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SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR (HDL)
NASDAQ:HDL
US Market
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SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR (HDL) AI Stock Analysis

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HDL

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR

(NASDAQ:HDL)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▼(-16.29% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/16/26
The score is anchored by improving fundamentals (growth and sustained profitability with solid operating cash flow) and a constructive but cautious 2026 optimization outlook. This is tempered by 2025 margin/FCF pressure, bearish technical trend signals, and a relatively high P/E without a stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Multi-year Revenue Growth
Sustained top-line expansion over several years demonstrates scale gains and growing brand traction overseas. Larger revenue base improves fixed-cost absorption and supports investments in digital, membership and new formats, strengthening long-term unit economics if margins stabilize.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
Elevated input and labor cost ratios are structurally pressuring gross and operating margins. Continued investment in customer/employee benefits and higher outsourcing/delivery costs can erode unit economics unless optimization materially improves, posing a durable drag on free cash flow expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi-year Revenue Growth
Sustained top-line expansion over several years demonstrates scale gains and growing brand traction overseas. Larger revenue base improves fixed-cost absorption and supports investments in digital, membership and new formats, strengthening long-term unit economics if margins stabilize.
Read all positive factors

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR (HDL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, operates Haidilao-branded Chinese cuisine restaurants in Asia, North America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally. The company is involved in the food delivery business. It also ...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by operating hot pot restaurants, earning revenue from customer spending on food and beverages sold in its dine-in locations. Its revenue model is driven by restaurant-level sales volume (guest traffic), average s...

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 31, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a cautiously optimistic outlook: the company delivered solid top-line growth (Q4 +10.2% YoY; FY +8.0% YoY), accelerated takeout and other-business growth, expanded membership and international footprint, and showed operating margin recovery in H2. However, profitability was pressured in 2025 by deliberate investments in customer/employee benefits, higher raw-material and operating costs, exchange losses, and localized store underperformance/ramp-up needs. Management emphasized a shift in 2026 from broad investment to more precise efficiency and optimization measures while continuing selective expansion and incubation of second brands.
Positive Updates
Quarterly and Annual Revenue Growth
Q4 2025 total revenue of USD 230.0M, up 10.2% YoY and +7.5% QoQ; full-year 2025 revenue of USD 840.8M (USD 841M reported), up 8.0% YoY.
Negative Updates
Margin Pressure from Cost and Investment Strategy
Full-year raw material cost rose to 33.6% of revenue (+0.5 percentage points YoY); employee costs increased to 33.9% of revenue (+0.6 pp YoY). Full-year operating profit margin was 4.4% and overall gross margin and operating margin compressed due to active investments in customer/employee benefits.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Quarterly and Annual Revenue Growth
Q4 2025 total revenue of USD 230.0M, up 10.2% YoY and +7.5% QoQ; full-year 2025 revenue of USD 840.8M (USD 841M reported), up 8.0% YoY.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that 2026 will shift from broad investment to more precise optimization while maintaining customer and employee benefits and a prudent, bottom‑up store expansion approach (no specific opening target); they expect raw‑material ratio to stay roughly stable after 2025’s 33.6% of revenue, employee costs (33.9% in 2025; Q4 32.2%) to gradually leverage off revenue, and delivery fees to rise with scale, with no preset profit‑margin target but a focus on improving expense ratios versus 2025. As context, they reported full‑year 2025 revenue of USD 840.8M (+8% YoY) and Q4 revenue of USD 230M (+10.2% YoY, +7.5% QoQ), Haidilao restaurant revenue of USD 790M (≈94% of total, +5.7% YoY), takeout USD 19M (+68.1% YoY; Q4 takeout USD 6.8M, +94.3% YoY), other business USD 31.8M (+61.4% YoY), full‑year operating profit USD 37.4M (margin 4.4%), Q4 operating profit USD 12.98M (margin 5.7%), full‑year net profit USD 36.3M (Q4 after‑tax USD 4.47M), capital reserve USD 270M, 32.0M diners in 2025 (Q4 8.31M, +3.9% YoY), full‑year table turnover 3.9 turns/day (same‑store 4.0; Q4 4.0, +0.1 YoY), >8.5M overseas members, and a store fleet of 126 overseas outlets after opening 13 and closing 9 in 2025; the Pomegranate Plan and digital/AI investments will continue at a steady, measured pace to improve replication and unit economics.

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and a shift from losses to sustained profitability (2023–2025) supported by solid operating cash flow. Offsetting this, 2025 showed margin compression (lower gross/operating margins) and free cash flow declined year over year, with prior-period balance-sheet stress reducing through-cycle confidence.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue805.43M841.62M779.63M687.53M560.63M312.37M
Gross Profit233.93M190.13M235.04M203.87M156.09M43.39M
EBITDA107.97M124.40M99.97M79.37M45.45M-43.12M
Net Income54.74M36.47M21.80M25.65M-41.25M-150.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets702.44M745.88M684.42M576.88M576.11M626.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments258.47M274.78M254.72M152.91M93.89M129.46M
Total Debt215.24M228.80M212.63M202.94M242.30M728.32M
Total Liabilities327.53M354.24M322.76M304.76M334.07M813.91M
Stockholders Equity373.36M390.10M360.03M270.09M239.81M-187.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow73.22M61.36M84.95M81.07M3.40M-72.36M
Operating Cash Flow91.39M114.65M119.70M114.05M63.90M-4.92M
Investing Cash Flow9.05M-177.31M-27.62M-11.78M888.00K-87.66M
Financing Cash Flow-35.08M-51.03M12.58M-43.79M-65.87M108.50M

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.92
Price Trends
50DMA
15.92
Negative
100DMA
16.37
Negative
200DMA
17.59
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.33
Negative
RSI
43.69
Neutral
STOCH
44.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HDL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.76, above the 50-day MA of 15.92, and above the 200-day MA of 17.59, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HDL.

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Risk Analysis

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$1.82B7.2932.50%3.27%4.66%42.60%
58
Neutral
$814.72M26.745.57%8.21%77.60%
57
Neutral
$1.29B9.79140.58%8.15%-3.10%-10.24%
54
Neutral
$447.46M16.544.32%3.03%-40.23%
48
Neutral
$1.15B42.31-6.99%4.72%-0.27%-64.64%
45
Neutral
$693.78M131.25-0.90%3.54%-4.13%-111.07%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HDL
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR
13.31
-8.06
-37.72%
ARCO
Arcos Dorados Holdings
8.66
1.26
17.09%
CBRL
Cracker Barrel
31.04
-10.59
-25.44%
PZZA
Papa John's International
35.03
2.05
6.20%
WEN
Wendy's
6.76
-5.00
-42.53%
PTLO
Portillo's
5.92
-4.42
-42.75%

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Corporate Events

Super Hi Confirms Stable Share Capital and Public Float for February 2026
Mar 5, 2026
Super Hi International Holding Ltd., a Singapore-based foreign private issuer listed in Hong Kong under stock code 09658, maintains an authorised share capital of 10 billion ordinary shares with a par value of USD 0.000005, equivalent to total aut...
SUPER HI International Reports No Share Capital Changes for January 2026
Feb 5, 2026
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD., a foreign private issuer listed in Hong Kong under stock code 09658 and in the United States via sponsored ADRs, reported no changes to its authorised or issued ordinary share capital for the month ended 31 Jan...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 16, 2026