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SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR
(NASDAQ:HDL)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▼(-27.46% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/13/26
HDL scores as moderately attractive, led by improving fundamentals (scale-up, return to profitability, and solid cash generation) and a generally positive earnings update with margin and cash-flow improvement. The score is held back by weak technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a valuation that is not especially cheap at ~25x earnings, alongside recent margin compression and region-specific operating risks.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent, growing operating cash flow and a strong free-cash-flow rebound (TTM FCF ~74% of net income) provide durable internal funding for measured expansion, capex and brand incubation. This reduces reliance on external financing and supports resilience through cyclical restaurant demand swings.
Negative Factors
Thin, compressed margins
Low and declining net and operating margins reduce the firm's buffer against cost inflation, FX swings or weaker same-store sales. With tight profitability, small adverse shocks can meaningfully impair cash flow and limit reinvestment or margin-restoring initiatives without structural cost or pricing changes.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent, growing operating cash flow and a strong free-cash-flow rebound (TTM FCF ~74% of net income) provide durable internal funding for measured expansion, capex and brand incubation. This reduces reliance on external financing and supports resilience through cyclical restaurant demand swings.
Read all positive factors
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR (HDL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$761.10M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.39K
Price to Earnings (P/E)26.6
Beta (1Y)0.58
Revenue Growth10.42%
EPS Growth-17.86%
CountryUS
Employees14,003
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.48
Shares Outstanding58,836,600
10 Day Avg. Volume1,275
30 Day Avg. Volume1,390
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.02
Price to Book (P/B)2.50
Price to Sales (P/S)1.16
P/FCF Ratio15.89
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.69
Revenue Forecast (FY)$927.33M
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Super Hi International Holding Ltd., functioning as an investment holding entity, manages and operates a global chain of Haidilao-branded Chinese hot pot restaurants. Its culinary reach extends across various regions, including Asia, North America...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by operating hot pot restaurants, earning revenue from customer spending on food and beverages sold in its dine-in locations. Its revenue model is driven by restaurant-level sales volume (guest traffic), average s...
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 20, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a predominantly positive operational and financial trajectory: healthy revenue growth (total revenue +14.2%), improved same-store sales (+4%), strong growth in delivery and other businesses (+82.5% and +166.7% respectively), operating margin expansion and higher operating cash flow. These operational improvements outweigh the main negatives — an FX-driven hit to reported net profit, a modest reduction in cash reserves due to investment, regional softness in North America and geopolitical impact in certain regions, and lower-margin central kitchen sales. Management emphasized disciplined expansion, membership growth and product/operational initiatives to sustain momentum.Positive Updates
Total Revenue Growth
Total revenue of RMB 226 million in Q1 2026, up 14.2% year-over-year, driven by restaurant operations and strong contribution from new businesses.
Negative Updates
Net Profit Impacted by Foreign Exchange
Significant swing in non-operating FX: a net foreign exchange loss of ~HKD 4.292 million this quarter versus a HKD 7.435 million gain last year (an HKD ~11.73 million adverse difference), which materially reduced reported net profit despite operational improvement.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Total Revenue Growth
