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Health Catalyst (HCAT)
NASDAQ:HCAT

Health Catalyst (HCAT) AI Stock Analysis

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HCAT

Health Catalyst

(NASDAQ:HCAT)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-13.79% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/17/26
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (widening losses, softening revenue, and negative free cash flow) and bearish technicals (price far below key moving averages with negative MACD). Earnings-call commentary shows improving adjusted profitability and cost discipline, but near-term revenue pressure, withheld full-year guidance, and sizable migration-driven ARR risk limit confidence; valuation support is also constrained by negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Technology / Recurring Revenue
A growing technology revenue base (7% YoY to $208M) signals durable subscription/recurring dynamics and higher-margin software mix. This supports more predictable revenue streams and scalability versus one-off services, strengthening long-term revenue quality if retention holds.
Margin Expansion and Adjusted Profitability
Substantial adjusted EBITDA growth and material gross margin expansion reflect improving cost discipline and operational leverage from restructuring. Sustained margin gains increase free-cash-flow potential and provide runway to invest in product and migrations while pursuing profitable growth.
Improved Balance Sheet / Liquidity
Material reduction in leverage and a sizable equity base enhance financial resilience, lowering refinancing risk while funding strategic investments. Stronger balance-sheet flexibility supports migration programs and R&D investments without immediate dependence on dilutive financing.
Negative Factors
Weak Revenue Momentum
A sharp slowdown in topline growth erodes the primary growth engine for a SaaS-led business. Persistent revenue weakness limits operating leverage, reduces scale benefits, and undermines the ability to convert structural cost cuts into sustainable profitability over the medium term.
Migration-Related ARR at Risk
Material chunks of contracted ARR face potential downsell or negotiation during DOS-to-Ignite migrations. Loss or re-pricing of recurring ARR harms revenue visibility, increases retention costs, and can reverse progress on margin expansion if migrations require extended professional services.
Negative Free Cash Flow and Inconsistent Cash Generation
Sustained negative free cash flow constrains self-funding capacity and raises reliance on external capital. If losses and FCF do not improve, the company may face limits on investments in product, migrations, or sales capacity, and higher financing costs over the medium term.

Health Catalyst (HCAT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Health Catalyst Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHealth Catalyst, Inc. provides data and analytics technology and services to healthcare organizations. Its offerings include data and analytics platform, a commercial-grade data and analytics platform for the healthcare sector; AI and data science, providing integration of AI into existing business intelligence tools, increasing analytics accuracy; population health management identifies improvement across the care continuum as well as actionable guidance for success and automated workflows; financial transformation providing costing and labor productivity insights and revenue capture; quality and safety improvement using clinical quality and patient safety data, analytics, and expert services; and national data ecosystem for thought leadership and mutual knowledge exchange to transform care delivery through next-gen insights. The company was formerly known as HQC Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Health Catalyst, Inc. in March 2017. Health Catalyst, Inc. was founded in 2008 and is based in South Jordan, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneyHealth Catalyst primarily makes money by selling its software and related services to healthcare organizations. Its revenue model generally consists of (1) recurring software revenue from subscriptions (typically SaaS) for access to its data platform and analytics applications, and (2) services revenue from implementation, integration, advisory, and other professional services that support deployment and ongoing customer initiatives. Software subscription contracts tend to be multi-period and generate recurring revenue over the contract term, while services revenue is recognized as the work is delivered. The company’s earnings are influenced by its ability to (a) land new customers (e.g., health systems) and expand within existing customers by adding additional applications/modules, users, or capabilities, (b) retain customers and renew subscriptions, and (c) manage the mix between higher-margin recurring software revenue and generally lower-margin services work that can be necessary to implement and realize value from the software. Information on specific partnerships or partner revenue contributions: null.

