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Health Catalyst (HCAT)
:HCAT

Health Catalyst (HCAT) AI Stock Analysis

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Health Catalyst

(NASDAQ:HCAT)

63Neutral
Health Catalyst shows potential with revenue growth and a positive earnings outlook. However, profitability challenges, cash flow issues, and a bearish technical outlook weigh on the stock. The successful launch of the Ignite platform and strategic board changes support future growth prospects, but investors should be cautious due to current financial and macroeconomic uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Health Catalyst reported revenue and adjusted EBITDA that exceeded consensus estimates, showing strong financial performance.
Organic Growth
No mergers and acquisitions are expected in the near term, indicating a positive outlook on organic growth prospects with the existing product suite.
Platform Adoption
The new Ignite platform is seeing strong market reception, with management anticipating 20 new clients in the first half of the year.
Negative Factors
Market Concerns
Investors reacted negatively to the 10% dilution associated with the acquisition of Upfront Healthcare, as the deal was financed with a mix of cash and stock.
Operational Challenges
There remains some warning signs with the business, such as delayed bookings and implementations in the non-Ignite business, specifically Life Sciences and Health Information Exchange.
Regulatory Risks
There are incremental risks to the outlook, such as tariffs and potential Medicaid cuts that could impact the client base.

Health Catalyst (HCAT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Health Catalyst Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHealth Catalyst (HCAT) is a leading provider of data and analytics technology and services, primarily catering to the healthcare sector. The company offers a comprehensive suite of software applications designed to help healthcare organizations improve clinical, financial, and operational outcomes. Health Catalyst's core products include a data platform, analytics applications, and professional services that enable data-driven decision-making and enhance performance across healthcare networks.
How the Company Makes MoneyHealth Catalyst generates revenue through a multi-faceted business model that includes software subscriptions, professional services, and data analytics solutions. The company primarily earns income from subscription fees for its cloud-based data platform and analytics applications, which healthcare organizations use to gain actionable insights and improve operational efficiencies. Additionally, Health Catalyst offers professional services, including implementation, training, and consulting services, which provide a significant revenue stream. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with healthcare providers and organizations that further expand its reach and enhance its offerings. By leveraging its robust suite of products and services, Health Catalyst is able to deliver value to its clients while maintaining a stable and growing revenue base.

Health Catalyst Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Health Catalyst is growing its revenue, though it struggles with profitability and efficient cost management. A balanced balance sheet and positive cash flow trends suggest potential for future liquidity improvements, but profitability remains an issue.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Health Catalyst has shown consistent revenue growth over the past years, with a revenue growth rate of 3.6% from 2023 to 2024. However, the company remains unprofitable with negative EBIT and net profit margins, indicating ongoing operational challenges. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable, but substantial net losses indicate that cost management and operational efficiency need improvement.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging debt, but there is room for improvement. The equity ratio is healthy at 42.5%, showing a solid capital structure. However, persistent negative net income affects return on equity, which remains negative.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
There is a significant improvement in operating cash flow, turning positive in 2024, which is a positive sign for future liquidity. Free cash flow also turned positive, indicating improved cash management. However, the company's free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting ongoing challenges in translating revenues into cash profits.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
306.58M295.94M276.24M241.93M188.84M
Gross Profit
140.78M131.83M133.19M117.57M90.77M
EBIT
-69.81M-126.90M-140.00M-143.65M-96.13M
EBITDA
-27.10M-68.28M-82.92M-101.68M-79.47M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-69.50M-118.15M-137.40M-153.21M-115.02M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
392.00M317.73M363.49M444.98M270.87M
Total Assets
858.93M701.81M752.29M832.10M577.74M
Total Debt
402.26M249.07M247.97M204.61M195.28M
Net Debt
152.62M142.79M131.66M11.38M103.33M
Total Liabilities
493.72M334.89M327.28M310.00M301.64M
Stockholders Equity
365.21M366.92M425.01M522.10M276.10M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-1.84M-47.39M-52.68M-41.59M-36.61M
Operating Cash Flow
14.56M-33.08M-35.27M-23.12M-26.15M
Investing Cash Flow
-22.90M20.29M-39.02M-139.68M-82.56M
Financing Cash Flow
151.75M2.73M-2.61M264.08M182.61M

Health Catalyst Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.94
Price Trends
50DMA
4.13
Negative
100DMA
4.93
Negative
200DMA
6.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
45.04
Neutral
STOCH
12.24
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HCAT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.08, below the 50-day MA of 4.13, and below the 200-day MA of 6.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.24 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HCAT.