Total revenue of RMB 226 million in Q1 2026, up 14.2% year-over-year, driven by restaurant operations and strong contribution from new businesses.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated a “quality first, growth second” guidance: pursue balanced, high‑quality expansion (pipeline in the double digits) while improving five HQ areas (customer experience, restaurants/network, operations, new businesses and HQ capabilities) and continuing Red Pomegranate incubation (10 brands, 18 stores). Key metrics cited as context for that guidance included Q1 total revenue RMB 226M (+14.2% YoY) with Haidilao restaurant revenue RMB 204M (90.4% of total, +8.4%), same‑store sales +4%, total customer traffic >8.1M (+3.8%), table turns 4/day (+0.1), average daily revenue per restaurant RMB 18.4 (+3.4%), average check ~RMB 25.3 (up ~1.1%), delivery revenue RMB 7.3M (3.2% of revenue, +82.5%), other businesses RMB 14.4M (6.4% of revenue, +166.7%), gross margin 66.1% (raw materials RMB 76M), employee costs RMB 76.6M (34% of revenue, -1.3 ppt), depreciation/amortization RMB 20.658M (9.2% of revenue), operating profit roughly HKD 14M with operating margin 6.2% (from 4.1%), operating cash flow HKD 24.24M (+23.1%) and cash HKD 240M (vs. HKD 270M at end‑2025). Management also emphasized membership growth and monetization (9.05M members, >92% of table turns from members, ~92.5% member repurchase metric, >20% of spend from new members, ~1/3 from recent repeaters), tighter site selection, prudent regional cost controls (e.g., Middle East), and continued labor‑efficiency initiatives while protecting service levels.SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
76
Positive
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 841.62M | 779.63M | 687.53M | 560.63M | 312.37M |
| Gross Profit | 190.13M | 235.04M | 203.87M | 156.09M | 43.39M |
| EBITDA | 143.75M | 99.97M | 79.37M | 45.45M | -43.12M |
| Net Income | 36.47M | 21.80M | 25.65M | -41.25M | -150.75M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 745.88M | 684.42M | 576.88M | 576.11M | 626.73M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 271.99M | 254.72M | 152.91M | 93.89M | 129.46M |
| Total Debt | 228.80M | 212.63M | 202.94M | 242.30M | 728.32M |
| Total Liabilities | 354.24M | 322.76M | 304.76M | 334.07M | 813.91M |
| Stockholders Equity | 390.10M | 360.03M | 270.09M | 239.81M | -187.18M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 61.36M | 84.95M | 81.07M | 3.40M | -72.36M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 114.65M | 119.70M | 114.05M | 63.90M | -4.92M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -177.31M | -27.62M | -11.78M | 888.00K | -87.66M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -51.03M | 12.58M | -43.79M | -65.87M | 108.50M |
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Technical Analysis
Neutral
17.92
Price Trends
13.11
Negative
14.19
Negative
15.71
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.18
Negative
52.53
Neutral
89.44
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HDL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.38, above the 50-day MA of 13.11, and above the 200-day MA of 15.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.44 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HDL.
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Risk Analysis
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | $1.71B | 7.38 | 32.65% | 3.27% | 7.89% | 74.64% | |
63 Neutral | $761.10M | 26.59 | 5.57% | ― | 10.42% | -17.86% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | $1.41B | 9.55 | 130.59% | 8.15% | -1.84% | -17.48% | |
54 Neutral | $1.19B | 43.83 | 5.89% | 3.54% | -4.92% | -54.90% | |
53 Neutral | $342.64M | 19.95 | 3.37% | ― | 2.37% | -49.32% | |
50 Neutral | $1.09B | 38.24 | -6.47% | 4.72% | -2.41% | -64.77% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
HDL
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR
12.78
-6.04
-32.09%
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SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR Corporate Events
SUPER HI International Keeps Share Capital Stable in June 2026 Filing
Jul 6, 2026
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. is a foreign private issuer listed on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong, trading under stock code 09658 for its ordinary shares. The group maintains an authorised share capital of 10 billion ordinary shares with a...
Super Hi International Reports No Share Capital Changes in May 2026 Monthly Return
Jun 1, 2026
Super Hi International Holding Ltd., a Singapore-based foreign private issuer listed in Hong Kong under stock code 09658, reports on its ordinary share capital used for its Hong Kong listing. The company’s equity securities are authorised up...
Super Hi International Issues Supplemental Circular Ahead of June 2026 Virtual AGM
May 22, 2026
Super Hi International Holding Ltd., the dual-listed Cayman Islands company headquartered in Singapore with ADSs trading on Nasdaq, is convening its 2026 annual general meeting as a virtual event. The AGM is scheduled for June 12, 2026 Hong Kong t...
Super Hi International Reports No Share Capital Changes in April 2026 Filing
May 6, 2026
Super Hi International Holding Ltd. filed its May 2026 Form 6-K on 6 May 2026, reporting its monthly return on securities movements for the period ended 30 April 2026 to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The company disclosed that its authorised share...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.