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Orion Engineered (OEC)
NYSE:OEC

Orion Engineered (OEC) AI Stock Analysis

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Orion Engineered

(NYSE:OEC)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(6.67%Upside)
Orion Engineered's stock score is primarily influenced by its mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. High leverage and operational challenges weigh on the score, but strong cash flow management and potential recovery in operations provide some optimism.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Orion is expected to have a free cash flow yield of approximately 15.5% due to sharply lower anticipated capital expenditures following the completion of an expansion project.
Market Position
Orion is a leading producer of carbon black, with a strong market position and over 900,000 tons in annual volume and 9% market share.
Share Repurchases
CEO noted 'we are positioned to achieve higher earnings levels over several years without additional growth capital' and 'continue to see opportunistic share repurchases as an attractive allocation of capital'.
Negative Factors
Profitability
The company's profitability is negatively impacted by the recent increase in oil prices, which will affect profits until prices are adjusted.
Tire Demand
The US after-market tire demand, which makes up a significant portion of Orion's tire sales, is being negatively impacted by higher imports in North America and Europe.
Valuation
The investment rating on Orion was lowered from Overweight to Neutral due to economic uncertainties creating valuation risk.

Orion Engineered (OEC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orion Engineered Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrion Engineered Carbons S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells carbon black products in Germany, the United States, South Korea, Brazil, China, South Africa, the rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Specialty Carbon Black and Rubber Carbon Black. The company offers post-treated specialty carbon black grades for coatings and printing applications; high purity carbon black grades for the fiber industry; and conductive carbon black grades for polymers, coatings, and battery electrodes. It also provides rubber carbon black products for applications in mechanical rubber goods under the PUREX brand, as well as in tires under the ECORAX brand name. The company was formerly known as Orion Engineered Carbons S.à r.l. and changed its name to Orion Engineered Carbons S.A. in July 2014. Orion Engineered Carbons S.A. was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Senningerberg, Luxembourg.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrion Engineered Carbons generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of carbon black products. The company's revenue model includes selling high-performance and specialty carbon blacks to various industries such as automotive, construction, and electronics. Key revenue streams include the tire industry, which accounts for a significant portion of sales, as well as coatings, inks, and plastics industries. Additionally, OEC engages in strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with major industrial clients, further contributing to its earnings. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and improve product offerings, which helps maintain its competitive edge in the market.

Orion Engineered Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.36%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted significant challenges, including unplanned plant outages and cost issues impacting the rubber segment, alongside cautious specialty demand. These challenges were somewhat offset by sequential improvements in plant operations, progress in China, and cost reduction measures. However, the lowlights weigh heavily, indicating significant operational hurdles.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Sequential Plant Operations
Orion reported improved sequential plant operations, which is expected to contribute favorably moving forward.
Specialty Segment Volume Growth
Specialty segment volumes improved by 3% sequentially, although they declined 2% year-over-year.
China Operational Improvements
Orion made good progress in resolving operational challenges at the new facility in China, expecting a positive EBITDA contribution swing.
Cost Reduction and Efficiency Measures
Headcount reduction measures completed in Q1 are expected to save $5 million to $6 million annually, with additional savings anticipated.
Free Cash Flow Guidance Reaffirmed
Despite lower EBITDA guidance, Orion reaffirmed its full-year free cash flow expectations.
Negative Updates
Unplanned Plant Outages
Multiple unplanned plant outages impacted productivity and absorption levels, masking at least $10 million of greater earnings power in Q1.
Rubber Segment Challenges
Rubber demand was off to a slow start, with volumes improving only 2% year-over-year, affected by elevated tire imports.
Downtime and Cost Issues
Unplanned downtime and related effects had a $13 million impact, primarily affecting the rubber segment.
Inventory Revaluation Impact
A negative inventory adjustment is expected in Q2 due to lower oil prices, impacting financial results.
Choppy Specialty Demand
Demand in the specialty segment was characterized as choppy, with cautiousness observed in certain downstream value chains.
Company Guidance
During the Orion First Quarter 2025 Earnings Results Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the year. The first quarter was challenging, with several unplanned plant outages impacting productivity and costs, masking $10 million of greater earnings potential. This resulted in an underlying earnings power of approximately $70 million for EBITDA. Despite these issues, Orion reaffirmed its free cash flow guidance for 2025, targeting an improvement of $100 million compared to 2024, with a forecasted range of $40 million to $70 million. The company reduced its 2025 capital expenditure expectations by $10 million, down to $150 million, and plans to focus on building cash and reducing debt. Orion expects benefits from tariffs on imported tires to materialize in the second half of 2025, potentially improving demand for local tire manufacturing. Additionally, the company highlighted improved operations in its South American and Asian regions, although challenges persist due to elevated tire imports impacting Western markets.

