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HENSOLDT AG Unsponsored ADR (HAGHY)
OTHER OTC:HAGHY
US Market

HENSOLDT AG Unsponsored ADR (HAGHY) AI Stock Analysis

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HAGHY

HENSOLDT AG Unsponsored ADR

(OTC:HAGHY)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▼(-76.24% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/14/26
The score is driven primarily by moderate financial quality: improving cash generation is a strength, but leverage is elevated and recent revenue/margins softened. Technicals are weak with the stock below major moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation is a headwind due to a high P/E, while the earnings call provides meaningful support through raised guidance and a record backlog.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Strong operating cash flow (~€435M) and materially positive free cash flow (~€237M) provide durable financial flexibility. This cash generation supports multi-year program execution, funds R&D and capex without immediate external financing, and cushions the company through procurement timing swings typical in defense contracting.
Record backlog & higher book-to-bill
A record €7.1B backlog and upgraded book-to-bill guidance (1.6–1.9x) provide multi-year revenue visibility and reduce sales volatility. For a defense supplier, a large contracted backlog anchors future revenue, enables production planning, and supports stable aftermarket and service follow-through over several procurement cycles.
Optronics segment momentum
The Optronics business shows scalable, higher-growth dynamics (27% revenue growth, book-to-bill 1.4x) and a targeted EBITDA margin expansion to ~14%. A growing, higher-margin segment strengthens overall margin sustainability, diversifies revenue mix, and improves resilience to program-level cost pressure over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Leverage has increased materially (debt-to-equity ~1.65), which raises interest expense sensitivity and reduces financial flexibility. In a capital-intensive defense supplier model, elevated leverage can amplify earnings volatility, limit discretionary investment, and make meeting strategic targets harder if margins or cash flows weaken.
Margin compression
Recent margin compression and a modest revenue decline signal profit pressure. Lower net margins reduce the buffer to absorb input-cost inflation or program overruns, limiting reinvestment and making free cash flow and return targets harder to sustain across defense procurement cycles.
Working-capital and ramp costs
Significant working-capital build (‑€119M in the first nine months) and logistical ramp-up pressures have depressed near-term free cash flow and margins. Persistent WC strain tied to program ramp-up can force higher external funding needs and constrain the company's ability to organically finance growth or reduce leverage over time.

HENSOLDT AG Unsponsored ADR (HAGHY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HENSOLDT AG Unsponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHENSOLDT AG is a German electronics company specializing in sensor solutions for defense and security applications. The company operates primarily in the sectors of defense technology, aerospace, and security. HENSOLDT provides advanced technologies in radar, optronics, electronic warfare, and cyber security. Its core products include airborne and ground-based radar systems, command and control systems, and intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyHENSOLDT primarily makes money by selling defense and security sensor systems and related services to governmental customers, armed forces, and prime defense contractors. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Product and system sales: revenue from delivering radar, EO/IR, electronic warfare, avionics, and other sensor/mission systems as part of new platform procurements or upgrades/retrofits on existing aircraft, ships, land vehicles, and ground installations. These contracts are commonly multi-year and tied to procurement programs, with revenue recognized as equipment is delivered and accepted and/or as contract performance obligations are met. (2) Aftermarket and services: recurring revenue from maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO), spare parts, logistics, training, software/firmware updates, and long-term service/support agreements that sustain systems over their operational life. (3) Program work with primes and consortia: revenue earned as a subsystem supplier and integration partner on large defense programs, where HENSOLDT provides sensor components, subassemblies, or complete sensor suites to prime contractors and may also support qualification, testing, and platform integration. (4) R&D and development contracts: in some cases, income from customer-funded development or co-development activities related to new capabilities, prototypes, or system enhancements. Earnings are influenced by government defense budgets, procurement cycles, export approvals, contract timing and milestone achievement, and the installed base of fielded systems that drives service and spares demand. Specific material partnerships or customer/program concentrations for HAGHY are not available here and are therefore null.