Health Catalyst Risk Analysis

Health Catalyst disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Health Catalyst reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Health Catalyst Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$271.44M-19.80%4.88%37.87%
52
Neutral
$5.19B3.04-44.20%2.82%16.59%-0.39%
52
Neutral
$252.81M61.902.88%61.09%
52
Neutral
$178.60M-76.01%25.62%11.86%
49
Neutral
$189.62M-21.32%27.07%6.74%
45
Neutral
$353.34M-48.98%-9.95%20.78%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HCAT
Health Catalyst
3.94
-2.91
-42.48%
GLUE
Monte Rosa Therapeutics
4.16
-0.05
-1.19%
CVRX
CVRx
6.99
-1.54
-18.05%
ABSI
AbSci
2.79
-1.82
-39.48%
OABI
OmniAb
1.54
-2.86
-65.00%

Health Catalyst Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.76%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a positive outlook with strong financial performance and successful Ignite platform adoption. However, there were challenges in Professional Services revenue and macroeconomic uncertainties that could affect future performance.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $79.4 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $6.3 million, both above recent guidance. Technology revenue grew by 10% year-over-year.
Successful Ignite Platform Launch
Added 10 net new platform clients in Q1 2025, with significant cross-sell success from existing app clients, indicating a strong start for the Ignite platform.
Improved Client Engagement
Secured new wins, such as with a Midwest Health Information Exchange client and Canopy Cancer Collective, showcasing the growing value of an integrated portfolio.
Partnerships and Market Expansion
Strengthened partnerships with Databricks and Microsoft, with certain Ignite modules now transactable on the Microsoft Azure marketplace.
Positive Client Outcomes
Lifepoint Health reported significant improvements using Ignite, including 650 lives saved and 1,200 fewer blood transfusions.
Negative Updates
Professional Services Revenue Challenges
Professional Services revenue was up only 1% year-over-year. There were implementation delays with Health Information Exchange clients affecting revenue timing.
Macroeconomic Uncertainties
Potential Medicaid and research funding reductions could delay client decisions, impacting revenue and dollar-based retention rate performance.
Tech Segment Gross Margin Pressure
Q1 2025 adjusted Technology gross margin decreased by approximately 120 basis points year-over-year.
Company Guidance
During the call, Health Catalyst provided guidance with several key metrics for the fiscal year 2025, highlighting a strong start with a total revenue of $79.4 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $6.3 million for the first quarter, both exceeding previous guidance. The company aims to achieve full-year total revenue of approximately $335 million, with technology revenue projected at $220 million and adjusted EBITDA expected to reach $41 million. Health Catalyst is targeting around 40 net new platform clients for the year, with 10 already added in the first quarter. The CEO emphasized the strategic shift to the Ignite platform, which boasts a 70% gross margin compared to 60% for the legacy DOS platform. Ignite's flexibility and lower entry price facilitate faster sales cycles, with the company anticipating completing two-thirds of client migrations to Ignite by the end of 2025. Additionally, Health Catalyst expects a dollar-based retention rate of approximately 103% for 2025, reflecting confidence in client retention and expansion strategies.

Health Catalyst Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Health Catalyst Announces Board Changes Amid Strong Growth
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

On February 20, 2025, Anita Pramoda resigned from the Health Catalyst Board, effective March 1, 2025, and the Board approved accelerating the vesting of her RSUs. Her resignation was not due to any conflict with the company. Health Catalyst reported strong financial results for 2024, with a total revenue of $307 million and an Adjusted EBITDA of $26 million, and anticipates further growth in 2025. The company also announced leadership changes, including the appointment of Dr. Jill Hoggard Green to the Board and promotions within the leadership team.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.