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Grifols SA (GRFS)
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Grifols SA (GRFS) AI Stock Analysis

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GRFS

Grifols SA

(NASDAQ:GRFS)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(4.71% Upside)
Grifols SA's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, offset by high leverage and bearish technical indicators. The company's valuation is fair, but not compelling. Continued focus on improving margins and managing leverage is crucial for future stability.

Grifols SA (GRFS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Grifols SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrifols SA (GRFS) is a global healthcare company based in Spain that specializes in the production of plasma-derived medicines, with a focus on treating rare and chronic diseases. The company operates in three main segments: Bioscience, Diagnostic, and Hospital. Grifols is renowned for its innovative therapies, including immunoglobulins, albumin, and clotting factors, which are primarily used to treat patients with immune deficiencies, blood disorders, and other conditions.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrifols generates revenue primarily through the sale of its plasma-derived products, which are a significant portion of its revenue. The company operates a robust network of human plasma collection centers, which allows it to secure a steady supply of plasma for its manufacturing processes. Key revenue streams include sales from its Bioscience division, which provides therapies for patients with immune deficiencies and other chronic conditions. Additionally, Grifols earns revenue from its Diagnostic and Hospital segments, which offer a range of products and services for hospitals and laboratories. The company has established significant partnerships with healthcare institutions and organizations, enhancing its market reach and facilitating the distribution of its products. Factors contributing to Grifols' earnings include the increasing demand for blood products globally, advancements in biotechnology, and the company's commitment to research and development, which drives innovation and the introduction of new therapies.

Grifols SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights Grifols' robust financial performance, with significant revenue growth, improved adjusted EBITDA, and strengthened free cash flow. The company has made progress in deleveraging and gaining market share, particularly in the immunoglobulins franchise. However, challenges such as pricing pressures in China and exchange rate headwinds persist, along with a delay in regulatory approval for fibrinogen in the U.S. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment leans towards positive, given the strong financial and operational metrics.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Grifols achieved revenue of EUR 5.5 billion year-to-date, representing a year-over-year increase of 7.7% and 10.5% like-for-like after adjustments, both at constant currency.
Impressive Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was EUR 482 million, contributing to a year-to-date adjusted EBITDA of EUR 1,358 million, up 11.2% and 17.3% like-for-like, both at constant currency.
Significant Improvement in Free Cash Flow
Year-to-date free cash flow pre-M&A and pre-dividends improved by EUR 257 million year-over-year, reaching EUR 188 million.
Market Share Gains in Immunoglobulins
The immunoglobulins franchise outpaced the market with 18% growth in the quarter and 14% year-to-date, driven by GAMUNEX and XEMBIFY.
Deleveraging Success
Grifols reduced its leverage ratio to 4.2x by the end of Q3, nearly a 1x improvement over the prior year.
Negative Updates
Challenges in China Market
Albumin volumes faced ongoing pricing pressure in China due to government-imposed cost controls, resulting in a contraction of 4.5% for the quarter and 3.9% year-to-date, both at constant currency.
Exchange Rate Headwinds
Revenue and EBITDA levels were negatively impacted by exchange rate fluctuations, although leverage ratio and free cash flow were not significantly affected.
Delay in Fibrinogen AFD Approval in the U.S.
Grifols decided to build additional clinical evidence before seeking regulatory approval for acquired fibrinogen deficiency in the U.S., delaying the market launch.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Grifols demonstrated strong operational and financial performance, achieving revenue of EUR 5.5 billion, marking a year-over-year increase of 7.7% at constant currency. The company reported a third-quarter adjusted EBITDA of EUR 482 million, contributing to a year-to-date adjusted EBITDA of EUR 1,358 million, which is an 11.2% increase from the previous year. Free cash flow pre-M&A and pre-dividends improved significantly by EUR 257 million year over year, totaling EUR 188 million. Despite challenges like exchange rate headwinds and the Inflation Reduction Act, Grifols maintained a leverage ratio of 4.2x by the end of Q3, nearly a 1x improvement from the prior year. The company's immunoglobulins franchise led growth, with the biopharma portfolio growing 10.9% in Q3. Grifols revised its full-year free cash flow guidance to EUR 400-425 million, reflecting the company's focus on financial discipline and resilience amidst a complex global environment.