HENSOLDT AG Unsponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong order intake, revenue growth, and increased guidance, particularly in the Optronics and Sensors segments. However, logistical challenges and working capital investments impacted short-term cash flow and margins.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Order Intake and Revenue Growth
Order intake reached over EUR 2 billion, exceeding the previous year's figure by 9%. Revenue increased to EUR 1.5 billion, with core revenue growing by 14%.
Record Order Backlog
Order backlog reached a new record level of EUR 7.1 billion, providing excellent visibility for future growth.
Increased Book-to-Bill Guidance
Book-to-bill guidance raised from 1.2x to a range of 1.6x to 1.9x, reflecting strong order intake expectations.
Optronics Segment Performance
Optronics segment showed strong performance with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.4x and revenue growth of 27% in the first 9 months.
Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA increased to EUR 211 million with a margin of 13.7%, driven by higher volumes in the German Optronics business.
Negative Updates
Logistical Ramp-up Impact
The logistical ramp-up of the new logistics center temporarily moderated revenue growth and impacted margins in the Sensors segment.
Working Capital Investment
Continued investment in working capital impacted free cash flow, which remained negative at minus EUR 119 million for the first 9 months.
Company Guidance
During the Hensoldt 9M 2025 Results Call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting strong performance and future prospects. The book-to-bill ratio guidance for 2025 was significantly raised from around 1.2x to a range of 1.6x to 1.9x, driven by anticipated key orders like the Eurofighter and Luchs II. Revenue guidance was specified at approximately EUR 2.5 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin expected to be 18% or higher. The company also maintained its adjusted free cash flow guidance with a target cash conversion rate of 50% to 60% and a net leverage target of around 1.5x. Hensoldt's robust order intake and revenue performance were highlighted, with an order backlog reaching a record EUR 7.1 billion, offering excellent visibility for the future. The Optronics segment showed significant growth, with a projected EBITDA margin increase to 14% by year-end. Overall, the company remains well-positioned for continued growth amid increasing defense investments.

HENSOLDT AG Unsponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is positive but modest and recently pressured (net margin ~3.6% in 2025 vs ~4.8% in 2024) alongside a slight revenue decline (~-1.7%). Cash generation improved strongly (OCF ~435M; FCF ~237M in 2025), but rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.65 in 2025) is a key constraint.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Revenue scaled meaningfully from 2020 to 2024, but 2025 showed a slight decline (about -1.7%), signaling a near-term growth pause. Profitability is positive and generally improving versus the 2020 loss, yet margins remain modest for the sector: 2025 net margin is ~3.6% (down from ~4.8% in 2024) and operating profitability also eased year over year. Overall, the business looks profitable and established, but with recent margin compression and a softer top-line trajectory.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
The balance sheet shows elevated leverage that has trended up in recent years: debt-to-equity rose from ~1.06 (2023) to ~1.58 (2024) and ~1.65 (2025), alongside higher absolute debt. Equity has grown, but leverage remains a key constraint and can amplify earnings volatility if profitability softens. Returns on equity are positive (about 8.6% in 2025) but down from 2024, reinforcing that recent profit pressure is showing up in shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength. Operating cash flow increased to ~435M in 2025 from ~311M in 2024, and free cash flow more than doubled to ~237M with strong growth. Free cash flow has generally been positive across the period, supporting flexibility. The main weakness is that cash flow covers only a modest portion of revenue (roughly 16–24% over time), and free cash flow has been somewhat volatile year to year.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.36B2.24B1.85B1.71B1.47B
Gross Profit504.28M509.00M416.00M394.00M329.80M
EBITDA369.81M379.00M293.00M267.00M253.00M
Net Income85.49M108.00M54.00M78.00M63.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.42B4.70B3.84B2.98B2.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments932.60M734.00M803.00M462.00M534.00M
Total Debt1.63B1.38B854.00M789.00M943.90M
Total Liabilities4.42B3.81B3.02B2.36B2.54B
Stockholders Equity990.58M872.00M808.00M604.00M399.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow237.25M112.00M153.00M149.00M197.20M
Operating Cash Flow435.12M311.00M267.00M244.00M299.20M
Investing Cash Flow-226.69M-745.00M-122.00M-101.00M-117.10M
Financing Cash Flow-19.21M367.00M197.00M-214.00M-297.20M

HENSOLDT AG Unsponsored ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price39.99
Price Trends
50DMA
9.61
Negative
100DMA
9.47
Negative
200DMA
10.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Negative
RSI
46.29
Neutral
STOCH
73.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HAGHY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 39.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.17, above the 50-day MA of 9.61, and above the 200-day MA of 10.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HAGHY.

HENSOLDT AG Unsponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$12.04B32.5310.54%1.04%12.27%33.16%
68
Neutral
$15.99B17.0412.25%0.09%1.83%-0.73%
64
Neutral
$18.72B47.9827.65%0.56%14.01%10.92%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
$10.92B39.7914.37%0.52%17.21%643.48%
53
Neutral
$10.58B-21.68-6.41%79.89%-171.81%
51
Neutral
$16.72B606.551.20%14.00%23.78%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HAGHY
HENSOLDT AG Unsponsored ADR
9.45
1.38
17.17%
AVAV
AeroVironment
211.88
86.14
68.51%
KTOS
Kratos Defense
89.53
57.64
180.75%
DRS
Leonardo Drs
45.30
12.46
37.96%
TXT
Textron
91.86
17.31
23.22%
BWXT
BWX Technologies
204.67
105.32
106.01%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026