, sustainability, and strategic partnerships plays a crucial role in enhancing its revenue-generating capabilities.

Koppers Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Balanced/Neutral: The company demonstrated strong profitability resilience, safety improvements, disciplined capital allocation, and meaningful operational gains from the Catalyst program (delivering $46M in 2025 and raising the multi-year opportunity). However, revenue declines across businesses (notably PC and CMMC), tariff and raw-material (copper/coal tar) risks, supplier exits, and customer pullbacks in the railroad market present material near-term risks. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance and targets meaningful free cash flow and margin expansion, but execution and external macro/tariff factors create significant downside risks in the near term.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EBITDA and Margins
Full-year adjusted EBITDA of $256.7M (reported $257M) with a 13.7% adjusted EBITDA margin — management noted this is the second-highest year on record (and a new as-reported high watermark).
Resilient Operating Profit and EPS
Operating profit of $167.8M (second highest year on record) and adjusted EPS of $4.07 for 2025, marking the sixth consecutive year above $4.
Consistent Cash Generation
Operating cash flow of $122.5M for the year — seventh straight year above $100M — and management projects a sizable jump in operating and free cash flow in 2026, targeting $300M+ cumulative free cash flow over the next three years.
Catalyst Transformation Impact
Catalyst program delivered $46M of benefits in 2025; management increased the expected pipeline to as much as $75M of benefits in 2026–2028 with $20M–$40M targeted in 2026. Catalyst drove a 15% reduction in adjusted SG&A and reduced headcount by 11% vs year-end 2024 (17% vs April 2024).
Segment Profitability and Q4 Strength
Full-year segment adjusted EBITDA: RUPS $108M (12% margin), PC $103M (19% margin), CMMC $46M (11% margin). Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $53M with a 12.3% margin; Performance Chemicals posted a 22% adjusted EBITDA margin in Q4 and RUPS improved Q4 adjusted EBITDA to $22M from $18M prior-year.
Capital Allocation Discipline and Shareholder Returns
Normalized CapEx reduced to $55M in 2025 (gross) / $48M net; $38.2M in share repurchases (about 1.3M shares) with $67M remaining on a $100M authorization; dividend increased 13% to $0.09 per quarter (annualized $0.36).
Operational & Safety Achievements
Safety improvements: 21 of 41 sites worked accident-free, serious safety incidents down 70% year-over-year, and total recordable injury rate improved 19.5% Y/Y to an all-time best for the second year in a row.
Market Positioning and Strategic M&A
Acquired a Douglas fir utility pole procurement business (Oregon) to secure supply and expand addressable bids; UIP expanded non-traditional markets by 17% in 2025, helping UIP deliver ~6% overall sales growth for the year in that business.
Negative Updates
Declining Revenue
Full-year consolidated sales fell to $1.9B, a 10% decrease from $2.1B in 2024. Q4 sales were $433M, down 9% year-over-year ($44M decline). Segment sales declines: PC down 17% (full year), CMMC down 18%, and RUPS down 2%.
Performance Chemicals Volume Loss and Competitive Pressure
PC experienced a 16% volume decline in Q4 driven by market share losses in the U.S.; management expects price compression in 2026 despite projected market share gains and has noted ongoing competitive dynamics.
CMMC Market Turmoil and Margin Pressure
CMMC Q4 adjusted EBITDA declined to $4M from $9M prior-year quarter due to discontinued phthalic anhydride volumes, lower plant utilization, net sales price decreases, and a 7% drop in carbon pitch prices globally; average major product pricing fell 4% vs prior year while coal tar costs rose 10%, pressuring margins.
Tariff and Raw Material Uncertainty (Copper Risk)
Regulatory/tariff uncertainty persists after the Supreme Court ruling; copper prices are ~25% higher than 2025 average and management warns that if copper remains elevated it could require up to a $50M pricing pass-through, posing material downside to PC margins.
Customer Pullbacks & Volume Risk in RPS
Railroad customers reduced tie forecasts; two Class I customers signaled additional pullbacks for 2026, requiring contract price relief and operational consolidation (including idling a plant) to offset lower volumes — a meaningful downside risk to RPS profitability if conditions worsen.
Supplier & Throughput Disruption for CMMC
Loss of a tar supplier exiting coking operations reduced available raw material and throughput in the U.S.; this increases short-term disruption risk and could shift volumes geopolitically, adding complexity and potential cost increases.
Leverage Above Target
Net debt of $881M and available liquidity of $383M produced a net leverage ratio of 3.4x at year-end, above the company's 2–3x target range (management aims to reduce leverage toward the low end of the range).
Near-term Headwinds and Timing Risks
Management expects Q1 2026 to be the weakest quarter due to severe winter weather impacts and early-stage Catalyst initiatives not yet ramped; achieving 2026 guidance is exposed to Catalyst capture rates, end-market softness, tariffs, and operational disruptions.
Company Guidance
The company guided 2026 consolidated sales of $1.9–$2.0 billion (vs. $1.88B in 2025), adjusted EBITDA of $250–$270 million (2025: $257M; 2025 adj. EBITDA margin 13.7%), and adjusted EPS of $4.20–$5.00 (2025: $4.07), with CapEx ~ $55 million (flat vs. 2025) and a quarterly dividend of $0.09 ($0.36 annual, +13% vs. 2025). Management expects PC and RUPS to comprise ~80% of 2026 sales (moving toward an 85% target), Catalyst to deliver $20–$40M of benefits in 2026 and up to $75M over 2026–2028 (after $46M realized in 2025), and cumulative free cash flow of ~$300M+ over the next three years; net debt was $881M with $383M liquidity (net leverage 3.4x) and a target leverage of 2–3x (below 2.5x longer‑term). First quarter should be the weakest; key risks include tariffs, end‑market softness, and Capture rates of Catalyst.