Health Catalyst Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed constructive operational progress — margin expansion, strong adjusted EBITDA growth (59% YoY), 7% technology revenue growth, improved cost discipline, and strategic leadership actions to simplify the commercial story. However, these positives are tempered by material near-term risks: a large $110.2M GAAP impairment, quarterly revenue decline, professional services weakness, and significant DOS-to-Ignite migration headwinds (~$12.5M confirmed churn and ~$52.0M at risk, incl. $35.0M data infrastructure). Management is investing to address migrations and future AI-enabled opportunities but withheld full-year guidance pending strategic review. Overall, the call reflects operational improvement underpinned by meaningful execution risks and financial uncertainty.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue and Technology Growth
Total revenue for FY2025 was $311.1M, representing 1% year-over-year growth. Technology revenue increased 7% year-over-year to $208.3M, indicating strength in the software/technology business despite overall modest topline growth.
Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA for FY2025 was $41.4M, a 59% increase year-over-year. Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $13.8M versus $7.9M in the prior-year quarter. Adjusted gross margin improved (Q4 adjusted gross margin 53.5% vs 46.6% prior-year; FY adjusted gross margin 51.1%) reflecting benefit from restructuring and cost discipline.
Improved Operating Efficiency
Adjusted operating expenses declined to $117.7M for FY2025 (38% of revenue) from $123.4M (40% of revenue) in FY2024. Q4 adjusted operating expenses were $26.2M (35% of revenue) vs $29.2M (37%) prior-year. Sequentially, adjusted operating expenses declined by $2.0M versus Q3 due to restructuring and workforce optimization.
Client Acquisition and Retention Indicators
Closed FY2025 with 32 net new logos (above target of 30, below the original expectation of 40). TAC + TEMS dollar-based retention finished the year at 90%. New logos had average ARR plus non-recurring revenue near the midpoint of the $300K–$700K range.
Balance Sheet Liquidity
Year-end cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments were approximately $96.0M, providing liquidity while term loan debt outstanding was $161.0M.
Strategic and Leadership Actions
New CEO (internal promotion) initiated organizational review, tightened commercial focus, appointed GMs for interoperability and cybersecurity, searched for COO and CMO, and prioritized bookings, retention, AI R&D investments and simplified reporting — indicating focused strategic intent to improve execution and long-term value.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Decline
Q4 2025 total revenue was $74.7M compared to $79.6M in the prior-year period, a decline of approximately 6% year-over-year. Management expects Q1 2026 revenue of $68.0M–$70.0M (sequential decline).
Professional Services Revenue Pressure
Professional services revenue declined 8% year-over-year for FY2025 to $103.8M (implied from totals), with Q4 professional services at $22.8M; company cited reductions in FTE service offerings and exit from unprofitable pilot TEMS arrangements as drivers.
Large GAAP Impairment and Worsened GAAP Loss
The company recorded impairment charges on goodwill and intangible assets of $110.2M during 2025, driving GAAP net loss to $178.0M for 2025 versus a net loss of $69.5M in 2024.
Migration-Related ARR at Risk (DOS to Ignite)
Management disclosed roughly $12.5M of DOS-related ARR already notified as downsell/churn (about 75% expected to impact 2026) and an additional ~$52.0M of DOS-related ARR subject to negotiation across 2026–2027 (of which ~$35.0M is data platform infrastructure ARR). This represents a material potential headwind to retention and revenue.
Near-Term Financial Pressure from Migration and Investments
Q1 revenue is expected to be lower due to: ~ $2.0M TEMS-related reductions, ~$1.5M data platform (DOS to Ignite) pressure, and ~$1.5M decrease in non-recurring revenue. Company is investing in migration personnel, contractors, and R&D (AI and India), which may create near-term margin/cash pressure.
Guidance and Uncertainty
Management did not provide full-year 2026 guidance and limited the public outlook to Q1 2026, citing ongoing strategic and operational review. Uncertainty remains on full-year growth outlook and the ultimate success rate of negotiations to retain DOS-related ARR.
Company Guidance
Health Catalyst provided Q1 2026 guidance for total revenue of $68.0M–$70.0M and adjusted EBITDA of $7.0M–$8.0M (versus Q4 2025 revenue of $74.7M), noting Q1 revenue pressure driven by roughly $2.0M of TEMS-related downselling/exit, ~$1.5M of DOS-to-Ignite data platform migration pressure, and an estimated $1.5M reduction in non‑recurring project revenue; management said they’ve been notified of about $12.5M of DOS‑related ARR downsell/churn (≈75%, or ~$9.4M, expected to hit in 2026) and that an additional ~$52.0M of DOS‑related ARR (including ~$35.0M of data platform infrastructure ARR) may be subject to negotiation across 2026–2027, that full‑year revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance will be provided no later than the Q1 earnings call in May, and that near‑term investments in migration personnel and R&D (including AI and India) may create short‑term pressure but are intended to improve cost structure and margins in the second half of 2026 and beyond.

Health Catalyst Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet improved with substantially lower leverage and sizable equity, but operating performance remains weak: revenue momentum deteriorated sharply in 2025, losses widened, and free cash flow stayed negative and worsened versus 2024—limiting self-funding capacity.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Revenue growth has cooled materially, moving from strong growth in 2020–2022 to modest growth in 2023–2024 and a sharp decline in 2025 (annual). Gross margin has been relatively steady in the mid-to-high 40% range, but profitability remains the key issue: operating results are deeply negative and net losses widened significantly in 2025 versus 2024, indicating worsening cost leverage and limited progress toward breakeven.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage improved substantially in 2025 (annual), with total debt dropping to a low level and debt relative to equity falling to a very conservative range versus the highly levered 2024 profile. Equity remains sizable, supporting balance-sheet resilience; however, recurring losses are translating into consistently negative returns on equity, which is a key long-term risk if profitability does not improve.
Cash Flow
34
Negative
Cash generation is inconsistent: operating cash flow was meaningfully negative in 2020–2023, turned positive in 2024, and was only slightly positive in 2025 (annual). Free cash flow remains negative across the period and deteriorated sharply in 2025 versus 2024, suggesting ongoing cash burn and limited self-funding capacity despite a brief improvement in operating cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue311.14M306.58M295.94M276.24M241.93M
Gross Profit104.13M140.78M131.83M133.19M117.57M
EBITDA14.40M-10.65M-68.28M-82.92M-101.68M
Net Income-177.97M-69.50M-118.15M-137.40M-153.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets502.64M858.93M701.81M752.29M832.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments95.73M392.00M317.73M363.49M444.98M
Total Debt171.24M402.26M249.07M247.97M204.61M
Total Liabilities256.86M493.72M334.89M327.28M310.00M
Stockholders Equity245.78M365.21M366.92M425.01M522.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-237.00K-1.84M-47.39M-52.68M-41.59M
Operating Cash Flow731.00K14.56M-33.08M-35.27M-23.12M
Investing Cash Flow36.19M-22.90M20.29M-39.02M-139.68M
Financing Cash Flow-235.78M151.75M2.73M-2.61M264.08M

