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Orion Engineered (OEC)
NYSE:OEC
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Orion Engineered (OEC) AI Stock Analysis

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OEC

Orion Engineered

(NYSE:OEC)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(4.37% Upside)
Orion Engineered's overall stock score reflects a cautious financial position with strong cash flow management but high leverage. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and the valuation suggests potential overvaluation. The earnings call and corporate events provide some positive signals, but uncertainties remain due to demand headwinds and tariff impacts.
Positive Factors
Capital Allocation
The CEO noted that Orion is positioned to achieve higher earnings levels without additional growth capital and views opportunistic share repurchases as an attractive allocation of capital.
Financial Performance
Orion is expected to have a free cash flow yield of approximately 15.5% due to sharply lower anticipated capital expenditures following the completion of an expansion project.
Market Position
Orion is a leading producer of carbon black, with a strong market position and over 900,000 tons in annual volume and 9% market share.
Negative Factors
Earnings Outlook
The price target for Orion was decreased from $18 to $12, reflecting a more cautious outlook.
Investment Outlook
The investment rating on Orion was lowered from Overweight to Neutral due to economic uncertainties creating valuation risk.
Valuation
The valuation gap between Orion and its peer Cabot is now considered to be within a reasonable range, limiting the opportunity for Orion’s trading multiples to expand.

Orion Engineered (OEC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orion Engineered Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrion Engineered Carbons (OEC) is a leading global supplier of carbon black, a critical component used in a variety of applications including tires, coatings, plastics, and other rubber products. With a commitment to sustainability and innovation, OEC operates manufacturing facilities across the globe and offers a comprehensive portfolio of high-performance carbon blacks, specialized formulations, and technical services to meet diverse customer needs in the automotive, industrial, and consumer markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrion Engineered Carbons generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of carbon black products. The company operates on a B2B model, supplying its products to manufacturers in various industries, including automotive, coatings, and plastics. Key revenue streams include the sale of standard and specialty carbon blacks, which are utilized in tire manufacturing and other rubber applications, as well as in coatings and plastics for enhanced performance. Additionally, OEC benefits from long-term contracts with major customers, which provide stability and predictable income. The company also invests in research and development to create innovative products and improve production efficiencies, further enhancing its revenue potential. Strategic partnerships with leading companies in the automotive and industrial sectors play a significant role in expanding OEC's market reach and driving sales growth.

Orion Engineered Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.04%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed outlook for Orion S.A. with both positive and negative aspects. While the company achieved expected EBITDA performance and made progress in operational initiatives, it faces significant demand headwinds and challenges in its specialty segment. The shift in capital allocation and self-help initiatives are positive steps for long-term improvement, but current market conditions remain challenging.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Orion generated $69 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q2, which was in line with expectations despite demand headwinds.
Volume Growth
Overall, volumes were up 3% year-over-year in the quarter, driven by improved manufacturing performance and operational excellence initiatives.
Specialty Product Resilience
Some profitable specialty product lines exhibited resilience, and progress was made with new customer qualifications in higher-growth segments like lithium-ion batteries and energy storage systems.
Capital Allocation Shift
Company shifted capital allocation priorities towards debt reduction over share repurchases, indicating a focus on strengthening the balance sheet.
Self-help Initiatives
Operational excellence programs and production rationalization are being implemented to bolster performance, including the shutdown of 3 to 5 production lines representing less than 5% of global capacity.
Negative Updates
Demand Headwinds
Both rubber and specialty segments experienced demand headwinds, with rubber affected by a surge of tire imports into the U.S. and specialty facing softer demand due to macroeconomic uncertainties.
Sequential Volume Decline
Volumes declined more than 4.5% sequentially, despite year-over-year growth.
Specialty Segment Challenges
Specialty volumes were down 8% year-over-year and 6% sequentially, impacted by macroeconomic uncertainties and tariff-related hesitancy.
Adverse Inventory Revaluation
Gross profit per ton in the Specialty segment was negatively affected by inventory revaluation due to lower average oil prices.
Elevated Tire Imports
Elevated tire imports continue to weigh on U.S. tire production and Orion's rubber segment demand.
Company Guidance
During the Orion S.A. Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance that reflected several key metrics and strategic directions. Orion reported an adjusted EBITDA of $69 million for Q2, which was in line with expectations despite experiencing demand headwinds. Overall volumes increased by 3% year-over-year but declined by more than 4.5% sequentially. The company highlighted improved manufacturing performance as a driver of earnings, with efforts to optimize operational excellence and reduce unplanned downtime. Orion also narrowed its adjusted EBITDA guidance by reducing the high end of the prior range, maintaining free cash flow expectations of $40 million to $70 million, with a midpoint of $55 million. The company emphasized a shift in capital allocation priorities towards debt reduction over share repurchases, aiming to improve its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio, which stood at 3.55 at the end of the quarter. Orion is also focusing on long-term growth in its Specialty segment, with an emphasis on high-growth conductive grades for lithium-ion batteries and other applications. Additionally, the company announced plans to rationalize production by shuttering 3 to 5 production lines, representing less than 5% of global capacity, to improve cash flow and operational efficiency.

