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GeoVax Labs (GOVX)
NASDAQ:GOVX
US Market

GeoVax Labs (GOVX) AI Stock Analysis

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GOVX

GeoVax Labs

(NASDAQ:GOVX)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$0.17
▼(-95.38% Downside)
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (declining revenue, large losses, and significant cash burn) and bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative momentum). Potential upside from the earnings call (expedited regulatory path and partnership interest) provides some offset, but valuation remains constrained by ongoing losses and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Vaccine Development Portfolio
GeoVax's robust vaccine development portfolio positions it to address unmet healthcare needs, potentially leading to expedited registration and market entry.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships enhance GeoVax's global development and commercialization efforts, potentially increasing market reach and funding opportunities.
Cash Position
A strong cash position provides GeoVax with a buffer to manage operational expenses and invest in R&D, supporting long-term sustainability despite current challenges.
Negative Factors
BARDA Contract Termination
The BARDA contract termination poses a strategic setback, potentially affecting financial support and delaying vaccine development timelines.
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative cash flow highlights cash management challenges, necessitating reliance on external financing and raising concerns about financial sustainability.
Increased Expenses
Rising R&D and administrative expenses could strain financial resources, impacting profitability and necessitating careful cost management to ensure long-term viability.

GeoVax Labs (GOVX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GeoVax Labs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGeoVax Labs, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops human vaccines and immunotherapies against infectious diseases and cancers using modified vaccinia ankara virus-like particle vaccine platform. It is developing various preventive vaccines against (COVID-19), human immunodeficiency virus (HIV); Zika virus; malaria; and hemorrhagic fever viruses, such as Ebola, Sudan, Marburg, and Lassa, as well as therapeutic vaccines for HIV, chronic Hepatitis B infections, and solid tumor cancers. The company has collaboration and partnership agreements with the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases of the National Institutes of Health; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; U.S. Department of Defense; Emory University; University of Pittsburgh; and the Burnet Institute. GeoVax Labs, Inc. was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Smyrna, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeoVax Labs generates revenue through a combination of government and non-governmental grants, collaborative research and development agreements, and potential licensing deals. The company partners with various organizations and institutions to advance its vaccine candidates, often receiving funding and milestone payments in return. GeoVax also seeks to monetize its vaccine platform through licensing agreements with other biotech or pharmaceutical companies, allowing them to use the technology for their own product development. Revenue may also be derived from future product sales as vaccines progress through clinical trials and achieve regulatory approval.

GeoVax Labs Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant advancements in the development and potential expedited approval of key vaccine candidates, along with increased industry interest and collaboration potential. However, financial challenges, including decreased revenue and increased net loss, present concerns. Overall, the positive development news is somewhat tempered by the financial performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Expedited Development Path for GEO-MVA
GeoVax received guidance from the European Medicines Agency to bypass Phase I and Phase II trials for GEO-MVA, proceeding directly to a Phase III immuno-bridging trial, potentially accelerating marketing authorization and revenue generation.
Increased Interest in Partnerships and Funding
The company is experiencing increased interest in partnerships and collaborations from industry players and nondilutive funding organizations, particularly for GEO-MVA and GEO-CM04S1.
Progress in Vaccine Manufacturing Process
GeoVax is advancing its MVA vaccine manufacturing process, which is expected to provide a significant advantage in the production of MVA-based vaccines.
Significant Interest in GEO-CM04S1
GEO-CM04S1 is gaining recognition as a needed vaccine for immunocompromised adults, with ongoing clinical trials and discussions for potential partnerships.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenues decreased to $2.5 million in the first nine months of 2025 compared to $3.1 million in 2024, primarily due to the termination of the BARDA Project NextGen contract.
Increased Net Loss
Net loss for the third quarter of 2025 was $6.3 million, up from $5.8 million in 2024, and $17 million for the year-to-date compared to $16.7 million in 2024.
R&D and G&A Expenses
Despite a decrease in R&D expenses due to the termination of the BARDA contract, there were higher personnel and administrative costs, contributing to overall financial challenges.
Company Guidance
During the GeoVax Third Quarter 2025 Corporate Update Call, the company provided several key metrics regarding its progress and strategic initiatives. GeoVax highlighted its vaccine candidate GEO-MVA, which received expedited development guidance from the European Medicines Agency (EMA) to bypass Phase I and Phase II trials and proceed directly to a Phase III immuno-bridging trial. This advancement could lead to earlier marketing authorization and revenue generation. Financially, for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, GeoVax reported revenues of $2.5 million, a decrease from $3.1 million in 2024, primarily due to the termination of the BARDA Project NextGen contract. Research and development expenses decreased to $15.1 million from $16.1 million in the previous year, while general and administrative expenses increased to $4.6 million from $3.8 million. The company's net loss for the quarter was $6.3 million, slightly higher than $5.8 million in 2024. GeoVax remains focused on advancing its GEO-MVA vaccine and other product candidates, with significant interest in partnerships and collaborations to support development and commercialization.