Orion Engineered Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite declining revenue and profitability metrics, Orion Engineered maintains a solid balance sheet with improved cash flow. The company shows resilience with a stable asset base and strong cash generation, but faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Orion Engineered's income statement reflects a challenging period with declining revenue, as seen in the TTM figures compared to the previous year. Despite a decrease in total revenue, the company maintains a respectable gross profit margin of 21.84% in TTM. However, the net profit margin has dropped to 1.44% due to decreased net income, indicating pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, suggesting operational challenges. Revenue growth has been negative recently, highlighting a potential area of concern.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of Orion Engineered reveals a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.09, indicating significant leverage but manageable given the industry standards. The equity ratio stands at 23.69%, showing a stable asset base supported by equity. However, the return on equity (ROE) has decreased to 5.71% in TTM, reflecting reduced shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Orion Engineered's cash flow statement shows a positive trend in free cash flow, improving from negative figures previously. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 3.51, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.99, reflecting that most of the net income is being converted into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.85B1.88B1.89B2.03B1.55B1.14B
Gross Profit404.70M428.80M451.00M448.80M386.60M292.35M
EBITDA170.40M225.90M327.20M302.80M244.90M149.89M
Net Income26.60M44.20M103.50M106.20M134.70M18.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.97B1.86B1.83B1.89B1.63B1.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.50M44.20M37.50M60.80M65.70M68.50M
Total Debt972.50M1.03B927.20M915.30M782.90M738.44M
Total Liabilities1.50B1.38B1.35B1.43B1.31B1.21B
Stockholders Equity466.10M474.90M478.50M459.40M319.70M181.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.30M-81.40M173.10M-151.80M-69.50M-19.66M
Operating Cash Flow93.40M125.30M345.90M81.00M145.20M125.28M
Investing Cash Flow-202.45M-206.70M-172.80M-232.80M-214.70M-144.94M
Financing Cash Flow104.01M89.30M-197.10M149.30M73.30M13.54M

Orion Engineered Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price11.25
Price Trends
50DMA
11.13
Positive
100DMA
12.15
Negative
200DMA
14.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
55.93
Neutral
STOCH
88.58
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OEC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.86, above the 50-day MA of 11.13, and below the 200-day MA of 14.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.58 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for OEC.

Orion Engineered Risk Analysis

Orion Engineered disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orion Engineered reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Orion Engineered Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ODODC
82
Outperform
$818.72M17.5120.93%1.03%9.92%17.12%
KRKRO
67
Neutral
$752.34M7.8211.87%3.06%10.42%
SCSCL
67
Neutral
$1.34B24.164.65%2.62%-0.16%47.70%
67
Neutral
$986.16M17.67-1.64%2.23%-115.70%
OEOEC
65
Neutral
$633.03M24.685.55%0.74%-2.31%-69.16%
62
Neutral
$10.29B9.96-0.15%2.86%2.14%-32.15%
CCCC
56
Neutral
$1.94B62.834.66%2.71%-0.68%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OEC
Orion Engineered
11.25
-9.96
-46.96%
KRO
Kronos Worldwide
6.54
-5.91
-47.47%
ODC
Oil-Dri Of America
60.33
30.31
100.97%
SCL
Stepan Company
59.25
-22.15
-27.21%
CC
Chemours Company
12.93
-8.27
-39.01%
ECVT
Ecovyst
8.40
-0.69
-7.59%

Orion Engineered Corporate Events

Dividends
Orion Engineered Declares Interim Dividend Announcement
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Orion S.A. announced the declaration of an interim dividend of $0.0207 per common share, totaling approximately $1.2 million, to be paid on October 8, 2025. This move reflects Orion’s continued commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may enhance its market positioning as a reliable investment, while stakeholders should note the 15% Luxembourg withholding tax applicable to the dividend.

The most recent analyst rating on (OEC) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orion Engineered stock, see the OEC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Orion Engineered Approves Key Decisions at AGM
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Orion S.A. held its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, where all proposed matters were approved. Key decisions included the election of several directors for terms ending in 2025, the approval of board and executive compensation, and the ratification of financial statements for 2024. Additionally, Ernst & Young was appointed as the independent auditor, and the board was authorized to purchase company shares for five years.

The most recent analyst rating on (OEC) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orion Engineered stock, see the OEC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025