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Grifols SA (GRFS)
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Grifols SA (GRFS) AI Stock Analysis

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GRFS

Grifols SA

(NASDAQ:GRFS)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(6.92% Upside)
Grifols SA's overall stock score is primarily driven by its improving financial performance, characterized by strong revenue growth and cash flow generation. However, high leverage and low net profit margins pose risks. Technical analysis indicates mixed momentum, and valuation metrics suggest potential overvaluation. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits further insights.

Grifols SA (GRFS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Grifols SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrifols, S.A. engages in the procurement, manufacture, preparation, and sale of therapeutic products, primarily hemoderivatives. The company operates through Bioscience, Hospital, Diagnostic, Bio Supplies, and Others divisions. The Bioscience division researches, develops, produces, and markets plasma-derived medicines and other innovative solutions to treat patients with chronic, rare, prevalent, and life-threatening diseases. It offers immunoglobulins, alpha-1 antitrypsin, albumin, clotting factors, and hyperimmune globulins. The Hospital division offers non-biological pharmaceutical products and medical supplies clinical nutrition, intravenous therapy, and medical devices. The Diagnostic division researches, develops, produces, and commercializes diagnostic products that span the healthcare continuum–from prevention, screening, diagnosis, and prognosis to disease and treatment monitoring–to serve professionals. The Bio Supplies division provides biological materials for life-science research, clinical trials, and for manufacturing pharmaceutical and diagnostic products. Its products and services are used by healthcare providers to diagnose and treat patients with hemophilia, immune deficiencies, infectious diseases, and other medical conditions. The company serves public and private customers; and wholesalers, distributors, group purchasing organizations, blood banks, hospitals and care institutions, and national health systems. Grifols, S.A. has a technology collaboration agreement with Mondragon. The company was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Barcelona, Spain.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrifols generates revenue primarily through the sale of its plasma-derived products, which are a significant portion of its revenue. The company operates a robust network of human plasma collection centers, which allows it to secure a steady supply of plasma for its manufacturing processes. Key revenue streams include sales from its Bioscience division, which provides therapies for patients with immune deficiencies and other chronic conditions. Additionally, Grifols earns revenue from its Diagnostic and Hospital segments, which offer a range of products and services for hospitals and laboratories. The company has established significant partnerships with healthcare institutions and organizations, enhancing its market reach and facilitating the distribution of its products. Factors contributing to Grifols' earnings include the increasing demand for blood products globally, advancements in biotechnology, and the company's commitment to research and development, which drives innovation and the introduction of new therapies.

Grifols SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented strong revenue growth, improvements in adjusted EBITDA, and significant free cash flow improvement, highlighting the company's operational resilience and strategic execution. However, challenges such as negative free cash flow due to a one-time payment, phasing impacts in specific segments, and the financial impact of the Inflation Reduction Act were noted. Despite these challenges, the positive aspects of growth and efficiency improvements outweigh the negatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue reached EUR1.786 billion, a 7.4% increase on a constant currency basis. On a like-for-like basis, revenue increased by 10%.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter reached EUR400 million, an improvement of 14.2% at constant currency. Like-for-like, it grew by close to 22%.
Impressive Free Cash Flow Improvement
Free cash flow for the quarter improved by over EUR200 million year-on-year, despite being negative EUR44 million due to a EUR79 million payment to ImmunoTek.
Immunoglobulin Segment Growth
The immunoglobulin franchise achieved 17.5% growth in revenue at constant currency, led by both IV and subcutaneous IG.
Operational Efficiency Gains
Continued improvements in cost per liter and yield, along with a focus on operational leverage improvement.
Negative Updates
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow for the quarter was negative EUR44 million, primarily due to a EUR79 million payment to ImmunoTek.
Albumin and Rabies Segment Phasing Impact
Phasing in albumin and rabies impacted revenue, with albumin sales declining by 8.9% on a like-for-like basis due to a license renewal process in China.
Impact of Inflation Reduction Act
The Inflation Reduction Act resulted in a EUR28 million impact in Q1. The total estimated impact for 2025 remains at EUR125 million.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Grifols reported a robust financial performance, achieving a revenue of EUR1.786 billion, reflecting a 7.4% increase on a constant currency basis, and a 10% rise on a like-for-like basis. Adjusted EBITDA reached EUR400 million, marking a 14.2% improvement, and nearly 22% on a like-for-like basis. Despite a negative free cash flow of EUR44 million due to a payment to ImmunoTek, the company noted a year-on-year improvement of over EUR200 million. Grifols attributed this success to strong growth in their immunoglobulin franchise, with IV and subcutaneous IG growing impressively, particularly subcutaneous IG, which surged by 91% at constant currency. The company anticipates ongoing revenue growth, supported by improved performances in rabies, albumin, and alpha-1 franchises, alongside initiatives to lower costs and enhance operational efficiencies. Grifols remains committed to further deleveraging its balance sheet and achieving sustained revenue, profitability, and free cash flow growth throughout the year.

