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Orion Engineered (OEC)
NYSE:OEC
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Orion Engineered (OEC) AI Stock Analysis

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OEC

Orion Engineered

(NYSE:OEC)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(4.86% Upside)
Orion Engineered's overall stock score is driven by moderate financial performance and technical analysis, with valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio. The earnings call provided some positive strategic shifts, and the interim dividend announcement supports shareholder value. However, challenges in profitability and market conditions weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow
Orion is expected to have a free cash flow yield of approximately 15.5% due to sharply lower anticipated capital expenditures following the completion of an expansion project.
Market Position
Orion is a leading producer of carbon black, with a strong market position and over 900,000 tons in annual volume and 9% market share.
Share Repurchases
OEC acquired 0.5M shares, and net shares outstanding have been reduced by 6% over past 2 years, indicating opportunistic share repurchases as an attractive allocation of capital.
Negative Factors
Price Target Reduction
The price target for Orion was decreased from $18 to $12, reflecting a more cautious outlook.
Rubber Demand
OEC's rubber black demand continues to be negatively impacted by tire imports into Western markets.
Valuation Risk
The investment rating on Orion was lowered from Overweight to Neutral due to economic uncertainties creating valuation risk.

Orion Engineered (OEC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orion Engineered Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrion Engineered Carbons S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells carbon black products in Germany, the United States, South Korea, Brazil, China, South Africa, the rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Specialty Carbon Black and Rubber Carbon Black. The company offers post-treated specialty carbon black grades for coatings and printing applications; high purity carbon black grades for the fiber industry; and conductive carbon black grades for polymers, coatings, and battery electrodes. It also provides rubber carbon black products for applications in mechanical rubber goods under the PUREX brand, as well as in tires under the ECORAX brand name. The company was formerly known as Orion Engineered Carbons S.à r.l. and changed its name to Orion Engineered Carbons S.A. in July 2014. Orion Engineered Carbons S.A. was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Senningerberg, Luxembourg.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrion Engineered Carbons generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of carbon black products. The company operates on a B2B model, supplying its products to manufacturers in various industries, including automotive, coatings, and plastics. Key revenue streams include the sale of standard and specialty carbon blacks, which are utilized in tire manufacturing and other rubber applications, as well as in coatings and plastics for enhanced performance. Additionally, OEC benefits from long-term contracts with major customers, which provide stability and predictable income. The company also invests in research and development to create innovative products and improve production efficiencies, further enhancing its revenue potential. Strategic partnerships with leading companies in the automotive and industrial sectors play a significant role in expanding OEC's market reach and driving sales growth.

Orion Engineered Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed outlook for Orion S.A. with both positive and negative aspects. While the company achieved expected EBITDA performance and made progress in operational initiatives, it faces significant demand headwinds and challenges in its specialty segment. The shift in capital allocation and self-help initiatives are positive steps for long-term improvement, but current market conditions remain challenging.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Orion generated $69 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q2, which was in line with expectations despite demand headwinds.
Volume Growth
Overall, volumes were up 3% year-over-year in the quarter, driven by improved manufacturing performance and operational excellence initiatives.
Specialty Product Resilience
Some profitable specialty product lines exhibited resilience, and progress was made with new customer qualifications in higher-growth segments like lithium-ion batteries and energy storage systems.
Capital Allocation Shift
Company shifted capital allocation priorities towards debt reduction over share repurchases, indicating a focus on strengthening the balance sheet.
Self-help Initiatives
Operational excellence programs and production rationalization are being implemented to bolster performance, including the shutdown of 3 to 5 production lines representing less than 5% of global capacity.
Negative Updates
Demand Headwinds
Both rubber and specialty segments experienced demand headwinds, with rubber affected by a surge of tire imports into the U.S. and specialty facing softer demand due to macroeconomic uncertainties.
Sequential Volume Decline
Volumes declined more than 4.5% sequentially, despite year-over-year growth.
Specialty Segment Challenges
Specialty volumes were down 8% year-over-year and 6% sequentially, impacted by macroeconomic uncertainties and tariff-related hesitancy.
Adverse Inventory Revaluation
Gross profit per ton in the Specialty segment was negatively affected by inventory revaluation due to lower average oil prices.
Elevated Tire Imports
Elevated tire imports continue to weigh on U.S. tire production and Orion's rubber segment demand.
Company Guidance
During the Orion S.A. Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance that reflected several key metrics and strategic directions. Orion reported an adjusted EBITDA of $69 million for Q2, which was in line with expectations despite experiencing demand headwinds. Overall volumes increased by 3% year-over-year but declined by more than 4.5% sequentially. The company highlighted improved manufacturing performance as a driver of earnings, with efforts to optimize operational excellence and reduce unplanned downtime. Orion also narrowed its adjusted EBITDA guidance by reducing the high end of the prior range, maintaining free cash flow expectations of $40 million to $70 million, with a midpoint of $55 million. The company emphasized a shift in capital allocation priorities towards debt reduction over share repurchases, aiming to improve its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio, which stood at 3.55 at the end of the quarter. Orion is also focusing on long-term growth in its Specialty segment, with an emphasis on high-growth conductive grades for lithium-ion batteries and other applications. Additionally, the company announced plans to rationalize production by shuttering 3 to 5 production lines, representing less than 5% of global capacity, to improve cash flow and operational efficiency.