GeoVax Labs Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect a development-stage biotech with sharply declining TTM revenue, deeply negative profitability, and persistent heavy cash burn (negative operating and free cash flow). The lack of debt reduces balance-sheet risk, but ongoing losses and reliance on external funding elevate dilution/funding risk.
Income Statement
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined sharply (down ~45% vs. the prior year), while losses remain very large relative to revenue (net margin deeply negative). A positive is that reported gross margin is extremely high in 2024 and TTM, but operating and bottom-line profitability remain materially negative, indicating the business is still far from self-funding.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows no debt in recent periods, which lowers financial risk and provides flexibility. However, equity is small and has trended down versus earlier years, and returns on equity are strongly negative, reflecting ongoing losses that continue to erode the capital base over time.
Cash Flow
Cash burn is persistent and heavy: operating cash flow and free cash flow are both around negative $24–25M in 2024 and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Free cash flow also deteriorated further in TTM, and cash generation does not cover operating needs, leaving the company reliant on external funding to sustain operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.35M3.95M0.0081.53K385.50K1.82M
Gross Profit3.30M3.86M-20.72M-9.04M385.50K1.82M
EBITDA-25.24M-24.88M-26.67M-13.97M-18.53M-2.79M
Net Income-25.31M-24.99M-25.97M-14.02M-18.57M-2.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.73M8.16M9.28M31.35M11.80M10.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.01M5.51M6.45M27.61M11.42M9.88M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.00198.06K
Total Liabilities1.82M3.11M3.52M4.75M7.43M825.00K
Stockholders Equity4.91M5.05M5.76M26.60M4.36M9.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-24.27M-24.70M-25.22M-19.16M-11.24M-2.91M
Operating Cash Flow-24.27M-24.68M-25.17M-19.03M-11.20M-2.75M
Investing Cash Flow-27.61K-20.65K-48.95K-134.26K-47.72K-156.79K
Financing Cash Flow20.71M23.75M4.06M35.35M12.78M12.51M

GeoVax Labs Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.57
Price Trends
50DMA
8.55
Negative
100DMA
12.26
Negative
200DMA
17.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.35
Negative
RSI
28.17
Positive
STOCH
13.02
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOVX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.95, below the 50-day MA of 8.55, and below the 200-day MA of 17.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 28.17 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.02 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GOVX.

GeoVax Labs Risk Analysis

GeoVax Labs disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GeoVax Labs reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GeoVax Labs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
$50.13M-10.30-32.92%-44.31%-34.17%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$12.33M-1.10-99.57%30.29%
48
Neutral
$12.45M-2.10-22.03%-41.76%87.36%
44
Neutral
$6.18M-0.07-377.44%8.52%79.51%
43
Neutral
$13.82M-0.37-169.32%53.13%
40
Underperform
$12.20M-0.41-119.92%-22.41%78.88%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GOVX
GeoVax Labs
3.48
-52.77
-93.81%
BLRX
Bioline RX Ltd Sponsored ADR
2.87
-1.31
-31.34%
SNGX
Soligenix
1.37
-0.90
-39.65%
LPCN
Lipocine
10.47
5.85
126.62%
EDSA
Edesa Biotech
1.48
-0.27
-15.43%
LGVN
Longeveron
0.55
-1.20
-68.69%

GeoVax Labs Corporate Events

Stock Split
GeoVax Labs Executes Reverse Stock Split and Charter Amendments
Neutral
Jan 12, 2026

On January 9, 2026, GeoVax Labs, Inc. implemented a 1-for-25 reverse stock split of its common stock, combining every 25 previously issued and outstanding shares into one new share with the same par value. No fractional shares were issued, with any resulting fractional positions rounded up to the next whole share, leaving shareholders’ overall percentage ownership and voting power essentially unchanged and the rights and privileges of common stockholders substantially unaffected.

The most recent analyst rating on (GOVX) stock is a Hold with a $0.16 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GeoVax Labs stock, see the GOVX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
GeoVax Labs Announces Public Equity Offering for Liquidity
Neutral
Dec 22, 2025

On December 19, 2025, GeoVax Labs, Inc. entered into agreements with Roth Capital Partners and a group of institutional and individual investors for a public offering of approximately 13.2 million common units, each consisting of one share of common stock and warrants to purchase additional shares, at a price of $0.245 per unit, with warrants exercisable immediately at the same price for five years. The transaction, which closed on December 22, 2025, is expected to generate about $3.2 million in gross proceeds and approximately $2.9 million in net proceeds, which GeoVax plans to use for working capital and general corporate purposes; the company also agreed to short-term restrictions on issuing additional equity and variable-rate securities, a move that shores up near-term liquidity while temporarily limiting further dilution and complex financings for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GOVX) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GeoVax Labs stock, see the GOVX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingShareholder MeetingsStock Split
GeoVax Labs Approves Share Issuance and Reverse Split
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025

GeoVax Labs held a special meeting of stockholders on November 26, 2025, where they approved two significant proposals. The stockholders approved the issuance of up to 11,904,768 shares of common stock upon exercise of warrants issued in a private placement offering and an amendment for a reverse stock split at a ratio determined by the Board of Directors.

The most recent analyst rating on (GOVX) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GeoVax Labs stock, see the GOVX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025