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GeoVax Labs (GOVX)
NASDAQ:GOVX
US Market
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GeoVax Labs (GOVX) AI Stock Analysis

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GOVX

GeoVax Labs

(NASDAQ:GOVX)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-71.99% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/05/26
The score is primarily weighed down by very weak financial performance (zero/volatile revenue, large losses, and persistent cash burn) and a bearish technical backdrop. Recent financing modestly supports liquidity but introduces dilution risk, and valuation signals are limited due to negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Platform-focused pipeline
GeoVax's vaccine and immunotherapy platform provides a durable R&D backbone across multiple indications. Platform reuse can lower incremental development costs, attract partners, and enable a steady pipeline cadence; that structural capability supports long-term value creation if clinical milestones are reached.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burn
Recurring negative operating and free cash flow indicates structural cash burn that requires repeated external financing. This undermines independent funding of development, compresses strategic flexibility, and raises the risk of program delays or financing-dependent pacing absent near-term operational improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Platform-focused pipeline
GeoVax's vaccine and immunotherapy platform provides a durable R&D backbone across multiple indications. Platform reuse can lower incremental development costs, attract partners, and enable a steady pipeline cadence; that structural capability supports long-term value creation if clinical milestones are reached.
Read all positive factors

GeoVax Labs (GOVX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GeoVax Labs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
GeoVax Labs, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops human vaccines and immunotherapies against infectious diseases and cancers using modified vaccinia ankara virus-like particle vaccine platform. It is developing various preventive...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

GeoVax Labs Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant advancements in the development and potential expedited approval of key vaccine candidates, along with increased industry interest and collaboration potential. However, financial challenges, including decreased revenue and increased net loss, present concerns. Overall, the positive development news is somewhat tempered by the financial performance.
Positive Updates
Expedited Development Path for GEO-MVA
GeoVax received guidance from the European Medicines Agency to bypass Phase I and Phase II trials for GEO-MVA, proceeding directly to a Phase III immuno-bridging trial, potentially accelerating marketing authorization and revenue generation.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenues decreased to $2.5 million in the first nine months of 2025 compared to $3.1 million in 2024, primarily due to the termination of the BARDA Project NextGen contract.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Expedited Development Path for GEO-MVA
GeoVax received guidance from the European Medicines Agency to bypass Phase I and Phase II trials for GEO-MVA, proceeding directly to a Phase III immuno-bridging trial, potentially accelerating marketing authorization and revenue generation.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the GeoVax Third Quarter 2025 Corporate Update Call, the company provided several key metrics regarding its progress and strategic initiatives. GeoVax highlighted its vaccine candidate GEO-MVA, which received expedited development guidance from the European Medicines Agency (EMA) to bypass Phase I and Phase II trials and proceed directly to a Phase III immuno-bridging trial. This advancement could lead to earlier marketing authorization and revenue generation. Financially, for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, GeoVax reported revenues of $2.5 million, a decrease from $3.1 million in 2024, primarily due to the termination of the BARDA Project NextGen contract. Research and development expenses decreased to $15.1 million from $16.1 million in the previous year, while general and administrative expenses increased to $4.6 million from $3.8 million. The company's net loss for the quarter was $6.3 million, slightly higher than $5.8 million in 2024. GeoVax remains focused on advancing its GEO-MVA vaccine and other product candidates, with significant interest in partnerships and collaborations to support development and commercialization.

GeoVax Labs Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow are very weak: highly inconsistent/limited revenue (latest annual revenue at zero), persistent large net losses, and ongoing negative operating/free cash flow indicating continued cash burn. Balance sheet leverage was historically low but has risen meaningfully in the latest period, increasing financial risk while returns on equity remain deeply negative.
Income Statement
6
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
10
Very Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.49M3.95M0.0081.53K385.50K
Gross Profit2.49M3.86M-20.72M-9.04M385.50K
EBITDA-21.64M-24.88M-26.67M-13.97M-18.53M
Net Income-21.46M-24.99M-25.97M-14.02M-18.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.34T8.16M9.28M31.35M11.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.09T5.51M6.45M27.61M11.42M
Total Debt843.17B0.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities2.52T3.11M3.52M4.75M7.43M
Stockholders Equity3.83T5.05M5.76M26.60M4.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.50M-24.70M-25.22M-19.16M-11.24M
Operating Cash Flow-21.47M-24.68M-25.17M-19.03M-11.20M
Investing Cash Flow-27.61K-20.65K-48.95K-134.26K-47.72K
Financing Cash Flow19.08M23.75M4.06M35.35M12.78M

GeoVax Labs Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.57
Price Trends
50DMA
1.64
Negative
100DMA
3.70
Negative
200DMA
9.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Negative
RSI
35.83
Neutral
STOCH
48.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOVX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.33, above the 50-day MA of 1.64, and below the 200-day MA of 9.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GOVX.

GeoVax Labs Risk Analysis

GeoVax Labs disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GeoVax Labs reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GeoVax Labs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$156.30M-1.26-55.75%39.03%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$12.42M-9.61-22.03%-95.92%96.05%
50
Neutral
$19.80M-0.39-119.92%-49.87%67.92%
48
Neutral
$18.70M-4.62-59.29%-82.35%-34713.73%
42
Neutral
$3.34M-0.19-489.66%-37.06%80.33%
40
Underperform
$3.56M-0.63-248.01%55.44%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GOVX
GeoVax Labs
1.27
-23.98
-94.97%
BLRX
Bioline RX Ltd Sponsored ADR
3.04
-0.21
-6.46%
SNGX
Soligenix
0.35
-1.58
-82.03%
LPCN
Lipocine
2.29
-1.13
-33.04%
EDSA
Edesa Biotech
16.11
13.71
571.25%
LGVN
Longeveron
0.86
-0.64
-42.53%

GeoVax Labs Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
GeoVax Labs Boosts Liquidity Through Warrant Inducement Financing
Positive
Apr 1, 2026
On March 31, 2026, GeoVax Labs entered into a warrant inducement agreement with existing healthcare-focused institutional investors, who agreed to immediately exercise warrants for up to 634,658 common shares at a reduced price of $1.36, generatin...
Private Placements and Financing
GeoVax Labs Announces Financing Through Equity Offerings
Neutral
Feb 17, 2026
GeoVax Labs on February 13, 2026 entered into agreements for a registered direct offering of common stock and pre-funded warrants, alongside a concurrent private placement of Series A-1 and A-2 common warrants, raising gross proceeds of about $1 m...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 05, 2026