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SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR (HDL)
NASDAQ:HDL
US Market
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SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR (HDL) AI Stock Analysis

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HDL

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR

(NASDAQ:HDL)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▼(-21.88% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/20/26
The score is driven by improved underlying financial performance and a constructive earnings update (growth, margin expansion, stronger operating cash flow). This is balanced by weak technicals (downtrend across key moving averages with negative MACD) and a relatively expensive valuation (P/E ~40 with no dividend yield provided), keeping the overall rating moderate.
Positive Factors
Customer Loyalty & Membership
A large, highly engaged membership base drives repeat visits and predictable demand. With >92% of table turns from members and strong repurchase metrics, the company gains durable revenue visibility and lower marketing costs per sale, supporting long-term unit economics and expansion planning.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
A sustained drop in gross margin materially weakens profitability leverage from additional sales. If cost pressures or a lower‑margin sales mix persist, margin compression can erode returns on new stores, slow free cash flow growth, and limit the company's ability to scale profitably over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Customer Loyalty & Membership
A large, highly engaged membership base drives repeat visits and predictable demand. With >92% of table turns from members and strong repurchase metrics, the company gains durable revenue visibility and lower marketing costs per sale, supporting long-term unit economics and expansion planning.
Read all positive factors

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR (HDL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, operates Haidilao-branded Chinese cuisine restaurants in Asia, North America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally. The company is involved in the food delivery business. It also ...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by operating hot pot restaurants, earning revenue from customer spending on food and beverages sold in its dine-in locations. Its revenue model is driven by restaurant-level sales volume (guest traffic), average s...

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 20, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a predominantly positive operational and financial trajectory: healthy revenue growth (total revenue +14.2%), improved same-store sales (+4%), strong growth in delivery and other businesses (+82.5% and +166.7% respectively), operating margin expansion and higher operating cash flow. These operational improvements outweigh the main negatives — an FX-driven hit to reported net profit, a modest reduction in cash reserves due to investment, regional softness in North America and geopolitical impact in certain regions, and lower-margin central kitchen sales. Management emphasized disciplined expansion, membership growth and product/operational initiatives to sustain momentum.
Positive Updates
Total Revenue Growth
Total revenue of RMB 226 million in Q1 2026, up 14.2% year-over-year, driven by restaurant operations and strong contribution from new businesses.
Negative Updates
Net Profit Impacted by Foreign Exchange
Significant swing in non-operating FX: a net foreign exchange loss of ~HKD 4.292 million this quarter versus a HKD 7.435 million gain last year (an HKD ~11.73 million adverse difference), which materially reduced reported net profit despite operational improvement.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Total Revenue Growth
Total revenue of RMB 226 million in Q1 2026, up 14.2% year-over-year, driven by restaurant operations and strong contribution from new businesses.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated a “quality first, growth second” guidance: pursue balanced, high‑quality expansion (pipeline in the double digits) while improving five HQ areas (customer experience, restaurants/network, operations, new businesses and HQ capabilities) and continuing Red Pomegranate incubation (10 brands, 18 stores). Key metrics cited as context for that guidance included Q1 total revenue RMB 226M (+14.2% YoY) with Haidilao restaurant revenue RMB 204M (90.4% of total, +8.4%), same‑store sales +4%, total customer traffic >8.1M (+3.8%), table turns 4/day (+0.1), average daily revenue per restaurant RMB 18.4 (+3.4%), average check ~RMB 25.3 (up ~1.1%), delivery revenue RMB 7.3M (3.2% of revenue, +82.5%), other businesses RMB 14.4M (6.4% of revenue, +166.7%), gross margin 66.1% (raw materials RMB 76M), employee costs RMB 76.6M (34% of revenue, -1.3 ppt), depreciation/amortization RMB 20.658M (9.2% of revenue), operating profit roughly HKD 14M with operating margin 6.2% (from 4.1%), operating cash flow HKD 24.24M (+23.1%) and cash HKD 240M (vs. HKD 270M at end‑2025). Management also emphasized membership growth and monetization (9.05M members, >92% of table turns from members, ~92.5% member repurchase metric, >20% of spend from new members, ~1/3 from recent repeaters), tighter site selection, prudent regional cost controls (e.g., Middle East), and continued labor‑efficiency initiatives while protecting service levels.

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and a clear shift from losses to sustained profitability (2023–2025) supported by solid operating cash flow. Offsetting factors include 2025 margin pressure (notably lower gross margin), a year-over-year decline in free cash flow, and a history of earlier balance-sheet stress despite today’s more moderate leverage.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue805.43M841.62M779.63M687.53M560.63M312.37M
Gross Profit233.93M190.13M235.04M203.87M156.09M43.39M
EBITDA107.97M124.40M99.97M79.37M45.45M-43.12M
Net Income54.74M36.47M21.80M25.65M-41.25M-150.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets702.44M745.88M684.42M576.88M576.11M626.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments258.47M274.78M254.72M152.91M93.89M129.46M
Total Debt215.24M228.80M212.63M202.94M242.30M728.32M
Total Liabilities327.53M354.24M322.76M304.76M334.07M813.91M
Stockholders Equity373.36M390.10M360.03M270.09M239.81M-187.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow99.81M61.36M84.95M81.07M3.40M-72.36M
Operating Cash Flow117.99M114.65M119.70M114.05M63.90M-4.92M
Investing Cash Flow46.57M-177.31M-27.62M-11.78M888.00K-87.66M
Financing Cash Flow-46.79M-51.03M12.58M-43.79M-65.87M108.50M

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.92
Price Trends
50DMA
14.46
Negative
100DMA
15.53
Negative
200DMA
16.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Negative
RSI
46.04
Neutral
STOCH
29.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HDL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.80, above the 50-day MA of 14.46, and above the 200-day MA of 16.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HDL.

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Risk Analysis

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$1.48B7.07150.73%8.15%-1.84%-17.48%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$791.51M40.075.57%10.42%-17.86%
60
Neutral
$1.91B12.0232.65%3.27%7.89%74.64%
50
Neutral
$1.06B17.53-8.28%4.72%-2.41%-64.77%
48
Neutral
$295.64M-235.323.37%2.37%-49.32%
45
Neutral
$670.08M131.25-0.90%3.54%-4.13%-111.07%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HDL
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR
13.73
-6.12
-30.83%
ARCO
Arcos Dorados Holdings
9.15
2.03
28.58%
CBRL
Cracker Barrel
31.79
-23.48
-42.49%
PZZA
Papa John's International
32.75
-7.53
-18.70%
WEN
Wendy's
7.62
-3.15
-29.22%
PTLO
Portillo's
4.10
-7.33
-64.13%

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Corporate Events

Super Hi International Reports No Share Capital Changes in April 2026 Filing
May 6, 2026
Super Hi International Holding Ltd. filed its May 2026 Form 6-K on 6 May 2026, reporting its monthly return on securities movements for the period ended 30 April 2026 to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The company disclosed that its authorised share...
Super Hi Confirms Stable Share Capital and Public Float for February 2026
Mar 5, 2026
Super Hi International Holding Ltd., a Singapore-based foreign private issuer listed in Hong Kong under stock code 09658, maintains an authorised share capital of 10 billion ordinary shares with a par value of USD 0.000005, equivalent to total aut...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 20, 2026