Orion Engineered Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orion Engineered faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability, with declining margins and high leverage. While there is improvement in free cash flow, the company needs to address its debt levels and operational efficiency to enhance financial health. The overall financial position is moderate, with potential risks due to high leverage and declining profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Orion Engineered's income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a negative growth rate in the TTM period. The gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, and the net profit margin is low at 0.82% in TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, indicating reduced operational efficiency. Overall, the company faces challenges in maintaining profitability and revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.19 in TTM, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity has decreased over time, reflecting lower profitability on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is stable, but the high leverage poses potential risks. The company needs to manage its debt levels to improve financial stability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows a significant improvement in free cash flow growth in the TTM period, which is a positive sign. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, indicating some efficiency in cash generation. Overall, cash flow management shows improvement but remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.84B1.88B1.89B2.03B1.55B1.14B
Gross Profit393.30M428.80M451.00M448.80M386.60M292.35M
EBITDA162.60M225.90M327.20M302.80M244.90M149.89M
Net Income15.10M44.20M103.50M106.20M134.70M18.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.02B1.86B1.83B1.89B1.63B1.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.60M44.20M37.50M60.80M65.70M68.50M
Total Debt1.02B1.03B927.20M915.30M782.90M738.44M
Total Liabilities1.56B1.38B1.35B1.43B1.31B1.21B
Stockholders Equity466.50M474.90M478.50M459.40M319.70M181.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow63.10M-81.40M173.10M-151.80M-69.50M-19.66M
Operating Cash Flow118.05M125.30M345.90M81.00M145.20M125.28M
Investing Cash Flow-190.30M-206.70M-172.80M-232.80M-214.70M-144.94M
Financing Cash Flow79.80M89.30M-197.10M149.30M73.30M13.54M

Orion Engineered Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.49
Price Trends
50DMA
10.57
Negative
100DMA
10.88
Negative
200DMA
12.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
50.91
Neutral
STOCH
68.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OEC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.41, below the 50-day MA of 10.57, and below the 200-day MA of 12.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OEC.

Orion Engineered Risk Analysis

Orion Engineered disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orion Engineered reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Orion Engineered Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$865.68M18.5120.93%0.99%9.92%17.12%
67
Neutral
$1.13B19.754.77%3.16%2.64%66.43%
64
Neutral
$740.94M10.978.33%3.18%6.51%3457.58%
61
Neutral
$10.41B7.18-0.06%2.87%2.87%-36.73%
59
Neutral
$1.05B17.67-1.97%4.93%-124.60%
53
Neutral
$591.82M39.143.11%0.79%-3.79%-79.76%
51
Neutral
$2.34B59.33-87.50%4.05%2.48%-459.90%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OEC
Orion Engineered
10.49
-5.56
-34.64%
KRO
Kronos Worldwide
6.29
-4.07
-39.29%
ODC
Oil-Dri Of America
65.17
32.80
101.33%
SCL
Stepan Company
48.79
-21.14
-30.23%
CC
Chemours Company
16.67
0.37
2.27%
ECVT
Ecovyst
8.97
2.61
41.04%

Orion Engineered Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Orion Engineered Announces CFO Jeff Glajch’s Retirement
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Orion S.A. announced the upcoming retirement of its Chief Financial Officer, Jeff Glajch, effective early in the fourth quarter of 2025. Glajch’s retirement is not due to any disagreements with the company, and he will assist in the transition until the end of the year. Orion’s CEO, Corning Painter, expressed gratitude for Glajch’s contributions, noting that his leadership has strengthened the company’s finance and IT teams, positioning Orion for future growth. A comprehensive search for Glajch’s successor will be initiated.

Dividends
Orion Engineered Declares Interim Dividend Announcement
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Orion S.A. announced the declaration of an interim dividend of $0.0207 per common share, totaling approximately $1.2 million, to be paid on October 8, 2025. This move reflects Orion’s continued commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may enhance its market positioning as a reliable investment, while stakeholders should note the 15% Luxembourg withholding tax applicable to the dividend.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Orion Engineered Approves Key Decisions at AGM
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Orion S.A. held its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, where all proposed matters were approved. Key decisions included the election of several directors for terms ending in 2025, the approval of board and executive compensation, and the ratification of financial statements for 2024. Additionally, Ernst & Young was appointed as the independent auditor, and the board was authorized to purchase company shares for five years.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2025