Orion Engineered Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orion Engineered shows a mixed financial performance. While cash flow management is strong, with a significant free cash flow growth rate and a high operating cash flow to net income ratio, the company faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability margins. High leverage is a concern, but cash generation capabilities provide some cushion.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Orion Engineered shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin for TTM is approximately 21.85%, indicating a reasonable level of efficiency in production. However, the net profit margin is only 1.44%, reflecting challenges in controlling costs or pricing strategies. Revenue has decreased slightly over the past year, with a negative growth rate of -1.34% from 2024 to TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are 4.45% and 9.20% respectively, showing a decline in operational profitability compared to previous years.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.09, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. The return on equity (ROE) is 5.71% for TTM, suggesting moderate efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is 23.68%, showing a relatively low proportion of equity financing compared to total assets, which may affect financial stability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trajectory with a free cash flow growth rate of 132.34% from 2024 to TTM, reflecting improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.51, indicating strong cash flow relative to net income, which is a positive sign of cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.99, suggesting that the company is effectively converting its net income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.85B1.88B1.89B2.03B1.55B1.14B
Gross Profit404.70M428.80M451.00M448.80M386.60M292.35M
EBITDA170.40M225.90M327.20M302.80M244.90M149.89M
Net Income26.60M44.20M103.50M106.20M134.70M18.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.97B1.86B1.83B1.89B1.63B1.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.50M44.20M37.50M60.80M65.70M68.50M
Total Debt972.50M1.03B927.20M915.30M782.90M738.44M
Total Liabilities1.50B1.38B1.35B1.43B1.31B1.21B
Stockholders Equity466.10M474.90M478.50M459.40M319.70M181.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.30M-81.40M173.10M-151.80M-69.50M-19.66M
Operating Cash Flow93.40M125.30M345.90M81.00M145.20M125.28M
Investing Cash Flow-202.45M-206.70M-172.80M-232.80M-214.70M-144.94M
Financing Cash Flow104.01M89.30M-197.10M149.30M73.30M13.54M

Orion Engineered Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.06
Price Trends
50DMA
10.68
Negative
100DMA
11.13
Negative
200DMA
13.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Negative
RSI
46.49
Neutral
STOCH
57.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OEC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.40, below the 50-day MA of 10.68, and below the 200-day MA of 13.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OEC.

Orion Engineered Risk Analysis

Orion Engineered disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orion Engineered reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Orion Engineered Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$806.78M17.2520.93%1.11%9.92%17.12%
65
Neutral
$1.12B19.484.77%3.14%2.64%66.43%
61
Neutral
$564.87M37.363.11%0.82%-3.79%-79.76%
60
Neutral
$1.02B17.67-1.97%4.93%-124.60%
54
Neutral
$691.47M10.248.33%3.22%6.51%3457.58%
51
Neutral
$2.19B59.33-87.50%4.52%2.48%-459.90%
44
Neutral
C$927.89M-8.64-0.02%2.70%23.29%-43.30%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OEC
Orion Engineered
10.29
-6.75
-39.61%
KRO
Kronos Worldwide
6.21
-4.81
-43.65%
ODC
Oil-Dri Of America
58.26
26.18
81.61%
SCL
Stepan Company
49.54
-24.00
-32.64%
CC
Chemours Company
15.03
-2.41
-13.82%
ECVT
Ecovyst
8.73
1.91
28.01%

Orion Engineered Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Orion Engineered Announces CFO Jeff Glajch’s Retirement
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Orion S.A. announced the upcoming retirement of its Chief Financial Officer, Jeff Glajch, effective early in the fourth quarter of 2025. Glajch’s retirement is not due to any disagreements with the company, and he will assist in the transition until the end of the year. Orion’s CEO, Corning Painter, expressed gratitude for Glajch’s contributions, noting that his leadership has strengthened the company’s finance and IT teams, positioning Orion for future growth. A comprehensive search for Glajch’s successor will be initiated.

The most recent analyst rating on (OEC) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orion Engineered stock, see the OEC Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Orion Engineered Declares Interim Dividend Announcement
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Orion S.A. announced the declaration of an interim dividend of $0.0207 per common share, totaling approximately $1.2 million, to be paid on October 8, 2025. This move reflects Orion’s continued commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may enhance its market positioning as a reliable investment, while stakeholders should note the 15% Luxembourg withholding tax applicable to the dividend.

The most recent analyst rating on (OEC) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orion Engineered stock, see the OEC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Orion Engineered Approves Key Decisions at AGM
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Orion S.A. held its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, where all proposed matters were approved. Key decisions included the election of several directors for terms ending in 2025, the approval of board and executive compensation, and the ratification of financial statements for 2024. Additionally, Ernst & Young was appointed as the independent auditor, and the board was authorized to purchase company shares for five years.

The most recent analyst rating on (OEC) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orion Engineered stock, see the OEC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 16, 2025