Grifols SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Grifols SA has shown robust revenue growth and improved operating margins. However, the low net profit margin and high leverage present financial risks. Strong cash flow generation is positive but needs enhancement for better financial stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Grifols SA demonstrates strong revenue growth with a 9.41% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin improved to 38.74%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin remains relatively low at 2.18%, suggesting potential cost or operational inefficiencies. The EBIT margin increased to 16.53%, reflecting better operating performance.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.71 indicates a high level of leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. Return on equity is modest at 2.67%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The equity ratio of 27.49% highlights a stable asset base supported by equity, though there is reliance on debt.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Grifols SA shows a significant improvement in free cash flow, turning positive in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 5.75 reflects strong cash generation capacity relative to net profits. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 3.38 indicates that cash flow improvements are still needed to enhance financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.55B7.21B6.59B6.06B4.93B5.34B
Gross Profit2.20B2.79B2.32B2.23B1.96B2.26B
EBITDA1.17B1.48B1.18B1.16B922.47M1.37B
Net Income180.38M156.92M59.31M208.28M265.33M618.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.98B21.41B21.44B21.53B19.23B15.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.01B1.00B544.50M591.24M2.68B590.51M
Total Debt10.05B10.09B10.12B9.75B9.32B6.91B
Total Liabilities12.68B12.80B13.47B13.08B11.09B8.55B
Stockholders Equity5.64B5.88B5.83B6.13B6.10B5.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow673.55M530.80M-87.14M-386.43M281.89M747.78M
Operating Cash Flow949.70M902.17M208.28M-10.87M596.98M1.11B
Investing Cash Flow-572.05M886.67M-397.64M-1.98B-29.39M-858.12M
Financing Cash Flow-1.72B-1.36B186.04M-173.49M1.47B-354.40M

Grifols SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.82
Price Trends
50DMA
10.08
Negative
100DMA
9.28
Positive
200DMA
8.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
47.96
Neutral
STOCH
44.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRFS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.84, below the 50-day MA of 10.08, and above the 200-day MA of 8.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GRFS.

Grifols SA Risk Analysis

Grifols SA disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grifols SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Grifols SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$80.32B18.3418.84%4.13%3.46%-13.29%
72
Outperform
$111.94B11.327.17%4.86%-9.32%120.62%
69
Neutral
$146.96B22.3389.11%3.44%13.10%110.67%
68
Neutral
$89.80B17.8028.96%5.58%2.57%
68
Neutral
$139.09B22.3032.08%2.80%3.69%501.26%
63
Neutral
$8.51B20.485.41%1.45%10.05%98.22%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GRFS
Grifols SA
9.82
1.06
12.10%
AMGN
Amgen
272.98
-38.80
-12.44%
BMY
Bristol-Myers Squibb
44.12
-5.29
-10.71%
GILD
Gilead Sciences
112.10
30.69
37.70%
GSK
GlaxoSmithKline
39.85
0.73
1.87%
SNY
Sanofi
45.54
-10.31
-18.46%

Grifols SA Corporate Events

Grifols Reports Strong H1 2025 Results with Revenue and Profit Growth
Jul 30, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Grifols announced its half-year financial results for 2025, showcasing a 7% increase in revenues to EUR 3,677 million and a nearly fourfold rise in net profit to EUR 177 million, driven by strong performance in its Biopharma segment. The company also reduced its leverage ratio and reinstated a dividend payment, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns. Grifols plans to launch Fibrinogen in Europe and the U.S. following FDA approval, and it has completed the delisting of Biotest from the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, increasing its equity stake to 80.32%. The company remains focused on its Value Creation Plan, leveraging its business model to mitigate potential impacts from trade tariffs.

Grifols Announces Interim Dividend for 2025
Jul 29, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Grifols, S.A.’s Board of Directors approved an interim dividend payment of €0.15 per share for the 2025 profit. The payment will be distributed on August 13, 2025, with a total dividend amounting to €102,076,365.60. This decision reflects Grifols’ commitment to providing value to its shareholders and may impact investor sentiment positively.

Grifols Expands Committee Focus to Include Corporate Reputation
Jul 29, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Grifols, S.A.’s Board of Directors resolved to amend its internal regulations, renaming the Sustainability Committee to the ‘Sustainability, Communication and Reputation Committee.’ This change expands the committee’s authority to include the supervision of the company’s corporate reputation. The updated regulations will be communicated to the National Securities Market Commission and filed with the Commercial Registry of Barcelona, with further details to be shared at the next General Shareholders’ Meeting.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 27, 2025