Koppers Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating profitability and cash generation are supportive (TTM gross margin ~21.9%, operating margin ~9.5%, positive FCF ~$67.5M), but results are held back by revenue decline (TTM revenue -2.3%), very thin TTM net margin (~0.8%), and a leveraged balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~1.88; ROE ~3.1%).
Income Statement
56
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined (-2.3%) after a soft 2024, and profitability remains thin at the bottom line (TTM net margin ~0.8%). Offsetting this, operating profitability is relatively steady with a solid TTM gross margin (~21.9%) and mid-single to high-single operating margin (~9.5%), indicating the core business remains meaningfully profitable even as net income is pressured.
Balance Sheet
47
Neutral
Leverage is the key constraint: TTM debt-to-equity is ~1.88 (still elevated, though improved from 2024). Equity has grown versus 2024, but returns have weakened materially (TTM return on equity ~3.1% vs. ~10.7% in 2024), suggesting profitability is not currently strong enough relative to the capital base and debt load.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation is a relative strength: TTM operating cash flow is ~$122.5M and free cash flow is positive (~$67.5M). However, free cash flow fell sharply versus the prior period (TTM free cash flow growth ~-29%), and cash conversion is only moderate, with operating cash flow running at ~0.59x of net income and free cash flow at ~0.63x of net income.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.88B2.09B2.15B1.98B1.68B
Gross Profit0.00422.60M424.50M344.60M334.10M
EBITDA220.90M243.30M250.40M191.30M185.20M
Net Income56.00M52.40M89.20M63.40M85.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.89B1.89B1.84B1.71B1.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.00M43.90M66.50M33.30M45.50M
Total Debt1.02B1.02B930.70M904.50M875.10M
Total Liabilities1.31B1.40B1.33B1.31B1.25B
Stockholders Equity574.00M488.70M498.90M399.40M406.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow67.50M42.00M25.60M-3.00M-22.00M
Operating Cash Flow122.50M119.40M146.10M102.30M103.00M
Investing Cash Flow-72.70M-173.30M-116.00M-114.80M-89.50M
Financing Cash Flow-58.50M35.70M2.60M4.80M-4.00M

Koppers Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.24
Price Trends
50DMA
30.13
Positive
100DMA
29.07
Positive
200DMA
29.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.62
Negative
RSI
77.44
Negative
STOCH
67.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KOP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.11, above the 50-day MA of 30.13, and above the 200-day MA of 29.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.44 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KOP.

Koppers Holdings Risk Analysis

Koppers Holdings disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Koppers Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Koppers Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$306.18M14.318.75%-4.24%-23.16%
67
Neutral
$5.73B41.961.55%-6.73%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$675.11M42.902.99%1.19%-9.62%-76.62%
57
Neutral
$83.06M-259.940.02%1.33%-0.97%-99.67%
47
Neutral
$683.42M-16.37-5.00%4.39%<0.01%-143.88%
46
Neutral
$313.44M-4.53-7.24%1.61%-4.31%-206.57%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KOP
Koppers Holdings
37.24
8.30
28.69%
HDSN
Hudson Tech
7.15
1.38
23.92%
KRO
Kronos Worldwide
5.65
-2.79
-33.06%
NTIC
Northern Technologies International
8.87
-2.30
-20.62%
SSL
Sasol
8.11
3.48
75.16%
OEC
Orion SA
5.68
-8.30
-59.38%

Koppers Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Koppers Appoints Bradley Pearce as Interim Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Koppers Chief Financial Officer Jimmi Sue Smith retired from the CFO role, although she will remain treasurer and serve in an advisory capacity through February 28, 2026 to facilitate an orderly handover. Smith, who became CFO in January 2022 after joining the company shortly before the COVID-19 pandemic, is credited with helping stabilize Koppers during a volatile period, optimizing its capital structure, driving free cash flow improvements and leading major financing transactions that extended debt maturities and strengthened liquidity, moves that have supported increased returns to shareholders. In conjunction with her retirement, long-time executive Bradley Pearce, the company’s Chief Accounting Officer since 2019, was appointed interim Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer effective January 5, 2026, with the board adjusting his compensation to reflect the expanded responsibilities while Koppers conducts an external search for a permanent finance chief, signaling a continuity-focused transition for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (KOP) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Koppers Holdings stock, see the KOP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026