Health Catalyst Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.16
Price Trends
50DMA
1.99
Negative
100DMA
2.32
Negative
200DMA
2.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Positive
RSI
24.78
Positive
STOCH
5.61
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HCAT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.69, below the 50-day MA of 1.99, and below the 200-day MA of 2.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 24.78 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.61 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HCAT.

Health Catalyst Risk Analysis

Health Catalyst disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Health Catalyst reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Health Catalyst Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$603.57M37.765.87%0.52%3.68%5.62%
64
Neutral
$115.39M44.334.22%24.19%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$348.31M-3.99-116.98%13.66%-2.65%
47
Neutral
$142.74M-7.96-47.69%-5.30%46.01%
46
Neutral
$305.89M-0.85-69.22%-16.65%-71.92%
45
Neutral
$89.41M-0.47-30.28%4.64%-17.17%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HCAT
Health Catalyst
1.22
-3.12
-71.94%
HSTM
HealthStream
20.56
-11.03
-34.91%
OPRX
OptimizeRx
6.15
-2.64
-30.03%
EVH
Evolent Health
2.74
-7.22
-72.49%
SOPH
SOPHiA GENETICS
4.86
1.86
62.00%
DH
Definitive Healthcare Corp
1.00
-1.79
-64.19%

Health Catalyst Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Health Catalyst Names New CEO Amid Board Restructuring
Neutral
Feb 18, 2026

On February 12, 2026, Health Catalyst appointed Ben Albert, formerly its president and chief operating officer and previously CEO of acquired patient-engagement firm Upfront Healthcare Services, as chief executive officer and a Class III director, while accelerating the planned retirement of long-time CEO Dan Burton. Albert’s compensation package includes a $600,000 base salary and extensive time- and performance-based restricted stock awards, underscoring the board’s intent to align his incentives with long-term financial and operational performance while he drives cost-efficiency, improved execution, and a return to growth.

Burton stepped down as CEO and director effective February 12, 2026, but will remain as a strategic adviser, with the company expecting to formalize his transition in a separate agreement, and the board emphasized that his departure stemmed from succession timing rather than strategic disagreements. The leadership handover follows Albert’s internal restructuring efforts since September 2025 to streamline the organization and concentrate resources on high-return priorities, signaling a push to sharpen focus on margin improvement and more disciplined operations.

The company also enacted sweeping board changes, with directors Dawn Smith and Duncan Gallagher resigning effective February 17, 2026 and John Kane set to depart April 1, 2026, alongside the previously announced exit of director Matt Kolb at the 2026 annual meeting. In recognition of their service, the board accelerated vesting of restricted stock units and, in some cases, granted additional RSUs or full quarterly cash-equivalent retainers, indicating an orderly, non-contentious refresh of governance rather than activist-driven pressure.

As part of the shake-up, Justin Spencer was named independent chair of the board on February 12, 2026, and committee leadership was reconfigured, with Kane remaining as audit chair until his exit, Julie Larson-Green continuing to lead compensation, and Matt Arens assuming the chair of nominating and corporate governance. The board size was briefly increased to ten to accommodate Albert’s appointment and then scheduled for staged reductions to five directors by the time of the 2026 annual meeting, a move that is likely to tighten board oversight and may lower governance costs while concentrating authority among a smaller group of directors.

The most recent analyst rating on (HCAT) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Health Catalyst stock, see the HCAT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Health Catalyst Announces Chief Commercial Officer Transition Plan
Neutral
Jan 23, 2026

On January 20, 2026, Health Catalyst, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors had decided Chief Commercial Officer Kevin Freeman would leave that role effective February 1, 2026. To support continuity in commercial operations, the company and Freeman plan for him to receive separation benefits under the company’s Executive Severance Plan in exchange for a general release of claims and then transition into a senior advisor position under an anticipated independent contractor agreement starting February 2, 2026, signaling an effort to manage leadership change while preserving access to his expertise.

The most recent analyst rating on (HCAT) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Health Catalyst stock, see the HCAT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 17, 2026