Grifols SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Grifols SA shows strong revenue growth and improved operating margins, but struggles with a low net profit margin. The balance sheet reveals high leverage, requiring careful management. Strong cash flow generation is positive, yet further enhancement is needed to bolster financial stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Grifols SA demonstrates strong revenue growth with a 9.41% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin improved to 38.74%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin remains relatively low at 2.18%, suggesting potential cost or operational inefficiencies. The EBIT margin increased to 16.53%, reflecting better operating performance.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.71 indicates a high level of leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. Return on equity is modest at 2.67%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The equity ratio of 27.49% highlights a stable asset base supported by equity, though there is reliance on debt.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Grifols SA shows a significant improvement in free cash flow, turning positive in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 5.75 reflects strong cash generation capacity relative to net profits. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 3.38 indicates that cash flow improvements are still needed to enhance financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.52B7.21B6.59B6.06B4.93B5.34B
Gross Profit2.97B2.79B2.48B2.21B1.96B2.26B
EBITDA1.57B1.48B1.17B1.19B944.03M1.42B
Net Income372.72M156.92M42.32M185.03M188.73M618.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.85B21.41B20.99B21.23B19.23B15.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments825.48M1.00B646.04M580.24M2.69B590.51M
Total Debt1.08B10.09B11.02B0.0010.17B6.91B
Total Liabilities12.31B12.80B13.48B13.25B11.92B8.55B
Stockholders Equity5.18B5.88B5.37B5.65B5.52B5.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow851.18M530.80M-91.63M-386.43M349.60M830.18M
Operating Cash Flow1.13B902.17M218.69M-10.87M596.98M1.11B
Investing Cash Flow-605.99M886.67M-394.72M-1.98B-854.15M-858.12M
Financing Cash Flow-480.99M-1.36B171.49M-173.49M2.30B-354.40M

Grifols SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.55
Price Trends
50DMA
9.61
Negative
100DMA
9.68
Negative
200DMA
8.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Positive
RSI
28.22
Positive
STOCH
8.81
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRFS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.31, below the 50-day MA of 9.61, and above the 200-day MA of 8.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.22 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.81 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GRFS.

Grifols SA Risk Analysis

Grifols SA disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grifols SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Grifols SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$147.46B18.4240.62%2.62%2.71%6407.19%
77
Outperform
$93.52B13.1235.62%3.59%5.97%128.66%
77
Outperform
$169.94B24.4081.71%3.15%11.03%65.22%
76
Outperform
$120.52B12.358.39%4.45%-9.32%120.62%
69
Neutral
$94.93B15.7533.84%5.31%1.26%
65
Neutral
$7.20B13.746.93%1.69%9.45%167.00%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GRFS
Grifols SA
8.44
-0.76
-8.26%
AMGN
Amgen
320.20
8.80
2.83%
BMY
Bristol-Myers Squibb
46.69
-10.30
-18.07%
GILD
Gilead Sciences
118.84
24.62
26.13%
GSK
GlaxoSmithKline
46.63
11.84
34.03%
SNY
Sanofi
49.66
0.60
1.22%

Grifols SA Corporate Events

Grifols Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance with Biopharma Growth
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Grifols reported its third-quarter financial results, highlighting a 9.1% year-over-year revenue increase to EUR 1,865 million, driven by the Biopharma business. The company achieved a group profit of EUR 127 million for the quarter, contributing to a 245% year-to-date profit increase. Grifols also improved its leverage ratio to 4.2x and maintained robust liquidity of EUR 1,475 million. The company continues to focus on free cash flow generation and strategic market positioning, with its immunoglobulin franchise showing significant growth.

Grifols Establishes Strategy Committee to Enhance Strategic Governance
Sep 29, 2025

On September 25 and 26, 2025, Grifols, S.A.’s Board of Directors resolved to establish a Strategy Committee to assist in strategic initiatives and developments. The committee, composed of independent, external, and proprietary members, aims to provide advisory support and proposals to the Board. This move is part of Grifols’ efforts to strengthen its strategic governance and enhance its operational efficiency, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025